NONGMOODAENG

น้องหมูแดง Price Prediction 2026

NONGMOODAENG
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 1, 2026

BZPRp1m5iXZerMdNChU5z1Kcd4MgLgGCCEdkmBpWpump

$0.051438

FDV $1,436

LiveContract:BZPRp1m5iXZerMdNChU5z1Kcd4MgLgGCCEdkmBpWpumpChain:SolanaHolders:64Market cap:$1,436

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Report snapshotas of May 1, 09:47 AM
FDV

$5,693

Liquidity

$0

Holders

233

Snipers

28

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

น้องหมูแดง (NONGMOODAENG) is an extremely new PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana (mint: BZPRp1m5iXZerMdNChU5z1Kcd4MgLgGCCEdkmBpWpump) that launched within the last 24 hours. The token has experienced a catastrophic -76.94% price collapse in 24 hours, dropping from a peak of ~$0.0000333 to ~$0.00000569. Trading analytics show overwhelming sell pressure (70.3% sell volume), zero reported on-chain liquidity, extreme supply concentration (top 10 holders control 73.63%), and a holder base that exploded from 1 to 233 in under 24 hours before losing 78 holders in the last hour alone. All signals point to a classic pump-and-dump lifecycle in its dump phase.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Thai-language meme token (น้องหมูแดง = 'Little Red Pig') with no described utility or roadmap
Launched and peaked within a single trading session — entire lifecycle visible in 2 OHLC candles
Top holder (likely PumpSwap liquidity pool) controls 48.29% of supply
Zero reported liquidity despite $312K+ in 24h combined volume — extreme slippage risk
20 snipers active in first 1000 blocks; majority are at a realized loss

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is in freefall. The most recent candle (09:00 UTC) closed at $0.00000569, down from an open of $0.00000991 — a -42.6% intra-candle drop. The prior candle (08:00 UTC) saw a high of $0.0000333 and closed at $0.0000100, confirming the peak has passed. With 70.3% sell pressure, -33% holder loss in the last hour, and zero liquidity depth, further downside is the base expectation.

Target low$0.000001
Target high$0.000008
Support: $0.000004908 (candle [1] low), $0.000001 (psychological / near-zero)
Resistance: $0.000009912 (candle [1] open), $0.000010173 (candle [1] high), $0.000033270 (candle [2] all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without any utility, verified contract, or meaningful community, recovery is unlikely. Tokens of this profile (PumpFun meme, no liquidity, concentrated supply, dump in progress) rarely sustain price above launch-day lows. If remaining holders capitulate, price could approach zero.

Catalysts
  • Continued whale/sniper sell-offs from top holders
  • Further holder exodus (already -78 in last hour)
  • Zero liquidity making any exit increasingly difficult
  • Potential for complete abandonment if social momentum fades

Bullish factors

  • High 24h transaction count (6,642 total buys+sells) shows some speculative interest
  • 1,909 buy transactions in 24h suggests residual demand
  • Meme tokens can occasionally see secondary pumps driven by social media

Bearish factors

  • Price down -76.94% in 24h with accelerating decline (-61.24% in last 1h, -7% in last 5m)
  • Sell volume ($219.33K) is 2.36x buy volume ($92.75K)
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — exits are near-impossible at scale
  • Top 10 holders control 73.63% of supply; any sell creates outsized price impact
  • Holder count dropped 33% (-78 wallets) in the last hour alone
  • No utility, no verified contract, no description, update authority unknown
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, providing minimal technical history. The directional bias (bearish) is high-confidence given the data, but precise price targets are speculative given the token's micro-cap size and near-zero liquidity.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (08:00 UTC): O=$0.0000333, H=$0.0000333, L=$0.00000701, C=$0.0000100 — a massive bearish candle with the open at the high (gap-up open that immediately sold off), closing near the lower quarter of its range. Volume: $205,770. Candle [1] (09:00 UTC): O=$0.00000991, H=$0.0000102, L=$0.00000491, C=$0.00000569 — another bearish candle, opening near the prior close, briefly recovering to $0.0000102 before collapsing to close near the low. Volume: $4,335. The dramatic volume drop from $205K to $4.3K confirms interest is evaporating rapidly.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 30%Sell 70%

Both available candles are strongly bearish with lower closes and closes near candle lows. The token is in a confirmed short-term and medium-term downtrend from its all-time high of $0.0000333.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000004908 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000001 (near-zero psychological floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000009912–$0.000010173 (candle [1] open/high zone)
Major$0.000033270 (candle [2] all-time high)

