PATCH

Patch Price Today & AI Analysis

PATCHSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 9, 2026

Price

$0.000163

+259.60% 24h

Contract

Live
AEPBdj3RViMJKCHM1xiVaM1VNuP7VbZRSN68gu5xpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,088

Market cap

$156,381

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Patch: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-09 23:15 UTC

Holder addresses

1,088

Top 10 supply share

26.27%

Reported liquidity

$18,836.00
How concentrated is Patch ownership?
As of 2026-10-09 23:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 26.27% of supply. It reports 1,088 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Patch?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-09 23:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $583,759.00 in buys and $564,674.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Patch liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +47.44%, from $12,944.17 (2026-10-09 21:00 UTC) to $19,085.33 (2026-10-09 23:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-09 23:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-09 21:00 UTC$12,944.17
2026-10-09 22:00 UTC$22,551.89
2026-10-09 23:00 UTC$19,085.33

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 9, 11:15 PM UTC

FDV

$156,381

Liquidity

$18,836.00

Holders

1,088

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

PATCH is a PumpSwap-traded token with FDV of about $156K and only $18.84K of liquidity. Price is up about 259.6% in 24h, with an extreme hourly spike and pullback. Mint and freeze authority status and sniper data are unavailable.

Key points

  • 24h change +259.6% with a 21:00-22:00 candle range from $0.0000033 to $0.000469
  • 24h volume of about $1.15M against $18.84K liquidity
  • Top-10 holders share 26.27% across 1,088 holder addresses

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24h

neutral

The price is extremely volatile after a parabolic move. The last 5m change is -6.76% and the latest candle closed below its open. Direction is not reliably predictable.

Target low

$0.00005

Target high

$0.00024

Support

$0.00011, $0.000021

Resistance

$0.00024, $0.00047

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Thin liquidity and a vertical spike make the medium-term outcome highly uncertain. Sustained volume would be needed to hold gains.

Catalysts

  • Continued buy volume
  • Liquidity additions
  • Social and website activity

Bullish factors

  • Buy pressure of 50.8%
  • 3,467 buyers vs 2,938 sellers
  • Strong momentum, +152.7% in 1h

Bearish factors

  • Liquidity of only $18.84K
  • The last candle is red, closing at $0.000162 after a $0.000469 high
  • Parabolic spike, which is prone to reversal
  • Authority and sniper data unknown

Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly candles are available, and the token has a short, extremely volatile history.

PATCH call history

Full track record →

Oct 9neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
AEPBdj...pump
Total Supply
960,856,591.52

Key Risks

  • Very thin liquidity
  • Parabolic spike with reversal risk
  • Unknown mint and freeze authorities
  • Missing sniper data

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Candle 1 was a strong bullish candle (O 0.0000033, C 0.0000857). Candle 2 spiked to a high of 0.000469, and its close was 0.000214, leaving a long upper wick. Candle 3 was bearish, with a high of 0.000243 and a close of 0.000162.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Uptrend

A massive upward move was followed by a retracement from the peak. The trend is unclear after the blow-off.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00011

Major support

$0.0000214

Immediate resistance

$0.000243

Major resistance

$0.000469

Levels are derived from the 3 candles' highs and lows. The history is very short.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper wick (shooting-star-like) on candle 2
  • Bearish reversal candle after the spike
  • Volume climax then decline

Liquidity

Liquidity

$18,836.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

24h volume of about $1.15M is roughly 61x liquidity of $18.84K, so slippage and price impact are significant. Net flow is slightly positive at about $19K. Liquidity is about 12% of FDV.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

960,856,591.52

FDV

$156.38K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The price rose 259.6% in 24h, and the hourly range reached from $0.0000033 to $0.000469.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Liquidity is only $18.84K against $1.15M of daily volume.

  • Concentrationmedium

    The top 10 hold 26.27%. Only top-10 data is available, with no wallet classification.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Very thin liquidity
  • Parabolic spike with reversal risk
  • Unknown mint and freeze authorities
  • Missing sniper data

Mitigating factors

  • Active two-sided trading with 3,467 buyers and 2,938 sellers
  • 1,088 holder addresses
  • Top-10 share of 26.27%

Suitable for

Only for speculative traders who can tolerate total loss. It is not suitable for conservative investors.

This is a high-risk speculative momentum token with thin liquidity and incomplete safety data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Momentum continues and liquidity grows, supporting a retest of $0.00024-$0.00047.

  • Sustained buying
  • Liquidity growth
  • Community growth

Base Case

Choppy, volatile consolidation with a downward bias.

  • Volume keeps declining
  • Liquidity stays low

Bear Case

High probability

The post-spike retracement continues toward $0.00002-$0.00005 as volume fades.

  • Declining volume
  • Thin liquidity
  • Profit-taking after a +259% move

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 9, 11:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-09 23:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Price and OHLC (3 hourly candles)
  • Trading analytics
  • Holder aggregates (Codex snapshot)

Limitations

  • Only 3 candles
  • No sniper data
  • No authority checks
  • No holder history or wallet classification

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Patch ownership?

As of 2026-10-09 23:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 26.27% of supply. It reports 1,088 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Patch?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-09 23:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $583,759.00 in buys and $564,674.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Patch liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +47.44%, from $12,944.17 (2026-10-09 21:00 UTC) to $19,085.33 (2026-10-09 23:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Patch (PATCH)?

The price is extremely volatile after a parabolic move. The last 5m change is -6.76% and the latest candle closed below its open. Direction is not reliably predictable. Short-term outlook is neutral (24h), with a target range of $0.00005 to $0.00024.

Is PATCH a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Only for speculative traders who can tolerate total loss. It is not suitable for conservative investors.

What are the key risks of holding PATCH?

Very thin liquidity • Parabolic spike with reversal risk • Unknown mint and freeze authorities

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