May4th

Star Wars Price Today & AI Analysis

May4th
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 4, 2026

7wC7z6FbueVpDhb724xg7VHvsLwMPuQgwvHUfMbq5Z89

$0.041031

FDV $10,251

LiveContract:7wC7z6FbueVpDhb724xg7VHvsLwMPuQgwvHUfMbq5Z89Chain:SolanaHolders:295Market cap:$10,251

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Ask Unhosted AI about May4th

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 4, 04:17 AM
FDV

$253,132

Liquidity

$41,766

Holders

912

Snipers

35

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Star Wars (May4th) is a meme/event-driven Solana token launched around Star Wars Day (May 4th, 2026). It has experienced an explosive 24h price surge of ~851–1057% (depending on measurement window), driven by thematic hype. The token trades on PumpSwap with ~$41.77K in liquidity and a fully diluted valuation of ~$253K–$275K. With only 912 holders, shallow liquidity, heavy sell pressure (72.2% of 24h volume), and an unverified contract, this is a high-risk, speculative meme token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Event-driven Star Wars Day (May 4th) narrative providing a clear, time-limited catalyst
Explosive 24h price appreciation of ~851% with rapid holder growth (+547 holders in 24h)
Extremely low market cap (~$253K FDV) offering high upside potential but also high downside risk
Heavy sell pressure (72.2% of 24h volume) despite price appreciation, indicating distribution
Shallow liquidity (~$41.77K) creating significant slippage risk for larger trades

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

After a parabolic 851%+ move in 24h, the token is showing signs of exhaustion. The most recent candle (04:00 UTC) shows a high wick at $0.000254 with a close at the high, but volume has collapsed from $41K (03:00 candle) to just $4.1K. Sell pressure dominates at 72.2% of 24h volume. A mean-reversion pullback toward the $0.000150–$0.000180 range is likely in the near term as the May 4th catalyst fades.

Target low$0.000100
Target high$0.000300
Support: $0.000181 (candle [2] low), $0.000135 (candle [4] low), $0.000109 (candle [5] close / candle [6] close)
Resistance: $0.000254 (current price / candle [1] high), $0.000277 (candle [2] high — intraday peak)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

Once the May 4th Star Wars Day narrative fades, there is no fundamental catalyst to sustain price. Meme tokens with event-driven pumps typically retrace 70–90% post-event. The token had only ~157 holders for most of April before the pump, suggesting the pre-existing community is thin. Without sustained development, utility, or a new catalyst, price is likely to drift significantly lower.

Catalysts
  • Continuation of Star Wars Day social media momentum (short-lived)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation or influencer promotion
  • Post-event sell-off as May 4th passes and narrative fades

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h momentum (+851%) with holder count growing rapidly (+547 in 24h)
  • May 4th Star Wars Day is a globally recognized cultural event driving organic search and social interest
  • Low FDV (~$253K) means small capital inflows can move price significantly
  • Holder growth accelerating: 300 new holders on May 3rd alone

Bearish factors

  • 72.2% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($154.7K sells vs $59.5K buys)
  • Liquidity is very shallow at $41.77K — large exits will cause severe price impact
  • Event catalyst (May 4th) is time-limited and already priced in
  • Unverified contract with mutable metadata authority not renounced
  • Top 10 holders control 32.02% of supply; top 100 control 78.31%
  • Sniper #20 (Em8J3gBWapfVBGVhVipwQnLrqCvnWBnLajw6XFsFECPF) realized +196% PnL selling $2,236 — early buyers distributing into strength
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the purely speculative, event-driven nature of this token, extremely shallow liquidity, missing sniper cost-basis data, and the unpredictable nature of meme coin price action. The 24h move is extraordinary and directional calls carry high uncertainty.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series reveals a textbook parabolic pump. From candle [24] (05:00 UTC May 3) at an open of ~$0.0000237, price ground sideways through candles [23]–[12] with low volume ($353–$1,344/hr), then began accelerating upward from candle [11] (18:00 UTC, $0.0000401 open). A sharp breakout occurred in candle [9] (20:00 UTC) where price nearly doubled from $0.0000486 to a high of $0.0000927. Candle [6] (23:00 UTC) shows a dramatic wick down to $0.0000507 (shakeout/stop-hunt) before recovering. Candles [5]–[1] show continued higher highs and higher lows with the most recent candle [1] closing at its high of $0.000254. Volume peaked in candle [2] ($41.3K) and collapsed in candle [1] ($4.1K), a classic volume divergence warning at a local top.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 28%Sell 72%