The candle [1] low of $0.000004908 is the only identifiable on-chain support. A break below this level would leave no technical support until near-zero. Resistance is layered at the candle [1] open (~$0.00000991) and the all-time high ($0.0000333), both of which would require massive buying pressure to reclaim.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish opening marubozu on candle [2]: opened at the high, sold off aggressively throughout the hour
  • Lower high, lower close pattern across both candles — confirmed downtrend
  • Volume exhaustion: 97.9% volume drop from candle [2] to candle [1] signals buyer capitulation
  • Candle [1] closes in lower third of its range — continued bearish momentum

Total holders233
24h Δ+232
7d Δ+232
30d Δ+232
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

Holder count exploded from 1 to 311 (peak implied) during the price pump, then collapsed by 78 holders (-33%) in the last hour as price fell -61.24%. This is a textbook inverse correlation: holders accumulated during the pump and are now exiting en masse during the dump.

The historical holder data shows the token had exactly 1 holder for the entire 30-day period from April 1 to April 30, 2026 — meaning it was essentially dormant or pre-launch. All 232 net new holders arrived within the last 24 hours (May 1, 2026), coinciding with the launch pump. The -78 holder loss in the last hour (-33%) is alarming and suggests rapid capitulation. The 24h acquisition breakdown (231 via swap, 2 via transfer) confirms this is entirely speculative trading activity with no organic distribution. Growth is not accelerating — it is actively reversing.

Top 10 hold73.63%
Top 100 hold98.66%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

2kLfeezChG15YX7uYZnfdvmYSpLra9EybcwpbyAPa4uc

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address matches the trading pair)

48.29%

8hgMmM9Hsiz7GCNchTKt3d2qFdZm6uJUtsg7tuD6WAS3

Individual whale / potential team wallet

8.45%

4a1AraQWubZccyFGNg3wcFUzgi444BycZFi5hB1QP4im

Individual whale

3.22%

CrV7fwhNZrCqarZngNBFQwoSSat9kueULe7dTfpRo67z

Individual whale

2.38%

13jP61xEN9Hw59h4sY4gGjUoEq3C6qUdC2Zndzfv2ATP

Individual whale

2.12%

Supply concentration is extreme. The top holder (2kLfeezChG15YX7uYZnfdvmYSpLra9EybcwpbyAPa4uc, 48.29%) matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data, classifying it as the DEX liquidity pool. Excluding the LP, the next largest holder controls 8.45% — still a significant concentration. The top 10 non-LP holders collectively control ~25.34% of supply. The top 100 holders control 98.66%, leaving only 1.34% distributed beyond the top 100. With 70.3% sell pressure and -78 holders in the last hour, the dominant sentiment is distributing/exiting.

Liquidity$0.00
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$92,750
Sell$219,330
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers729
Unique sellers1,779

The trading analytics report $0.00 total liquidity despite $312,080 in combined 24h volume — this is a critical red flag. It suggests liquidity has been removed or the pool is effectively empty relative to trade sizes. With zero reported liquidity depth, any attempt to buy or sell meaningful size will result in extreme slippage or failed transactions. The sell-to-buy ratio is stark: 1,779 unique sellers vs 729 unique buyers, and 4,733 sell transactions vs 1,909 buy transactions. Net capital flow is strongly outward. The market is in a liquidation phase, not accumulation.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,998.927
FDV$5,693.11

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens (standard PumpFun template). The FDV at current price is only $5,693, reflecting the near-total price collapse from the launch peak. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available data. The token was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically handles authority renouncement automatically upon bonding curve graduation — however, since authority status is explicitly unknown here, rug risk from authorities must be rated unknown. No description, no roadmap, and no verified contract compound the risk profile.

Volatility
high

Price dropped -76.94% in 24 hours, with -61.24% in the last hour alone. The token went from ATH $0.0000333 to $0.00000569 in two hourly candles — extreme volatility consistent with a pump-and-dump.

Liquidity
high

Total reported liquidity is $0.00. Despite $312K in 24h volume, there is no accessible liquidity depth. Exits at any meaningful size are effectively impossible without catastrophic slippage.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 73.63% of supply; top 100 control 98.66%. Excluding the LP pool (48.29%), a single whale at 8.45% could significantly move the market. Distribution is dangerously concentrated.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. 13/20 are at realized losses, meaning many are still holding and may continue to sell. High sell-through rate already observed with $7,100+ in confirmed sniper sells.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The contract is unverified. Mutable=false provides some protection against metadata changes, but the unknown authority status prevents a clean bill of health.

