佐川トメ Price Today & AI Analysis

SagawaSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 17, 2026

$0.0₅4592

-2.10% 24h

Contract

Live

BQDTXj9bvYRY9hksEmnXVMxsPu5VwFDW3bwiXpiDpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

516

Market cap

$4,587

At a $1M market cap, $SAGAWA would be $0.001001 (218x from today’s price)

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佐川トメ: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-17 18:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,163

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$45,887.50

How concentrated is 佐川トメ ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,163 addresses (2026-07-17 18:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling 佐川トメ?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is 佐川トメ liquidity falling?: As of 2026-07-17 18:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $45,887.50. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-17 18:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 17, 06:17 PM UTC

FDV

$140,723

Liquidity

$45,887.50

Holders

1,163

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Sagawa (佐川トメ) is a PumpFun/PumpSwap-launched meme token on Solana (mint: BQDTXj9bvYRY9hksEmnXVMxsPu5VwFDW3bwiXpiDpump) with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a current FDV of ~$140.7K. The token experienced an explosive 466% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single violent candle in the 17:00–18:00 UTC window on 2026-07-17. Despite the price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily (73.1% sell volume vs 26.9% buy volume), liquidity is extremely shallow at $45.89K, and the holder base only recently exploded from a stagnant 52 holders to 1,163 — all within the last 24 hours. Top holder data is unavailable, update authority is unknown, and no sniper data is provided. The token carries very high risk and is consistent with a pump-and-dump pattern.

Key points

Explosive 466% 24h price gain driven by a single hourly candle (17:00 UTC, range $0.0000155–$0.000182)
Holder base surged from 52 to 1,163 (+96%) in under 24 hours after weeks of complete stagnation at 52 holders
Sell pressure overwhelmingly dominates: 73.1% sell volume ($297K) vs 26.9% buy volume ($109K)
Extremely shallow liquidity of only $45.89K against a $142.95K FDV — severe slippage risk
Token metadata is mutable=false but update authority is unknown; contract unverified

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–48 hours

bearish

The token has already retraced from its intra-candle high of $0.000182 (17:00 UTC candle) down to ~$0.000143 by the close of the 18:00 UTC candle — a ~21% drop from peak within the same hour. With 73.1% sell pressure, only $45.89K in liquidity, and 5,839 sell transactions vs 2,676 buys in 24h, continued downward pressure is the most likely near-term outcome. The price spike appears to be a classic pump event with distribution already underway.

Target low

$0.000015

Target high

$0.000182

Support: $0.000143 (recent hourly close / current price), $0.0000311 (open of the pump candle at 17:00 UTC), $0.0000155 (intra-candle low of the pump candle)
Resistance: $0.000151 (open of the 18:00 UTC candle), $0.000157 (high of the 18:00 UTC candle), $0.000182 (all-time high from 17:00 UTC candle)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

The token sat dormant at 52 holders for the entire 30-day historical window before this event. There is no demonstrated organic community growth, no verified contract, and the description only references a Discord server. Without sustained buying interest or a credible use case, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels near $0.000015–$0.000031.

Catalysts

Any renewed social media or Discord-driven promotion could trigger another short-lived pump
Broader Solana meme coin market rally could provide temporary lift
Absence of new catalysts will likely result in continued sell-off and holder attrition

Bullish factors

466% 24h price gain demonstrates the token can attract speculative attention rapidly
Holder count grew from 52 to 1,163 in under 24 hours, showing viral potential
2,676 buy transactions in 24h indicates some genuine demand

Bearish factors

73.1% sell volume ($297.01K) vs 26.9% buy volume ($109.18K) — heavy distribution
Liquidity of only $45.89K is extremely thin relative to FDV of $142.95K
Price already retracing from $0.000182 high to $0.000143 within the same hour
30 days of complete stagnation at 52 holders before the pump — no organic growth
Unverified contract, unknown update authority, no top holder transparency
Token description only references a Discord link — minimal project substance

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the token's history is extremely short with 30 days of near-zero activity. Price action is highly erratic and driven by a single event, making reliable prediction impossible.

Sagawa call history

Full track record →

Jul 17bearish@ $0.000142

24h+147.8%

7d-93.1%

30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: BQDTXj...pump
Total Supply: 1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
Unverified contract with unknown update authority
Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.89K) — severe slippage on any meaningful exit
73.1% sell pressure indicates active distribution by early holders

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. The 17:00 UTC candle is an extreme long-wick bull candle: Open $0.0000311, Low $0.0000155, High $0.000182, Close $0.000150 — a range of ~11x from low to high with massive volume of $305,809. This is a classic 'pump wick' candle where price was driven up violently and then partially retraced before close. The 18:00 UTC candle opened at $0.000151 (near the prior close), made a modest high of $0.000157, then closed at $0.000143 on volume of $24,355 — a bearish candle showing follow-through selling and a significant volume drop (~92% volume decline). Together these two candles form a 'shooting star / pump-and-dump' pattern.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term trend is bearish: price peaked at $0.000182 and has been declining since, closing the most recent candle at $0.000143. The medium-term context is also bearish given 30 days of dormancy followed by a single pump event that is already showing distribution characteristics.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

27%

Sell

73%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000143 (most recent hourly close)

Major support

$0.0000155 (intra-candle low of the pump candle, 17:00 UTC)

Immediate resistance

$0.000151–$0.000157 (18:00 UTC candle open/high range)

Major resistance

$0.000182 (all-time high, 17:00 UTC candle high)

The $0.000143 level is the immediate battleground — it is both the current price and the close of the most recent candle. A break below opens the path to $0.0000311 (the pre-pump open) and ultimately $0.0000155 (the pump candle's low). Resistance at $0.000182 is the all-time high and would require a fresh wave of buying to reclaim.

