ARX

Arcium Price Today & AI Analysis

ARXSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 22, 2026

Price

$0.1865

-5.79% 24h · FDV $186,470,825

Contract

Live
ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs

Chain

Solana

Holders

3,870

Market cap

$186,470,825

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Arcium: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-22 11:19 UTC

Holder addresses

306

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$238,022.61
How concentrated is Arcium ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 306 addresses (2026-06-22 11:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Arcium?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Arcium liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-22 11:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $238,022.61. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-22 11:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Jun 22, 11:19 AM UTC

FDV

$406,153,049

Liquidity

$238,022.61

Holders

306

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ARX (Arcium) is a Solana-based token with mint address ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs. The token launched very recently, with holder count exploding from 4 (May 23) to 306 in roughly 30 days — 275 of those holders acquired in the last 24 hours alone. The single most alarming on-chain signal is extreme supply concentration: the top holder (address 5TCg6R8VumCvSHQxQ5gLiDpHfLnq6WmpUoGJ91UJ4ctq, which is also the update authority) holds 98% of the 1 billion token supply. The token is mutable and authority has NOT been renounced. Price dropped -38.47% in 24 hours. Total liquidity is only $238K against a fully diluted valuation of ~$425M — a massive disconnect. This token presents extreme risk.

Key points

  • Update authority wallet holds 98% of total supply — catastrophic concentration risk
  • Token is mutable with authority not renounced, enabling supply or metadata changes
  • Holder count grew 99% in 30 days but 90% of that growth occurred in the last 24 hours — highly suspicious
  • Price dropped -38.47% in 24 hours with dominant sell pressure (59.9%)
  • Liquidity of only $238K vs $425M FDV — a 1,785x liquidity-to-FDV gap

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

Price has already collapsed -38.47% in 24 hours, closing at $0.4062. The most recent hourly candle (11:00 UTC) opened at $0.4306 and closed at $0.4062 — a bearish close at the low. The prior candle (10:00 UTC) was a massive range candle (H: $0.6601, L: $0.3362) indicating extreme volatility and distribution. With 59.9% sell pressure, dominant sellers, and the 98% holder able to dump at any time, further downside is the base expectation.

Target low

$0.25

Target high

$0.45

Support

$0.3362 (10:00 UTC candle low), $0.25 (psychological / extrapolated)

Resistance

$0.4306 (11:00 UTC open), $0.6601 (10:00 UTC high / recent peak)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Unless the 98% concentrated holder locks or burns their supply and liquidity deepens substantially, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The FDV of $425M is entirely unsupported by $238K in liquidity. Any meaningful sell from the dominant wallet would be catastrophic for price.

Catalysts

  • Renouncement of mint/freeze/update authority would be a significant positive catalyst
  • Liquidity deepening above $5M would improve market health
  • Verified project utility or exchange listing could attract genuine buyers
  • Continued sell pressure from dominant wallet would accelerate decline

Bullish factors

  • Holder count grew rapidly (+275 in 24h), suggesting growing awareness
  • 924 buys vs 907 sells in 24h — buy transaction count is slightly higher than sells
  • Token has verified contract status and social links (Twitter, website)
  • 1h price change is +2.47%, suggesting a very short-term bounce attempt

Bearish factors

  • Price down -38.47% in 24 hours
  • 98% of supply held by a single wallet (the update authority)
  • Token is mutable — metadata and potentially supply can be changed
  • Sell volume ($106.63K) significantly exceeds buy volume ($71.28K)
  • Liquidity of $238K vs $425M FDV is an extreme mismatch
  • Historical holders were flat at 4 for weeks before a sudden suspicious spike
  • No sniper data available, limiting early-buyer behavior analysis

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, providing minimal technical data. The token is extremely new (most holders acquired in 24h). Price action is dominated by a single wallet holding 98% of supply, making standard technical analysis largely irrelevant. Confidence is low due to data scarcity and extreme manipulation risk.

