: - )

: - ) Price Today & AI Analysis

: - )
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 17, 2026

9mogtCxcCvSqyyCkt1eAG4Tg5jjFfDDQPiGg3mMWpump

$0.043031

-4.73%

FDV $28,693

LiveContract:9mogtCxcCvSqyyCkt1eAG4Tg5jjFfDDQPiGg3mMWpumpChain:SolanaHolders:395Market cap:$28,693

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Report snapshotas of Jun 17, 10:47 PM
FDV

$199,119

Liquidity

$56,238

Holders

573

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

': - )' (symbol: ': - )') is a meme token on Solana launched on PumpSwap, themed around the original 1982 emoticon invented by Scott Fahlman. The token has experienced an extraordinary 1,855% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a sudden spike in trading activity. However, the token exhibits severe structural risks: the top holder (the PumpSwap liquidity pool address) controls 44.03% of supply, the top 10 holders collectively hold 68.29%, sell pressure massively dominates at 79.4% of 24h volume, and liquidity is extremely shallow at $56.24K. The token is unverified, authority status is unknown, and the description contains promotional claims ('Scott is fully endorsing the project!') that cannot be verified and should be treated as a manipulation signal.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price appreciation of +1,855% from a very low base
Themed around the original 1982 emoticon — culturally recognizable meme concept
Severe sell-side dominance: 79.4% sell pressure vs 20.6% buy pressure in 24h
Top 10 holders control 68.29% of supply — highly concentrated
Liquidity is very shallow at $56.24K with high slippage risk
Unverified contract with unknown authority status

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already retraced sharply from its spike high, with the 1h change at -27.3% even as the 24h figure remains elevated. Sell pressure at 79.4% of volume and 632 unique sellers vs 235 buyers signals continued distribution. The price is likely to face heavy resistance near recent highs and could retrace significantly given the shallow liquidity.

Target low$0.000010
Target high$0.000250
Support: $0.000013 (recent candle low cluster), $0.000010 (pre-spike base)
Resistance: $0.000186 (candle [1] high), $0.000210 (current price / recent peak area)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Without sustained buying interest, meaningful liquidity depth, or verified fundamentals, the token is likely to revert toward pre-pump levels. Holder growth was essentially flat for 30 days prior to the pump event, suggesting no organic community build-up. The promotional claim about Scott Fahlman's endorsement is unverified and may not sustain momentum.

Catalysts
  • Verified celebrity or creator endorsement (currently unverified)
  • Broader meme coin market rally on Solana
  • Listing on a centralized exchange
  • Significant liquidity injection into the pool

Bullish factors

  • Culturally resonant meme concept (original emoticon)
  • Strong 24h price momentum (+1,855%)
  • Rapid holder growth: +284 holders in 24h (+50%)
  • 5m price change still positive at +5.3%
  • Active trading with 683 unique wallets in 24h

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 79.4% of 24h volume
  • 1h price change already -27.3% — momentum fading
  • Top 10 holders control 68.29% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Liquidity extremely shallow at $56.24K
  • Unverified contract and unknown authority status
  • Holder base was flat/declining for 30 days before the pump
  • Unverified endorsement claim is a potential manipulation signal
  • FDV of only $199K — tiny market cap susceptible to manipulation
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (1,855% 24h move), very shallow liquidity ($56.24K), unknown authority status, unverified promotional claims, and the speculative meme nature of the token. Price action is highly unpredictable in this environment.

: - ) call history

Full track record →
Jun 17bearish
24h-82.2%
7d-90.7%
30d-91.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The OHLC data reveals a dramatic pump event beginning around candle [6] (17:00 UTC). Candles [10]–[6] show very low volume (64–416 USD) and tight price action in the $0.0000097–$0.0000131 range, representing the pre-pump base. Candle [6] shows a modest uptick to $0.0000139. Then candles [5]–[1] show explosive volume expansion (8,775 to 88,452 USD) with massive wicks — notably candle [1] has a low of $0.000186 and candle [2] has a low of $0.000143, which appear to be inverted (low > open) suggesting data anomalies or extreme intracandle volatility. The high-volume candles [1]–[3] show large wicks indicating significant selling into the pump. Candle [2] at 21:00 UTC had the highest volume at $88,452, suggesting peak activity. The most recent candle [1] shows a close of $0.0000139, well below the spike highs, indicating a sharp retracement from the pump peak.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 21%Sell 79%

Short-term trend is bearish as price retraces sharply from the pump spike. Medium-term (prior 30 days) was essentially sideways/flat with minimal holder or price movement before the sudden pump event.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000013 (recent candle close cluster, candles [1],[3],[5])
Major$0.000010 (pre-pump base, candles [8]–[11])
Resistance
Immediate$0.000021 (current price level)
Major$0.000186 (candle [1] spike high)

The pre-pump price range of $0.0000097–$0.0000131 forms a strong support zone. The spike highs around $0.000143–$0.000186 represent major resistance that would require significant new buying to reclaim. Current price of $0.000210 is above the candle data highs, suggesting the current price may reflect a brief continuation spike or data lag.

