PHAT

PHAT Price Today & AI Analysis

PHATSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 23, 2026

Price

$0.000447

+676.06% 24h · FDV $447,110

Contract

Live
79GwPPmTXxdNKnosLWB2MhgnnA2FE7nggMpT4QStD3rm

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,470

Market cap

$447,110

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PHAT: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-23 03:15 UTC

Holder addresses

1,470

Top 10 supply share

34.11%

Reported liquidity

$42,222.00
How concentrated is PHAT ownership?
As of 2026-09-23 03:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 34.11% of supply. It reports 1,470 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling PHAT?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 03:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $246,042.00 in buys and $216,733.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is PHAT liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +43.86%, from $33,705.94 (2026-09-23 02:00 UTC) to $48,490.80 (2026-09-23 03:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-23 03:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-23 02:00 UTC$33,705.94
2026-09-23 03:00 UTC$48,490.80

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 23, 03:16 AM UTC

FDV

$447,110

Liquidity

$42,222.00

Holders

1,470

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

PHAT is a Solana micro-cap token trading on Raydium CPMM that just posted an extreme +676% price move in the trailing 24h/1h window, reaching a fully diluted valuation of ~$447.11K against only $42.22K of total liquidity. Top-10 holders control 34.11% of the 999,999,258-token supply across 1,470 holder addresses, and critical risk inputs - mint/freeze authority status, sniper wallet activity, and holder growth history - are all unavailable from the data provided, leaving significant blind spots in this assessment.

Key points

  • Parabolic +676% price spike in the observed window, already showing a -24.7% pullback in the most recent 5 minutes
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($42.22K) relative to 24h trading volume (~$462.77K combined buy+sell), creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • 34.11% of supply concentrated in the top 10 holders, with no visibility into who those holders are
  • Complete absence of sniper data and mint/freeze authority confirmation, both treated as unresolved risks rather than positives
  • Buy-side activity (1,722 unique buyers, 53.2% buy volume) currently modestly exceeds sell-side (848 sellers, 46.8% sell volume)

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 1-24 hours

neutral

Given the extreme volatility just observed (+676% then -24.7% in 5 minutes), short-term price direction is highly uncertain. The token could retest the recent high near $0.00075 if buy pressure persists, or fall back toward the candle 2 low of $0.000308 or lower if the pullback accelerates.

Target low

$0.000200

Target high

$0.000750

Support

$0.000308, $0.000353

Resistance

$0.000468, $0.000750

Medium term · 3-7 days

neutral

With only two hours of OHLC history and no longer-term trend data, medium-term direction cannot be reliably forecast. Sustainability depends on whether buy-side demand continues, whether concentrated holders sell, and unresolved questions about mint/freeze authority.

Catalysts

  • Resolution of whether top-10 holders (34.11% of supply) begin distributing
  • Any change in liquidity depth (additional LP added or removed)
  • Broader market/social attention sustaining or fading
  • Clarification of mint/freeze authority status, which could materially reprice risk if unfavorable

Bullish factors

  • Net positive buy volume (53.2% vs 46.8% sell) in the last 24h
  • Unique buyers (1,722) outnumber unique sellers (848) roughly 2:1
  • Momentum from the recent +676% spike could attract further speculative attention

Bearish factors

  • Immediate -24.7% pullback in the last 5 minutes signals momentum exhaustion
  • Extremely shallow $42.22K liquidity pool cannot absorb large sell orders without significant price impact
  • 34.11% supply concentration in top 10 wallets creates dump risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority leaves open dilution/freeze risk
  • No sniper data to assess coordinated early-buyer selling risk

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because only two hourly candles of price history exist, sniper and holder-history data are entirely unavailable, and mint/freeze authority status is unknown. These gaps make any price forecast highly speculative.

PHAT call history

Full track record →

Sep 23neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
79GwPP...D3rm
Total Supply
999,999,258.28 PHAT

Key Risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($42.22K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
  • Top 10 holders control over a third (34.11%) of total supply with no visibility into who they are
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status means the possibility of further dilution or account freezing cannot be ruled out
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess whether the +676% spike was organic or coordinated

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle 1 (02:00 UTC) opened at $0.00000491, spiked to a high of $0.000399, dipped to a low of $0.00000409, and closed at $0.000353 on volume of $290.3K - an enormous intra-candle range suggesting a violent, likely low-liquidity-driven price discovery event. Candle 2 (03:00 UTC) opened at $0.000353 (matching prior close), pushed to a new high of $0.000750, dropped to a low of $0.000308, and closed at $0.000468 on volume of $347.2K, continuing the extreme volatility with a higher high and higher low than the prior candle's close-relative range.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Both available candles show dramatic upward price discovery with the 24h/1h change registering +676%. The most recent candle printed a higher high ($0.00075 vs $0.000399) than the prior candle, indicating continued short-term bullish momentum, though the 5m change of -24.7% shows a sharp pullback is already underway from the intra-candle peak.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

