PAD

PAD Price Today & AI Analysis

PAD
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 12, 2026

9iKAPEqEDNqfZ2wD3g25RMRpYFW78AnXJgm6yNq5zpad

$0.000204

+381.21%

FDV $194,945

LiveContract:9iKAPEqEDNqfZ2wD3g25RMRpYFW78AnXJgm6yNq5zpadChain:SolanaHolders:1,544Market cap:$194,945

More tokens on Solana

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about PAD

Report snapshotas of Sep 12, 11:16 AM
FDV

$194,945

Liquidity

$20,289

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

PAD is a micro-cap token trading on PumpSwap with an FDV of approximately $194.94K and extremely thin liquidity of only $20.29K. The token has experienced a violent parabolic price spike (+381% over 24h, including a ~40x intra-hour move) followed by a sharp pullback, and the -19.4% move in the last 5 minutes suggests the initial pump is already fading. Key data — holder distribution, sniper activity, and mint/freeze authority status — is entirely unavailable or unknown, leaving major visibility gaps around concentration and rug risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.29K) relative to a $194.94K FDV and ~$1.17M in 24h combined volume
Parabolic blow-off-top candle pattern with a long upper wick followed by a red pullback candle
Nearly balanced 24h buy/sell volume (50.7%/49.3%) despite a lopsided buyer/seller headcount (3,595 vs 2,902)
Complete absence of holder distribution and sniper data, and unknown mint/freeze/update authority status

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1-24 hours

Short-term momentum has already turned negative, with a -19.4% move in the last 5 minutes following the blow-off top in candle 2 and the pullback in candle 3. Expect continued high volatility with a bias toward further consolidation or downside unless fresh buy volume enters quickly.

Target low$0.000113 (retracement toward mid-range of the recent pump)
Target high$0.000298 (retest of candle 3 high / immediate resistance)
Support: $0.000190 (candle 3 low), $0.0000113 (pre-spike level)
Resistance: $0.000298 (candle 3 high), $0.000458 (candle 2 high, all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

neutral
3-14 days

With only three hourly candles of history and no holder/sniper visibility, medium-term direction is highly uncertain. The token's fate will likely depend on whether liquidity is added, whether authorities are confirmed renounced, and whether sustained community/volume interest can be maintained beyond the initial pump.

Catalysts
  • Any liquidity additions that reduce slippage and crash risk
  • Confirmation (or lack thereof) of renounced mint/freeze authorities
  • Continued social media traction via Twitter/website
  • Broader market conditions for low-cap Solana/PumpSwap tokens

Bullish factors

  • Buyers outnumber sellers 3,595 to 2,902 over the past 24h
  • Slight net buy volume edge (50.7% vs 49.3%)
  • Existing social channels (Twitter, website) suggest active promotion

Bearish factors

  • Blow-off top pattern with long upper wick in candle 2 followed by a red pullback candle
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.29K) versus volume and FDV, raising crash/slippage risk
  • Negative short-term momentum (-19.4% over 5 minutes) despite positive 24h aggregate
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status introduces rug/dilution risk
  • No holder or sniper data to confirm healthy distribution or rule out dumping
Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the dataset only contains 3 hourly candles, no holder data, no sniper data, and unknown token authority status. The extreme volatility already observed (from -19% 5-min move to +381% 24h move) makes any point prediction unreliable, and the overall data gaps materially limit forecasting precision.

PAD call history

Full track record →
Sep 12bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle 1 (09:00 UTC) opened at $0.00000299, spiked to a high of $0.0000161, and closed near its low at $0.0000113 — a long-wick candle suggesting an initial pump-and-fade. Candle 2 (10:00 UTC) is an enormous bull candle: opened at $0.0000113, rocketed to a high of $0.000458 (a ~40x intra-candle spike) before closing at $0.000262 — a huge upper wick indicating strong buying followed by significant profit-taking off the top. Candle 3 (11:00 UTC) opened at $0.000262, made a lower high of $0.000298, dropped to a low of $0.000190, and closed at $0.000205 — a red/down candle giving back a large portion of candle 2's gains, closing near the middle-low of its range.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

Medium-term (from candle 1 to candle 3) the token is up dramatically (over 6,700% from candle 1 open), consistent with the reported 381% 24h change and a broader multi-hour parabolic move. However, the most recent short-term price action (candle 3, and the -19.4% 5-minute reading) shows the token pulling back sharply from its intra-hour peak of $0.000298, signaling short-term downtrend / consolidation after the initial spike.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000190 (candle 3 low)
Major$0.0000113 (candle 2 open / candle 1 close)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000298 (candle 3 high)
Major$0.000458 (candle 2 high, all-time high in dataset)