Notable patterns

  • Massive volume spike followed by rapid retracement — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • Large upper wicks on candles [1]–[3] indicating strong selling into the pump
  • Pre-pump candles [9]–[11] are doji-like with equal OHLC values — extremely low liquidity/activity
  • Volume climax at candle [2] followed by declining volume — bearish exhaustion signal
  • Price gap between pre-pump base (~$0.000010) and current price (~$0.000210) — over 20x expansion with no consolidation

Total holders573
24h Δ+50
7d Δ+51
30d Δ+48
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth was essentially flat or slightly declining from May 18 to June 16 (ranging 273–306 holders), then exploded +50% in 24h concurrent with the 1,855% price pump. This strongly suggests the holder growth is price-driven (FOMO buying) rather than organic community development. The correlation between price spike and holder surge is near-perfect, raising concerns about sustainability.

Historical holder data shows the token had 300 holders on May 18 and fluctuated between 273–306 through June 16 — essentially flat for ~30 days with minor daily fluctuations (mostly -1 to +3 per day). Then on June 17, holders surged by +284 (+50%) to 573, entirely coinciding with the price pump. The 7d growth of +51% and 30d growth of +48% are almost entirely attributable to the single-day pump event. This pattern is characteristic of speculative FOMO-driven accumulation during a pump, not sustained organic growth. The accelerating growth is technically true but contextually concerning.

Top 10 hold68.29%
Top 100 hold99.73%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

29uAQWsMCFrGSikDJLMpvS2NYMoR46jgct5JcaKP6t7Q

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

44.03%

2PGQ4acJV3J6yroPCxKdgWRzf1q7Ls9aPBYP1pZM3xVT

Individual whale or early holder

3.88%

8p6R79EZVKGovtcuDo6P9cdAxaLvL5EGSdbQHPNYX5x6

Individual whale (round balance of 30,000,000)

3.17%

GxWuNcdSLhs5TwUNV5sp9XUqG1nseH5LqqstcQoBCXAQ

Individual whale (round balance of 30,000,000 — identical to holder [3], possibly team/project)

3.17%

ErGVw8AvTN3hyAh3R6SY5dqqUiwiMwvAe4Yt8eeCQWW1

Individual whale or early holder

2.64%

The top holder at 44.03% is the PumpSwap liquidity pool (address matches the trading pair 29uAQWsMCFrGSikDJLMpvS2NYMoR46jgct5JcaKP6t7Q). Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders collectively control ~24.26% of supply. Holders [3] and [4] each hold exactly 30,000,000 tokens (3.17% each) — the round numbers suggest these may be team/project allocations or coordinated early buyers. The top 100 holders control 99.73% of supply, leaving only 0.27% distributed among the remaining 473+ holders. This is an extremely concentrated distribution. The dominant sell pressure (79.4%) and 632 sellers vs 235 buyers suggest whales and early holders are actively distributing into the pump.

Liquidity$56,240
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$38,370
Sell$147,930
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers235
Unique sellers632

Liquidity is critically shallow at $56.24K against an FDV of $199.12K — the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 28%, which is low and means even modest sell orders will cause significant price impact. The 24h sell volume of $147.93K already exceeds total liquidity, indicating the pool has been heavily stressed. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow): sell volume is 3.86x buy volume, and sellers (632) outnumber buyers (235) by nearly 3:1. Slippage risk is high — any position of meaningful size will face severe price impact on exit. The market health is poor, consistent with a post-pump distribution phase.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply946,720,176.125074
FDV$199,118.65

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a total supply of ~946.72 million with an FDV of ~$199K at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive indicator (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available data. The token was launched via PumpFun/PumpSwap (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically involves standard tokenomics but does not guarantee renounced authorities. The unknown authority status combined with an unverified contract represents meaningful rug risk that cannot be dismissed. The description's claim that 'Scott is fully endorsing the project' is unverified and should be treated as a potential manipulation signal per analysis ground rules.

Volatility
high

The token has surged 1,855% in 24h and is already retracing -27.3% in 1h. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing extremely difficult.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $56.24K. Sell volume in 24h ($147.93K) already exceeds the liquidity pool. Any significant sell order will cause severe slippage.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 68.29% of supply; top 100 control 99.73%. Two holders each have exactly 30M tokens (round numbers suggesting coordinated allocation). Extreme concentration enables price manipulation.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available. However, the 79.4% sell pressure and 632 sellers vs 235 buyers strongly implies early holders are dumping into the pump. Risk is elevated even without confirmed sniper data.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The contract is unverified. Mutable=false provides some comfort but does not confirm renounced authorities. Unknown authority status is a meaningful risk factor.