ARX call history

Full track record →

Jun 22bearish
24h-12.6%
7d-35.1%
30d-58.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
ARXwZk...DrFs
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 ARX

Key Risks

  • Single wallet holds 98% of supply and is also the update authority — extreme rug pull risk
  • Token is mutable with active update authority — metadata and parameters can be changed
  • Liquidity of $238K vs $425M FDV — any significant sell would crash price to near zero
  • Price already down -38.47% in 24 hours with dominant sell pressure

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (10:00 UTC): O=$0.6328, H=$0.6601, L=$0.3362, C=$0.3783 — an extremely wide-range bearish candle (range: $0.3239) closing near the low, indicating aggressive selling and a potential blow-off top. Volume was massive at 60,196 units. Candle [1] (11:00 UTC): O=$0.4306, H=$0.4378, L=$0.4062, C=$0.4062 — a bearish candle closing at its low with much lower volume (1,252 units), confirming continued selling pressure and no recovery. The pattern is a bearish continuation after a sharp drop.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The token is in a clear short-term downtrend. The price peaked at $0.6601 in the 10:00 UTC candle and has since made lower highs and lower lows. With only 2 candles available, medium-term trend assessment is limited but directionally bearish given the -38.47% 24h decline.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

40%

Sell

60%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.4062 (current price / 11:00 UTC candle low)

Major support

$0.3362 (10:00 UTC candle absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.4378 (11:00 UTC candle high)

Major resistance

$0.6601 (10:00 UTC candle high / recent peak)

Immediate support sits at the current price of $0.4062. A break below $0.3362 (the 10:00 UTC candle low) would signal further capitulation with no established support below. Resistance at $0.4378 is the 11:00 UTC high; a recovery above $0.6601 would require a complete sentiment reversal.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish wide-range candle closing near low (10:00 UTC) — classic distribution/dump candle
  • Follow-through bearish candle closing at low (11:00 UTC) — bearish continuation
  • Volume climax on the dump candle followed by volume collapse — potential exhaustion but no reversal confirmation
  • No higher highs or higher lows established — pure downtrend structure

Liquidity

Liquidity

$238,022.61

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $238K against a fully diluted valuation of ~$425M — a ratio of approximately 0.056%, meaning less than 0.06 cents of liquidity backs every dollar of FDV. This extreme mismatch means that any significant sell order from the 98% holder would completely drain the pool and crash the price to near zero. Slippage risk is high for any trade above a few thousand dollars. The 24h net flow is negative (outflow): sell volume of $106.63K exceeds buy volume of $71.28K by $35.35K. Interestingly, there are more unique buyers (312) than sellers (187), but sellers are transacting in larger average sizes (~$570/seller vs ~$228/buyer), indicating that larger holders are exiting while smaller retail participants are buying. The trading pair is on Meteora DLMM (BYbQWjzuAHBGx84uXYinWgdrtV9J1etX99g9XUuaFxb1).

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 ARX

FDV

$424,980,000

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped -38.47% in 24 hours. The 10:00 UTC candle had a range of $0.3239 (from $0.3362 to $0.6601) in a single hour — extreme intraday volatility. With only $238K in liquidity, even modest sell orders cause massive price swings.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $238K against $425M FDV is a 0.056% ratio. High slippage risk on any trade above a few thousand dollars. A single large sell from the 98% holder would be catastrophic and unabsorbable by the current pool.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single wallet holds 98% of supply and is also the update authority — extreme rug pull risk
  • Token is mutable with active update authority — metadata and parameters can be changed
  • Liquidity of $238K vs $425M FDV — any significant sell would crash price to near zero
  • Price already down -38.47% in 24 hours with dominant sell pressure
  • Holder growth pattern (flat for weeks, then +275 in 24h) is highly suspicious and may indicate coordinated activity
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — additional hidden risks possible
  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — insufficient data for reliable technical analysis

Mitigating factors

  • Token has verified contract status on-chain
  • Social links present (Twitter, website, Moralis)
  • 924 buy transactions vs 907 sell transactions — retail buy interest exists
  • 312 unique buyers in 24h suggests some genuine market interest
  • Token description references 'Arcium network' — may have legitimate project backing (unverified)

Suitable for

This token is NOT suitable for risk-averse or retail investors. The 98% supply concentration, mutable token status, shallow liquidity, and -38.47% price drop make this extremely high risk. Only sophisticated traders with full awareness of the rug pull risk, strict position sizing (treat as near-total-loss scenario), and active monitoring should consider any exposure. Most investors should avoid entirely.

