SMOLE

The Smol Bull Price Today & AI Analysis

SMOLESolanaAnalysis as of Jul 10, 2026

Price

$0.052929

-3.85% 24h

Contract

Live
7Hn6wAEgdjiz1Ca9eebxJo2G91uBKCmLkdShfnZupump

Chain

Holders

596

Market cap

$2,926

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The Smol Bull: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-10 17:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,161

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$44,840.49
How concentrated is The Smol Bull ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,161 addresses (2026-07-10 17:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling The Smol Bull?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Smol Bull liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-10 17:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $44,840.49. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-10 17:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 10, 05:17 PM UTC

FDV

$0

Liquidity

$44,840.49

Holders

1,161

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

SMOLE (The Smol Bull) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana (mint: 7Hn6wAEgdjiz1Ca9eebxJo2G91uBKCmLkdShfnZupump) with a total supply of 1 token (decimals: 0), currently priced at ~$0.000117 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$116.75K. The token experienced a dramatic +208.9% price spike in the past 24 hours, but this is accompanied by extreme sell pressure (82.1% sell volume), very shallow liquidity ($44.84K), and deeply anomalous on-chain data — including a reported total supply of 1, zero top-holder data, and a 30-day holder count frozen at 117 until a sudden surge to 1,161 holders within the last 24 hours. The token's metadata is mutable, update authority is unknown, and the contract is unverified. Multiple red flags suggest this is an extremely high-risk speculative asset with possible manipulation.

Key points

  • Total supply reported as 1 (decimals: 0) — highly anomalous and likely a data artifact or intentional obfuscation
  • Holder count was frozen at exactly 117 for 30 consecutive days, then surged +1,044 (90%) in 24 hours — suggests coordinated launch activity
  • Extreme sell pressure: 82.1% of 24h volume is sells ($295.36K sells vs $64.19K buys)
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk cannot be ruled out
  • Price up +208.9% in 24h despite overwhelming sell dominance — indicative of a pump-and-dump dynamic

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is showing extreme sell pressure (82.1% sell volume, 3,770 sells vs 1,269 buys) and a -10.2% drop in the last 5 minutes. The price spike of +208.9% appears to be a pump event with distribution already underway. With only $44.84K in liquidity, any continued selling will cause rapid price deterioration. The OHLC data shows a candle where the Low ($0.0000919) is higher than the High ($0.0000844) in candle [1], suggesting data inconsistency, but the overall pattern from candles [2] and [3] shows a sharp rise followed by a close well below the high — a bearish reversal signal.

Target low

$0.000030

Target high

$0.000130

Support

$0.0000342 (candle [1] open / candle [3] open), $0.0000338 (candle [3] low)

Resistance

$0.0000853 (candle [3] high), $0.0000844 (candle [1] close / candle [2] open)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the mutable metadata, unknown update authority, unverified contract, and the pattern of a 30-day dormant holder base suddenly activated, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Meme tokens launched on PumpFun with these characteristics typically retrace 80–99% from their pump highs. Sustained price appreciation would require genuine community adoption and liquidity growth, neither of which is evidenced in the data.

Catalysts

  • Continued sell-off by early holders who accumulated during the 30-day dormant period
  • Liquidity withdrawal by LPs given shallow $44.84K pool
  • Lack of verified contract or renounced authorities reducing institutional confidence
  • Any negative social media sentiment or exposure of manipulation

Bullish factors

  • Price up +208.9% in 24h showing strong short-term momentum
  • 1,161 total holders with +813 added in the last hour suggests viral attention
  • Token is trading on PumpSwap with an active pair (Ed8TRTpcsvu4Q3pnAEnwbeSwERZr2542PzdNAKCn5b1s)
  • Social links present (Telegram, Twitter) suggesting some community infrastructure

Bearish factors

  • 82.1% sell pressure — $295.36K in sells vs $64.19K in buys over 24h
  • 3,770 sells vs 1,269 buys — sellers outnumber buyers nearly 3:1
  • Only $44.84K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Holder count frozen at 117 for 30 days then exploded — highly suspicious launch pattern
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk present
  • Unverified contract
  • FDV of only $116.75K with total supply reported as 1 — data anomaly raises integrity concerns
  • -10.2% price drop in last 5 minutes at time of analysis

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to severely anomalous data (total supply of 1, frozen holder count, missing top-holder data, OHLC inconsistencies), only 3 hourly candles available, no sniper data, and the highly speculative nature of PumpFun meme tokens. Price prediction for such assets is inherently unreliable.

