dap

launchdap Price Today & AI Analysis

dapSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 24, 2026

Price

$0.048115

+66.91% 24h

Contract

Live
8LHgAXXPbMVqd3wmAQbTu4NxuRRe3qowgUSLiKmFpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,306

Market cap

$79,386

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launchdap: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-24 21:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,306

Top 10 supply share

16.23%

Reported liquidity

$13,987.00
How concentrated is launchdap ownership?
As of 2026-09-24 21:17 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 16.23% of supply. It reports 1,306 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling launchdap?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-24 21:17 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $774,210.00 in buys and $762,925.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is launchdap liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +3.99%, from $13,574.37 (2026-09-24 20:00 UTC) to $14,115.67 (2026-09-24 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-24 21:17 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-24 20:00 UTC$13,574.37
2026-09-24 21:00 UTC$14,115.67

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 24, 09:18 PM UTC

FDV

$79,386

Liquidity

$13,987.00

Holders

1,306

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

launchdap (DAP) is a newly launched, micro-cap Solana token trading on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of roughly $79.39K and extremely thin liquidity (~$13.99K). The token has exhibited violent price swings, including an ~84% intra-hour retrace from a spike high of $0.000466 down to $0.0000744, followed by continued two-sided volatility. 24h trading shows near-balanced buy/sell pressure (50.4%/49.6%) across a large number of unique buyers (4,767) and sellers (3,999). Key risk inputs — mint/freeze authority status, sniper wallet activity, and holder history — are all unavailable, leaving significant blind spots in the risk picture.

Key points

  • Extremely low FDV (~$79.39K) and shallow liquidity (~$13.99K) typical of a brand-new pump.fun/PumpSwap launch
  • Already exhibited an extreme launch-candle spike-and-retrace pattern (high of $0.000466 vs current $0.0000811)
  • Multiple critical data gaps: authority status, sniper activity, and holder history are all unknown, not merely benign
  • Top-10 holder concentration (16.23%) is moderate, but broader distribution and wallet classification cannot be verified

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-48 hours

neutral

Given the extreme volatility already observed (a -65.1% 1h move against a +66.9% 24h move) and rapidly decaying volume between the only two candles available, short-term direction is highly uncertain. Price could retest either the recent low near $0.0000395 or push back toward resistance near $0.0001192, but shallow liquidity means either move could be exaggerated.

Target low

$0.0000350

Target high

$0.0001300

Support

$0.0000395, $0.00000372

Resistance

$0.0001192, $0.000466

Medium term · 1-2 weeks

neutral

Medium-term direction cannot be reliably forecast from only two hourly candles and a single holder snapshot. Sustainability will depend heavily on whether liquidity deepens beyond the current $13.99K and whether buy pressure (currently a narrow 50.4% edge) persists as the initial launch hype fades.

Catalysts

  • Liquidity growth or withdrawal from the PumpSwap pool
  • Continued or waning social media attention (Twitter/website activity)
  • Emergence of clarity on mint/freeze authority status, which could materially shift risk perception
  • Any large holder (top-10, currently 16.23% of supply) moving significant tokens

Bullish factors

  • Slight buyer-count edge (4,767 vs 3,999) and near-even/slightly favorable buy volume share (50.4%) over the last 24h
  • Active social presence (Twitter, website) that could sustain speculative interest
  • Holder base of 1,306 addresses shows some distribution beyond a tiny insider group (though unverified over time)

Bearish factors

  • Extremely shallow liquidity (~$13.99K) relative to 24h volume (>$1.5M combined), creating high slippage and fragility
  • Already demonstrated an ~84% intra-hour price collapse from an early spike, showing the token's propensity for violent retracement
  • Rapidly decaying hour-over-hour volume (~94% drop) suggesting fading initial momentum
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply-side manipulation
  • No sniper data available to rule out concentrated bot-driven dumping risk

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to an extremely limited data set: only two OHLC candles, no sniper data, no holder history, and unknown authority status. The token's short operating history and thin liquidity make any price forecast highly speculative.

dap call history

Full track record →

Sep 24neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
8LHgAX...pump
Total Supply
978,315,010.99 DAP

Key Risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity (~$13.99K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and thin exit paths
  • Violent, launch-phase price volatility with an ~84% intra-hour retrace already observed
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull protections are in place
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess bot dumping risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles were provided. Candle 1 (20:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000037224, spiked intra-candle to a high of $0.0004662 (over 100x the open) before closing at $0.0000744, on volume of ~1.625M — indicative of an extremely volatile launch-phase candle with a massive wick, likely an early sniper/bot-driven spike that fully retraced. Candle 2 (21:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000744, ranged between a low of $0.0000395 and a high of $0.0001192, and closed at $0.0000811, on much lower volume (~85.7K) — a large-range candle showing continued two-way volatility but closing roughly mid-range to slightly above the prior close.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Sideways

With only two hourly candles available, no reliable medium-term trend can be established. Short-term action shows the price attempting to stabilize after an extreme initial spike-and-retrace, oscillating within a wide range rather than showing a clean directional trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000395 (candle 2 low)

Major support

$0.00000372 (candle 1 open/low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0001192 (candle 2 high)

Major resistance

$0.000466 (candle 1 high — extreme spike wick)

With only two candles, support/resistance levels are provisional. The $0.0000395 low from the most recent candle is the nearest support; a break below could target the candle-1 origin near $0.0000037 in a worst case. On the upside, $0.0001192 is immediate resistance from the recent candle high, while the $0.000466 spike wick represents a major but likely unreliable/illiquid resistance level formed during an extreme, probably bot-driven, price excursion.