Price is currently ($0.000204) trading between the candle-3 low ($0.000190) as immediate support and the candle-3 high ($0.000298) as immediate resistance. The major resistance at $0.000458 marks the peak of the parabolic spike and would need a fresh volume surge to retest. Major support near $0.0000113–0.00000299 reflects the pre-spike price zone; a collapse back to that level would represent a near-total round-trip of the pump.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper-wick 'blow-off' candle (candle 2) suggesting a pump followed by heavy distribution near the top
  • Pullback/retracement candle (candle 3) giving back a large share of the prior candle's gains
  • Parabolic price spike (>40x within a single hour) typical of a low-liquidity micro-cap listing on PumpSwap
  • Short-term momentum reversal signaled by -19.4% 5-minute change despite positive 24h/1h aggregates

Liquidity$20.29K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$595.62K
Sell$579.24K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers3,595
Unique sellers2,902

Total liquidity of just $20.29K is extremely thin relative to the $194.94K FDV and the ~$1.17M in combined 24h volume (buys+sells). This mismatch — high volume against shallow liquidity — implies large price impact per trade and high slippage risk for any meaningfully sized order. Buy volume ($595.62K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($579.24K), a 50.7%/49.3% split indicating marginal net inflow, but the difference is small enough to be considered roughly balanced. Buyer count (3,595) modestly exceeds seller count (2,902), consistent with net accumulation pressure over the day, but with liquidity this shallow, a handful of large sells could easily overwhelm the pool and crash price.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply955,955,948.19 PAD
FDV$194.94K

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Metadata fields for update authority, mint authority, freeze authority, mutability, verified-contract status, and possible-spam flag are all reported as 'unknown' in the source data. Without confirmation that mint/freeze authorities are renounced, there remains a non-trivial possibility that the deployer retains control to mint additional supply or freeze accounts. Combined with a description field of 'none' and no verifiable contract status, this token carries elevated structural uncertainty typical of freshly launched PumpSwap tokens. FDV of ~$194.94K against total supply of ~956M tokens implies a very low unit price (~$0.0002), consistent with a nascent, low-cap, high-volatility launch.

Volatility
high

24h price change of +381% and 1h change of +170%, coupled with a -19.4% move in the last 5 minutes, indicates extreme volatility with rapid reversals typical of nascent, thinly-traded PumpSwap tokens.

Liquidity
high

Only $20.29K in total liquidity against ~$1.17M in combined 24h volume and a $194.94K FDV. This is a severe liquidity-to-volume mismatch that creates high slippage and makes the token vulnerable to sharp price crashes from moderate-sized sells.

Concentration
high

No holder distribution data is available, but the combination of a brand-new low-liquidity pool, unknown authorities, and a massive single-hour price spike strongly suggests supply is likely concentrated in early wallets — this is inferred from context, not measured, and should be treated as a precaution rather than a confirmed metric.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data was available to quantify sniper concentration or PnL, but the extreme intra-hour spike from ~$0.0000113 to $0.000458 (candle 2) followed by a significant pullback (candle 3) is a classic signature of early buyers/snipers taking profit into retail buying, even though this cannot be directly confirmed from sniper-specific data.

Authority
high

Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, mutability, and verified-contract status are all reported as 'unknown.' Without confirmation that authorities are renounced, there is meaningful risk of supply inflation or account freezing at the discretion of the token deployer.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.29K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and crash risk
  • Parabolic +381% 24h move with clear signs of a blow-off top and subsequent pullback (-19.4% in the last 5 minutes)
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • No holder distribution or sniper data available, removing key visibility into concentration and early-buyer dumping risk
  • Description field is empty ('none') and verification/spam status is unknown, consistent with a low-effort or unaudited launch
  • Newly listed PumpSwap pair with a very short observable price history (only 3 hourly candles)

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy/sell volume is roughly balanced (50.7%/49.3%) with a slight net-inflow tilt, not showing overwhelming one-sided dumping so far
  • Unique buyer count (3,595) exceeds unique seller count (2,902) over 24h, indicating broader buyer participation than seller participation
  • Token has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting at least some community/project presence rather than a completely anonymous drop
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable exposure, or anyone unable to closely monitor extremely volatile, low-liquidity micro-cap positions in real time.

