SVM

SVM Chain Price Today & AI Analysis

SVM
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 19, 2026

AoQGnPGXWHo9FfSVhPTmhJGvGXisEDwfaRPnDHHRpump

$0.042633

-1.44%

FDV $26,323

LiveContract:AoQGnPGXWHo9FfSVhPTmhJGvGXisEDwfaRPnDHHRpumpChain:SolanaHolders:509Market cap:$26,323

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Ask Unhosted AI about SVM

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 19, 06:17 PM
FDV

$362,693

Liquidity

$54,227

Holders

710

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

SVM Chain (SVM) is a Solana-based token (mint: AoQGnPGXWHo9FfSVhPTmhJGvGXisEDwfaRPnDHHRpump) with a total supply of ~999.9M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$362.7K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 24h price surge of ~1,515–1,566%, rising from ~$0.0000225 to ~$0.000363. However, this spike is accompanied by severe sell pressure (84.9% sell volume), extremely shallow liquidity ($54.23K), and alarming supply concentration (top 10 holders control 81.34%). The token has no verified contract, no description, and unknown update authority. These characteristics are consistent with a highly speculative, potentially manipulated micro-cap token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price surge of ~1,515% on PumpSwap
Top 10 holders control 81.34% of supply — extreme concentration risk
84.9% sell pressure vs only 15.1% buy pressure in 24h
Total liquidity of only $54.23K against $362.7K FDV — very shallow
Holder count surged +291 in 24h (from ~419 to 710), likely driven by the price spike
No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

The token has already pumped ~1,515% in 24h and is showing extreme sell pressure (84.9% of 24h volume). The most recent candles show a sharp spike followed by a pullback — candle [1] shows a close of $0.0000832 vs a low of $0.000231 (likely a data anomaly where L > O/C, suggesting a wick-heavy candle). With only $54.23K in liquidity and 5,398 sells vs 2,031 buys in 24h, a sharp retracement is the most probable short-term outcome. The current price of ~$0.000363 is far above recent trading ranges of $0.000022–$0.000083.

Target low$0.000040
Target high$0.000083
Support: $0.000062 (candle [2] & [3] open/close cluster), $0.000041 (candle [7]–[8] range), $0.000022 (candle [9]–[10] base)
Resistance: $0.000083 (candle [1]–[2] high cluster), $0.000363 (current price / 24h spike high)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without a fundamental catalyst, verified contract, or meaningful liquidity depth, sustaining the current price level is unlikely. Historical holder data shows the token was slowly losing holders for 30 days prior to the spike (from 446 on June 19 to 419 on July 18), suggesting no organic growth. The spike appears event-driven or manipulated. Medium-term price is expected to revert toward pre-spike levels unless new catalysts emerge.

Catalysts
  • Any new exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Increase in liquidity depth beyond $100K
  • Verified contract or doxxed team disclosure
  • Broader Solana ecosystem rally lifting micro-caps

Bullish factors

  • Massive 24h price momentum (+1,515%) could attract momentum traders
  • Holder count grew +291 in 24h, showing new interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides some accessibility
  • 5m price change still +15%, suggesting very short-term momentum

Bearish factors

  • 84.9% sell pressure — sellers dominate overwhelmingly
  • Top 10 holders control 81.34% of supply, enabling large dumps
  • Only $54.23K total liquidity — any significant sell will crater price
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority
  • Token was losing holders for 30 consecutive days before the spike
  • 5,398 sells vs 2,031 buys in 24h — 2.66x more sell transactions
  • Current price ($0.000363) is ~16x the pre-spike range ($0.000022)
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (1,515% 24h move), very shallow liquidity ($54.23K), absence of fundamental data (no description, unverified contract), and the possibility of coordinated price manipulation. Price targets are highly uncertain in such conditions.

SVM call history

Full track record →
Jul 19bearish
24h-52.2%
7d-82.9%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 10 available hourly candles (all from 2026-07-19) reveal a dramatic intraday pump. Candles [10]–[9] (04:00–07:00 UTC) show a flat base at $0.0000225, then a small move to $0.0000272. Candles [8]–[6] (08:00–10:00 UTC) show a gradual grind from $0.0000413 to $0.0000408, with modest volume. Candle [5] (11:00) is nearly flat at $0.0000407. Then a gap occurs, and candle [4] (15:00) opens at $0.0000443 and closes at $0.0000611 on very low volume ($268). Candle [3] (16:00) opens at $0.0000629, reaches a high of $0.0000836, closes at $0.0000818 on minimal volume ($1,355). Candle [2] (17:00) is a high-volume bearish candle ($513K volume) opening at $0.0000832, with a tight high of $0.0000832 and closing lower at $0.0000629 — a clear bearish engulfing/distribution candle. Candle [1] (18:00) shows anomalous OHLC data (L > O and L > C: O=$0.0000629, H=$0.0000832, L=$0.000231, C=$0.0000832) — this likely reflects a spike to $0.000231+ followed by a close back at $0.0000832, indicating a massive wick/rejection at higher prices. Note: the current price of $0.000363 is significantly above all candle data shown, suggesting the spike continued after candle [1].