Notable patterns

  • Massive upper-wick spike-and-retrace on candle 1 (long wick to $0.000466 fully reversed within the same hour) — classic launch-pump/bot-sniping signature
  • Sharp volume decay (~94% drop) between candle 1 and candle 2, suggesting fading initial momentum
  • Wide-range, indecisive candle 2 with price closing mid-range, reflecting ongoing two-sided volatility

Liquidity

Liquidity

$13,987.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity is extremely thin at ~$13.99K against a 24h traded volume north of $1.5M combined (buy+sell), implying a volume-to-liquidity ratio over 100x — a classic sign of a shallow, highly reflexive pool where large trades can move price dramatically. Buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced ($774.21K vs $762.92K, 50.4%/49.6%), and buyer/seller counts (4,767 vs 3,999) show a modest buyer excess, but this balance masks huge intracandle price whipsaws (see technicals). Given liquidity this thin relative to volume, slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade is high in either direction.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

978,315,010.99 DAP

FDV

$79.39K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved from a candle-1 high of $0.000466 down to a close of $0.0000744 (an ~84% intra-hour collapse), then swung again by -65.1% in the next hour before the 24h change registered +66.9%. This is extreme, launch-phase volatility.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only ~$13.99K against 24h volumes exceeding $1.5M combined implies very shallow depth; large trades will move price substantially, and exit liquidity for larger positions is a real concern.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 holders control 16.23% of supply per the current snapshot — moderate on its face, but top-100 concentration and wallet classification data are unavailable, so the true concentration picture (e.g., deployer/insider wallets) cannot be fully assessed.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity (~$13.99K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and thin exit paths
  • Violent, launch-phase price volatility with an ~84% intra-hour retrace already observed
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull protections are in place
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess bot dumping risk
  • Very low FDV (~$79.39K) and young token profile typical of speculative pump.fun-style launches with high failure rates
  • Holder data is a single snapshot with no history, limiting ability to detect accumulation or distribution trends

Mitigating factors

  • Top-10 holder concentration (16.23%) is not extreme relative to many freshly launched tokens
  • 24h buy/sell volume and buyer/seller counts are roughly balanced (50.4%/49.6% and 4,767/3,999), showing no overwhelming one-sided dumping in aggregate over the full day
  • Reasonably large number of unique holders (1,306) suggests some organic distribution rather than concentration in a handful of wallets, though this cannot be fully verified without top-100 data

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who understand pump.fun/PumpSwap-style micro-cap dynamics and can tolerate total loss of capital. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors or those seeking stable, well-diversified exposure.

launchdap (DAP) is an extremely early-stage, low-FDV (~$79.39K) token trading on PumpSwap with shallow liquidity (~$13.99K), violent short-term volatility, and multiple unresolved data gaps (mint/freeze authority, sniper activity, holder history). The setup is characteristic of a speculative pump.fun-style launch where outcomes are driven more by momentum, bot activity, and liquidity dynamics than fundamentals. Any position should be sized accordingly given the very high risk profile.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If buy pressure sustains (current 24h buy share of 50.4% with 4,767 unique buyers vs 3,999 sellers) and liquidity grows alongside holder count (currently 1,306 addresses), the token could see continued speculative interest and price appreciation from its current $0.0000811 level, especially if social momentum (twitter/website presence) attracts new inflows.

  • Slight buyer-count and buy-volume edge over sellers in the 24h window
  • Growing holder base at 1,306 addresses (snapshot only, trend unknown)
  • Active social presence (Twitter, website) that could attract speculative attention

Base Case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bear Case

Low probability

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 24, 09:18 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-24 21:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and pair data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles provided)
  • Trading analytics aggregator (24h volume, buys/sells, buyer/seller counts)
  • Codex holder aggregate snapshot (holder count, top-10 concentration)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles were available, severely limiting technical trend analysis
  • No sniper/early-buyer data was available, preventing assessment of bot dumping risk
  • No mint/freeze authority or contract verification data was available
  • Holder data lacks any historical time series, so growth/accumulation trends could not be assessed
  • Top-100 holder concentration was not provided
  • No wallet classification or labeling data was available to identify whales, exchanges, or insiders

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based on incomplete, provider-supplied on-chain data that may contain gaps or inaccuracies. Token metadata (name, symbol, description) originates from a potentially adversarial token creator and should not be trusted at face value. Cryptocurrency trading, especially in micro-cap and newly launched tokens, carries a high risk of substantial or total loss of capital. Conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is launchdap ownership?

As of 2026-09-24 21:17 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 16.23% of supply. It reports 1,306 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling launchdap?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-24 21:17 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $774,210.00 in buys and $762,925.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is launchdap liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +3.99%, from $13,574.37 (2026-09-24 20:00 UTC) to $14,115.67 (2026-09-24 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for launchdap (dap)?

Given the extreme volatility already observed (a -65.1% 1h move against a +66.9% 24h move) and rapidly decaying volume between the only two candles available, short-term direction is highly uncertain. Price could retest either the recent low near $0.0000395 or push back toward resistance near $0.0001192, but shallow liquidity means either move could be exaggerated. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.0000350 to $0.0001300.

Is dap a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who understand pump.fun/PumpSwap-style micro-cap dynamics and can tolerate total loss of capital. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors or those seeking stable, well-diversified exposure.

What are the key risks of holding dap?

Extremely shallow liquidity (~$13.99K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and thin exit paths • Violent, launch-phase price volatility with an ~84% intra-hour retrace already observed • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull protections are in place

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