S

Splinter Grin Price Today & AI Analysis

SPGRSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 17, 2026

Price

$0.052891

Contract

Live
BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypump

Chain

Solana

Holders

144

Market cap

$2,891

At a $1M market cap, $SPGR would be $0.001000 (346x from today’s price)

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Splinter Grin: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-17 00:17 UTC

Holder addresses

391

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$38,012.35
How concentrated is Splinter Grin ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 391 addresses (2026-07-17 00:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Splinter Grin?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Splinter Grin liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-17 00:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $38,012.35. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-17 00:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 17, 12:17 AM UTC

FDV

$96,027

Liquidity

$38,012.35

Holders

391

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

Splinter Grin (SPGR) is an extremely new PumpFun/PumpSwap meme token on Solana (mint: BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypump) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$96K. The token sat dormant with only 2 holders for roughly 30 days before exploding to 391 holders in a single day (July 16–17, 2026), accompanied by a 124% price surge in 24 hours. Trading volume is active (~$188K combined buy/sell in 24h) but liquidity is very shallow at $38K. The contract is unverified, update authority is unknown, and top holder data is unavailable — all significant red flags for a token of this age and profile.

Key points

  • Explosive single-day holder growth: from 2 to 391 holders in ~24 hours after 30 days of dormancy
  • 124% 24h price pump on PumpSwap with $188K combined volume against only $38K liquidity
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority and no top holder transparency
  • Mutable=false metadata is a mild positive, but overall on-chain transparency is very low
  • No sniper data available, making early-buyer risk difficult to quantify

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24–72 hours

neutral

After a 124% pump in 24h, SPGR is at high risk of a sharp retracement. The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) opened at $0.0000848 and closed at $0.0000953, near the session high of $0.0000964. The prior candle (candle [2]) showed an explosive move from a low of $0.0000255 to a close of $0.0000859 on massive volume ($140.5K). With only $38K in liquidity and 997 sell transactions vs 838 buy transactions in 24h, short-term price action is highly unstable. A consolidation or pullback toward the $0.000075–$0.000085 range is plausible.

Target low

$0.000055

Target high

$0.000096

Support

$0.0000755 (candle [1] low), $0.0000255 (candle [2] low / launch floor)

Resistance

$0.0000964 (candle [1] high / current ATH), $0.0000916 (candle [2] high)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

The token's 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Without sustained community growth, utility, or new catalysts, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The FDV of ~$96K is small but the liquidity base is far too thin to support price appreciation. Most new holders acquired in the last 24h are at risk of being exit-liquidity.

Catalysts

  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial pump day
  • Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator
  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/Telegram
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h volume ($188K) relative to FDV ($96K) suggests genuine trading interest
  • 52% buy pressure vs 48% sell pressure — marginally net bullish
  • 461 unique buyers vs 371 unique sellers in 24h
  • Social links present (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggesting some community infrastructure

Bearish factors

  • Only $38K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with only 2 holders before the pump
  • 997 sell transactions vs 838 buy transactions — more sell events than buy events
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern: dormancy → explosive single-day pump

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the token has only been actively traded for ~1 day. This severely limits technical and on-chain confidence.

SPGR call history

Full track record →

Jul 17neutral
24h—
7d—
30d-98.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
BVcbpJ...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 SPGR

Key Risks

  • Deployer/early holder dump risk: 2 wallets held the entire supply for 30 days and their current positions are unknown
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($38K) makes large exits extremely costly and price-destabilizing
  • No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation or account freezing