Short and medium-term trend is firmly up based on the 24h candle series showing consistent higher highs and higher lows from $0.0000237 to $0.000254. However, the trend is parabolic and unsustainable; volume collapse in the most recent candle is a warning sign of trend exhaustion.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000181 (candle [2] low / candle [4] close area)
Major$0.000109 (candle [5] close / candle [6] close — post-shakeout base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000254 (current price / candle [1] high — all-time high)
Major$0.000277 (candle [2] intraday high — the highest wick in the dataset)

The token is trading at its all-time high with no overhead resistance from prior price history. Immediate support sits at the candle [2] low of $0.000181, which was the base of the most recent leg up. A break below $0.000109 (the candle [5]–[6] consolidation zone) would signal a deeper retracement toward the $0.0000507–$0.0000600 range.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic price advance: ~970% gain from 24h low to current price in under 24 hours
  • Volume climax in candle [2] followed by sharp volume collapse in candle [1] — bearish divergence at top
  • Long lower wick in candle [6] (low: $0.0000507, open: $0.000169) — shakeout/stop-hunt pattern
  • Candle [1] closes at its high with declining volume — potential exhaustion candle
  • Higher highs and higher lows across candles [8]–[1] confirming short-term uptrend structure
  • Sideways accumulation phase (candles [24]–[12]) with very low volume before breakout

Total holders912
24h Δ+60
7d Δ+79
30d Δ+83
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is strongly correlated with the price pump. The token had ~157 holders from April 4–16 with near-zero growth, then slowly climbed to 191 by April 26. Growth accelerated sharply on May 2 (+112 holders, +31%) and exploded on May 3 (+300 holders, +45%) as the May 4th Star Wars Day narrative gained traction and price began its parabolic move. The +547 holders in 24h (+60%) directly coincides with the 851%+ price surge, suggesting FOMO-driven buying rather than organic community growth.

Holder growth is almost entirely event-driven and FOMO-induced. For the first ~28 days of the 30-day window (April 4–May 1), the token averaged fewer than 4 new holders per day. Then in the final 3 days (May 2–4), it added 755+ holders — representing ~83% of the 30-day growth in just 3 days. This is a classic meme pump holder pattern. The 912 total holders is still a very small community. The acquisition breakdown (893 via swap, 19 via transfer, 0 via airdrop) confirms all growth is market-driven. Post-May 4th, holder growth is likely to stall or reverse as the narrative fades.

Top 10 hold32.02%
Top 100 hold78.31%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

AhTJcJmi4rywKEo4DdFP18YM3wbcDYm85uAHXag9rDvU

DEX Liquidity Pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

8.00%

xYkxtYBP3N8GN1oqKsPESuhKCJJCGpxbTfeWKebzDdg

Individual whale / early buyer

3.35%

5EUw6FTth4CUD4eAHvS8mdv6PqQEE6dMoW1eCSpnnYJz

Individual whale (round balance of 33,000,000 suggests possible team/project allocation)

3.32%

7VokfzBvpjWjWyb9FH8nM24EUGoyCZaTYTbxci1GTCfj

Individual whale / early buyer

3.16%

3Ct8AjgepXq4Tf4kp71dZJMrn6Q2ETwf32APz9mezNhu

Individual whale (near-round balance of 29,900,000 suggests possible team/project allocation)

3.01%

The top 10 holders control 32.02% of supply and the top 100 control 78.31%, indicating a concentrated distribution. The #1 holder (8.00%, 79.6M tokens) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address (AhTJcJmi4rywKEo4DdFP18YM3wbcDYm85uAHXag9rDvU), which matches the trading pair address in the price data — this is expected and not a red flag. Holders #3 (33M, round number) and #5 (29.9M, near-round) may represent team or project allocations. Holders #2, #4, and #6–#10 appear to be individual whales or early buyers. The 159 'whale' category holders per the distribution data suggest significant concentration among large holders. With 78.31% of supply in the top 100 wallets and only 912 total holders, the token is highly susceptible to whale-driven price movements.