ARX presents an extremely high-risk profile dominated by a single structural flaw: one wallet controls 98% of the token supply and is also the update authority on a mutable token. Until this concentration is resolved through transparent locking, burning, or vesting with public proof, the token cannot be considered investable by any standard risk framework. The rapid holder growth in 24h and the -38.47% price drop suggest the token may already be in a distribution/exit phase.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The project team (5TCg6R8VumCvSHQxQ5gLiDpHfLnq6WmpUoGJ91UJ4ctq) publicly locks or burns the 98% supply, renounces all authorities, deepens liquidity to $5M+, and the Arcium network launches with genuine utility. In this scenario, the token could recover and appreciate significantly from current levels.

  • Authority renouncement and supply lock/burn announcement
  • Arcium network mainnet launch with real utility
  • Exchange listings driving liquidity and volume
  • Community growth beyond the suspicious 24h spike

Base Case

The token continues to trade with high volatility and declining price as sell pressure dominates. The 98% holder does not immediately dump but the lack of liquidity, mutable status, and concentrated supply prevent meaningful price recovery. The token gradually loses value as retail interest fades.

  • 98% holder does not immediately exit but maintains position
  • No new liquidity is added to the pool
  • Retail buying interest continues to wane after the initial 24h spike
  • No major project announcements or exchange listings in the near term

Bear Case

High probability

The 98% holder sells into the market (or the project is abandoned), draining all liquidity and crashing the price to near zero. Given the $238K liquidity pool, even a 1% sell from the dominant wallet (~$4.25M worth at current prices) would completely destroy the pool.

  • 98% supply concentration with no lock or vesting
  • Mutable token with active authority enabling rug
  • Price already in sharp decline (-38.47% in 24h)
  • Suspicious holder growth pattern suggesting coordinated activity
  • Extreme FDV-to-liquidity mismatch

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 22, 11:19 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-22 11:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs)
  • Price feed and 24h change data
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 2 candles)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Top 20 holder list with balances
  • Historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided
  • Holder growth spike in last 24h may reflect data anomaly or wash activity — cannot be verified
  • Token is very new (most holders < 24h old) — historical patterns are not yet established
  • FDV calculation may differ between sources ($406M vs $425M) — minor discrepancy noted
  • Update authority wallet classification as 'team' is inferred, not confirmed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. The data used is sourced from on-chain metrics and third-party providers and may contain inaccuracies. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in newly launched tokens with extreme supply concentration, carry very high risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Arcium ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 306 addresses (2026-06-22 11:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Arcium?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Arcium liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-22 11:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $238,022.61. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Arcium (ARX)?

Price has already collapsed -38.47% in 24 hours, closing at $0.4062. The most recent hourly candle (11:00 UTC) opened at $0.4306 and closed at $0.4062 — a bearish close at the low. The prior candle (10:00 UTC) was a massive range candle (H: $0.6601, L: $0.3362) indicating extreme volatility and distribution. With 59.9% sell pressure, dominant sellers, and the 98% holder able to dump at any time, further downside is the base expectation. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.25 to $0.45.

Is ARX a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is NOT suitable for risk-averse or retail investors. The 98% supply concentration, mutable token status, shallow liquidity, and -38.47% price drop make this extremely high risk. Only sophisticated traders with full awareness of the rug pull risk, strict position sizing (treat as near-total-loss scenario), and active monitoring should consider any exposure. Most investors should avoid entirely.

What are the key risks of holding ARX?

Single wallet holds 98% of supply and is also the update authority — extreme rug pull risk • Token is mutable with active update authority — metadata and parameters can be changed • Liquidity of $238K vs $425M FDV — any significant sell would crash price to near zero

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