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (July 16 23:00 UTC) was an explosive breakout candle: O=$0.0000358, H=$0.0000916, L=$0.0000255, C=$0.0000859 — a massive bullish engulfing/breakout candle with $140.5K volume, representing a ~3.4x move from low to high within a single hour. Candle [1] (July 17 00:00 UTC) continued higher: O=$0.0000848, H=$0.0000964, L=$0.0000755, C=$0.0000953 — a bullish continuation candle with a higher high and higher low, but on dramatically reduced volume ($25.9K, ~82% lower). The volume drop-off on the continuation candle is a warning sign of fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically up based on the two available candles (higher high: $0.0000964 vs $0.0000916; higher low: $0.0000755 vs $0.0000255). However, with only 2 candles and a 30-day dormancy prior, the medium-term trend is effectively sideways/undefined. The sharp volume decline from candle [2] to candle [1] suggests the initial impulse may be exhausting.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

52%

Sell

48%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000755 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000255 (candle [2] low — launch floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000964 (candle [1] high — current ATH)

Major resistance

$0.0001000 (psychological round number above ATH)

The immediate support at $0.0000755 is the candle [1] low. A break below this level would open a path back toward the candle [2] open at $0.0000358. The major support at $0.0000255 represents the absolute launch floor. On the upside, $0.0000964 is the only meaningful resistance as the all-time high; above that, $0.0001 is a key psychological level.

Notable patterns

  • Explosive breakout candle (candle [2]): low-to-high range of ~259% in a single hour
  • Bullish continuation with higher high and higher low (candle [1] vs candle [2])
  • Sharp volume divergence: price continued higher but volume dropped 81.6% — bearish divergence warning
  • Price closing near session high in candle [1] ($0.0000953 vs $0.0000964 high) — potential exhaustion doji-like behavior at top
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-session breakout — classic pump pattern

Liquidity

Liquidity

$38,012.35

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

SPGR's liquidity situation is critically shallow. Total liquidity of $38K against a 24h trading volume of ~$188K means the token is trading at nearly 5x its liquidity depth in a single day — an extremely unhealthy ratio. A single large sell order could cause catastrophic price impact. The FDV of $94.9K–$96K is only 2.5x the liquidity pool, meaning the entire market cap could theoretically be drained with a modest coordinated sell. Net flow is marginally positive (52% buy volume, $97.97K buys vs $90.56K sells), and there are more unique buyers (461) than sellers (371), which is a mild positive. However, the sell transaction count (997) exceeds buy transaction count (838), suggesting sellers are executing more frequently — possibly in smaller tranches. The PumpSwap pair (7mDaxjtEorR4oEVZ4XTkrNArLeyyq2pR4SYVr9G3RRvH) is the sole liquidity venue, creating single-point-of-failure risk.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 SPGR

FDV

$96,026.68

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    124% price surge in 24 hours following 30 days of dormancy. Only 2 hourly candles of price history available. Extreme intraday volatility with candle [2] ranging from $0.0000255 to $0.0000916 — a 259% range in a single hour.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $38K against $188K in 24h volume. Liquidity-to-volume ratio of ~0.20 is critically low. A single large sell could cause 20–50%+ price impact. Single DEX venue (PumpSwap) with no backup liquidity.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Deployer/early holder dump risk: 2 wallets held the entire supply for 30 days and their current positions are unknown
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($38K) makes large exits extremely costly and price-destabilizing
  • No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation or account freezing
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy → single-day 124% pump with 389 new holders
  • Unverified contract with no audit trail
  • Single liquidity venue (PumpSwap) — no fallback if pool is drained

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata marked mutable=false — token metadata cannot be altered post-launch
  • Social links present (Telegram, Twitter, website) — some community infrastructure exists
  • 52% buy pressure and more unique buyers (461) than sellers (371) in 24h — marginal net demand
  • FDV of ~$96K is low, limiting absolute dollar loss exposure for small positions
  • Token launched on PumpFun which has a bonding curve mechanism providing some initial price discovery

Suitable for

Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a high-risk micro-cap meme coin pump: dormancy followed by explosive single-day activity, missing holder data, unknown authority status, and critically shallow liquidity. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely.

