Sagawa

佐川トメ Price Today & AI Analysis

Sagawa
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 17, 2026

BQDTXj9bvYRY9hksEmnXVMxsPu5VwFDW3bwiXpiDpump

$0.056187

-3.06%

FDV $6,181

LiveContract:BQDTXj9bvYRY9hksEmnXVMxsPu5VwFDW3bwiXpiDpumpChain:SolanaHolders:590Market cap:$6,181

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Ask Unhosted AI about Sagawa

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 17, 06:17 PM
FDV

$140,723

Liquidity

$45,887

Holders

1,163

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Sagawa (佐川トメ) is a PumpFun/PumpSwap-launched meme token on Solana (mint: BQDTXj9bvYRY9hksEmnXVMxsPu5VwFDW3bwiXpiDpump) with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a current FDV of ~$140.7K. The token experienced an explosive 466% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single violent candle in the 17:00–18:00 UTC window on 2026-07-17. Despite the price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily (73.1% sell volume vs 26.9% buy volume), liquidity is extremely shallow at $45.89K, and the holder base only recently exploded from a stagnant 52 holders to 1,163 — all within the last 24 hours. Top holder data is unavailable, update authority is unknown, and no sniper data is provided. The token carries very high risk and is consistent with a pump-and-dump pattern.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 466% 24h price gain driven by a single hourly candle (17:00 UTC, range $0.0000155–$0.000182)
Holder base surged from 52 to 1,163 (+96%) in under 24 hours after weeks of complete stagnation at 52 holders
Sell pressure overwhelmingly dominates: 73.1% sell volume ($297K) vs 26.9% buy volume ($109K)
Extremely shallow liquidity of only $45.89K against a $142.95K FDV — severe slippage risk
Token metadata is mutable=false but update authority is unknown; contract unverified

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

The token has already retraced from its intra-candle high of $0.000182 (17:00 UTC candle) down to ~$0.000143 by the close of the 18:00 UTC candle — a ~21% drop from peak within the same hour. With 73.1% sell pressure, only $45.89K in liquidity, and 5,839 sell transactions vs 2,676 buys in 24h, continued downward pressure is the most likely near-term outcome. The price spike appears to be a classic pump event with distribution already underway.

Target low$0.000015
Target high$0.000182
Support: $0.000143 (recent hourly close / current price), $0.0000311 (open of the pump candle at 17:00 UTC), $0.0000155 (intra-candle low of the pump candle)
Resistance: $0.000151 (open of the 18:00 UTC candle), $0.000157 (high of the 18:00 UTC candle), $0.000182 (all-time high from 17:00 UTC candle)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

The token sat dormant at 52 holders for the entire 30-day historical window before this event. There is no demonstrated organic community growth, no verified contract, and the description only references a Discord server. Without sustained buying interest or a credible use case, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels near $0.000015–$0.000031.

Catalysts
  • Any renewed social media or Discord-driven promotion could trigger another short-lived pump
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally could provide temporary lift
  • Absence of new catalysts will likely result in continued sell-off and holder attrition

Bullish factors

  • 466% 24h price gain demonstrates the token can attract speculative attention rapidly
  • Holder count grew from 52 to 1,163 in under 24 hours, showing viral potential
  • 2,676 buy transactions in 24h indicates some genuine demand

Bearish factors

  • 73.1% sell volume ($297.01K) vs 26.9% buy volume ($109.18K) — heavy distribution
  • Liquidity of only $45.89K is extremely thin relative to FDV of $142.95K
  • Price already retracing from $0.000182 high to $0.000143 within the same hour
  • 30 days of complete stagnation at 52 holders before the pump — no organic growth
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, no top holder transparency
  • Token description only references a Discord link — minimal project substance
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the token's history is extremely short with 30 days of near-zero activity. Price action is highly erratic and driven by a single event, making reliable prediction impossible.

Sagawa call history

Full track record →
Jul 17bearish
24h+147.8%
7d-93.1%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. The 17:00 UTC candle is an extreme long-wick bull candle: Open $0.0000311, Low $0.0000155, High $0.000182, Close $0.000150 — a range of ~11x from low to high with massive volume of $305,809. This is a classic 'pump wick' candle where price was driven up violently and then partially retraced before close. The 18:00 UTC candle opened at $0.000151 (near the prior close), made a modest high of $0.000157, then closed at $0.000143 on volume of $24,355 — a bearish candle showing follow-through selling and a significant volume drop (~92% volume decline). Together these two candles form a 'shooting star / pump-and-dump' pattern.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 27%Sell 73%

Short-term trend is bearish: price peaked at $0.000182 and has been declining since, closing the most recent candle at $0.000143. The medium-term context is also bearish given 30 days of dormancy followed by a single pump event that is already showing distribution characteristics.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000143 (most recent hourly close)
Major$0.0000155 (intra-candle low of the pump candle, 17:00 UTC)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000151–$0.000157 (18:00 UTC candle open/high range)
Major$0.000182 (all-time high, 17:00 UTC candle high)

The $0.000143 level is the immediate battleground — it is both the current price and the close of the most recent candle. A break below opens the path to $0.0000311 (the pre-pump open) and ultimately $0.0000155 (the pump candle's low). Resistance at $0.000182 is the all-time high and would require a fresh wave of buying to reclaim.

