S

Splinter Grin Price Today & AI Analysis

SPGR
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 17, 2026

BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypump

$0.052642

FDV $2,642

LiveContract:BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypumpChain:SolanaHolders:149Market cap:$2,642

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Ask Unhosted AI about SPGR

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 17, 12:17 AM
FDV

$96,027

Liquidity

$38,012

Holders

391

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Splinter Grin (SPGR) is an extremely new PumpFun/PumpSwap meme token on Solana (mint: BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypump) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$96K. The token sat dormant with only 2 holders for roughly 30 days before exploding to 391 holders in a single day (July 16–17, 2026), accompanied by a 124% price surge in 24 hours. Trading volume is active (~$188K combined buy/sell in 24h) but liquidity is very shallow at $38K. The contract is unverified, update authority is unknown, and top holder data is unavailable — all significant red flags for a token of this age and profile.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
Explosive single-day holder growth: from 2 to 391 holders in ~24 hours after 30 days of dormancy
124% 24h price pump on PumpSwap with $188K combined volume against only $38K liquidity
Unverified contract with unknown update authority and no top holder transparency
Mutable=false metadata is a mild positive, but overall on-chain transparency is very low
No sniper data available, making early-buyer risk difficult to quantify

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
24–72 hours

After a 124% pump in 24h, SPGR is at high risk of a sharp retracement. The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) opened at $0.0000848 and closed at $0.0000953, near the session high of $0.0000964. The prior candle (candle [2]) showed an explosive move from a low of $0.0000255 to a close of $0.0000859 on massive volume ($140.5K). With only $38K in liquidity and 997 sell transactions vs 838 buy transactions in 24h, short-term price action is highly unstable. A consolidation or pullback toward the $0.000075–$0.000085 range is plausible.

Target low$0.000055
Target high$0.000096
Support: $0.0000755 (candle [1] low), $0.0000255 (candle [2] low / launch floor)
Resistance: $0.0000964 (candle [1] high / current ATH), $0.0000916 (candle [2] high)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

The token's 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Without sustained community growth, utility, or new catalysts, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The FDV of ~$96K is small but the liquidity base is far too thin to support price appreciation. Most new holders acquired in the last 24h are at risk of being exit-liquidity.

Catalysts
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial pump day
  • Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator
  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/Telegram
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h volume ($188K) relative to FDV ($96K) suggests genuine trading interest
  • 52% buy pressure vs 48% sell pressure — marginally net bullish
  • 461 unique buyers vs 371 unique sellers in 24h
  • Social links present (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggesting some community infrastructure

Bearish factors

  • Only $38K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with only 2 holders before the pump
  • 997 sell transactions vs 838 buy transactions — more sell events than buy events
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern: dormancy → explosive single-day pump
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the token has only been actively traded for ~1 day. This severely limits technical and on-chain confidence.

SPGR call history

Full track record →
Jul 17neutral
24h—
7d—
30d-98.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (July 16 23:00 UTC) was an explosive breakout candle: O=$0.0000358, H=$0.0000916, L=$0.0000255, C=$0.0000859 — a massive bullish engulfing/breakout candle with $140.5K volume, representing a ~3.4x move from low to high within a single hour. Candle [1] (July 17 00:00 UTC) continued higher: O=$0.0000848, H=$0.0000964, L=$0.0000755, C=$0.0000953 — a bullish continuation candle with a higher high and higher low, but on dramatically reduced volume ($25.9K, ~82% lower). The volume drop-off on the continuation candle is a warning sign of fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 52%Sell 48%

Short-term trend is technically up based on the two available candles (higher high: $0.0000964 vs $0.0000916; higher low: $0.0000755 vs $0.0000255). However, with only 2 candles and a 30-day dormancy prior, the medium-term trend is effectively sideways/undefined. The sharp volume decline from candle [2] to candle [1] suggests the initial impulse may be exhausting.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000755 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000255 (candle [2] low — launch floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000964 (candle [1] high — current ATH)
Major$0.0001000 (psychological round number above ATH)

The immediate support at $0.0000755 is the candle [1] low. A break below this level would open a path back toward the candle [2] open at $0.0000358. The major support at $0.0000255 represents the absolute launch floor. On the upside, $0.0000964 is the only meaningful resistance as the all-time high; above that, $0.0001 is a key psychological level.

Notable patterns

  • Explosive breakout candle (candle [2]): low-to-high range of ~259% in a single hour
  • Bullish continuation with higher high and higher low (candle [1] vs candle [2])
  • Sharp volume divergence: price continued higher but volume dropped 81.6% — bearish divergence warning
  • Price closing near session high in candle [1] ($0.0000953 vs $0.0000964 high) — potential exhaustion doji-like behavior at top
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-session breakout — classic pump pattern

Total holders391
24h Δ+389
7d Δ+389
30d Δ+389
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth and price appreciation are perfectly correlated in this case — both occurred simultaneously in a single 24-hour window (July 16–17, 2026) after 30 days of complete dormancy. The token went from 2 holders to 391 holders (+99%) on the same day price surged 124%. This tight correlation is consistent with a coordinated pump event rather than organic, sustained growth.

