LaunchRail Price Today & AI Analysis

LAUNCHSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 19, 2026

$0.0₅2585

Contract

Live

8EpfsKaUp6iRyJZLZbDo5Y2Mma5UxJDCpf9qWq2kpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

296

Market cap

$2,470

At a $1M market cap, $LAUNCH would be $0.001046 (405x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is LAUNCH a scam?

Unhosted check · Nov 2

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell

Launch wallets hold

2.1%1 insider still holding

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about LAUNCH

3 free answers a day

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LaunchRail: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-19 14:16 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$10,261.00

How concentrated is LaunchRail ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling LaunchRail?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is LaunchRail liquidity falling?: As of 2026-09-19 14:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $10,261.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-09-19 14:16 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Sep 19, 02:16 PM UTC

FDV

$47,628

Liquidity

$10,261.00

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

LaunchRail (LAUNCH) is a newly launched, extremely low-cap Solana token trading on PumpSwap at ~$0.0000498 with a fully diluted valuation of just $47.63K and total liquidity of only $10.26K. The token shows extreme intraday volatility (candles moving from $0.0000032 to $0.0002 and back within two hourly bars), high daily volume relative to its liquidity pool (~$308K buy / $305.7K sell against a $10K pool), and a balanced but very fast-moving order flow. No holder distribution or sniper data is available, making concentration and smart-money risk essentially unknowable from the provided evidence. This profile is consistent with a fresh, thinly-liquidated pump.fun/PumpSwap launch, carrying very high speculative risk.

Key points

Extremely thin liquidity ($10.26K) relative to 24h traded volume (~$613K combined), implying volume is churning through a very shallow pool with high slippage risk
Very small FDV (~$47.63K) typical of a brand-new micro-cap meme/utility-branded launch
No holder or sniper data available — concentration and early-buyer behavior cannot be verified
Extreme short-term price swings (+22% in 5m, sub-hour candles ranging from $0.0000032 to $0.000206) indicating a highly immature, low-liquidity market
Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.2%/49.8%) despite the volatility, suggesting two-sided speculative trading rather than one-sided dumping

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-48 hours

neutral

Price action over the last two observed hourly candles shows a massive spike (open $0.0000032 to high $0.000206) followed by a sharp collapse toward $0.0000497, indicating a pump-and-fade pattern typical of newly listed low-liquidity tokens. With buy/sell volumes nearly balanced (50.2%/49.8%) over 24h but 5m price up 22%, short-term direction is highly uncertain and could swing sharply either way on modest order flow given the $10.26K liquidity pool.

Target low

$0.0000310

Target high

$0.0000900

Support: $0.0000310 (candle 2 low), $0.0000032 (candle 1 low / extreme wick)
Resistance: $0.000125 (candle 2 high / recent resistance), $0.000206 (candle 1 high, all-time intraday spike)

Medium term · 1-2 weeks

neutral

With only two hourly candles of data and no holder/sniper history, medium-term trend cannot be reliably established. The token's survival will likely depend on whether liquidity deepens beyond the current $10.26K and whether the current balanced buy/sell flow persists or tips into net distribution.

Catalysts

Any liquidity additions or LP lock announcements that reduce slippage risk
Continued social momentum via Twitter/website given the token's marketing-driven description
Broader PumpSwap/pump.fun ecosystem sentiment shifts
Potential large holder (whale) entry or exit — currently unverifiable due to lack of holder data

Bullish factors

24h price change is positive (+9.84%)
Buy volume slightly exceeds sell volume in 24h window ($308.12K vs $305.69K)
5m momentum is sharply positive (+22%)
Active two-sided trading with meaningful unique buyer/seller counts (3,332 buyers vs 2,717 sellers)

Bearish factors

Extremely shallow liquidity ($10.26K) relative to volume creates high slippage and manipulation risk
Second candle shows a steep decline from high ($0.000125) to close ($0.0000497), erasing most of the prior spike
Wick down to $0.0000031 in candle 1 suggests violent volatility and potential thin-book wash trading
No holder concentration or sniper data to assess distribution risk — concentration could be extreme and unknown
FDV of only $47.63K signals a very early-stage, unproven token with no track record

Confidence: low. Only two hourly OHLC candles and no holder or sniper datasets are available. The extremely shallow liquidity ($10.26K) makes price highly manipulable by small trade sizes, and the sample size is far too small to build statistically meaningful technical or trend conclusions.

