Niggolas

Niggolas Cage Price Today & AI Analysis

NiggolasSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 5, 2026

Price

$0.053221

+0.38% 24h · FDV $3,142

Contract

Live
9VKCbbd7c3Y6MRAmvB9rzgAtuGjvFZSHTZPqa6FNpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

264

Market cap

$3,142

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Aug 5, 10:47 AM UTC

FDV

$154,354

Liquidity

$46,682

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Niggolas Cage (Niggolas) is a meme token on Solana launched on PumpSwap (pair ARKQqAb75EY6gZAwDix9fWUqRkVMrdagRzuQby4Hc3Vs). The token has experienced an extreme 269% 24h price surge from very low base levels (~$0.000032 to ~$0.000158), driven by speculative meme momentum. However, the trading structure is deeply concerning: sell pressure dominates at 81% of volume ($500.88K sells vs $117.69K buys), with nearly 4x more sellers than buyers (2,393 vs 452). Total liquidity is thin at $46.68K against a $157K FDV. The token is unverified, has no social links, and authority status is unknown.

Key points

  • Extreme 269% 24h price pump from a very low base (~$0.000032)
  • Severely lopsided sell/buy ratio: 81% sell pressure vs 19% buy pressure
  • Very thin liquidity ($46.68K) relative to FDV ($157K), creating high slippage risk
  • No verified contract, no social links, unknown update authority
  • High transaction count (10,027 total trades) but dominated by sell-side activity

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is showing early signs of exhaustion after a 269% pump. The most recent candle (10:00 UTC) closed at $0.000161, below the prior candle's close of $0.000138 open but recovering slightly. Volume has collapsed from $279K (03:00 candle) to $6.4K (10:00 candle), signaling fading momentum. With 81% sell pressure and 2,393 sellers vs 452 buyers in 24h, the path of least resistance is downward. A retest of the $0.000099–$0.000105 support zone is likely.

Target low

$0.000085

Target high

$0.000191

Support

$0.000128 (candle [1] low), $0.000105 (candle [3] close / candle [4] low area), $0.000087 (candle [2] low area)

Resistance

$0.000172 (candle [1] high), $0.000191 (candle [2] high / candle [5] open), $0.000237 (candle [6] high / candle [7] high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without sustained buy-side demand, meaningful utility, or community catalysts, meme tokens of this profile typically retrace 70–90% of their pump gains. The structural sell dominance and thin liquidity make a sustained rally unlikely unless new speculative interest emerges.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media attention or influencer promotion (currently no social links present)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • New liquidity injection or exchange listing (no evidence of either currently)

Bullish factors

  • Strong 269% 24h price appreciation demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • Recent 1h price change of +11.4% and 6h of +20.7% show short-term upward momentum
  • High transaction count (10,027 trades) indicates active market participation
  • Current price ($0.000158) is well above the session low ($0.000031)

Bearish factors

  • 81% sell pressure ($500.88K sells vs $117.69K buys) — heavily sell-dominated
  • 2,393 sellers vs only 452 buyers in 24h — nearly 5:1 ratio
  • Volume collapsing from $279K at 03:00 UTC to $6.4K at 10:00 UTC — momentum fading fast
  • Thin liquidity of $46.68K creates high slippage and exit risk
  • No verified contract, no social links, no community infrastructure
  • Unknown update authority introduces rug/manipulation risk
  • Token description and name contain offensive language, limiting mainstream adoption

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the highly speculative and volatile nature of this meme token, thin liquidity, absence of fundamentals, unknown authority status, and the fact that meme token price action is driven almost entirely by unpredictable social sentiment. The 24h change shown as 0% in the analytics section conflicts with the 269% figure shown in the price section, suggesting data inconsistency.

Niggolas call history

Full track record →

Aug 5bearish
24h-93.3%
7d-97.3%
30d-96.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
9VKCbb...pump
Total Supply
975,940,777.23

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (81% of volume) with 5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • Thin liquidity ($46.68K) creates severe exit risk and high slippage for any meaningful position
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • No verified contract, no social links, no community infrastructure

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the broader trading analytics paint a concerning picture: with 81% sell pressure, 2,393 sellers vs 452 buyers, and $500.88K in sell volume vs $117.69K in buy volume over 24h, the aggregate behavior of early participants appears to be heavily distributing into any price strength. This is consistent with early buyers (who entered near $0.000031–$0.000048) taking profits after the pump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Early buyers who entered at the session lows ($0.000031–$0.000048, candles [9]–[8]) are sitting on significant unrealized gains (3–4x) at current prices. The dominant sell pressure strongly suggests many are actively distributing. Without sniper data, precise early-buyer PnL cannot be confirmed.