The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: SPGR had exactly 2 holders for the entire 30-day period from June 17 to July 15, 2026 — almost certainly the deployer and one associated wallet. On July 16, holders jumped by 340 (to 342), and by the time of analysis had reached 391 (+389 net over 24h, +99%). Growth is technically 'accelerating' but this is entirely concentrated in a single day. The acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (390 of 391 holders), confirming all new holders entered through market purchases. The distribution data shows 0 whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, or octopus — and top10/top100 concentration is reported as 0%, which likely reflects a data gap rather than genuine perfect distribution. This extreme concentration of growth in a single day is a major red flag.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for SPGR — no top 20 holders are listed, and supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which almost certainly reflects a data reporting gap rather than genuine equal distribution. With only 391 total holders and a token that was dormant for 30 days with 2 holders, it is highly probable that the original 2 wallets (deployer + associated) hold a very significant portion of supply. The absence of whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus classifications further confirms the data gap. Investors should treat concentration risk as HIGH until proven otherwise. The whale map cannot be reliably assessed from the available data.

Liquidity$38,010
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$97,970
Sell$90,560
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers461
Unique sellers371

SPGR's liquidity situation is critically shallow. Total liquidity of $38K against a 24h trading volume of ~$188K means the token is trading at nearly 5x its liquidity depth in a single day — an extremely unhealthy ratio. A single large sell order could cause catastrophic price impact. The FDV of $94.9K–$96K is only 2.5x the liquidity pool, meaning the entire market cap could theoretically be drained with a modest coordinated sell. Net flow is marginally positive (52% buy volume, $97.97K buys vs $90.56K sells), and there are more unique buyers (461) than sellers (371), which is a mild positive. However, the sell transaction count (997) exceeds buy transaction count (838), suggesting sellers are executing more frequently — possibly in smaller tranches. The PumpSwap pair (7mDaxjtEorR4oEVZ4XTkrNArLeyyq2pR4SYVr9G3RRvH) is the sole liquidity venue, creating single-point-of-failure risk.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 SPGR
FDV$96,026.68

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

SPGR has a standard 1 billion token supply with 6 decimals, typical of PumpFun-launched meme tokens. The FDV is ~$96K, placing it in the micro-cap category. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified — this means mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token metadata is marked as mutable=false, which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), but without confirmed renouncement of mint and freeze authorities, rug risk from authorities must be classified as unknown. The token was launched via PumpFun (evident from the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism before graduating to PumpSwap — the token appears to have graduated to PumpSwap. Investors should independently verify authority renouncement on-chain before committing capital.

Volatility
high

124% price surge in 24 hours following 30 days of dormancy. Only 2 hourly candles of price history available. Extreme intraday volatility with candle [2] ranging from $0.0000255 to $0.0000916 — a 259% range in a single hour.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $38K against $188K in 24h volume. Liquidity-to-volume ratio of ~0.20 is critically low. A single large sell could cause 20–50%+ price impact. Single DEX venue (PumpSwap) with no backup liquidity.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable. The token had only 2 holders for 30 days — almost certainly the deployer and an associated wallet — who likely hold a large undisclosed portion of supply. Top10/top100 concentration reported as 0% is almost certainly a data gap, not reality.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, making it impossible to assess early-buyer dump risk. The 2 original holders from the dormancy period represent unknown but potentially massive unrealized gains given the 124% pump. Their sell behavior is unmonitorable from available data.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed. The token was launched via PumpFun which does not guarantee authority renouncement post-graduation. Mutable=false is a mild positive but insufficient to mitigate overall authority risk.

Key risks

  • Deployer/early holder dump risk: 2 wallets held the entire supply for 30 days and their current positions are unknown
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($38K) makes large exits extremely costly and price-destabilizing
  • No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation or account freezing
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy → single-day 124% pump with 389 new holders
  • Unverified contract with no audit trail
  • Single liquidity venue (PumpSwap) — no fallback if pool is drained

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata marked mutable=false — token metadata cannot be altered post-launch
  • Social links present (Telegram, Twitter, website) — some community infrastructure exists
  • 52% buy pressure and more unique buyers (461) than sellers (371) in 24h — marginal net demand
  • FDV of ~$96K is low, limiting absolute dollar loss exposure for small positions
  • Token launched on PumpFun which has a bonding curve mechanism providing some initial price discovery
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a high-risk micro-cap meme coin pump: dormancy followed by explosive single-day activity, missing holder data, unknown authority status, and critically shallow liquidity. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely.

SPGR is a newly active PumpFun meme token that experienced a dramatic single-day pump (+124%) after 30 days of dormancy. The investment case is purely speculative — there is no utility, no verified team, and no on-chain transparency for holder concentration. The bull case relies entirely on continued meme momentum and community growth; the bear case (which has higher probability) is a rapid dump by early holders into the thin $38K liquidity pool.