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 15%Sell 85%

Short-term trend is technically upward due to the extreme 24h pump, but the medium-term (30-day) context shows a token that was in a slow decline with holders dropping from 446 to 419. The spike appears to be a sharp deviation from the medium-term downtrend rather than a sustainable reversal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000062–$0.000083 (candle [2]–[3] open/close cluster, high-volume zone)
Major$0.000022 (pre-spike base, candles [9]–[10])
Resistance
Immediate$0.000083 (candle [1]–[2] high, repeated rejection zone)
Major$0.000363 (current price / spike high — untested as resistance)

The $0.000062–$0.000083 zone is the most critical near-term level, having served as both support and resistance during the pump. A break below $0.000062 opens the path to the $0.000040–$0.000045 range. The pre-spike base at $0.000022 represents the ultimate support if the pump fully reverses.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump followed by high-volume bearish engulfing candle at 17:00 UTC — classic distribution pattern
  • Massive upper wick on candle [1] (L=$0.000231 anomaly likely reflects spike-and-reject to higher prices)
  • Flat base consolidation at $0.0000225 for multiple candles before the pump — accumulation phase
  • Volume climax on bearish candle [2] — $513K sell volume signals smart money distribution
  • Gap between candle [5] (11:00) and candle [4] (15:00) — no trading data for 3 hours, suggesting thin market

Total holders710
24h Δ+41
7d Δ+41
30d Δ+37
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder growth is almost entirely concentrated in the 24h window coinciding with the price spike (+1,515%). For the 30 days prior (June 19 – July 18), the token was consistently losing holders — declining from 446 to 419 (a net loss of 27 holders, ~-6%). The sudden +291 holder gain in 24h is directly correlated with the price pump, suggesting new speculative buyers entered during the spike rather than organic community growth. Notably, the last 1 hour saw -100 holders (-14%), indicating rapid exit as the price stalled.

Holder trends are deeply concerning. For the entire 30-day period before the spike, the token was in a slow but consistent decline — losing holders nearly every day, from 446 on June 19 to 419 on July 18. The +291 holder surge in 24h is entirely pump-driven and not indicative of organic adoption. The -100 holder drop in the most recent hour (-14%) is a red flag suggesting the new holders who bought into the pump are already exiting. The 7d and 30d growth figures (+41% and +37%) are misleading as they are dominated by the single-day spike event. Distribution breakdown: 43 whales, 14 sharks, 71 dolphins, 130 fish, 103 octopus — the whale-heavy distribution (43 whales among only 710 holders) is consistent with the extreme supply concentration.

Top 10 hold81.34%
Top 100 hold99.46%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

JD4vbKcYMf8njDQYMSE8SW1zSdp4C7E8LMpqgki1PLto

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair listed in price data)

22.23%

svmFTZjPQVjni5R4RLuGoacmCYSTdTSWshro4QmB4Zt

Project treasury or team wallet (round-ish balance of 104.4M, address contains 'svm' prefix matching token symbol)

10.44%

23WZ5UshscDggQhtb6bzb5Wnp2SHi5Gs3pFjfQUGvqEi

Individual whale or team wallet (exact 100M round number balance — likely pre-allocated)

10.00%

9QR1fqxBzujiUe4qj24hkFwNYAquPWzSfofFRgVJpFxd

Individual whale or team wallet (exact 100M round number balance — likely pre-allocated)

10.00%

2aszx4YA9fCuZHN6ijoBJnuf9kUvxZ44fCo8W51MBgda

Individual whale or team wallet (99.75M — near-round number, likely pre-allocated)

9.98%

Supply concentration is extreme and alarming. The top 10 holders control 81.34% of supply, and the top 100 control 99.46% — leaving only 0.54% of supply distributed among the remaining 610+ holders. Excluding the PumpSwap liquidity pool (holder #1 at 22.23%), the next 5 holders each hold 9.95%–10.44% with suspiciously round balances (100M, 100M, 99.75M, 99.5M), strongly suggesting pre-allocated insider/team wallets. Holder #2's address prefix 'svm' matching the token symbol is a notable signal of project affiliation. The overall sentiment is distributing, as evidenced by the 84.9% sell pressure and -100 holder drop in the last hour. This concentration structure means a coordinated dump by just 2–3 top holders could collapse the price entirely.

