TOAD

The Toad Pepe Price Today & AI Analysis

TOADSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 28, 2026

Price

$0.002221

+15.45% 24h

Contract

Live
A13oRB9FFaiUjfi6LdCg6p9ka1u8SfGkUFs4SKvPpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

19,921

Market cap

$2,133,391

Ask Unhosted AI about TOAD

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

More tokens on Solana

jizzjizzsmurf jizz$0.000145+43.4%MC $144.7KJEANPHILJEANPHILJean Phil$0.003242-39.1%MC $3.14MHOODHOODRobinhood$0.053529-94.0%MC $3.5KGTA6GTA6GTA VI$0.0147+29041.3%MC $14.64MCreamCreamCream$0.000105-78.7%MC $103.4Ke/acce/accEffective Accelerationism$0.008889+103.9%MC $8.74M

The Toad Pepe: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-28 20:15 UTC

Holder addresses

19,921

Top 10 supply share

26.14%

Reported liquidity

$158,835.00
How concentrated is The Toad Pepe ownership?
As of 2026-09-28 20:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 26.14% of supply. It reports 19,921 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling The Toad Pepe?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-28 20:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $459,959.00 in buys and $442,658.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Toad Pepe liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +26.54%, from $168,970.30 (2026-09-27 21:00 UTC) to $213,816.40 (2026-09-28 20:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-28 20:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-27 21:00 UTC$168,970.30
2026-09-27 22:00 UTC$169,053.09
2026-09-27 23:00 UTC$169,923.78
2026-09-28 00:00 UTC$169,849.22
2026-09-28 01:00 UTC$167,341.54
2026-09-28 02:00 UTC$166,441.65
2026-09-28 03:00 UTC$167,383.87
2026-09-28 04:00 UTC$167,754.30
2026-09-28 05:00 UTC$166,203.76
2026-09-28 06:00 UTC$162,089.79
2026-09-28 07:00 UTC$160,803.98
2026-09-28 08:00 UTC$158,802.78
2026-09-28 09:00 UTC$160,626.41
2026-09-28 10:00 UTC$162,342.90
2026-09-28 11:00 UTC$162,385.93
2026-09-28 12:00 UTC$164,502.35
2026-09-28 13:00 UTC$164,605.11
2026-09-28 14:00 UTC$159,787.43
2026-09-28 15:00 UTC$162,441.00
2026-09-28 16:00 UTC$163,044.36
2026-09-28 17:00 UTC$159,748.80
2026-09-28 18:00 UTC$203,479.21
2026-09-28 19:00 UTC$233,077.63
2026-09-28 20:00 UTC$213,816.40

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Sep 28, 08:16 PM UTC

FDV

$2,133,391

Liquidity

$158,835.00

Holders

19,921

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

The Toad Pepe (TOAD) is a pump.fun-style meme token on Solana (PumpSwap pair) with a current price of $0.00222, a fully diluted valuation of ~$2.13M, and 19,921 holder addresses per the latest snapshot. The token just experienced a dramatic single-hour price and volume spike (+72% intra-candle high, ~$1.26M volume vs typical hourly volumes under $25K) followed by a partial pullback, against a backdrop of shallow total liquidity (~$158.84K). Critical due-diligence data — mint/freeze authority status, sniper activity, and holder history — is unavailable, leaving significant unresolved risk.

Key points

  • Sudden, extreme single-hour volume/price spike (+72% intra-candle) that stands out sharply from otherwise range-bound 24h trading
  • Shallow liquidity (~$158.84K) relative to both 24h volume (>$900K combined) and FDV (~$2.13M), implying high slippage and volatility risk
  • Slight net buy pressure (51% buy vs 49% sell) with broad participation (2,353 buyers vs 1,812 sellers in 24h)
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 26.14% from a single current snapshot, with no historical or classification context
  • Complete absence of sniper data and mint/freeze authority confirmation, representing major due-diligence gaps rather than clean signals

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-48 hours

neutral

Following an explosive, high-volume spike to $0.00293 and partial retracement to $0.00222, the immediate path is uncertain: price could consolidate at elevated levels if the buying volume driving the spike continues, or fully retrace into the prior $0.00165-0.00191 range if the move was a one-off liquidity/order event. The slight net buy pressure (51%/49%) does not strongly favor either continuation or reversal.

Target low

$0.00165

Target high

$0.00293

Support

$0.00217, $0.00190, $0.00165

Resistance

$0.00248, $0.00293

Medium term · 1-2 weeks

neutral

Medium-term direction depends heavily on factors not observable in this dataset — sustained volume, holder retention beyond the current 19,921-address snapshot, and resolution of unknown mint/freeze authority status. Given shallow liquidity (~$158.84K) relative to FDV (~$2.13M), the token remains structurally fragile and prone to sharp moves in either direction.

