HEDGY

Hedgy the Hedgehog Price Prediction 2026

HEDGY
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 20, 2026

BPQp7KCHWfJQB2JRhfdEZ4dv59RstKv6TFn3dMBQpump

$0.055777

+2.97%

FDV $5,775

LiveContract:BPQp7KCHWfJQB2JRhfdEZ4dv59RstKv6TFn3dMBQpumpChain:SolanaHolders:285Market cap:$5,775

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Report snapshotas of May 20, 11:17 AM
FDV

$126,663

Liquidity

$0

Holders

952

Snipers

37

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

HEDGY (Hedgy the Hedgehog) is a meme/viral token on Solana launched on PumpSwap, themed around a viral news story about an abused hedgehog. The token has experienced an explosive 265.8% price surge in 24 hours, driven by social media virality. However, the token exhibits severe structural risks: 72% sell pressure, $0 reported on-chain liquidity, extremely concentrated whale holdings, and a token that sat dormant at 83 holders for 30 days before a sudden 24h spike to 952 holders. This is a high-risk, speculative meme token with strong dump signals.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Viral narrative tied to a real-world BBC-covered animal abuse story
Explosive 265.8% 24h price gain driven by social media momentum
Holder base grew from 83 to 952 in a single day (+91%), suggesting rapid viral onboarding
Severe sell pressure: 72% of 24h volume is sells ($334.52K sells vs $129.89K buys)
Top 10 holders control 29.47% of supply; top 100 control 70.7%
Token was completely dormant (83 holders, zero change) for 30 days prior to today's pump

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Despite a 6.3% gain in the last 5 minutes and 6.9% in the last hour, the overwhelming 72% sell pressure ($334.52K sells vs $129.89K buys) and 6,037 sell transactions vs 2,178 buy transactions strongly suggest the pump is being distributed into. The OHLC data shows the price peaked around $0.000110 (candle [1] high) and has since pulled back sharply. With $0 reported liquidity depth and snipers actively taking profits, a short-term retracement is the most likely outcome.

Target low$0.000034
Target high$0.000113
Support: $0.000034 (recent candle low / open level), $0.000027 (candle [4] low)
Resistance: $0.000089 (candle [2] high zone), $0.000110–$0.000113 (candle [1] high / recent peak)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

Viral meme tokens tied to news cycles typically fade rapidly once the news cycle moves on. The token was dormant for 30 days at 83 holders before today's pump, indicating no organic community base. With snipers largely in profit and sell pressure dominating, the medium-term outlook is bearish unless a sustained new catalyst emerges.

Catalysts
  • Continued BBC/social media coverage of the hedgehog story
  • New exchange listings or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Sniper and early buyer profit-taking accelerating the decline

Bullish factors

  • 265.8% 24h price surge with momentum continuing (5m: +6.3%, 1h: +6.9%)
  • Viral BBC news narrative providing ongoing social media fuel
  • Rapid holder growth from 83 to 952 in 24 hours signals strong retail FOMO
  • Majority of snipers (15 of 20) are in profit, suggesting early buyers still holding some position
  • Token has social links (Twitter, website) indicating some project infrastructure

Bearish factors

  • 72% sell pressure ($334.52K sells vs $129.89K buys) — sellers dominate heavily
  • 6,037 sells vs 2,178 buys in 24h — nearly 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio
  • $0 reported total liquidity — extreme slippage risk for any meaningful exit
  • Token was completely dormant for 30 days (83 holders, zero change) before today's pump
  • Top 100 holders control 70.7% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable metadata status unclear
  • Meme tokens tied to news cycles historically collapse within days of peak virality
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of viral meme tokens, missing liquidity data ($0 reported), unknown sniper entry prices, and the unpredictable nature of social media-driven price action. The OHLC data covers only 4 hourly candles, limiting technical analysis depth.

Deep Analysis

Only 4 hourly OHLC candles are available (08:00–11:00 UTC on 2026-05-20). Candle [4] (08:00): O=$0.0000347, H=$0.0000473, L=$0.0000271, C=$0.0000443 — a bullish candle with a lower wick suggesting buying support. Candle [3] (09:00): O=$0.0000449, H=$0.0000449, L=$0.0000349, C=$0.0000347 — a bearish candle, close near the low, high equals open (no upper wick), indicating selling pressure. Candle [2] (10:00): O=$0.0000347, H=$0.0000449, L=$0.0000889, C=$0.0000449 — NOTE: the Low value ($0.0000889) is HIGHER than the High ($0.0000449), which appears to be a data anomaly (likely inverted L/H fields in the source). Treating the actual range as $0.0000347–$0.0000889. Volume spiked massively to $96,425. Candle [1] (11:00): O=$0.0000449, H=$0.0000449, L=$0.0001104, C=$0.0000347 — again L/H appear inverted in source data; actual range likely $0.0000347–$0.0001104. Volume dropped to $6,149, suggesting the spike is fading. The current price of $0.0001267 is above all candle highs shown, indicating the price continued to surge after the 11:00 candle. Overall pattern: sharp pump followed by high-volume distribution.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 28%Sell 72%