PAD is an extremely low-liquidity, newly active PumpSwap token that has just undergone a violent parabolic price spike (+381% 24h, peaking at a 40x intra-hour move) followed by an immediate pullback. With no holder or sniper data available and unknown token authorities, this sits firmly in high-risk speculative micro-cap territory where technical momentum is the primary signal, not fundamentals.

Bull case (low)

If buy pressure resumes and volume continues flowing in at the current pace (buyers already outnumber sellers 3,595 to 2,902 over 24h), the token could retest and break the $0.000298 immediate resistance and push back toward the $0.000458 candle-2 high, especially if driven by social media momentum given its Twitter/website presence.

  • Continued buyer-count dominance over sellers in 24h data
  • Slight net buy-volume edge (50.7% vs 49.3%)
  • Existing social presence (Twitter, website) that could fuel further speculative interest
  • Low absolute price allows for large percentage moves on modest capital inflow

Base case

Price likely consolidates within the recent range (~$0.000190–$0.000298) as the initial pump cools off, with continued high volatility and volume churn through the shallow liquidity pool. Direction from here will hinge heavily on whether new buyers keep entering at a pace that outstrips profit-taking sellers.

  • No major new liquidity is added in the near term, keeping slippage/volatility high
  • Buy/sell volume stays close to the current near-50/50 split absent a fresh catalyst
  • No confirmed rug event (mint/freeze abuse) occurs, though this cannot be ruled out given unknown authority status
  • Social media/community activity remains the main driver of further price action rather than fundamentals

Bear case (high)

The parabolic spike (candle 2's 40x wick) was a classic pump that is already reversing, as shown by candle 3's pullback and the -19.4% 5-minute move. With only $20.29K liquidity, even modest selling could crash price back toward the pre-spike zone near $0.0000113–$0.00000299, effectively erasing most of the 24h gain.

  • Shallow liquidity relative to volume and FDV creates high slippage/crash vulnerability
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status raises rug/dilution risk
  • No sniper or holder data to rule out concentrated early-buyer dumping
  • Immediate downtrend momentum already visible in short-term price action
  • Empty description and unknown verification/spam status point to low project maturity

GeneratedSep 12, 11:16 AM
Data freshnessMost recent data point is the 11:00 UTC hourly candle on 2026-09-12; price and analytics reflect the same approximate window
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals, FDV)
  • USD price and 24h/1h/5m percentage change data
  • 3 most recent hourly OHLC candles from PumpSwap pair E9aFUkSFSEh6YaqokSBh6YFFz2qQjG5Siy5VHx5Hio7R
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buy/sell counts, unique buyers/sellers, total liquidity)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution data available (endpoint retired) — holderTrends and whaleMap sections are empty placeholders
  • No sniper data available — smart money/sniper signals could not be computed and are marked unknown/zero
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles provided, severely limiting technical pattern reliability
  • Token metadata fields (update authority, mint/freeze authority, mutability, verification, spam status) are all listed as unknown, preventing a confirmed rug-risk assessment
  • Extremely high volatility observed in a very short window makes any forward price estimate inherently unreliable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from limited, incomplete on-chain and market data that may be inaccurate, adversarially supplied, or rapidly outdated given the token's extreme volatility. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in low-liquidity micro-cap tokens like PAD, carry a very high risk of total capital loss. Always conduct your own independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply955,955,948.19 PAD

Key Risks

Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.29K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and crash risk
Parabolic +381% 24h move with clear signs of a blow-off top and subsequent pullback (-19.4% in the last 5 minutes)
Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
No holder distribution or sniper data available, removing key visibility into concentration and early-buyer dumping risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was provided for this token (the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data). Consequently no assessment can be made of early-buyer concentration, PnL state, or sell-through rate. This is a notable blind spot given the extreme, parabolic price action observed in the OHLC data, which is exactly the kind of move where sniper/early-buyer dumping risk would normally be most relevant.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

unknown — no sniper data available to assess early buyer behavior

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for PAD (PAD)?

Short-term momentum has already turned negative, with a -19.4% move in the last 5 minutes following the blow-off top in candle 2 and the pullback in candle 3. Expect continued high volatility with a bias toward further consolidation or downside unless fresh buy volume enters quickly. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.000113 (retracement toward mid-range of the recent pump) to $0.000298 (retest of candle 3 high / immediate resistance).

Is PAD a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable exposure, or anyone unable to closely monitor extremely volatile, low-liquidity micro-cap positions in real time.

What does sniper activity look like for PAD?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding PAD?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.29K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and crash risk • Parabolic +381% 24h move with clear signs of a blow-off top and subsequent pullback (-19.4% in the last 5 minutes) • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing

Track PAD