SPGR is a newly active PumpFun meme token that experienced a dramatic single-day pump (+124%) after 30 days of dormancy. The investment case is purely speculative — there is no utility, no verified team, and no on-chain transparency for holder concentration. The bull case relies entirely on continued meme momentum and community growth; the bear case (which has higher probability) is a rapid dump by early holders into the thin $38K liquidity pool.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

SPGR catches viral traction on Solana Twitter/CT, sustains holder growth beyond the initial pump day, and rides a broader Solana meme coin market rally to a 5–10x from current levels (~$0.00048–$0.00096 range), pushing FDV toward $480K–$960K.

  • Viral social media campaign on Twitter/Telegram gaining traction beyond initial pump
  • Sustained daily holder growth (50+ new holders/day) over the following week
  • Broader Solana meme season driving capital into micro-cap tokens
  • Early holders choosing to hold rather than dump, allowing price to consolidate and build a base
  • Listing on a meme coin aggregator or influencer promotion

Base Case

SPGR consolidates in the $0.000055–$0.000085 range over the next 1–2 weeks, with moderate holder growth continuing but slowing. The token survives but fails to achieve significant new highs, gradually losing volume and interest as the initial pump fades.

  • Early holders take partial profits but do not fully exit, preventing a catastrophic dump
  • Holder count continues growing at a slower pace (10–30 new holders/day)
  • Liquidity remains at current levels (~$38K) without significant additions or removals
  • No major catalysts (positive or negative) emerge in the near term
  • Trading volume normalizes to $10K–$30K/day from the current elevated $188K/day

Bear Case

High probability

Early holders (the 2 wallets from the dormancy period) dump their positions into the thin $38K liquidity pool, causing a 70–90% price collapse back toward the $0.000010–$0.000025 range. New holders who bought during the pump are left holding significant losses.

  • Deployer/early wallet selling into pump momentum — classic exit liquidity scenario
  • Critically shallow liquidity amplifying sell pressure impact
  • Lack of sustained community engagement post-initial pump
  • No utility or fundamental value to support price floor
  • Broader Solana market downturn reducing appetite for micro-cap memes

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 17, 12:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-17 00:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint: BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (7mDaxjtEorR4oEVZ4XTkrNArLeyyq2pR4SYVr9G3RRvH)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles: July 16–17, 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder acquisition and distribution data
  • Token metadata (supply, decimals, FDV, social links, mutability)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper/early buyer data is unavailable — smart money signals cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data gaps rather than actual distribution data
  • Token has only been actively traded for ~1 day, making all trend analysis highly preliminary
  • No audit or verified contract — smart contract risk cannot be assessed
  • Price % change fields (5m, 1h, 6h, 24h) all show 0% which may indicate a data reporting anomaly

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from on-chain metrics and third-party providers and may contain errors or gaps. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Splinter Grin ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 391 addresses (2026-07-17 00:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Splinter Grin?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Splinter Grin liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-17 00:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $38,012.35. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Splinter Grin (SPGR)?

After a 124% pump in 24h, SPGR is at high risk of a sharp retracement. The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) opened at $0.0000848 and closed at $0.0000953, near the session high of $0.0000964. The prior candle (candle [2]) showed an explosive move from a low of $0.0000255 to a close of $0.0000859 on massive volume ($140.5K). With only $38K in liquidity and 997 sell transactions vs 838 buy transactions in 24h, short-term price action is highly unstable. A consolidation or pullback toward the $0.000075–$0.000085 range is plausible. Short-term outlook is neutral (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.000055 to $0.000096.

Is SPGR a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a high-risk micro-cap meme coin pump: dormancy followed by explosive single-day activity, missing holder data, unknown authority status, and critically shallow liquidity. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely.

What are the key risks of holding SPGR?

Deployer/early holder dump risk: 2 wallets held the entire supply for 30 days and their current positions are unknown • Critically shallow liquidity ($38K) makes large exits extremely costly and price-destabilizing • No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified

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