Bull case (low)

SPGR catches viral traction on Solana Twitter/CT, sustains holder growth beyond the initial pump day, and rides a broader Solana meme coin market rally to a 5–10x from current levels (~$0.00048–$0.00096 range), pushing FDV toward $480K–$960K.

  • Viral social media campaign on Twitter/Telegram gaining traction beyond initial pump
  • Sustained daily holder growth (50+ new holders/day) over the following week
  • Broader Solana meme season driving capital into micro-cap tokens
  • Early holders choosing to hold rather than dump, allowing price to consolidate and build a base
  • Listing on a meme coin aggregator or influencer promotion

Base case

SPGR consolidates in the $0.000055–$0.000085 range over the next 1–2 weeks, with moderate holder growth continuing but slowing. The token survives but fails to achieve significant new highs, gradually losing volume and interest as the initial pump fades.

  • Early holders take partial profits but do not fully exit, preventing a catastrophic dump
  • Holder count continues growing at a slower pace (10–30 new holders/day)
  • Liquidity remains at current levels (~$38K) without significant additions or removals
  • No major catalysts (positive or negative) emerge in the near term
  • Trading volume normalizes to $10K–$30K/day from the current elevated $188K/day

Bear case (high)

Early holders (the 2 wallets from the dormancy period) dump their positions into the thin $38K liquidity pool, causing a 70–90% price collapse back toward the $0.000010–$0.000025 range. New holders who bought during the pump are left holding significant losses.

  • Deployer/early wallet selling into pump momentum — classic exit liquidity scenario
  • Critically shallow liquidity amplifying sell pressure impact
  • Lack of sustained community engagement post-initial pump
  • No utility or fundamental value to support price floor
  • Broader Solana market downturn reducing appetite for micro-cap memes

GeneratedJul 17, 12:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately July 17, 2026 00:00 UTC. Price and volume data is 24h rolling. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, severely limiting technical analysis depth.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint: BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (7mDaxjtEorR4oEVZ4XTkrNArLeyyq2pR4SYVr9G3RRvH)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles: July 16–17, 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder acquisition and distribution data
  • Token metadata (supply, decimals, FDV, social links, mutability)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper/early buyer data is unavailable — smart money signals cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data gaps rather than actual distribution data
  • Token has only been actively traded for ~1 day, making all trend analysis highly preliminary
  • No audit or verified contract — smart contract risk cannot be assessed
  • Price % change fields (5m, 1h, 6h, 24h) all show 0% which may indicate a data reporting anomaly

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from on-chain metrics and third-party providers and may contain errors or gaps. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 SPGR

Key Risks

•Deployer/early holder dump risk: 2 wallets held the entire supply for 30 days and their current positions are unknown
•Critically shallow liquidity ($38K) makes large exits extremely costly and price-destabilizing
•No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified
•Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation or account freezing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for SPGR. Smart money signals cannot be reliably assessed. The token's 30-day dormancy period (only 2 holders from June 17 to July 15) followed by a sudden explosion to 391 holders in one day is consistent with a coordinated launch or bot-driven pump. Without sniper data, it is impossible to determine whether early buyers are sitting on large unrealized gains and represent a significant dump risk.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — concentration cannot be determined

Unknown — no sniper data available. The 2 holders present during the 30-day dormancy period are likely the deployer and a related wallet. Their current positions and PnL are not visible in the provided data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Splinter Grin (SPGR)?

After a 124% pump in 24h, SPGR is at high risk of a sharp retracement. The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) opened at $0.0000848 and closed at $0.0000953, near the session high of $0.0000964. The prior candle (candle [2]) showed an explosive move from a low of $0.0000255 to a close of $0.0000859 on massive volume ($140.5K). With only $38K in liquidity and 997 sell transactions vs 838 buy transactions in 24h, short-term price action is highly unstable. A consolidation or pullback toward the $0.000075–$0.000085 range is plausible. Short-term outlook is neutral (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.000055 to $0.000096.

Is SPGR a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a high-risk micro-cap meme coin pump: dormancy followed by explosive single-day activity, missing holder data, unknown authority status, and critically shallow liquidity. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely.

How are SPGR holders trending?

Splinter Grin currently has 391 holders and is growing (24h: 389, 7d: 389, 30d: 389). The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: SPGR had exactly 2 holders for the entire 30-day period from June 17 to July 15, 2026 — almost certainly the deployer and one associated wallet. On July 16, holders jumped by 340 (to 342), and by the time of analysis had reached 391 (+389 net over 24h, +99%). Growth is technically 'accelerating' but this is entirely concentrated in a single day. The acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (390 of 391 holders), confirming all new holders entered through market purchases. The distribution data shows 0 whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, or octopus — and top10/top100 concentration is reported as 0%, which likely reflects a data gap rather than genuine perfect distribution. This extreme concentration of growth in a single day is a major red flag.

What does sniper activity look like for SPGR?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding SPGR?

Deployer/early holder dump risk: 2 wallets held the entire supply for 30 days and their current positions are unknown • Critically shallow liquidity ($38K) makes large exits extremely costly and price-destabilizing • No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified

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