Short-term trend is technically up given the 265.8% 24h gain and continued 5m/1h positive momentum. However, the medium-term picture is sideways-to-bearish given the token was flat for 30 days and the current move appears to be a news-driven spike rather than sustained trend development.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000034–$0.000035 (recent candle open/close cluster)
Major$0.000027 (candle [4] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000089–$0.000110 (candle [2]/[1] upper range)
Major$0.000127 (current price / 24h high zone)

Support is clustered around $0.000034–$0.000035 where multiple candles opened/closed. The $0.000027 level represents the absolute low of the available data. Resistance exists at the $0.000089–$0.000110 zone (recent candle highs) and at the current price level of ~$0.000127 which represents the peak of the viral pump. Note: OHLC data shows apparent L/H field inversions in candles [1] and [2], which limits precision of these levels.

Notable patterns

  • Sharp volume spike followed by rapid volume collapse (classic pump distribution pattern)
  • Bearish candle [3] with close at low and high equal to open (no upper wick) — selling pressure
  • Candle [4] bullish engulfing-style with lower wick — initial buying support
  • Price currently trading above all 4 candle highs, suggesting the main pump occurred outside the 4-candle window
  • Apparent OHLC data anomaly: Low > High in candles [1] and [2], suggesting possible data feed inversion

Total holders952
24h Δ+91
7d Δ+91
30d Δ+91
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is entirely correlated with the 24h price pump (+265.8%). The token had exactly 83 holders with zero change for every single day in the 30-day historical record prior to today. The jump from 83 to 952 holders (+869, +91%) occurred entirely within the last 24 hours, coinciding with the viral BBC news story and price explosion. This is a FOMO-driven holder spike, not organic community growth.

The historical holder data reveals a stark picture: HEDGY had precisely 83 holders with zero net change for all 30 days of available history (April 20 – May 19, 2026). This means the token was completely dormant — no buying, no selling, no new participants — for an entire month. Then, within a single 24-hour window, 869 new holders entered (+91%), bringing the total to 952. This is a textbook viral pump pattern where a news catalyst (BBC hedgehog story) drives a sudden retail FOMO wave. The 1h change of -8 holders (-0.84%) suggests some early entrants are already exiting. Distribution breakdown: 189 whales, 115 sharks, 415 dolphins, 181 fish, 54 octopus — the whale-heavy distribution relative to total holders is notable.

Top 10 hold29.47%
Top 100 hold70.70%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

25K4YmyRwBQ1UA3RJ37kgRLEPMm7iBEY5aNiNj92nbn2

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

11.47%

Bo7QUbQZd4L96yvZu9cUU3ZNS74D11uaQrTkvRLjWDeQ

Individual whale / early holder

3.65%

AQ46kfYT3hW28Xg5gWHrJkzFSz1oGWBHC3FsTbqgMEco

Individual whale / early holder

2.93%

FhsbQzAJWVDNwaH61cTo6XkkfEsmSYMZKs9VJHH32bVG

Individual whale / early holder

1.99%

5Yid3oMVCyzSoG2u2b97ovYmMGGEVbT54bn5AHqBxaEh

Individual whale / early holder

1.82%

The top 10 holders control 29.47% of supply and the top 100 control 70.7%, indicating very concentrated distribution. The #1 holder (25K4YmyRwBQ1UA3RJ37kgRLEPMm7iBEY5aNiNj92nbn2) is the PumpSwap liquidity pair address itself, holding ~11.47% of supply as pool liquidity. Holders #2 through #20 appear to be individual wallets with balances ranging from ~3.65% down to ~0.87% each. The presence of 189 'whale' classified holders out of 952 total (nearly 20% of holders are whales) is unusual and suggests many early holders accumulated large positions during the 30-day dormant period. With 72% sell pressure dominating 24h volume, the overall whale sentiment is distributing — selling into retail FOMO buyers.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported — likely a data anomaly or liquidity is extremely thin on PumpSwap)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$129,890
Sell$334,520
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers783
Unique sellers1,956