LAUNCH call history

Full track record →

Sep 19neutral@ $0.0000498

24h—

7d—

30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: 8EpfsK...pump
Total Supply: 956,318,550.09 LAUNCH

Key Risks

Extremely shallow liquidity ($10.26K) relative to trading volume creates high slippage and manipulation potential
Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status leaves open the possibility of rug-pull mechanics
No holder or sniper data available, eliminating visibility into concentration and early-buyer dumping risk
Extreme observed volatility (6,000%+ intra-candle range) indicates an immature, easily manipulated market

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle 1 (13:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000032, spiked to a high of $0.000206 (a >6,000% intra-candle move), then fell back to close at $0.0001244 — a classic long-wick, high-volatility launch candle with volume of 577K. Candle 2 (14:00 UTC) opened at $0.0001244, made a marginal new high of $0.0001252, then plunged to a low of $0.0000310 before closing at $0.0000497, on much lower volume (110K) — indicating fading momentum and profit-taking after the initial spike.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The very limited two-candle dataset shows a sharp pump followed by a steep retracement, giving a short-term downtrend bias from the intraday peak. With only two data points, no reliable medium-term trend can be established beyond noting extreme volatility consistent with a nascent, thinly-traded listing.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000310 (candle 2 low)

Major support

$0.0000032 (candle 1 extreme low wick)

Immediate resistance

$0.000125 (candle 2 high, near candle 1 close)

Major resistance

$0.000206 (candle 1 all-time high in the observed window)

Price is currently ($0.0000498) trading near the middle-to-lower end of its observed two-hour range, closer to the immediate support at $0.0000310 than to resistance at $0.000125. A break below $0.0000310 would test the extreme low wick near $0.0000032, while reclaiming $0.000125 would be needed to challenge the major resistance near $0.000206.

Notable patterns

Long upper-wick spike candle followed by a lower-high, lower-close candle — a pump-and-fade/exhaustion pattern
Sharply decreasing volume between the two candles, consistent with waning speculative interest after the initial spike
Extreme intra-candle range (over 6,000% high-to-low move in candle 1) typical of illiquid new listings

Liquidity

$10,261.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $10.26K is extremely shallow relative to the reported 24h combined volume of over $613K, implying the pool is being turned over roughly 60x in a single day — a hallmark of a very immature, high-slippage market where even modest trade sizes can move price dramatically (consistent with the observed 6,000%+ intra-candle swings). Buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced ($308.12K vs $305.69K, 50.2%/49.8%), and unique buyers (3,332) modestly outnumber unique sellers (2,717), suggesting broad-based two-sided speculative activity rather than a single whale-driven pump or dump. Nonetheless, with such thin liquidity, any large single order or coordinated exit could cause severe price impact.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

956,318,550.09 LAUNCH

FDV

$47,628

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
Observed candles show an intra-hour move from $0.0000032 to $0.000206 (over 6,000%) followed by a collapse to $0.0000497, and a 5m change of +22% — indicative of extreme, largely unpredictable price swings.
Liquidityhigh
Total liquidity of only $10.26K against 24h volume exceeding $613K combined creates severe slippage risk and makes the pool highly susceptible to being drained or manipulated by relatively small trades.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extremely shallow liquidity ($10.26K) relative to trading volume creates high slippage and manipulation potential
Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status leaves open the possibility of rug-pull mechanics
No holder or sniper data available, eliminating visibility into concentration and early-buyer dumping risk
Extreme observed volatility (6,000%+ intra-candle range) indicates an immature, easily manipulated market
Very small FDV (~$47.6K) with no established track record or verified contract status

Mitigating factors

24h buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced (50.2%/49.8%), suggesting no overwhelming one-sided sell pressure at this snapshot
Unique buyer count (3,332) exceeds unique seller count (2,717) over 24h, a mildly positive breadth signal
Token has active social presence (Twitter, website) which may support ongoing community engagement, though this does not reduce technical/on-chain risk

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who fully understand micro-cap Solana token dynamics and can tolerate total loss of capital. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking capital preservation, or anyone unable to independently verify authority/contract safety before trading.