Deep Analysis

The 9-hour OHLC series tells a clear pump-and-fade story. Candle [9] (02:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000320 — the session low — and closed at $0.0000445, a modest recovery. Candle [8] (03:00 UTC) was the explosive breakout candle: opened at $0.0000483, surged to a high of $0.000246 (the session high), and closed at $0.000144 on massive volume of $279.8K — a classic 'long upper wick' or shooting star pattern, indicating sellers absorbed the spike. Candles [7]–[5] show a descending series of lower highs ($0.000236 → $0.000236 → $0.000191) and lower closes, confirming distribution. Candles [4]–[3] continued the decline with lower lows ($0.0000996 → $0.000105). Candle [2] (09:00 UTC) showed a recovery attempt with a high of $0.000191 but closed at only $0.000138 — another long upper wick. Candle [1] (10:00 UTC) closed at $0.000161 on very low volume ($6.4K), suggesting a weak bounce rather than a trend reversal.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

After the explosive pump in candle [8], the token has been in a clear short-term downtrend with lower highs and lower lows across candles [7] through [4]. The slight recovery in candles [2]–[1] has not broken the downtrend structure. Medium-term trend is also bearish given the sell-dominated volume profile.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

19%

Sell

81%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000128 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.000087 (near candle [2] low of $0.0000858)

Immediate resistance

$0.000172 (candle [1] high)

Major resistance

$0.000237 (session high area from candles [6]–[7])

The $0.000128–$0.000105 zone has acted as a consolidation floor across multiple candles and represents the key near-term support. A break below $0.000099 (candle [4] low) would signal further downside toward the $0.000085–$0.000087 area. On the upside, $0.000172 is immediate resistance, with the major resistance cluster at $0.000191–$0.000237 representing the distribution zone from the pump.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / long upper wick on candle [8] — classic pump exhaustion signal
  • Descending highs across candles [8]→[7]→[6]→[5]→[4] — confirmed downtrend
  • Volume climax at candle [8] followed by progressive volume collapse — distribution pattern
  • Long upper wick on candle [2] recovery attempt — sellers still in control at higher prices
  • Weak low-volume bounce on candle [1] — insufficient buying conviction for reversal

Liquidity

Liquidity

$46,680

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $46.68K is extremely thin relative to the $157K FDV — a ratio of roughly 0.30x, meaning the entire liquidity pool could be drained by a relatively small trade. The 24h sell volume of $500.88K is 4.26x the buy volume of $117.69K, representing a massive net outflow. The buyer-to-seller ratio of 452:2,393 (roughly 1:5.3) confirms that the vast majority of active participants are exiting positions. Slippage risk is high — any meaningful sell order will move the price significantly given the shallow pool. The token is on PumpSwap, which typically has lower liquidity guarantees than established DEXes. This liquidity profile is consistent with a post-pump distribution phase.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$117,690

Sell volume

$500,880

Net flow

Outflow

Unique buyers

452

Unique sellers

2,393

Supply & authorities

Total supply

975,940,777.23

FDV

$154,353.73

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Total supply is 975.94 million tokens with a fully diluted valuation of ~$154K at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data — these are critical unknowns for rug risk assessment. The token is unverified (verified contract: false), has no social links, and was launched on PumpFun/PumpSwap, a platform commonly used for rapid meme token launches. The 'Mutable: false' flag provides some reassurance but does not substitute for confirmed renounced authorities. The token description ('It's nigga szn') and name contain offensive language, which limits mainstream adoption and increases reputational risk.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token pumped ~700% from session low to high within hours and has already retraced significantly. 24h price change of 269% reflects extreme volatility. Meme tokens of this profile routinely lose 80–95% of pump gains within days.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $46.68K is very shallow. The 24h sell volume of $500.88K is over 10x the liquidity pool, meaning significant price impact occurs on any meaningful trade. Exit liquidity is severely limited.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Holder distribution data is unavailable, preventing direct concentration analysis. However, the PumpFun launch model and the extreme sell pressure (2,393 sellers vs 452 buyers) suggest early holders are concentrated and actively distributing.

  • Sniper Dumphigh

    No sniper data is available. However, the 81% sell pressure and 5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio strongly suggest early entrants (who bought near $0.000031–$0.000048) are aggressively selling into current prices, consistent with sniper/early-buyer dump behavior.