Liquidity$41,770
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$59,550
Sell$154,700
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers458
Unique sellers1,094

Liquidity is critically shallow at $41.77K against a 24h trading volume of ~$214.25K ($59.55K buys + $154.70K sells) — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~5.1x. This means the pool is being churned heavily and any significant sell order will cause severe price impact. The net flow is strongly negative: sellers outnumber buyers 1,094 to 458 (2.4:1 ratio) and sell volume ($154.7K) is 2.6x buy volume ($59.55K). Despite this heavy selling, price has held up due to the momentum and FOMO buying, but the imbalance is unsustainable. The FDV of $253K–$275K against $41.77K liquidity means the token is thinly backed. Slippage risk is high for any trade above ~$1,000–$2,000.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply994,860,675.955816
FDV$253,131.79

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~994.86M tokens with a current FDV of ~$253K. The update authority is 'TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM' — this is NOT a burn address (not 11111...111) and is NOT explicitly renounced, meaning the metadata can potentially be updated. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false' which is a positive signal indicating the on-chain metadata immutability flag is set, reducing (but not eliminating) metadata manipulation risk. Mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data, so they are marked as unknown. The contract is unverified ('Verified contract: false'). The token is not flagged as spam. Given the mutable=false flag but non-renounced update authority and unverified contract, rug risk from authorities is rated medium. The round/near-round balances of holders #3 (33M) and #5 (29.9M) and #17 (12M) may indicate pre-allocated team/insider holdings.

Volatility
high

Price has moved +851–1057% in 24 hours from a low of ~$0.0000231. Such parabolic moves are inherently unstable and typically followed by sharp corrections of 70–90%.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $41.77K. A sell order of $5,000+ would cause significant slippage. The volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~5.1x indicates the pool is being heavily stressed.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 32.02% of supply; top 100 control 78.31%. Excluding the liquidity pool (#1 at 8%), the next 9 holders control ~24% of supply. A coordinated exit by top holders would be devastating to price.

SniperDump
medium

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Most have already sold (moderate sell-through rate). The largest sniper (Em8J3gBWapfVBGVhVipwQnLrqCvnWBnLajw6XFsFECPF) already booked +196% on $2,236 in sales. Remaining sniper risk is reduced but not eliminated as some balances are unknown.

Authority
medium

Update authority is not renounced (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM). Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. Contract is unverified. Mutable=false provides some protection but does not fully eliminate risk.

Key risks

  • Event-driven narrative (May 4th Star Wars Day) is time-limited — catalyst fades immediately after the date
  • Extreme sell pressure: 72.2% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.4:1
  • Shallow liquidity ($41.77K) creates high slippage and exit risk
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • Top 100 wallets hold 78.31% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Parabolic price action (+851% in 24h) historically precedes sharp corrections
  • Volume collapse in most recent candle (90% drop) signals potential trend exhaustion
  • Only 912 total holders — very thin community base

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false flag reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Token is not flagged as spam by Moralis
  • Most snipers appear to have already sold, reducing future sniper dump pressure
  • Strong cultural catalyst (Star Wars Day) with global recognition driving organic interest
  • Rapid holder growth (+547 in 24h) shows genuine market interest, however FOMO-driven
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme coin dynamics, can afford to lose their entire investment, and have a clear exit strategy. Not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or those without active position monitoring capabilities.

Star Wars (May4th) is a pure event-driven meme token capitalizing on the globally recognized Star Wars Day (May 4th) cultural moment. The token has executed a textbook meme pump with explosive price and holder growth in the 24–48 hours leading up to the event. The core thesis is entirely speculative: buy the narrative, sell the event. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric and time-sensitive.

Bull case (low)

The May 4th Star Wars Day narrative continues to gain social media traction on the day itself, driving a second wave of FOMO buying. Influencer promotion or viral social media posts push the token to new highs, potentially 2–5x from current levels (~$0.000500–$0.001270). The thin liquidity means even modest capital inflows can drive outsized price moves.

  • Viral social media momentum on May 4th itself (the actual Star Wars Day)
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving new buyer waves
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally providing tailwind
  • Low FDV (~$253K) amplifying impact of new capital inflows

Base case

Price consolidates or pulls back 40–60% from current highs over the next 24–72 hours as the May 4th event passes. The token retains a small but active community of ~500–900 holders and trades in a range of $0.000080–$0.000150 in the week following the event, gradually fading as attention moves elsewhere.