LaunchRail is a sub-$50K FDV micro-cap token on PumpSwap exhibiting classic new-listing characteristics: extreme volatility, thin liquidity, and a pump-then-fade price pattern within the only two candles of available data. With no holder or sniper data to corroborate distribution health, and unknown authority/renouncement status, this token carries very high, largely unquantifiable risk typical of freshly launched speculative assets.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If liquidity deepens materially and buy pressure sustains above the current balanced 50.2% level, LAUNCH could reclaim and break above the $0.000125–$0.000206 resistance zone seen in its brief trading history, attracting further speculative momentum and social-media-driven volume.

Growing unique buyer count (3,332 vs 2,717 sellers) suggests some organic demand
Active social channels (Twitter, website) could drive continued retail attention
Low FDV leaves room for outsized percentage gains if speculative interest returns

Base Case

LAUNCH likely continues to trade with high volatility and thin liquidity in the near term, oscillating within or below its observed $0.0000310–$0.000125 intraday range, with price highly sensitive to individual large trades given the small liquidity pool.

No major liquidity injections or authority changes occur in the near term
Buy/sell flow remains roughly balanced as observed in the 24h window
No verified catalysts emerge beyond existing social media presence

Bear Case

High probability

Given the extremely thin $10.26K liquidity pool, unknown authority status, and the sharp fade already observed from $0.000206 to $0.0000497, the token could continue bleeding value or become effectively untradeable if liquidity is pulled or sellers dominate.

Shallow liquidity makes the token vulnerable to a liquidity pull or large sell order causing a severe price collapse
Unknown mint/freeze authority status raises rug-pull risk that cannot be dismissed
Decreasing volume between the two observed candles signals fading speculative interest
No verifiable holder distribution data to rule out extreme whale concentration

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 19, 02:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-19 14:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, FDV)
PumpSwap price and pair data
Hourly OHLC candle data (2 most recent candles only)
24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price % changes)
Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

Only two hourly OHLC candles were provided, making technical trend analysis highly speculative and statistically weak
No holder distribution data (holder counts, growth, whale concentration) was available — holderTrends and whaleMap sections are populated with placeholder zero/empty values per methodology and should not be treated as verified facts
No sniper wallet data was available — smart money signals are largely unknown
Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, verified-contract, and spam-flag statuses are all listed as unknown, preventing a definitive rug-risk determination
Extremely small sample size (2 candles, single-day analytics window) limits statistical confidence in all directional predictions

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based on limited, possibly incomplete on-chain data that may not reflect the full risk profile of the token. Token metadata, descriptions, and social links were supplied by potentially adversarial sources and were treated as untrusted evidence, not instructions. Cryptocurrency trading, especially in micro-cap and newly launched tokens, carries a very high risk of total capital loss. Always conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is LaunchRail (LAUNCH) a scam?

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. Checked Nov 2, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell LaunchRail (LAUNCH)?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Nov 2, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is LaunchRail ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling LaunchRail?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is LaunchRail liquidity falling?

As of 2026-09-19 14:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $10,261.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for LaunchRail (LAUNCH)?

Is LAUNCH a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who fully understand micro-cap Solana token dynamics and can tolerate total loss of capital. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking capital preservation, or anyone unable to independently verify authority/contract safety before trading.

What are the key risks of holding LAUNCH?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($10.26K) relative to trading volume creates high slippage and manipulation potential • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status leaves open the possibility of rug-pull mechanics • No holder or sniper data available, eliminating visibility into concentration and early-buyer dumping risk