Notable patterns

Extreme pump wick candle (17:00 UTC): 11x range from low to high in a single hour
Bearish follow-through candle (18:00 UTC): lower high, lower close, 92% volume collapse
Shooting star / pump-and-dump two-candle pattern
No prior price history to establish trend context — token was dormant for 30+ days

Liquidity

$45,887.50

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $45.89K on the PumpSwap pair (G9rcYBshGtibkaDY1mmjWJQjhjgYNjknqpzM5mVFb9kt). The FDV of $142.95K is more than 3x the total liquidity, meaning any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $297.01K in sell volume vs $109.18K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$187.83K. Unique sellers (2,001) outnumber unique buyers (863) by more than 2:1. The total of 5,839 sell transactions vs 2,676 buy transactions further confirms that the market is in active distribution mode. This is a deeply unhealthy market structure for any new buyer.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

FDV

$140,723.14

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
466% price surge in 24 hours followed by immediate retracement. The pump candle alone had an 11x range from low ($0.0000155) to high ($0.000182) within a single hour. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing nearly impossible for retail participants.
Liquidityhigh
Total liquidity of only $45.89K against a $142.95K FDV. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will cause severe slippage. The token trades on a single PumpSwap pair with no other liquidity venues.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
Unverified contract with unknown update authority
Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.89K) — severe slippage on any meaningful exit
73.1% sell pressure indicates active distribution by early holders
30 days of dormancy followed by a single pump event — classic pump-and-dump pattern
No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified
Token description only references a Discord link — no verifiable project substance
Price already retracing from $0.000182 high within the same hour of the pump

Mitigating factors

Token metadata is mutable=false, reducing risk of metadata manipulation
Token is marked as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
PumpSwap listing provides some baseline of on-chain transparency
Holder count growth to 1,163 shows some level of community interest, however speculative

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

Sagawa (佐川トメ) is a high-risk, low-substance meme token that experienced a violent pump event after 30 days of complete dormancy. The token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a coordinated pump-and-dump: a single explosive candle, overwhelming sell pressure post-pump, shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, and no verifiable project fundamentals. Any investment thesis is purely speculative and momentum-based.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A second wave of social media/Discord-driven promotion reignites buying interest, pushing the token back toward or beyond its $0.000182 all-time high. The growing holder base (1,163) provides a larger community for viral spread.

Renewed Discord/Twitter promotion driving fresh speculative buying
Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all small-cap tokens
Viral social media moment creating FOMO-driven demand spike

Base Case

Price stabilizes in the $0.000050–$0.000100 range as the initial pump fades, with sporadic trading activity. The token retains a small speculative community but fails to develop meaningful utility or sustained momentum, slowly declining over weeks.

Some portion of new holders (1,163) retain positions for speculative reasons
No major negative catalyst (rug pull, freeze) occurs in the near term
Occasional social media mentions provide intermittent price support
Liquidity remains thin but does not disappear entirely

Bear Case

High probability

The 52 original holders continue distributing into the new buyer wave, liquidity is exhausted, and the price collapses back toward pre-pump levels of $0.000015–$0.000031. The token returns to dormancy or is abandoned entirely.

Dominant 73.1% sell pressure continues as early holders exit
Shallow $45.89K liquidity cannot absorb sustained selling
No fundamental value proposition to attract long-term holders
Unknown authority status triggers loss of confidence

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 17, 06:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-17 18:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: BQDTXj9bvYRY9hksEmnXVMxsPu5VwFDW3bwiXpiDpump)
PumpSwap pair data (G9rcYBshGtibkaDY1mmjWJQjhjgYNjknqpzM5mVFb9kt)
Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles: 17:00–18:00 UTC, 2026-07-17)
24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
Holder acquisition and distribution data
Price feed (USD and WSOL-denominated)

Limitations

Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown
Contract is unverified — on-chain code cannot be audited
Historical holder data ends at 2026-07-16, missing the pump day's intraday holder progression
Price change percentages for 5m, 6h, and 24h show 0% which may indicate data staleness or API artifacts
Supply concentration reported as top10=0% and top100=0% is likely a data artifact, not a genuine reflection of distribution

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any token. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is 佐川トメ ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,163 addresses (2026-07-17 18:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling 佐川トメ?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is 佐川トメ liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-17 18:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $45,887.50. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for 佐川トメ (Sagawa)?

Is Sagawa a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding Sagawa?

Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Unverified contract with unknown update authority • Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.89K) — severe slippage on any meaningful exit