Liquidity$54,230
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$83,210
Sell$468,040
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers274
Unique sellers1,167

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $54.23K against a FDV of $362.7K represents a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~15% — extremely thin. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. The 24h trading data reveals a deeply imbalanced market: $468K in sell volume vs $83.2K in buy volume (5.6:1 ratio), with 1,167 unique sellers vs only 274 unique buyers (4.3:1 ratio). The net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The single trading pair on PumpSwap (JD4vbKcYMf8njDQYMSE8SW1zSdp4C7E8LMpqgki1PLto) provides no redundancy. The high-volume bearish candle at 17:00 UTC ($513K volume) represents nearly 10x the total liquidity pool in a single hour, indicating the pool is being rapidly drained. Slippage risk is high for any position larger than a few hundred dollars.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,947,262.13 SVM
FDV$362,692.75

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a total supply of ~999.95M SVM (effectively 1 billion). The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. The token is marked as mutable: false, which is a mild positive signal (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The token was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address: AoQGnPGXWHo9FfSVhPTmhJGvGXisEDwfaRPnDHHRpump), which typically burns mint authority upon graduation, but this cannot be confirmed without on-chain verification. No description, no verified social links, and no whitepaper are available. The FDV of $362.7K at current spike prices implies the pre-spike FDV was approximately $22.5K — consistent with a very early-stage or newly launched token. The round-number allocations to multiple wallets (100M each to at least 3 wallets) suggest a structured pre-launch distribution that was not publicly disclosed.

Volatility
high

The token has moved +1,515% in 24 hours from a micro-cap base. Such extreme volatility is characteristic of pump-and-dump schemes or highly speculative micro-caps. The 6h change of +790% and 5m change of +15% indicate ongoing extreme volatility.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $54.23K on a single PumpSwap pool. The 24h sell volume of $468K already exceeds the liquidity pool by ~8.6x, meaning the pool is being rapidly depleted. Any significant position cannot be exited without catastrophic slippage.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 81.34% of supply; top 100 control 99.46%. Multiple wallets hold exact round numbers (100M each), suggesting coordinated insider pre-allocation. A dump by just 2–3 top holders would be catastrophic for price.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available for this token. However, the presence of multiple large pre-allocated wallets with round-number balances represents a functionally equivalent risk — these wallets could dump at any time.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is mutable: false (positive), and the PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority, but this is unverified. The unverified contract and absence of any project documentation elevate authority risk.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 81.34%, enabling coordinated dumps
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($54.23K) — high slippage on any meaningful trade
  • 84.9% sell pressure with 5,398 sells vs 2,031 buys in 24h — active distribution
  • No verified contract, no description, no whitepaper, unknown update authority
  • Holder count dropped -100 (-14%) in the last hour — rapid exit underway
  • Token was losing holders for 30 consecutive days before the pump spike
  • Multiple round-number pre-allocated wallets suggest undisclosed insider distribution
  • Single trading venue (PumpSwap) with no liquidity redundancy
  • PumpFun-launched token with no fundamental project information available

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked mutable: false, preventing metadata manipulation
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority (unverified but probable)
  • The token has 710 holders, providing some minimal distribution
  • The PumpSwap pair provides at least some accessible liquidity for small trades
  • 24h buyer count of 274 shows some genuine market interest
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap pump-and-dump dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative amount. The combination of extreme concentration, shallow liquidity, active distribution, and lack of fundamental information makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

SVM Chain is a micro-cap PumpFun-launched token that has experienced a parabolic 1,515% price spike in 24 hours. The spike is accompanied by overwhelming sell pressure (84.9%), extreme supply concentration (top 10 hold 81.34%), and critically shallow liquidity ($54.23K). There is no verified contract, no project description, and no fundamental information available. The token was losing holders for 30 consecutive days before the spike, and the -100 holder drop in the last hour suggests the pump is already reversing. The investment thesis is overwhelmingly bearish except for very short-term momentum plays.

Bull case (low)

Momentum continuation: If the price spike attracts significant new retail attention and buy volume, the token could continue to pump short-term before a larger correction. A broader Solana ecosystem rally or viral social media attention could temporarily sustain elevated prices.

  • Continued retail FOMO buying into the price spike
  • Viral social media attention driving new buyer inflows
  • Broader Solana market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Potential exchange listing announcement (speculative)

Base case

Partial retracement with stabilization: The token retraces 60–80% from the spike high, finding temporary support in the $0.000062–$0.000083 range (the high-volume trading zone from candles [2]–[3]). Some speculative interest persists but volume and holder count gradually decline back toward pre-spike levels over 1–2 weeks.