Notable patterns

  • Extreme pump wick candle (17:00 UTC): 11x range from low to high in a single hour
  • Bearish follow-through candle (18:00 UTC): lower high, lower close, 92% volume collapse
  • Shooting star / pump-and-dump two-candle pattern
  • No prior price history to establish trend context — token was dormant for 30+ days

Total holders1,163
24h Δ+96
7d Δ+96
30d Δ+96
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is almost perfectly correlated with the price pump event. The historical data shows exactly 52 holders every single day from 2026-06-17 through 2026-07-16 — 30 consecutive days of zero net change. Then within the 24-hour window of the price spike (+466%), holders surged from 52 to 1,163 (+1,111 holders, +96%). This is a textbook pump-driven holder acquisition pattern, not organic community growth.

The holder trend is entirely artificial in nature. For 30 days, the token had exactly 52 holders with zero net change — suggesting a dormant or pre-launch state. The sudden addition of 1,111 holders in 24 hours is directly tied to the price pump and the associated social media/Discord promotion. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (both +96%), confirming all growth occurred in the last 24 hours. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (1,142 of 1,163 holders), consistent with speculative buying during a pump. Distribution data shows 0 whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, or octopus — and top10/top100 concentration is reported as 0%, which is likely a data artifact rather than a genuine reflection of distribution.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the API returned no top 20 holders. The reported top10 and top100 concentration of 0% is almost certainly a data artifact or API limitation, not a genuine reflection of supply distribution. Given that the token launched on PumpSwap and had only 52 holders for 30 days before the pump, it is highly likely that a small number of early wallets hold a disproportionate share of supply. The 52 original holders are the most likely concentrated holders, and their behavior during the pump (evidenced by the dominant 73.1% sell pressure) suggests active distribution. Without actual holder data, concentration risk must be assumed to be HIGH. The 'distributionHealth' is marked as concentrated based on circumstantial evidence and the absence of verifiable distribution data.

Liquidity$45,890
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$109,180
Sell$297,010
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers863
Unique sellers2,001

Liquidity is critically shallow at $45.89K on the PumpSwap pair (G9rcYBshGtibkaDY1mmjWJQjhjgYNjknqpzM5mVFb9kt). The FDV of $142.95K is more than 3x the total liquidity, meaning any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $297.01K in sell volume vs $109.18K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$187.83K. Unique sellers (2,001) outnumber unique buyers (863) by more than 2:1. The total of 5,839 sell transactions vs 2,676 buy transactions further confirms that the market is in active distribution mode. This is a deeply unhealthy market structure for any new buyer.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)
FDV$140,723.14

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a standard 1 billion supply with 6 decimals, consistent with PumpFun launches. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a mild positive signal suggesting the metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data — these are critical unknowns for rug risk assessment. The token was launched via PumpSwap (formerly PumpFun's AMM), which typically involves a bonding curve mechanism. The description only references a Discord server (discord.gg/uxento), providing no substantive information about the project's purpose, team, or tokenomics beyond the basic supply structure. The unverified contract and unknown authority status elevate rug risk to unknown/high.

Volatility
high

466% price surge in 24 hours followed by immediate retracement. The pump candle alone had an 11x range from low ($0.0000155) to high ($0.000182) within a single hour. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing nearly impossible for retail participants.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $45.89K against a $142.95K FDV. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will cause severe slippage. The token trades on a single PumpSwap pair with no other liquidity venues.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable, but the token had only 52 holders for 30 consecutive days before the pump. This strongly implies highly concentrated early ownership. The 73.1% sell pressure is consistent with early holders distributing into new buyers.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available. However, the 52 original holders who accumulated during the dormant period represent a de facto 'sniper' cohort. Their potential to dump into the pump-driven buyer wave is a significant risk, evidenced by the dominant sell pressure.

Authority
high

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The contract is unverified. These unknowns represent material rug pull and freeze risks that cannot be dismissed.