  • May 4th social media activity provides one more day of buying support before fading
  • Some holders take profits but a core community remains
  • No major whale exits or rug events in the near term
  • Liquidity remains sufficient for orderly trading

Bear case (high)

The May 4th catalyst is already fully priced in (or over-priced) given the 851%+ move. As the date passes, selling pressure overwhelms buyers, liquidity drains, and price retraces 80–95% back toward pre-pump levels of $0.000019–$0.000033. Whale exits and sniper profit-taking accelerate the decline.

  • Event catalyst (May 4th) is time-limited and already reflected in price
  • Dominant sell pressure (72.2% of volume) and 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying downside moves
  • Whale concentration enabling rapid coordinated exits
  • Historical meme token post-pump retracement patterns

GeneratedMay 4, 04:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-05-04T04:00 UTC. Holder data reflects snapshot at time of query. Sniper data covers first 1,000 blocks post-launch.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data (hourly candles)
  • On-chain holder metrics and historical holder time series
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data

Limitations

  • Sniper cost-basis (total sniped USD) is unknown for all 20 snipers, limiting precise smart money analysis
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — inferred from available metadata
  • Update authority identity (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) not further identified — could be team, deployer, or third party
  • Only 24 hourly candles available — insufficient for medium/long-term technical analysis
  • No social media sentiment data, on-chain transaction graph, or developer activity data available
  • Holder distribution categories (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) use platform-defined thresholds not disclosed in data
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($253,131.79) and trading analytics ($275,370) — likely due to price movement between data pulls

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply994,860,675.955816

Key Risks

•Event-driven narrative (May 4th Star Wars Day) is time-limited — catalyst fades immediately after the date
•Extreme sell pressure: 72.2% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.4:1
•Shallow liquidity ($41.77K) creates high slippage and exit risk
•Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. The total sniped USD amount is unknown as cost-basis data is missing for all snipers. PnL states are mixed: 12 of 20 snipers show positive realized PnL (ranging from +1.5% to +196%), while 5 show negative PnL (ranging from -1.0% to -13.4%), and 3 show 0% (likely haven't sold). The largest winner, sniper #20, realized +196% on $2,236 in sales — a significant early exit into the pump. Sniper concentration in supply is estimated at ~2% given unknown balances, but actual concentration could be higher. The mixed PnL state and moderate sell-through rate suggest early buyers are actively distributing into the current price spike.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper #20 (Em8J3gBWapfVBGVhVipwQnLrqCvnWBnLajw6XFsFECPF) sold $2,236 at +196% PnL; Sniper #13 (AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51) sold $2,100 at -4.4% PnL — these two account for the largest realized dollar volumes among snipers

Mixed-to-negative: the majority of snipers with meaningful dollar exposure have already sold (snipers #8, #13, #20 collectively sold ~$4,772), with sniper #20 booking a +196% gain. Remaining sniper balances are largely unknown or near zero, suggesting most early buyers have exited or are near breakeven.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Star Wars (May4th)?

After a parabolic 851%+ move in 24h, the token is showing signs of exhaustion. The most recent candle (04:00 UTC) shows a high wick at $0.000254 with a close at the high, but volume has collapsed from $41K (03:00 candle) to just $4.1K. Sell pressure dominates at 72.2% of 24h volume. A mean-reversion pullback toward the $0.000150–$0.000180 range is likely in the near term as the May 4th catalyst fades. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000100 to $0.000300.

Is May4th a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme coin dynamics, can afford to lose their entire investment, and have a clear exit strategy. Not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse individuals, or those without active position monitoring capabilities.

How are May4th holders trending?

Star Wars currently has 912 holders and is growing (24h: 60, 7d: 79, 30d: 83). Holder growth is almost entirely event-driven and FOMO-induced. For the first ~28 days of the 30-day window (April 4–May 1), the token averaged fewer than 4 new holders per day. Then in the final 3 days (May 2–4), it added 755+ holders — representing ~83% of the 30-day growth in just 3 days. This is a classic meme pump holder pattern. The 912 total holders is still a very small community. The acquisition breakdown (893 via swap, 19 via transfer, 0 via airdrop) confirms all growth is market-driven. Post-May 4th, holder growth is likely to stall or reverse as the narrative fades.

What does sniper activity look like for May4th?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding May4th?

Event-driven narrative (May 4th Star Wars Day) is time-limited — catalyst fades immediately after the date • Extreme sell pressure: 72.2% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.4:1 • Shallow liquidity ($41.77K) creates high slippage and exit risk

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