Lobstar

Lobstar Price Today & AI Analysis

Lobstar
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 2, 2026

AVF9F4C4j8b1Kh4BmNHqybDaHgnZpJ7W7yLvL7hUpump

$0.049776

-8.95%

FDV $97,730

LiveContract:AVF9F4C4j8b1Kh4BmNHqybDaHgnZpJ7W7yLvL7hUpumpChain:SolanaHolders:10,763Market cap:$97,730

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Ask Unhosted AI about Lobstar

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 2, 09:17 PM
FDV

$1,761,291

Liquidity

$252,553

Holders

11,473

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Lobstar (Lobstar) is a meme token on Solana with a playful narrative around a lobster managing a crypto wallet. Trading at $0.001761 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$1.76M, the token has 11,473 holders and $252.55K in total liquidity on PumpSwap. While the 24h price is up ~10.8%, the token exhibits persistent holder decline (-17% over 30 days), heavy sell pressure (72.7% sell volume), and a concentrated top-holder distribution. It is a high-risk, speculative meme asset.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
Meme narrative with a lobster character managing a crypto wallet — viral storytelling potential
Verified contract with mutable=false, reducing some rug risk
Traded on PumpSwap with $252.55K liquidity — modest but functional
10.8% 24h price gain despite dominant sell pressure signals short-term momentum
Persistent 30-day holder decline of -17% is a significant structural concern

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
24–72 hours

Price spiked sharply in candles [2] and [1] (20:00–21:00 UTC), reaching a high of $0.002152 before pulling back to close at $0.001761. The 5m and 1h changes are both negative (~-2.2%), suggesting the spike is fading. Short-term direction is neutral-to-bearish unless fresh buying volume emerges. Support sits near $0.001420 (recent lows) and resistance near $0.002152 (recent spike high).

Target low$0.001420
Target high$0.002152
Support: $0.001420, $0.001510, $0.001555
Resistance: $0.001870, $0.002050, $0.002152

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

The 30-day holder decline of -17% (from ~13,351 to 11,473) and dominant sell pressure (72.7%) point to sustained distribution. Without a new catalyst or viral narrative moment, the medium-term trend is likely to remain bearish as early holders continue to exit.

Catalysts
  • New viral social media moment or influencer pickup of the Lobstar narrative
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats
  • Listing on a centralized exchange increasing accessibility
  • Lobstar Twitter account launch driving community engagement

Bullish factors

  • 24h price up +10.8% showing short-term momentum
  • 6h price change of +24.2% indicates a strong recent pump
  • Verified contract and mutable=false reduce rug risk
  • $252.55K liquidity is functional for the token's market cap size
  • Meme narrative has viral potential

Bearish factors

  • 72.7% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($102.22K sells vs $38.38K buys)
  • Holders declining -17% over 30 days — persistent and accelerating trend
  • 919 sells vs 291 buys in 24h — sellers outnumber buyers 3:1
  • Top 10 holders control 25.21%, top 100 control 73.72% — concentrated distribution
  • Price spike in candle [2] appears to be a single large event, not sustained buying
Confidence: low. Meme tokens are highly sentiment-driven and unpredictable. The data shows conflicting signals: a short-term price spike against a backdrop of persistent holder decline and heavy sell pressure. No sniper data is available to assess early buyer behavior. Confidence in any directional prediction is low.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles analyzed (2026-05-01T22:00 to 2026-05-02T21:00 UTC), price traded in a range of approximately $0.001416 to $0.002152. Candles [24] through [3] (hours 22:00 to 19:00) showed a gradual downtrend from ~$0.001562 to ~$0.001421, with low volume and tight ranges — a slow bleed. Candle [2] (20:00 UTC) was a massive bullish engulfing candle: open $0.001445, high $0.002152, close $0.002049, on volume of $92,467 — by far the highest volume candle in the set, representing a 49% intracandle move. Candle [1] (21:00 UTC) opened at $0.002042 but closed lower at $0.001761 on much lower volume ($19,721), forming a bearish candle that partially retraced the spike — a classic 'pump and fade' pattern.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 27%Sell 73%

Short-term trend is technically up due to the large candle [2] spike, but the medium-term trend across the full 24-hour window is a downtrend from the earlier highs (~$0.001604 at 03:00 UTC) through the mid-session lows (~$0.001421). The spike in candle [2] appears to be an outlier event rather than a trend reversal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.001761 (current close / candle [1] close)
Major$0.001416 (candle [7] low — 24h session low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.002050 (candle [2] close)
Major$0.002152 (candle [2] high — 24h session high)

The $0.001416–$0.001421 zone represents the strongest support, having been tested multiple times during the mid-session consolidation. The $0.002050–$0.002152 zone is the key resistance from the spike. A failure to reclaim $0.001870 (midpoint of the spike candle) would be bearish.