Key risks

  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.89K) — severe slippage on any meaningful exit
  • 73.1% sell pressure indicates active distribution by early holders
  • 30 days of dormancy followed by a single pump event — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Token description only references a Discord link — no verifiable project substance
  • Price already retracing from $0.000182 high within the same hour of the pump

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is mutable=false, reducing risk of metadata manipulation
  • Token is marked as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline of on-chain transparency
  • Holder count growth to 1,163 shows some level of community interest, however speculative
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

Sagawa (佐川トメ) is a high-risk, low-substance meme token that experienced a violent pump event after 30 days of complete dormancy. The token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a coordinated pump-and-dump: a single explosive candle, overwhelming sell pressure post-pump, shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, and no verifiable project fundamentals. Any investment thesis is purely speculative and momentum-based.

Bull case (low)

A second wave of social media/Discord-driven promotion reignites buying interest, pushing the token back toward or beyond its $0.000182 all-time high. The growing holder base (1,163) provides a larger community for viral spread.

  • Renewed Discord/Twitter promotion driving fresh speculative buying
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all small-cap tokens
  • Viral social media moment creating FOMO-driven demand spike

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.000050–$0.000100 range as the initial pump fades, with sporadic trading activity. The token retains a small speculative community but fails to develop meaningful utility or sustained momentum, slowly declining over weeks.

  • Some portion of new holders (1,163) retain positions for speculative reasons
  • No major negative catalyst (rug pull, freeze) occurs in the near term
  • Occasional social media mentions provide intermittent price support
  • Liquidity remains thin but does not disappear entirely

Bear case (high)

The 52 original holders continue distributing into the new buyer wave, liquidity is exhausted, and the price collapses back toward pre-pump levels of $0.000015–$0.000031. The token returns to dormancy or is abandoned entirely.

  • Dominant 73.1% sell pressure continues as early holders exit
  • Shallow $45.89K liquidity cannot absorb sustained selling
  • No fundamental value proposition to attract long-term holders
  • Unknown authority status triggers loss of confidence

GeneratedJul 17, 06:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 2026-07-17T18:xx UTC. Historical holder data covers 2026-06-17 through 2026-07-16. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: BQDTXj9bvYRY9hksEmnXVMxsPu5VwFDW3bwiXpiDpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (G9rcYBshGtibkaDY1mmjWJQjhjgYNjknqpzM5mVFb9kt)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles: 17:00–18:00 UTC, 2026-07-17)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder acquisition and distribution data
  • Price feed (USD and WSOL-denominated)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain code cannot be audited
  • Historical holder data ends at 2026-07-16, missing the pump day's intraday holder progression
  • Price change percentages for 5m, 6h, and 24h show 0% which may indicate data staleness or API artifacts
  • Supply concentration reported as top10=0% and top100=0% is likely a data artifact, not a genuine reflection of distribution

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any token. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

•Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
•Unverified contract with unknown update authority
•Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.89K) — severe slippage on any meaningful exit
•73.1% sell pressure indicates active distribution by early holders

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be reliably assessed. The absence of sniper data, combined with the token's dormancy for 30 days followed by a sudden pump, is consistent with either a coordinated pump by a small group of insiders or an organic but highly speculative event. The 52 original holders who held through the dormant period are the most likely early beneficiaries of the price spike.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

The 52 holders who held the token through 30 days of complete stagnation are likely sitting on significant unrealized gains from the 466% pump. Their sell behavior is the primary risk factor — if they are distributing into the pump (consistent with the 73.1% sell pressure), a rapid price collapse is likely.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for 佐川トメ (Sagawa)?

The token has already retraced from its intra-candle high of $0.000182 (17:00 UTC candle) down to ~$0.000143 by the close of the 18:00 UTC candle — a ~21% drop from peak within the same hour. With 73.1% sell pressure, only $45.89K in liquidity, and 5,839 sell transactions vs 2,676 buys in 24h, continued downward pressure is the most likely near-term outcome. The price spike appears to be a classic pump event with distribution already underway. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000015 to $0.000182.

Is Sagawa a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

How are Sagawa holders trending?

佐川トメ currently has 1,163 holders and is growing (24h: 96, 7d: 96, 30d: 96). The holder trend is entirely artificial in nature. For 30 days, the token had exactly 52 holders with zero net change — suggesting a dormant or pre-launch state. The sudden addition of 1,111 holders in 24 hours is directly tied to the price pump and the associated social media/Discord promotion. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (both +96%), confirming all growth occurred in the last 24 hours. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (1,142 of 1,163 holders), consistent with speculative buying during a pump. Distribution data shows 0 whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, or octopus — and top10/top100 concentration is reported as 0%, which is likely a data artifact rather than a genuine reflection of distribution.

What does sniper activity look like for Sagawa?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Sagawa?

Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Unverified contract with unknown update authority • Extremely shallow liquidity ($45.89K) — severe slippage on any meaningful exit

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