SMOLE call history

Full track record →

Jul 10bearish
24h-85.8%
7d-97.4%
30d-97.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
7Hn6wA...pump
Total Supply
1 (decimals: 0) — highly anomalous; likely a data artifact or non-standard token structure

Key Risks

  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — token properties can be changed without notice
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Unverified contract — no independent code audit
  • 82.1% sell pressure indicating active distribution by early holders

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (15:00 UTC): O=$0.0000343, H=$0.0000853, L=$0.0000338, C=$0.0000843 — a strong bullish candle with a long lower wick, closing near the high. Candle [2] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000844, H=$0.0000844, L=$0.0000703, C=$0.0000343 — a strong bearish candle, opening at the prior close and selling off sharply, closing near the low. This is a bearish engulfing/reversal pattern. Candle [1] (17:00 UTC): O=$0.0000343, H=$0.0000844, L=$0.0000919, C=$0.0000844 — NOTE: the Low ($0.0000919) is higher than the High ($0.0000844), which is a data inconsistency/error. This candle cannot be reliably interpreted. Overall pattern: sharp pump in candle [3], immediate distribution in candle [2], with candle [1] data unreliable.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The short-term trend is bearish following the pump-and-dump pattern visible in candles [2] and [3]. The medium-term trend is effectively sideways/unknown given only 3 candles of data and a 30-day dormant period prior to launch activity.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

18%

Sell

82%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000342 (candle [1] open and candle [3] open)

Major support

$0.0000338 (candle [3] low — recent absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000844 (candle [2] open / candle [3] close)

Major resistance

$0.0000853 (candle [3] high — recent absolute high)

The key support zone is $0.0000338–$0.0000342, representing the base from which the pump launched. If this level breaks, there is no visible on-chain support below. Resistance is clustered at $0.0000844–$0.0000853, the pump high zone. Given the current price of ~$0.000117 is above these candle highs, either the price has continued to pump after these candles or there is a data lag — the current price should be treated with caution.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing candle at candle [2] — strong reversal signal after the pump
  • High-volume sell candle following low-volume buy candle — classic pump-and-dump distribution pattern
  • Data inconsistency in candle [1] (Low > High) — suggests possible data feed error or manipulation
  • 30-day price dormancy followed by sudden explosive activity — coordinated launch/pump pattern
  • Current price ($0.000117) significantly above the 3-candle high ($0.0000853) — possible continued pump or data lag

Liquidity

Liquidity

$44,840.49

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $44.84K on a single PumpSwap pair (Ed8TRTpcsvu4Q3pnAEnwbeSwERZr2542PzdNAKCn5b1s). With a 24h sell volume of $295.36K — more than 6.5x the total liquidity pool — slippage risk is very high. Any significant sell order will move the price dramatically. The net flow is strongly negative (outflow): $295.36K in sells vs $64.19K in buys, a ratio of approximately 4.6:1. Unique sellers (1,438) outnumber unique buyers (567) by 2.5:1. The FDV of $116.75K vs $44.84K liquidity means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~38%, which is relatively high for a meme token but still insufficient to absorb the sell pressure. Market health is poor — this token is in active distribution.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1 (decimals: 0) — highly anomalous; likely a data artifact or non-standard token structure

FDV

$116,750

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price up +208.9% in 24h, -10.2% in 5 minutes. Extreme intraday volatility consistent with a pump-and-dump. Only $44.84K liquidity amplifies price swings.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $44.84K is extremely shallow. 24h sell volume ($295.36K) is 6.5x the liquidity pool. Large exits will cause severe slippage and price impact.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — token properties can be changed without notice
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Unverified contract — no independent code audit
  • 82.1% sell pressure indicating active distribution by early holders
  • Holder count frozen at 117 for 30 days then exploding — coordinated pump pattern
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($44.84K) relative to trading volume ($359.55K in 24h)
  • Anomalous total supply data (reported as 1) — data integrity concerns
  • No top holder data available — cannot assess concentration risk directly
  • PumpFun launch with no verified fundamentals — pure speculative meme token

Mitigating factors

  • Token has graduated to PumpSwap, suggesting bonding curve was completed (some organic demand existed)
  • Social links (Telegram, Twitter) present — some community infrastructure exists
  • 1,161 holders and 1,734 unique wallets in 24h shows genuine market interest
  • FDV of $116.75K is low, limiting absolute downside in dollar terms for small positions
  • Liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~38% is relatively high for a micro-cap meme token