Notable patterns

  • Massive bullish engulfing candle [2] on 37x average volume — potential pump event
  • Bearish fade candle [1] immediately following the spike — pump-and-fade pattern
  • Extended low-volume consolidation (candles [3]–[19]) prior to the spike — accumulation or dormancy
  • Higher high set at $0.002152 vs prior session high of ~$0.001687 (candle [20])
  • No sustained higher lows — medium-term structure remains bearish

Total holders11,473
24h Δ-0.36
7d Δ-3.8
30d Δ-17
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder decline has been persistent and consistent regardless of price action. Even during the 24h price spike of +10.8%, holders continued to decline (-41 in 24h, -19 in 1h). This suggests the price pump did not attract new holders and existing holders used the spike to exit — a bearish divergence between price and holder count.

The holder trend is unambiguously declining. From a peak of ~13,351 on 2026-04-02, holders have fallen to 11,473 by 2026-05-02 — a loss of 1,878 holders (-14.1%) in 30 days. The daily data shows the decline accelerating: early April losses were -6 to -72/day, while late April saw losses of -91 to -150/day. The single positive day (Apr 25: +108) was an anomaly quickly reversed. The distribution breakdown shows 177 whales, 78 sharks, 505 dolphins, 704 fish, and 1,096 octopus-tier holders. The majority of holders are small fish/octopus, suggesting retail dominance with whales potentially distributing.

Top 10 hold25.21%
Top 100 hold73.72%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

AADJrfmWoHVXZhF1UkbHvNC5tqrBpkGdSaxtMYteDm2x

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address in metadata)

6.94%

692PxWKEpjE4HA5hpDoGUuM5bkBSGWL8SsJy2y79xTFj

Individual whale or early investor

2.85%

2xUbYAVq1oJGj45d6JjnaYHAke3NQecUcqWvvVbwmYw8

Individual whale or early investor

2.78%

9bmSdtSUJ6Aqg6YDmEf4Ao6tdqk3yC9muQZMK5VGvZ4x

Individual whale or early investor

2.56%

E8Y4mMFMoajv5KApoEb9LGkkJw6ec1NmcgNnW5xieqS1

Individual whale or early investor

1.96%

The top 10 holders control 25.21% of supply and the top 100 control 73.72%, indicating a concentrated distribution. Holder #1 (AADJrfmWoHVXZhF1UkbHvNC5tqrBpkGdSaxtMYteDm2x at 6.94%) matches the PumpSwap trading pair address listed in the metadata, classifying it as the DEX liquidity pool — this is expected and not a concern. Holders #2–#10 each hold 1.40%–2.85%, suggesting a cluster of individual whales or early investors. Several holders (#10, #19, #20) hold suspiciously round numbers (14,000,000; 10,000,000; 10,000,000) which may indicate structured allocations or OTC purchases. The persistent holder decline and dominant sell pressure suggest the whale cohort is in distribution mode.

Liquidity$252,550
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$38,380
Sell$102,220
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers113
Unique sellers324

Lobstar's $252.55K total liquidity on PumpSwap is shallow relative to its $1.76M FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 14.3%. This means large trades will incur significant slippage. The 24h trading data is heavily skewed toward selling: 919 sell transactions vs 291 buys, 324 unique sellers vs 113 unique buyers, and $102.22K in sell volume vs $38.38K in buy volume (72.7% sell pressure). Net flow is clearly outflow. The massive volume spike in candle [2] ($92,467 in one hour) represents ~36.6% of total 24h volume in a single candle, suggesting a single large actor or coordinated event rather than organic market activity. Overall market health is poor, with persistent selling pressure dominating.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,944,911.54
FDV$1,761,291.29

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.94M tokens (effectively 1B), a standard meme token supply. The FDV is $1.76M at current prices. The metadata indicates the contract is verified and mutable=false, which is a positive signal — an immutable token cannot have its metadata changed post-deployment. However, the update authority is listed as 'unknown', preventing definitive assessment of mint and freeze authority status. The mutable=false flag suggests the token program itself is locked, reducing (but not eliminating) rug risk from metadata manipulation. No explicit burn address or renouncement transaction data was provided. Investors should independently verify mint and freeze authority status on-chain via Solana explorers before committing capital.

Volatility
high

A 49% intracandle price swing in candle [2] and a 24h range of $0.001416–$0.002152 demonstrate extreme volatility. The token can move dramatically on low liquidity.

Liquidity
high

$252.55K total liquidity against a $1.76M FDV gives a 14.3% liquidity ratio. Large exits will face significant slippage, and the pool could be drained quickly in a panic sell scenario.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 25.21% of supply; top 100 control 73.72%. Excluding the liquidity pool (holder #1 at 6.94%), individual whales hold meaningful positions that could be dumped at any time.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be precisely quantified. The absence of sniper data is treated as medium risk — unknown is not the same as safe.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown' and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from provided data. The mutable=false flag is reassuring but does not fully eliminate authority risk. Independent on-chain verification is required.