Key risks

  • Near-zero liquidity makes exit impossible at scale
  • Extreme supply concentration — top 10 hold 73.63%
  • Token is in active dump phase with -76.94% 24h decline
  • Holder count falling rapidly (-33% in last hour)
  • No utility, no verified contract, no description
  • 13/20 snipers at realized loss — continued sell pressure likely
  • Update authority unknown — rug risk cannot be ruled out
  • Entire holder base acquired within 24 hours — no long-term holders

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation
  • Token launched on PumpFun which has some standardized launch protections
  • Some snipers (5/20) are in profit and may have already exited, reducing future sell pressure
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) exist, suggesting minimal community presence
Suitable for: This token is suitable only for extremely high-risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap meme token trading. Current conditions suggest the token is in a terminal dump phase.

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bull case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Base case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bear case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

GeneratedMay 1, 09:47 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 09:00 UTC on May 1, 2026. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, severely limiting technical analysis depth.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data
  • On-chain holder analytics and historical holder series
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data

Limitations

  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely constrained
  • Sniper sniped amounts (USD) are unknown — sniper concentration % cannot be precisely calculated
  • Individual sniper balances are unknown — cannot determine remaining sell pressure from snipers
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may reflect data lag or pool drainage; actual state uncertain
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority is listed as unknown — cannot confirm renouncement
  • No 6h or 24h price change data available from the price change breakdown (both show 0%) — may indicate data gap
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are extremely preliminary

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past on-chain patterns do not guarantee future price performance. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,998.927

Key Risks

Near-zero liquidity makes exit impossible at scale
Extreme supply concentration — top 10 hold 73.63%
Token is in active dump phase with -76.94% 24h decline
Holder count falling rapidly (-33% in last hour)

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. Of these, 13 out of 20 show negative realized PnL, with losses ranging from -4.6% to -64.6%. Only 5 snipers show positive realized PnL (ranging from +3.4% to +33.1%). The majority have already sold (high sell-through rate), with total confirmed sell proceeds exceeding $7,100 across the top snipers. The sniper cohort is predominantly at a loss, suggesting even early buyers were caught in the rapid dump. Sniper concentration as a percentage of total supply cannot be computed precisely as individual sniped amounts are unknown.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMostly At Loss
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper balances are unknown; however, sell activity is confirmed across 17 of 20 snipers. Top sellers include CvRw2LQ8cJasvtKGXhhjCWAu1r2U5jpTjm2DuBVFrEjf ($1,309 sold), 1aDerPKk87xJHCAqTY5bGxF5Xet2MG476y4Zmq2WJ8Y ($1,307 sold), STorreSu8X6yPLmiEScNHSGDinqV7j84hWjmvH9SPwk ($1,095 sold), kEFiAX3jo5NmemysQov342TZ9mGh6yp92GDRjhA8XDf ($659 sold), 7FqMNbijKbmhu86QG2G9m7YkqGdWdTBY8aapY5rN4guh ($590 sold).

Negative — 13/20 snipers are at realized losses, and the largest sellers (CvRw2LQ8 at $1,309 and 1aDerPKk at $1,307) still booked losses of 8.4% and -14.4% respectively despite being among the first buyers. This indicates the dump was faster than most snipers could exit profitably.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for น้องหมูแดง (NONGMOODAENG)?

Price is in freefall. The most recent candle (09:00 UTC) closed at $0.00000569, down from an open of $0.00000991 — a -42.6% intra-candle drop. The prior candle (08:00 UTC) saw a high of $0.0000333 and closed at $0.0000100, confirming the peak has passed. With 70.3% sell pressure, -33% holder loss in the last hour, and zero liquidity depth, further downside is the base expectation. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000001 to $0.000008.

Is NONGMOODAENG a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.4/100. This token is suitable only for extremely high-risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap meme token trading. Current conditions suggest the token is in a terminal dump phase.

How are NONGMOODAENG holders trending?

น้องหมูแดง currently has 233 holders and is growing (24h: 232, 7d: 232, 30d: 232). The historical holder data shows the token had exactly 1 holder for the entire 30-day period from April 1 to April 30, 2026 — meaning it was essentially dormant or pre-launch. All 232 net new holders arrived within the last 24 hours (May 1, 2026), coinciding with the launch pump. The -78 holder loss in the last hour (-33%) is alarming and suggests rapid capitulation. The 24h acquisition breakdown (231 via swap, 2 via transfer) confirms this is entirely speculative trading activity with no organic distribution. Growth is not accelerating — it is actively reversing.

What does sniper activity look like for NONGMOODAENG?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_at_loss" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding NONGMOODAENG?

Near-zero liquidity makes exit impossible at scale • Extreme supply concentration — top 10 hold 73.63% • Token is in active dump phase with -76.94% 24h decline

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