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Splinter Grin Prediction

SPGR
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 17, 2026

BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypump

$0.049603

+124.08%

FDV $96,027

LiveContract:BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypumpChain:SolanaHolders:391Market cap:$96,027

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Report snapshotas of Jul 17, 12:17 AM
FDV

$96,027

Liquidity

$38,012

Holders

391

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Splinter Grin (SPGR) is an extremely new PumpFun/PumpSwap meme token on Solana (mint: BVcbpJ3gexJVypNBx4DLAf9QjBef7jWaWhoCnEvypump) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$96K. The token sat dormant with only 2 holders for roughly 30 days before exploding to 391 holders in a single day (July 16–17, 2026), accompanied by a 124% price surge in 24 hours. Trading volume is active (~$188K combined buy/sell in 24h) but liquidity is very shallow at $38K. The contract is unverified, update authority is unknown, and top holder data is unavailable — all significant red flags for a token of this age and profile.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
Explosive single-day holder growth: from 2 to 391 holders in ~24 hours after 30 days of dormancy
124% 24h price pump on PumpSwap with $188K combined volume against only $38K liquidity
Unverified contract with unknown update authority and no top holder transparency
Mutable=false metadata is a mild positive, but overall on-chain transparency is very low
No sniper data available, making early-buyer risk difficult to quantify

Price Prediction

neutral

Short term

neutral
24–72 hours

After a 124% pump in 24h, SPGR is at high risk of a sharp retracement. The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) opened at $0.0000848 and closed at $0.0000953, near the session high of $0.0000964. The prior candle (candle [2]) showed an explosive move from a low of $0.0000255 to a close of $0.0000859 on massive volume ($140.5K). With only $38K in liquidity and 997 sell transactions vs 838 buy transactions in 24h, short-term price action is highly unstable. A consolidation or pullback toward the $0.000075–$0.000085 range is plausible.

Target low$0.000055
Target high$0.000096
Support: $0.0000755 (candle [1] low), $0.0000255 (candle [2] low / launch floor)
Resistance: $0.0000964 (candle [1] high / current ATH), $0.0000916 (candle [2] high)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

The token's 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Without sustained community growth, utility, or new catalysts, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The FDV of ~$96K is small but the liquidity base is far too thin to support price appreciation. Most new holders acquired in the last 24h are at risk of being exit-liquidity.

Catalysts
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial pump day
  • Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator
  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/Telegram
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h volume ($188K) relative to FDV ($96K) suggests genuine trading interest
  • 52% buy pressure vs 48% sell pressure — marginally net bullish
  • 461 unique buyers vs 371 unique sellers in 24h
  • Social links present (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggesting some community infrastructure

Bearish factors

  • Only $38K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with only 2 holders before the pump
  • 997 sell transactions vs 838 buy transactions — more sell events than buy events
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern: dormancy → explosive single-day pump
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the token has only been actively traded for ~1 day. This severely limits technical and on-chain confidence.

SPGR call history

Full track record →
Jul 17neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 SPGR

Key Risks

Deployer/early holder dump risk: 2 wallets held the entire supply for 30 days and their current positions are unknown
Critically shallow liquidity ($38K) makes large exits extremely costly and price-destabilizing
No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified
Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation or account freezing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for SPGR. Smart money signals cannot be reliably assessed. The token's 30-day dormancy period (only 2 holders from June 17 to July 15) followed by a sudden explosion to 391 holders in one day is consistent with a coordinated launch or bot-driven pump. Without sniper data, it is impossible to determine whether early buyers are sitting on large unrealized gains and represent a significant dump risk.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — concentration cannot be determined

Unknown — no sniper data available. The 2 holders present during the 30-day dormancy period are likely the deployer and a related wallet. Their current positions and PnL are not visible in the provided data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Splinter Grin (SPGR)?

After a 124% pump in 24h, SPGR is at high risk of a sharp retracement. The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) opened at $0.0000848 and closed at $0.0000953, near the session high of $0.0000964. The prior candle (candle [2]) showed an explosive move from a low of $0.0000255 to a close of $0.0000859 on massive volume ($140.5K). With only $38K in liquidity and 997 sell transactions vs 838 buy transactions in 24h, short-term price action is highly unstable. A consolidation or pullback toward the $0.000075–$0.000085 range is plausible. Short-term outlook is neutral (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.000055 to $0.000096.

Is SPGR a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a high-risk micro-cap meme coin pump: dormancy followed by explosive single-day activity, missing holder data, unknown authority status, and critically shallow liquidity. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely.

How are SPGR holders trending?

Splinter Grin currently has 391 holders and is growing (24h: 389, 7d: 389, 30d: 389). The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: SPGR had exactly 2 holders for the entire 30-day period from June 17 to July 15, 2026 — almost certainly the deployer and one associated wallet. On July 16, holders jumped by 340 (to 342), and by the time of analysis had reached 391 (+389 net over 24h, +99%). Growth is technically 'accelerating' but this is entirely concentrated in a single day. The acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (390 of 391 holders), confirming all new holders entered through market purchases. The distribution data shows 0 whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, or octopus — and top10/top100 concentration is reported as 0%, which likely reflects a data gap rather than genuine perfect distribution. This extreme concentration of growth in a single day is a major red flag.

What does sniper activity look like for SPGR?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding SPGR?

Deployer/early holder dump risk: 2 wallets held the entire supply for 30 days and their current positions are unknown • Critically shallow liquidity ($38K) makes large exits extremely costly and price-destabilizing • No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified

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