Catalysts

  • Whether the volume spike in candle [23] attracts sustained new buyer interest or fades as a one-time event
  • Any future clarification of mint/freeze authority status, which could materially change risk perception
  • Liquidity depth changes (LP additions or removals) on the PumpSwap pair
  • Broader meme-coin market sentiment given TOAD's pump.fun-style branding

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume slightly exceeds sell volume (51% vs 49%), with more unique buyers (2,353) than sellers (1,812)
  • Large volume spike suggests renewed market attention and capital inflow
  • Price remains up 15.45% over 24h despite partial retracement from the intra-hour high

Bearish factors

  • Sharp pullback from $0.00293 high to $0.00222 close in the final candle suggests profit-taking pressure
  • Liquidity of only ~$158.84K is very shallow relative to volume, raising slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status and absence of sniper data leave critical rug-risk questions unanswered
  • Prior to the spike, price was range-bound/declining within a $0.00165-0.00191 band for ~22 hours

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the analysis relies on a short 24-hour candle window dominated by a single anomalous volume spike, with no sniper data, no holder history, and unknown authority status. These gaps make it difficult to distinguish organic momentum from a short-lived liquidity event or coordinated activity.

TOAD call history

Full track record →

Sep 28neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
A13oRB...pump
Total Supply
960,548,671.04 TOAD

Key Risks

  • Shallow liquidity (~$158.84K) relative to volume creates high slippage and price-manipulation risk
  • Extreme single-hour volatility (+72% intra-candle spike) suggests possible coordinated buying or a low-float pump event
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply dilution or account freezing
  • No sniper data coverage means early-buyer dump risk cannot be assessed or ruled out

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the last 24 hourly candles, TOAD traded in a relatively tight range between ~$0.00165 and ~$0.00191 for roughly 22 hours, showing repeated shallow dips and recoveries (e.g., lows near $0.00165-0.00173 in candles [10], [17], [21], [22]). This range-bound, choppy action abruptly ended in candle [23] (19:00 UTC), where price spiked from an open of $0.00171 to a high of $0.00293 on volume of ~$1.26M — by far the largest volume bar in the set, roughly 100x a typical hour — before closing at $0.00248. The following candle [24] partially retraced to close at $0.00222, still well above the prior range, indicating the breakout has partially held.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend (last 2 hours) is sharply upward following the breakout spike, while the medium-term (24h) picture was sideways/range-bound before that spike, meaning the newly established uptrend has not yet been confirmed over multiple hours.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00217 (candle [24] low)

Major support

$0.00165 (range low across candles [10], [21], [22])

Immediate resistance

$0.00248 (candle [23] close / recent consolidation)

Major resistance

$0.00293 (candle [23] high, all-time high in this dataset)

The prior 22-hour trading range ($0.00165-$0.00191) now sits well below current price and should act as a strong support zone if price fully retraces. Immediate support at $0.00217 is the low of the most recent candle; a break below could target the $0.00190 area (top of the old range) before the deeper $0.00165 zone. On the upside, the spike high of $0.00293 is the key resistance to reclaim for continuation; failure to hold above ~$0.00217-0.00222 risks a fade back into the old range.

Notable patterns

  • Volume breakout candle (candle [23]): a single hourly candle with volume ~50-100x the recent average and a +72% high-to-open move, consistent with a sudden liquidity event, large buy order, or coordinated pump
  • Post-spike pullback/retracement candle (candle [24]): price fades from $0.00293 high to $0.00222 close, a bearish upper wick suggesting profit-taking after the spike
  • Prior range-bound chop (candles [1]-[22]): repeated lower wicks toward $0.00165-0.00173 with recoveries, indicating accumulation/consolidation before the breakout

Liquidity

Liquidity

$158,835.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of ~$158.84K is thin relative to a 24h trading volume exceeding $900K combined (buy+sell), implying the pool is being turned over roughly 5-6x daily — a hallmark of a shallow, volatile PumpSwap pair where large orders can move price significantly (confirmed by the +72% intra-hour spike in candle [23]). Buy volume ($459.96K) modestly exceeds sell volume ($442.66K), a 51%/49% split indicating a slight net inflow, and buyer count (2,353) exceeds seller count (1,812), suggesting broad-based but only marginally net-positive participation. Given the low absolute liquidity depth, slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade is high.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

960,548,671.04 TOAD

FDV

$2.13M

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token moved from ~$0.00171 to a high of $0.00293 within a single hour (candle [23]), a swing of roughly +72%, before partially retracing to $0.00222 (still +15.45% on the 24h window). This level of intra-hour volatility indicates a highly speculative, thinly-traded micro-cap.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only ~$158.84K against 24h combined volume above $900K, meaning the pool turns over multiple times daily. This shallow depth creates high slippage risk and vulnerability to sharp price dislocations from moderately sized trades.