Market health is severely compromised. The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is alarming — either a data feed issue or the pool has near-zero depth, which would make any meaningful trade cause extreme slippage. The 24h trading data shows a massive net outflow: $334,520 in sell volume vs $129,890 in buy volume — a 2.58:1 sell-to-buy ratio. Unique sellers (1,956) outnumber unique buyers (783) by 2.5:1. Total 24h transactions: 6,037 sells vs 2,178 buys. Despite the price being up 265.8%, the volume composition strongly suggests this is a distribution event where early holders and snipers are selling into retail demand. The FDV of $0.00 reported in analytics (vs $126,663 in metadata) further suggests data inconsistencies that may reflect rapidly changing liquidity conditions on PumpSwap.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,920,419.93 HEDGY
FDV$126,663.40

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.92 million HEDGY (effectively 1 billion, standard for PumpFun/PumpSwap launches). FDV is $126,663 at current price of $0.0001267. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the token is marked as 'Mutable: false' — immutable metadata is a positive signal as it prevents post-launch metadata changes. However, mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data. The token is not a master edition and is not verified. The 'Mutable: false' flag provides some reassurance against metadata rug, but without explicit mint/freeze authority renouncement confirmation, authority risk remains unknown. The token was launched on PumpSwap (a PumpFun derivative), which typically handles authority renouncement at launch, but this cannot be confirmed from the available data.

Volatility
high

265.8% 24h price gain on a meme token with a viral news catalyst. Meme tokens of this type routinely retrace 80–95% within days of peak virality. Volume dropped 98% over 2 hours in available candle data.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — either a data anomaly or genuinely near-zero pool depth. Even if slightly higher, a $126K FDV token with thin liquidity means large orders will cause extreme slippage. High slippage risk confirmed.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 29.47% of supply; top 100 control 70.7%. 189 out of 952 holders are classified as whales. The token was held by only 83 wallets for 30 days, suggesting heavy pre-pump concentration among insiders.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks. 85% (17/20) are in profit with gains of 1.9%–257%. Top snipers have already sold $1,457–$4,233 each at 100–182% gains. Remaining sniper positions represent ongoing dump risk into retail buyers.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown'; mint and freeze authority status not confirmed. Token is marked 'Mutable: false' which mitigates metadata rug risk. PumpSwap launch typically renounces authorities but cannot be confirmed from available data.

Key risks

  • Token was dormant for 30 days at 83 holders — suggests no organic community; pump is purely news-driven
  • 72% sell pressure with 2.5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution into retail FOMO
  • $0 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position
  • Viral news cycles are short-lived; hedgehog story will fade rapidly
  • 85% of snipers in profit and actively selling — ongoing distribution pressure
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Top 100 holders control 70.7% of supply — extreme concentration

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable: false metadata reduces metadata rug risk
  • Token has social presence (Twitter, website, Moralis links)
  • Viral BBC coverage provides genuine short-term narrative catalyst
  • Some snipers still holding positions (e.g., JBZnCz4... has $100 balance remaining)
  • Rapid holder growth to 952 shows genuine retail interest, however short-lived
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a short-lived viral pump: dormant history, news-driven spike, sniper distribution, and overwhelming sell pressure.

HEDGY is a viral meme token riding a BBC-covered animal abuse story. The investment thesis is purely speculative and momentum-based — there is no underlying utility, protocol, or sustainable value driver. The token pumped 265.8% in 24 hours from a 30-day dormant base of 83 holders. The primary risk is that this is a classic pump-and-dump pattern where snipers and early holders distribute into retail FOMO buyers attracted by the viral narrative.

Bull case (low)

The BBC hedgehog story continues to trend on social media for several more days, attracting additional retail buyers. New exchange listings or influencer promotion amplify the narrative. Liquidity deepens as more buyers enter, and the token achieves a higher FDV of $500K–$1M+ before the narrative fades.

  • Sustained viral social media momentum beyond 24–48 hours
  • Major crypto influencer promotion or exchange listing
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats
  • Community formation around the hedgehog narrative creating longer-term holders

Base case

The token experiences a 50–70% retracement from its 24h peak over the next 3–7 days as the news cycle fades and early buyers exit. A small community of 200–400 holders remains, with the token trading at a fraction of its peak price. Occasional social media mentions cause brief volatility spikes but no sustained recovery.

  • Viral narrative provides 2–5 more days of diminishing retail interest
  • Snipers complete their distribution within 48 hours
  • Liquidity remains thin, limiting recovery potential
  • No major new catalyst (exchange listing, influencer) emerges
  • Token avoids complete abandonment due to small residual community

Bear case (high)

The viral news cycle fades within 24–48 hours. Snipers and whales continue distributing into retail buyers. Liquidity dries up completely, price collapses 80–95% from peak. The token returns to near-zero activity with a small residual holder base.