  • Authorityhigh

    Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. While 'Mutable: false' is a mild positive, the inability to verify renounced authorities leaves open the possibility of supply manipulation or account freezing.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (81% of volume) with 5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • Thin liquidity ($46.68K) creates severe exit risk and high slippage for any meaningful position
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • No verified contract, no social links, no community infrastructure
  • Volume collapsing post-pump — momentum fading rapidly
  • Offensive token name/description limits mainstream adoption and exchange listing prospects
  • PumpSwap/PumpFun launch with no external validation or audit

Mitigating factors

  • 'Mutable: false' metadata flag provides some protection against metadata manipulation
  • Active trading with 10,027 transactions in 24h shows genuine market participation
  • Token has not been flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Current price ($0.000158) remains above the session open (~$0.000032), meaning early buyers are still in profit

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without a clear short-term trading strategy and strict stop-loss discipline. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery-ticket speculation only).

Niggolas Cage is a high-risk meme token that has experienced a violent pump-and-fade cycle. The bull case relies entirely on continued speculative momentum in the Solana meme coin ecosystem; the bear case — which is the base case — is that the token follows the typical post-pump distribution pattern with 80%+ retracement. The structural data (81% sell pressure, 5:1 seller ratio, collapsing volume, thin liquidity) overwhelmingly supports the bearish scenario.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A viral social media moment or influencer promotion drives a second wave of speculative buying, pushing the token back toward the $0.000191–$0.000237 resistance zone. Broader Solana meme season amplifies the move.

  • Viral social media catalyst (currently absent — no social links)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • New liquidity injection or CEX listing (no evidence)
  • Short squeeze from thin liquidity amplifying any buy pressure

Base Case

The token consolidates in the $0.000085–$0.000128 range over the next 24–48 hours as early buyers finish distributing, then gradually fades toward the $0.000031–$0.000050 range over the following week absent new catalysts.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant but gradually normalizes as early sellers exhaust
  • No major new catalysts emerge (consistent with absence of social links/community)
  • Liquidity remains thin, limiting both upside and downside velocity
  • Broader Solana market remains neutral to slightly positive

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate as early buyers exit. Volume continues to collapse. Price retraces to the $0.000031–$0.000048 launch zone or lower, representing an 70–80% decline from current levels. Liquidity dries up entirely.

  • Sustained 81% sell pressure with no reversal signal
  • Volume collapse from $279K to $6.4K in 7 hours
  • No fundamentals, utility, or community to support price floor
  • Unknown authority risk could trigger sudden supply events
  • Thin liquidity accelerates downside moves

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 5, 10:47 AM UTC

Data freshness

OHLC data current to 10:00 UTC 2026-08-05; trading analytics reflect 24h window ending approximately 10:30 UTC 2026-08-05

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: 9VKCbbd7c3Y6MRAmvB9rzgAtuGjvFZSHTZPqa6FNpump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (ARKQqAb75EY6gZAwDix9fWUqRkVMrdagRzuQby4Hc3Vs)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (9 candles, 02:00–10:00 UTC 2026-08-05)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder count, growth, and distribution data are unavailable — holder and whale sections contain no real data
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer PnL and concentration cannot be quantified
  • Update, mint, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Only 9 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis across multiple timeframes
  • The 24h price change shows 0% in analytics but 269% in the price section — data inconsistency noted, likely a display artifact
  • Token is unverified with no social links — fundamental analysis is not possible
  • FDV figures differ slightly between metadata ($154,353.73) and analytics ($156,980) — minor data inconsistency

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Niggolas Cage (Niggolas)?

The token is showing early signs of exhaustion after a 269% pump. The most recent candle (10:00 UTC) closed at $0.000161, below the prior candle's close of $0.000138 open but recovering slightly. Volume has collapsed from $279K (03:00 candle) to $6.4K (10:00 candle), signaling fading momentum. With 81% sell pressure and 2,393 sellers vs 452 buyers in 24h, the path of least resistance is downward. A retest of the $0.000099–$0.000105 support zone is likely. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000085 to $0.000191.

Is Niggolas a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without a clear short-term trading strategy and strict stop-loss discipline. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery-ticket speculation only).

What does sniper activity look like for Niggolas?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Niggolas?

Extreme sell pressure (81% of volume) with 5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution • Thin liquidity ($46.68K) creates severe exit risk and high slippage for any meaningful position • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out

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