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in high-risk meme token trading. Position sizes should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). The overwhelming sell pressure, mutable metadata, unknown authorities, and anomalous data make this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

SMOLE is a PumpFun-launched meme token with a narrative tied to a claimed prior $SMOLE presale that allegedly raised $32M and reached $200M MC in 2024. The current token is a relaunch on PumpFun. The investment case is purely speculative and momentum-driven. The data shows a classic pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days of dormancy, a sudden +208.9% price spike, overwhelming sell pressure (82.1%), and shallow liquidity. The risk/reward is extremely unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the narrative around the original $SMOLE creator (@0xdekadente) gains viral traction on crypto Twitter/Telegram, a second wave of FOMO buyers could push the price to new highs. The low FDV ($116.75K) means even modest capital inflows could produce large percentage gains.

  • Viral social media momentum from the @0xdekadente narrative
  • Low FDV ($116.75K) amplifies price impact of new capital
  • 1,161 holders growing rapidly (+813 in last hour) could sustain momentum
  • Successful graduation from PumpFun bonding curve to PumpSwap demonstrates initial demand

Base Case

The pump fades within 24–48 hours as sell pressure overwhelms new buyers. Price retraces to the pre-pump range (~$0.0000338–$0.0000342). The token stabilizes at a much lower price with a small residual holder base. It may see occasional pumps tied to social media activity but will not sustain meaningful value without new catalysts.

  • No major new capital inflows or viral social media catalyst
  • Early holders continue gradual distribution
  • Liquidity remains shallow, preventing large institutional participation
  • Token is not abandoned or rugged outright (metadata not maliciously changed)

Bear Case

High probability

The 117 dormant insider holders continue distributing into pump-driven demand. Liquidity is withdrawn from the PumpSwap pool. Price retraces 80–99% from the pump high as new holders are left holding worthless tokens. The mutable metadata could be used to further manipulate or abandon the token.

  • 82.1% sell pressure already dominant — distribution is actively underway
  • 3,770 sells vs 1,269 buys in 24h — sellers vastly outnumber buyers
  • Mutable metadata and unknown authorities enable rug or abandonment
  • No verified fundamentals, utility, or locked liquidity
  • Historical pattern: 30-day dormancy followed by pump is a textbook coordinated dump setup

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 10, 05:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-10 17:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • Moralis price feed (USD and native SOL)
  • Moralis OHLC candle data (hourly)
  • Moralis trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Moralis holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Moralis top holders endpoint (returned empty)
  • Moralis sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)
  • PumpSwap pair data (Ed8TRTpcsvu4Q3pnAEnwbeSwERZr2542PzdNAKCn5b1s)

Limitations

  • Total supply reported as 1 with 0 decimals is internally inconsistent with 1,161 holders — data integrity is compromised
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top holder data completely unavailable — whale map analysis is severely limited
  • Sniper data unavailable — smart money analysis relies on indirect signals only
  • OHLC candle [1] has Low > High — data error, candle cannot be reliably interpreted
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm or deny renouncement
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — cannot assess supply inflation or freeze risk
  • Token description references unverifiable claims about prior $SMOLE presale performance
  • Price % change shows 0% for 6h and 24h despite large moves — possible data feed inconsistency
  • Current price ($0.000117) is above the highest OHLC candle high ($0.0000853) — possible data lag or continued pump after candle data cutoff

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed contains multiple anomalies and inconsistencies that reduce analytical confidence. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past performance of any token (including any prior $SMOLE) is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The Smol Bull ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,161 addresses (2026-07-10 17:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling The Smol Bull?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Smol Bull liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-10 17:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $44,840.49. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Smol Bull (SMOLE)?

The token is showing extreme sell pressure (82.1% sell volume, 3,770 sells vs 1,269 buys) and a -10.2% drop in the last 5 minutes. The price spike of +208.9% appears to be a pump event with distribution already underway. With only $44.84K in liquidity, any continued selling will cause rapid price deterioration. The OHLC data shows a candle where the Low ($0.0000919) is higher than the High ($0.0000844) in candle [1], suggesting data inconsistency, but the overall pattern from candles [2] and [3] shows a sharp rise followed by a close well below the high — a bearish reversal signal. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000030 to $0.000130.

Is SMOLE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in high-risk meme token trading. Position sizes should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). The overwhelming sell pressure, mutable metadata, unknown authorities, and anomalous data make this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

What are the key risks of holding SMOLE?

Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — token properties can be changed without notice • Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Unverified contract — no independent code audit

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