Fapcoin

Fapcoin Price Today & AI Analysis

FapcoinSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 3, 2026

Price

$0.003928

+57.12% 24h · FDV $3,891,107

Contract

Live
8vGr1eX9vfpootWiUPYa5kYoGx9bTuRy2Xc4dNMrpump

Chain

Holders

6,086

Market cap

$3,891,107

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 3, 07:48 PM UTC

FDV

$1,542,149

Liquidity

$141,734,635

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

Fapcoin (Fapcoin) is a meme/community token on Solana launched via PumpSwap with a current price of ~$0.001557 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$1.54M. The token has experienced a sharp 24h price surge of ~68-81% (varying by timeframe), driven by a narrative around a 'CTO' (community takeover) and lore connecting it to Fartcoin. Trading activity is elevated but sell pressure dominates (62.5% sell volume). The token is mutable=false and the update authority is not a burn address, leaving some authority risk. No sniper data is available.

Key points

  • Community takeover (CTO) narrative with Fartcoin lore connection dating to 2017
  • Sharp 24h price surge (~68-81%) on elevated volume
  • PumpSwap pair with $141.73M reported total liquidity (unusually high relative to $1.54M FDV — warrants scrutiny)
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces rug risk from metadata changes
  • No sniper data available, limiting smart money analysis

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

After a sharp rally from ~$0.000879 to a peak of ~$0.002417 (candle [5] high), price has pulled back significantly to ~$0.001557. The most recent candle shows a close well below the session high of $0.001645, and the prior two candles ([2],[3]) show large bearish wicks and declining closes. Sell pressure dominates at 62.5% of 24h volume. Short-term momentum is fading and a retest of the $0.00120–$0.00136 support zone is plausible.

Target low

$0.00110

Target high

$0.00190

Support

$0.001362 (candle [1] low), $0.001273 (candle [2] low), $0.001072 (candle [8] low)

Resistance

$0.001645 (candle [1] high), $0.002131 (candle [3] high), $0.002417 (candle [5] high — session peak)

Medium term · 3–14 days

neutral

Medium-term direction depends heavily on whether the CTO community narrative sustains engagement and whether broader meme coin sentiment remains favorable. The token lacks fundamental utility; price is driven entirely by social momentum. If the Fartcoin lore narrative gains traction, a retest of the $0.0020–$0.0024 range is possible. Failure to hold $0.00107 would signal trend exhaustion.

Catalysts

  • Sustained community growth and social media engagement around CTO narrative
  • Broader meme coin market rally on Solana
  • Listing on additional DEX aggregators or CEX attention
  • Failure to hold key support levels could trigger rapid decline

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price appreciation (~68-81%) indicating momentum
  • More unique buyers (1,434) than sellers (1,259) in 24h
  • CTO narrative with established meme lore (Fartcoin connection) may attract speculative interest
  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume dominates at 62.5% of 24h volume ($280K sells vs $168K buys)
  • Price has already retraced ~35% from intraday high of $0.002417
  • 1h price change is -15.4%, indicating near-term momentum reversal
  • FDV of only $1.54M limits institutional interest
  • No utility beyond meme/community narrative
  • Update authority not renounced — centralization risk remains
  • Reported $141.73M liquidity vs $1.54M FDV is anomalous and warrants caution

Confidence: low. Meme tokens with no fundamental utility are highly unpredictable. The 24h price action shows extreme volatility (price nearly tripled intraday then retraced ~35% from peak). Sell pressure dominates, no sniper data is available, and holder distribution data is unavailable. Confidence in any directional prediction is low.

Fapcoin call history

Full track record →

Aug 3bearish
24h-37.9%
7d-40.0%
30d

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
8vGr1e...pump
Total Supply
990,632,145.515102

Key Risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 175% intraday pump followed by sharp retracement
  • Dominant sell pressure (62.5% of 24h volume) suggesting distribution into retail demand
  • No utility beyond meme/community narrative — value entirely dependent on social momentum
  • Update authority not renounced — potential for future contract changes

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token was not launched in a way that attracted bot snipers, or the data endpoint returned no results. Analysis is limited to observable on-chain trading patterns.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer wallet data provided. Observable trading shows 1,434 unique buyers vs 1,259 unique sellers in 24h, but sell volume ($280K) significantly exceeds buy volume ($168K), suggesting early participants may be distributing into retail demand generated by the CTO narrative pump.