  • News cycle moves on — hedgehog story loses virality
  • Continued 72% sell pressure accelerates price decline
  • Sniper profit-taking (85% in profit) adds sustained sell pressure
  • Near-zero liquidity amplifies downside moves
  • No utility or community to sustain holder base post-pump

GeneratedMay 20, 11:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time; OHLC data covers last 4 hours; holder history covers last 30 days
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Mint: BPQp7KCHWfJQB2JRhfdEZ4dv59RstKv6TFn3dMBQpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (25K4YmyRwBQ1UA3RJ37kgRLEPMm7iBEY5aNiNj92nbn2)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (4 candles, 08:00–11:00 UTC 2026-05-20)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (952 total holders, top 20 balances)
  • 30-day historical holder series (daily snapshots April 20 – May 19, 2026)
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)
  • Token metadata (supply, FDV, social links, mutability flags)

Limitations

  • Only 4 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — possible data feed anomaly, true liquidity unknown
  • Sniper entry amounts (USD sniped) all listed as 'unknown' — prevents precise concentration calculation
  • OHLC candles [1] and [2] show apparent Low > High data inversions — possible feed error
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status not explicitly confirmed
  • FDV reported as $0.00 in analytics vs $126,663 in metadata — data inconsistency
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite 265.8% 24h change in price section — data inconsistency
  • No order book depth data available to assess true liquidity
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days and shows zero activity for entire period prior to today

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens are extremely high-risk speculative assets. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. The analyst has no position in HEDGY. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose completely.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,920,419.93 HEDGY

Key Risks

Token was dormant for 30 days at 83 holders — suggests no organic community; pump is purely news-driven
72% sell pressure with 2.5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution into retail FOMO
$0 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position
Viral news cycles are short-lived; hedgehog story will fade rapidly

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Of these, 17 out of 20 (85%) show positive realized PnL, with gains ranging from +1.9% to +257.0%. Only 3 snipers (wallets #2, #5, #17) are at a loss (-15.8%, -9.4%, -1.8%). The total sniper sell-side activity is significant — top snipers have collectively sold thousands of dollars worth at 100–257% gains. However, sniper entry amounts (USD sniped) are unknown, preventing precise concentration calculation. The sniperConcentrationPercent is set to 0 due to missing balance data for most snipers. The overall sniper picture is one of active profit-taking into the viral pump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper entry amounts unknown; sell-side data shows top sniper (AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51) sold $4,233 at +182.3% PnL; sniper 8uLkRxSsNba1UocG6SicKHif7yuUXQWPFm1xCnFHGCKT sold $2,885 at +149.7%; sniper kEFiAX3jo5NmemysQov342TZ9mGh6yp92GDRjhA8XDf sold $1,457 at +155.6%

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly in profit and actively selling into the pump. 85% positive PnL rate among snipers with several achieving 100–257% gains. This indicates the viral narrative successfully attracted retail buyers who are absorbing sniper distribution.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Hedgy the Hedgehog (HEDGY)?

Despite a 6.3% gain in the last 5 minutes and 6.9% in the last hour, the overwhelming 72% sell pressure ($334.52K sells vs $129.89K buys) and 6,037 sell transactions vs 2,178 buy transactions strongly suggest the pump is being distributed into. The OHLC data shows the price peaked around $0.000110 (candle [1] high) and has since pulled back sharply. With $0 reported liquidity depth and snipers actively taking profits, a short-term retracement is the most likely outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000034 to $0.000113.

Is HEDGY a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a short-lived viral pump: dormant history, news-driven spike, sniper distribution, and overwhelming sell pressure.

How are HEDGY holders trending?

Hedgy the Hedgehog currently has 952 holders and is growing (24h: 91, 7d: 91, 30d: 91). The historical holder data reveals a stark picture: HEDGY had precisely 83 holders with zero net change for all 30 days of available history (April 20 – May 19, 2026). This means the token was completely dormant — no buying, no selling, no new participants — for an entire month. Then, within a single 24-hour window, 869 new holders entered (+91%), bringing the total to 952. This is a textbook viral pump pattern where a news catalyst (BBC hedgehog story) drives a sudden retail FOMO wave. The 1h change of -8 holders (-0.84%) suggests some early entrants are already exiting. Distribution breakdown: 189 whales, 115 sharks, 415 dolphins, 181 fish, 54 octopus — the whale-heavy distribution relative to total holders is notable.

What does sniper activity look like for HEDGY?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding HEDGY?

Token was dormant for 30 days at 83 holders — suggests no organic community; pump is purely news-driven • 72% sell pressure with 2.5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio — active distribution into retail FOMO • $0 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position

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