  • Concentrationunknown

    Only a top-10 concentration figure (26.14%) is available from a single snapshot; there is no top-100 breakdown, no wallet classification, and no historical trend. Given this incomplete coverage, true concentration risk (including potential insider or team wallets) cannot be reliably assessed and is marked unknown rather than assumed low or medium.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Shallow liquidity (~$158.84K) relative to volume creates high slippage and price-manipulation risk
  • Extreme single-hour volatility (+72% intra-candle spike) suggests possible coordinated buying or a low-float pump event
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply dilution or account freezing
  • No sniper data coverage means early-buyer dump risk cannot be assessed or ruled out
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 26.14% is moderately high with no visibility into who controls those wallets
  • Meme-token nature (pump.fun origin, informal branding) typically carries elevated speculative and rug risk

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume ($459.96K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($442.66K), indicating marginal net buying pressure rather than a one-sided dump
  • Broad participation with 2,353 unique buyers vs 1,812 sellers in 24h suggests activity is not limited to a tiny handful of wallets
  • 19,921 holder addresses on the current snapshot shows some breadth of distribution, though this cannot be verified as unique individuals or assessed for trend

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculative traders comfortable with total capital loss; not appropriate for conservative investors or those seeking stable, well-documented projects given the unresolved authority status and shallow liquidity.

TOAD is a low-cap, pump.fun-originated meme token trading on a shallow-liquidity PumpSwap pair that just experienced a dramatic single-hour volume and price spike (+72% intra-candle) followed by partial retracement. The setup offers high speculative upside potential but carries very high risk due to unresolved authority status, thin liquidity, and a complete lack of sniper/holder-history data needed for deeper due diligence.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The volume spike marks the start of sustained renewed interest (e.g., social/marketing catalyst), attracting fresh buyers, holding price above the old $0.00165-0.00191 range, and pushing toward a retest or breakout above the $0.00293 spike high.

  • Continuation of net-positive buy pressure (currently only marginal at 51%/49%)
  • Broad buyer participation (2,353 unique buyers in 24h) translating into durable demand
  • Positive social media momentum given the token's twitter/website presence

Base Case

Price consolidates somewhere between the pre-spike range and the spike high (roughly $0.00190-$0.00248) as the market digests the volume event, with continued two-sided, high-volatility trading typical of a low-liquidity meme token.

  • Trading volume normalizes toward pre-spike levels but remains elevated versus the initial 22-hour window
  • No major new negative catalyst (e.g., a confirmed rug signal) emerges
  • Liquidity remains roughly stable near current levels (~$158.84K), preserving current slippage/volatility characteristics

Bear Case

Medium probability

The spike was a short-lived liquidity/order event (e.g., a large buy sweeping thin liquidity) with no sustained follow-through; price fully retraces into or below the prior $0.00165-0.00191 range as early spike participants take profit.

  • Already-visible pullback from $0.00293 to $0.00222 in the latest candle
  • Very shallow liquidity (~$158.84K) makes the pool susceptible to rapid one-directional moves
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority and lack of sniper visibility could mean unmitigated dump risk from undisclosed large holders
  • Top-10 wallets hold 26.14% of supply with no visibility into their intentions

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 28, 08:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-28 20:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • USD price and 24h change feed
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (24 most recent hours, PumpSwap pair)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, liquidity, FDV)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count and top-10 concentration only)

Limitations

  • No sniper data was available, preventing any assessment of early-buyer concentration, PnL, or dump risk
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) was provided — only a single current snapshot of holder count and top-10 concentration
  • No top-100 holder concentration or wallet classification data was available, limiting whale/distribution analysis
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, verified-contract status, and mutability flags were all unknown, leaving a critical rug-risk gap unresolved
  • Analysis is based on only 24 hours of hourly candle data, which is a short window dominated by one anomalous volume spike and may not represent the token's typical behavior
  • 6h price change and native price were unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from limited, provider-supplied on-chain and market data that contains significant gaps (sniper coverage, holder history, mint/freeze authority status). Cryptocurrency, and especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry very high risk including total loss of capital. Conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The Toad Pepe ownership?

As of 2026-09-28 20:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 26.14% of supply. It reports 19,921 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling The Toad Pepe?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-28 20:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $459,959.00 in buys and $442,658.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Toad Pepe liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +26.54%, from $168,970.30 (2026-09-27 21:00 UTC) to $213,816.40 (2026-09-28 20:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Toad Pepe (TOAD)?

Following an explosive, high-volume spike to $0.00293 and partial retracement to $0.00222, the immediate path is uncertain: price could consolidate at elevated levels if the buying volume driving the spike continues, or fully retrace into the prior $0.00165-0.00191 range if the move was a one-off liquidity/order event. The slight net buy pressure (51%/49%) does not strongly favor either continuation or reversal. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.00165 to $0.00293.

Is TOAD a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 82/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculative traders comfortable with total capital loss; not appropriate for conservative investors or those seeking stable, well-documented projects given the unresolved authority status and shallow liquidity.

What are the key risks of holding TOAD?

Shallow liquidity (~$158.84K) relative to volume creates high slippage and price-manipulation risk • Extreme single-hour volatility (+72% intra-candle spike) suggests possible coordinated buying or a low-float pump event • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply dilution or account freezing

← Back to all predictions

Questions about TOAD?