  • Some buyers from the pump hold their positions short-term
  • Liquidity pool is not fully drained
  • No major coordinated dump from top holders immediately
  • No new catalysts emerge to drive further price discovery

Bear case (high)

Pump-and-dump collapse: The current price of $0.000363 is ~16x the pre-spike base of $0.000022. With 84.9% sell pressure, -100 holders in the last hour, and top insiders holding 81.34% of supply, a rapid reversion to pre-spike levels ($0.000022–$0.000040) is highly probable. This would represent a loss of ~88–94% from current prices.

  • Insider/whale distribution into the pump (round-number pre-allocated wallets)
  • Critically shallow liquidity amplifying downward price impact
  • Sustained sell pressure (5,398 sells vs 2,031 buys)
  • No fundamental project information to support valuation
  • Historical 30-day holder decline suggesting no organic community

GeneratedJul 19, 06:17 PM
Data freshnessOHLC data current to 2026-07-19T18:00 UTC; holder data current to 2026-07-19; 24h analytics reflect the most recent 24-hour window
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading pair data (pair: JD4vbKcYMf8njDQYMSE8SW1zSdp4C7E8LMpqgki1PLto)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (10 candles, 2026-07-19)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Historical daily holder metrics (30 days)
  • Top 20 holder wallet balances and percentages
  • Holder distribution breakdown (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus)

Limitations

  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are inferred only
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — cannot confirm rug risk from authorities
  • Only 10 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis across multiple timeframes
  • No project documentation, whitepaper, or team information available
  • Token description is 'none' — fundamental analysis is impossible
  • Social links data source listed as 'moralis' without specific URLs — social sentiment cannot be assessed
  • The extreme 24h price move (+1,515%) makes any price target highly uncertain
  • Holder wallet classifications are inferred from on-chain patterns, not verified identities
  • OHLC candle [1] contains anomalous data (L > O and L > C) which may indicate data quality issues

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed was provided as untrusted evidence and may contain inaccuracies. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,947,262.13 SVM

Key Risks

•Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 81.34%, enabling coordinated dumps
•Critically shallow liquidity ($54.23K) — high slippage on any meaningful trade
•84.9% sell pressure with 5,398 sells vs 2,031 buys in 24h — active distribution
•No verified contract, no description, no whitepaper, unknown update authority

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for SVM Chain. Smart money signals must be inferred from holder and trading data alone. The extreme sell pressure (84.9% of 24h volume = $468K in sells vs $83.2K in buys) and the high-volume bearish candle at 17:00 UTC suggest that early holders or insiders may be distributing into the price spike. The top 10 holders control 81.34% of supply, and several hold suspiciously round numbers (100M, 99.75M, 20M, 10M each), which is consistent with pre-allocated insider/team wallets. The acquisition breakdown shows 316 out of 710 holders (44.5%) received tokens via airdrop, which is a common distribution mechanism used to create the appearance of decentralization.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Likely distributing — the high sell volume ($468K) relative to buy volume ($83.2K) and the presence of multiple large round-number holders suggests early buyers and insiders are selling into the pump. The -100 holder change in the last 1 hour (-14%) further supports active exit behavior.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for SVM Chain (SVM)?

The token has already pumped ~1,515% in 24h and is showing extreme sell pressure (84.9% of 24h volume). The most recent candles show a sharp spike followed by a pullback — candle [1] shows a close of $0.0000832 vs a low of $0.000231 (likely a data anomaly where L > O/C, suggesting a wick-heavy candle). With only $54.23K in liquidity and 5,398 sells vs 2,031 buys in 24h, a sharp retracement is the most probable short-term outcome. The current price of ~$0.000363 is far above recent trading ranges of $0.000022–$0.000083. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000040 to $0.000083.

Is SVM a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap pump-and-dump dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative amount. The combination of extreme concentration, shallow liquidity, active distribution, and lack of fundamental information makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

How are SVM holders trending?

SVM Chain currently has 710 holders and is growing (24h: 41, 7d: 41, 30d: 37). Holder trends are deeply concerning. For the entire 30-day period before the spike, the token was in a slow but consistent decline — losing holders nearly every day, from 446 on June 19 to 419 on July 18. The +291 holder surge in 24h is entirely pump-driven and not indicative of organic adoption. The -100 holder drop in the most recent hour (-14%) is a red flag suggesting the new holders who bought into the pump are already exiting. The 7d and 30d growth figures (+41% and +37%) are misleading as they are dominated by the single-day spike event. Distribution breakdown: 43 whales, 14 sharks, 71 dolphins, 130 fish, 103 octopus — the whale-heavy distribution (43 whales among only 710 holders) is consistent with the extreme supply concentration.

What does sniper activity look like for SVM?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding SVM?

Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 81.34%, enabling coordinated dumps • Critically shallow liquidity ($54.23K) — high slippage on any meaningful trade • 84.9% sell pressure with 5,398 sells vs 2,031 buys in 24h — active distribution

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