Key risks

  • Persistent holder decline of -17% over 30 days with no reversal signal
  • 72.7% sell pressure in 24h — market is dominated by sellers
  • Shallow liquidity ($252.55K) creates high slippage risk for exits
  • Concentrated ownership: top 100 hold 73.72% of supply
  • Meme token with no fundamental utility — entirely sentiment-driven
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Single large volume event in candle [2] may be artificial price manipulation

Mitigating factors

  • Verified contract reduces smart contract exploit risk
  • mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation
  • Token has been live long enough to accumulate 11,473 holders — not a brand new launch
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible trading venue
  • Meme narrative has demonstrated viral potential in the past
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or those without experience in meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal relative to overall portfolio.

Lobstar is a high-risk, speculative meme token on Solana built around a viral narrative concept. The token shows a short-term price catalyst (the candle [2] spike) but faces structural headwinds from persistent holder decline, dominant sell pressure, and shallow liquidity. The investment case is purely speculative and narrative-driven.

Bull case (low)

The Lobstar Twitter account launches and goes viral, attracting a wave of new retail buyers. A broader Solana meme coin season amplifies the narrative, driving holder count back above 13,000 and pushing price toward the $0.003–$0.005 range.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer endorsement
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Sustained buying volume above $100K/day
  • Holder count reversal from decline to growth

Base case

Lobstar continues to trade in a $0.001400–$0.002000 range with occasional pump-and-fade events driven by social media activity. Holders continue to slowly decline at -0.5% to -1% per day. The token maintains its meme status but fails to break out meaningfully.

  • No major new catalyst emerges in the next 30 days
  • Sell pressure remains dominant but not catastrophic
  • Liquidity pool remains intact above $150K
  • Price oscillates around current FDV of $1.5M–$2M

Bear case (high)

The candle [2] pump was a coordinated event by a whale exiting. Sell pressure continues to dominate, holders continue declining, and the token slowly bleeds toward $0.001 or lower as liquidity thins and interest fades.

  • Continued holder decline acceleration
  • Whale distribution from top 10 holders
  • No new narrative catalyst or community growth
  • Liquidity pool thinning as LPs exit

GeneratedMay 2, 09:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-02T21:00 UTC. Candle data is current to the most recent hourly close.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (AADJrfmWoHVXZhF1UkbHvNC5tqrBpkGdSaxtMYteDm2x)
  • Hourly OHLCV candle data (24 candles, 2026-05-01T22:00 to 2026-05-02T21:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buy/sell counts, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (11,473 holders, acquisition breakdown)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • 30-day daily historical holder count series
  • Sniper analysis data (none available)

Limitations

  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are incomplete
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority cannot be confirmed
  • Only 24 hourly candles provided — longer-term technical analysis is limited
  • Meme token valuation is inherently unpredictable and sentiment-driven
  • Holder classification (whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus) thresholds not defined in source data
  • No team/developer wallet identification possible from provided data
  • Single large volume event in candle [2] may distort 24h analytics

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,944,911.54

Key Risks

•Persistent holder decline of -17% over 30 days with no reversal signal
•72.7% sell pressure in 24h — market is dominated by sellers
•Shallow liquidity ($252.55K) creates high slippage risk for exits
•Concentrated ownership: top 100 hold 73.72% of supply

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data was provided for Lobstar. Smart money signals cannot be derived from on-chain sniper activity. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token launched without significant bot activity at inception, or that the data was not captured. Analysis relies solely on holder distribution and trading analytics.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer PnL data available. However, the persistent 30-day holder decline (-17%) suggests many early holders have already exited or are in the process of distributing.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Lobstar (Lobstar)?

Price spiked sharply in candles [2] and [1] (20:00–21:00 UTC), reaching a high of $0.002152 before pulling back to close at $0.001761. The 5m and 1h changes are both negative (~-2.2%), suggesting the spike is fading. Short-term direction is neutral-to-bearish unless fresh buying volume emerges. Support sits near $0.001420 (recent lows) and resistance near $0.002152 (recent spike high). Short-term outlook is neutral (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.001420 to $0.002152.

Is Lobstar a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 8.2/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or those without experience in meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal relative to overall portfolio.

How are Lobstar holders trending?

Lobstar currently has 11,473 holders and is declining (24h: -0.36, 7d: -3.8, 30d: -17). The holder trend is unambiguously declining. From a peak of ~13,351 on 2026-04-02, holders have fallen to 11,473 by 2026-05-02 — a loss of 1,878 holders (-14.1%) in 30 days. The daily data shows the decline accelerating: early April losses were -6 to -72/day, while late April saw losses of -91 to -150/day. The single positive day (Apr 25: +108) was an anomaly quickly reversed. The distribution breakdown shows 177 whales, 78 sharks, 505 dolphins, 704 fish, and 1,096 octopus-tier holders. The majority of holders are small fish/octopus, suggesting retail dominance with whales potentially distributing.

What does sniper activity look like for Lobstar?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Lobstar?

Persistent holder decline of -17% over 30 days with no reversal signal • 72.7% sell pressure in 24h — market is dominated by sellers • Shallow liquidity ($252.55K) creates high slippage risk for exits

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