Deep Analysis

The 24-candle hourly dataset reveals a dramatic intraday pump-and-dump pattern. Price consolidated in the $0.000879–$0.001093 range from candles [24] through [8] (Aug 2 20:00 – Aug 3 12:00) with very low volume ($184–$5,428). A breakout began at candle [7] (13:00, V=$3,198) and accelerated sharply through candles [5]–[4] where price reached a session high of $0.002417 on volume of $32K–$43K. Candles [4] and [2] show large upper wicks and bearish closes, indicating distribution at the top. The most recent candle [1] shows a partial recovery close at $0.001557 but remains well below the peak.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Medium-term trend is up from the $0.000879 base, but short-term momentum has reversed sharply from the $0.002417 peak. The last 3 candles show lower highs and lower closes, confirming a short-term downtrend from the session top.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

38%

Sell

63%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.001362 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.001072 (candle [8] low / pre-pump consolidation zone)

Immediate resistance

$0.001645 (candle [1] high)

Major resistance

$0.002417 (candle [5] session high)

The $0.001362–$0.001273 zone (candle [1] and [2] lows) represents the first meaningful support cluster. A break below $0.001072 would suggest the pump has fully unwound. On the upside, $0.001645 is immediate resistance (current candle high), with the major resistance at the session peak of $0.002417.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump intraday pattern: ~175% surge followed by ~35% retracement from peak
  • Large bearish upper wicks on candles [2] and [4] indicating distribution/rejection at highs
  • Bearish engulfing on candle [2]: opened at $0.002132, closed at $0.001417, well below open
  • Volume climax at candle [2] ($65K) coinciding with price rejection — classic blow-off top signal
  • Low-volume consolidation base (candles [8]–[14]) before breakout — typical pump setup
  • Candle [1] shows partial recovery but close below midpoint of candle [2] range — bearish continuation signal

Liquidity

Liquidity

$141.73M (reported — anomalous relative to $1.54M FDV; treat with caution)

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

The reported total liquidity of $141.73M is highly anomalous relative to the token's FDV of $1.54M and 24h trading volume of ~$448K. This figure likely reflects the broader PumpSwap pool aggregation or a data artifact rather than actual deep liquidity for this specific token. Effective liquidity depth should be treated as shallow given the FDV. Slippage risk is high for any meaningful position size. Net flow is negative (outflow): sell volume ($280K, 62.5%) significantly exceeds buy volume ($168K, 37.5%) despite more unique buyers (1,434) than sellers (1,259), indicating sellers are transacting in larger average sizes. The 24h volume of ~$448K represents ~29% of FDV, which is extremely high turnover for a meme token and signals speculative activity rather than organic accumulation.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$168,220

Sell volume

$280,180

Net flow

Outflow

Unique buyers

1,434

Unique sellers

1,259

Supply & authorities

Total supply

990,632,145.515102

FDV

$1,542,149.27

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Total supply is ~990.6M tokens with an FDV of ~$1.54M, implying a very low per-token price ($0.001557). The token was launched via PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'). The update authority is 'TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM' — this is NOT the system burn address (11111...), meaning the update authority has NOT been renounced. However, the metadata field 'Mutable: false' indicates the token metadata itself cannot be changed, which partially mitigates metadata manipulation risk. Mint and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data; given the PumpFun launch mechanism, mint authority is typically burned at launch, but this cannot be confirmed from the available data. Rug risk from authorities is rated medium: metadata is immutable (positive) but update authority is not renounced (negative), and mint/freeze authority status is unconfirmed.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price surged ~175% from 24h low to intraday high, then retraced ~35% from peak within hours. 24h change of 68-81% with extreme intraday swings. Hourly candles show massive wicks and volume spikes consistent with highly volatile meme token behavior.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Despite anomalously reported $141.73M liquidity, the FDV of $1.54M and thin pre-pump volume (as low as $184/hour) indicate shallow real liquidity. Large positions would face significant slippage. The PumpSwap pair is the sole trading venue identified.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Holder distribution data is unavailable, preventing direct assessment. However, the token's meme/CTO nature, low FDV, and PumpFun origin are historically associated with concentrated holdings. This risk cannot be quantified but is flagged as elevated by default.

  • Sniper Dumplow

    No sniper data is available. Sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. Rated low per analytical guidelines when sniper data is absent, not as a positive signal.