Key risks

  • Extreme price concentration risk: top 10 hold 68.29% of supply
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($56.24K) with high slippage on exit
  • Dominant sell pressure: 79.4% of 24h volume is sells
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Unverified promotional claim ('Scott is fully endorsing the project') — potential manipulation signal
  • Holder growth entirely FOMO-driven, not organic
  • Post-pump distribution pattern clearly visible in trading data
  • FDV of only $199K — extremely small and easily manipulated

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false means token metadata cannot be altered post-launch
  • Token launched on PumpSwap, a known Solana launchpad with standard mechanics
  • Culturally recognizable meme concept may attract continued speculative interest
  • Holder count grew +50% in 24h, showing some market awareness
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without a clear and executable exit strategy. Position sizes should be minimal relative to portfolio.

': - )' is a high-risk, speculative meme token that has experienced a dramatic pump event. The investment case rests entirely on continued speculative momentum, which is already showing signs of exhaustion. The structural fundamentals — shallow liquidity, extreme concentration, dominant sell pressure, unverified claims — are deeply unfavorable for sustained price appreciation.

Bull case (low)

Continued meme momentum drives further FOMO buying, the emoticon narrative gains viral traction on social media, and the token attracts enough new buyers to absorb the current sell pressure. Price could sustain above $0.000100 if liquidity deepens.

  • Viral social media spread of the emoticon/Scott Fahlman narrative
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Significant new liquidity injection into the PumpSwap pool
  • Verified or credible celebrity/creator endorsement

Base case

The token stabilizes in a range between $0.000020–$0.000060 as some buyers hold and sellers partially exhaust, before gradually declining over days/weeks as interest fades and the meme narrative loses momentum.

  • Some portion of new 24h holders hold their positions short-term
  • No major new catalyst (positive or negative) emerges immediately
  • Liquidity pool remains functional and is not drained
  • Broader Solana market remains stable

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to dominate, early holders complete their distribution, liquidity drains from the pool, and the price reverts to pre-pump levels near $0.000010–$0.000013. This represents a potential 95%+ decline from current prices.

  • Sustained 79.4% sell pressure with no reversal
  • Whale/early holder distribution into thin liquidity
  • Failure to attract new buyers after initial FOMO subsides
  • Unverified endorsement claim exposed as false, triggering panic selling
  • Shallow liquidity accelerating price decline on any significant sell order

GeneratedJun 17, 10:47 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 22:00–22:30 UTC on June 17, 2026. Historical holder data covers May 18 – June 16, 2026.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: 9mogtCxcCvSqyyCkt1eAG4Tg5jjFfDDQPiGg3mMWpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (29uAQWsMCFrGSikDJLMpvS2NYMoR46jgct5JcaKP6t7Q)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (11 candles, June 17 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyers, sellers, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are inferred from aggregate trading data only
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • OHLC candle data shows apparent anomalies (low > open in some candles) suggesting extreme intracandle volatility or data quirks
  • Only 11 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Token is unverified — on-chain claims (especially endorsement) cannot be validated
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement status
  • FDV and price data may lag real-time due to thin liquidity and rapid price movement

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. All data is sourced from on-chain and market data providers and may contain inaccuracies. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply946,720,176.125074

Key Risks

Extreme price concentration risk: top 10 hold 68.29% of supply
Critically shallow liquidity ($56.24K) with high slippage on exit
Dominant sell pressure: 79.4% of 24h volume is sells
Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the trading analytics show 632 unique sellers vs 235 unique buyers in 24h, with sell volume ($147.93K) nearly 4x buy volume ($38.37K), suggesting early participants or insiders may be distributing into the pump rally. The extreme sell pressure relative to buy pressure is a significant warning signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Cannot be determined from available data. The absence of sniper data, combined with the 79.4% sell pressure and the fact that 632 wallets are selling vs 235 buying, suggests early buyers (if any) are actively taking profits or cutting losses.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for : - ) (: - ))?

The token has already retraced sharply from its spike high, with the 1h change at -27.3% even as the 24h figure remains elevated. Sell pressure at 79.4% of volume and 632 unique sellers vs 235 buyers signals continued distribution. The price is likely to face heavy resistance near recent highs and could retrace significantly given the shallow liquidity. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000010 to $0.000250.

Is : - ) a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without a clear and executable exit strategy. Position sizes should be minimal relative to portfolio.

How are : - ) holders trending?

: - ) currently has 573 holders and is growing (24h: 50, 7d: 51, 30d: 48). Historical holder data shows the token had 300 holders on May 18 and fluctuated between 273–306 through June 16 — essentially flat for ~30 days with minor daily fluctuations (mostly -1 to +3 per day). Then on June 17, holders surged by +284 (+50%) to 573, entirely coinciding with the price pump. The 7d growth of +51% and 30d growth of +48% are almost entirely attributable to the single-day pump event. This pattern is characteristic of speculative FOMO-driven accumulation during a pump, not sustained organic growth. The accelerating growth is technically true but contextually concerning.

What does sniper activity look like for : - )?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding : - )?

Extreme price concentration risk: top 10 hold 68.29% of supply • Critically shallow liquidity ($56.24K) with high slippage on exit • Dominant sell pressure: 79.4% of 24h volume is sells

Track : - )