  • Authoritymedium

    Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced. Metadata is immutable (Mutable: false), which is a positive signal. Mint and freeze authority status unconfirmed. Overall authority risk is medium.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 175% intraday pump followed by sharp retracement
  • Dominant sell pressure (62.5% of 24h volume) suggesting distribution into retail demand
  • No utility beyond meme/community narrative — value entirely dependent on social momentum
  • Update authority not renounced — potential for future contract changes
  • Anomalous liquidity figure ($141.73M vs $1.54M FDV) may indicate data error or misleading presentation
  • Holder distribution data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Low FDV ($1.54M) makes price highly susceptible to manipulation by large holders
  • CTO narrative relies on unverifiable claims about 'Shitoshi' developer connection to Fartcoin

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is immutable (Mutable: false) — reduces metadata rug risk
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam by data provider
  • More unique buyers (1,434) than sellers (1,259) in 24h — some genuine demand
  • Token has social presence (Twitter link) and an active community narrative
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority at graduation

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or those without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal relative to total portfolio. This is a high-risk speculative asset.

Fapcoin is a pure meme/community token riding a CTO narrative and claimed lore connection to Fartcoin. Its investment case is entirely speculative, driven by social momentum rather than fundamentals. The token has demonstrated the ability to generate sharp short-term price moves but exhibits classic pump-and-dump technical patterns with dominant sell pressure. Risk is very high.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The CTO community successfully builds sustained social momentum around the Fartcoin lore narrative. Broader Solana meme coin season attracts new capital, and Fapcoin benefits from its established 'lore' positioning. Price recovers above $0.0020 and potentially tests the $0.0024 session high, with FDV expanding toward $2–3M.

  • Successful community building and sustained Twitter/social engagement
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Fartcoin narrative gaining mainstream crypto attention
  • Potential CEX listing or influencer promotion
  • More unique buyers than sellers (1,434 vs 1,259) suggesting some genuine demand base

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.001100–$0.001600 range over the next 1–2 weeks as initial pump excitement fades. Community maintains a small but active following. Token remains tradeable but with declining volume and occasional volatility spikes tied to social media activity.

  • Community maintains Twitter presence and periodic engagement
  • No major negative events (rug, exploit, or authority misuse)
  • Broader Solana meme market remains neutral
  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes as early buyers exit
  • Token retains PumpSwap liquidity pair

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate as early buyers distribute into the CTO narrative pump. Price fails to hold $0.001273 support and retraces toward pre-pump levels of $0.000880–$0.001000. Community engagement fades without a sustained catalyst, and the token becomes illiquid.

  • Sell volume (62.5%) significantly exceeds buy volume (37.5%) — distribution pattern
  • Price already retraced ~35% from intraday high
  • No fundamental utility to sustain price floor
  • Low FDV ($1.54M) makes token vulnerable to whale manipulation
  • CTO narratives frequently fail to sustain momentum beyond initial pump

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 3, 07:48 PM UTC

Data freshness

Data reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-03T19:00:00Z based on most recent candle timestamp

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority, mutability)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, unique wallets)
  • PumpSwap pair and liquidity data
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is unavailable — concentration and whale analysis cannot be performed
  • Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer smart money signals cannot be assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly confirmed in provided data
  • Reported $141.73M liquidity figure is anomalous relative to FDV and may be a data artifact
  • Token description and lore claims (Shitoshi, Fartcoin connection) are unverified and supplied by the token creator
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • Short price history (24 hours of hourly candles) limits technical analysis reliability
  • Meme token price action is inherently unpredictable and driven by social sentiment

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Fapcoin (Fapcoin)?

After a sharp rally from ~$0.000879 to a peak of ~$0.002417 (candle [5] high), price has pulled back significantly to ~$0.001557. The most recent candle shows a close well below the session high of $0.001645, and the prior two candles ([2],[3]) show large bearish wicks and declining closes. Sell pressure dominates at 62.5% of 24h volume. Short-term momentum is fading and a retest of the $0.00120–$0.00136 support zone is plausible. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.00110 to $0.00190.

Is Fapcoin a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or those without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal relative to total portfolio. This is a high-risk speculative asset.

What does sniper activity look like for Fapcoin?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Fapcoin?

Extreme price volatility — 175% intraday pump followed by sharp retracement • Dominant sell pressure (62.5% of 24h volume) suggesting distribution into retail demand • No utility beyond meme/community narrative — value entirely dependent on social momentum

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