53%

Sell

47%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000308 (candle 2 low)

Major support

$0.00000409 (candle 1 low, pre-spike base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000750 (candle 2 high, all-time high in observed data)

Major resistance

$0.000750 (same as immediate - only 2 candles of history available)

With only two hourly candles of OHLC history, support/resistance levels are provisional. The candle 2 low of $0.000308 acts as immediate support following the pullback from the $0.000750 high; a break below could target the much lower pre-spike base near $0.00000409, though that level seems structurally distant and may no longer be relevant post-repricing. The $0.000750 high is the only clear resistance in the observed window.

Notable patterns

  • Vertical price spike (near-100x within a single hour) followed by partial retracement - classic pump pattern
  • Higher high and higher low candle-over-candle (candle 2 vs candle 1), but with a long upper wick suggesting rejection at the $0.00075 level
  • Sharp 5-minute reversal (-24.7%) immediately following the spike, indicating momentum exhaustion

Liquidity

Liquidity

$42,222.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of only $42.22K against a 24h combined trading volume of ~$462.77K (buy $246.04K + sell $216.73K) implies a volume/liquidity ratio above 10x in a single day, which is a hallmark of a thinly-liquid, highly volatile micro-cap pair on Raydium CPMM. Slippage risk is high for any trade of meaningful size relative to the pool. Buy volume modestly exceeds sell volume (53.2% vs 46.8%), and unique buyers (1,722) outnumber unique sellers (848) roughly 2:1, suggesting net inflow and more distinct wallets buying than selling in the last 24h - consistent with the sharp price spike. However, this imbalance can reverse quickly given the shallow liquidity base, and the pool depth means even moderate sell pressure from top holders (34.1% held by top 10) could crater price.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,258.28 PHAT

FDV

$447.11K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +676% followed by a -24.7% pullback in the last 5 minutes demonstrates extreme volatility. Only two hourly candles show swings from $0.0000041 to $0.00075, an over 180x intra-window range.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $42.22K against 24h volume exceeding $460K combined, implying thin market depth and high slippage risk for any sizable trade.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Top-10 holders control 34.11% of total supply. Top-100 concentration and individual holder identities/classifications are unavailable, so the true distribution profile beyond the top 10 is unknown, but 34% in 10 wallets against a $42.22K liquidity pool is a material concentration risk.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($42.22K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
  • Top 10 holders control over a third (34.11%) of total supply with no visibility into who they are
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status means the possibility of further dilution or account freezing cannot be ruled out
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess whether the +676% spike was organic or coordinated
  • Extreme volatility (676% 1h/24h gain followed by an immediate -24.7% 5-minute pullback) suggests an unstable, possibly unsustainable price level
  • Only two hourly candles of price history are available, severely limiting technical confidence
  • No holder history data exists, so it's impossible to verify organic community growth versus bot/sybil wallet creation

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume ($246.04K) modestly exceeds sell volume ($216.73K), and unique buyers (1,722) outnumber unique sellers (848), suggesting net demand in the observed window
  • 1,470 distinct holder addresses exist, which is not a trivially small number, though this does not confirm organic distribution

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand micro-cap/low-liquidity Solana token dynamics and can tolerate potential total loss of capital. Not appropriate for conservative investors or those seeking stable, predictable exposure. Given the very high risk score, unknown authority status, and unknown sniper coverage, position sizing should be minimal if participating at all.

PHAT is a micro-cap Solana token that just experienced a violent +676% price spike within the observed 1-2 hour window, trading against only $42.22K of liquidity with a $447.11K fully diluted valuation. The setup carries very high risk due to shallow liquidity, unknown mint/freeze authority status, unavailable sniper data, and meaningful (34.11%) top-10 holder concentration, offset partially by apparent net buy-side demand in the last 24h.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued organic demand and social/community momentum push price higher as buyers (1,722 unique in 24h, outnumbering 848 sellers) keep absorbing supply, with the net buy-volume edge (53.2%/46.8%) sustaining upward pressure and potentially attracting further speculative inflows.

  • Buy volume and unique buyer count currently exceed sell-side activity
  • High volatility can favor fast, momentum-driven speculative gains if the trend extends
  • Growing holder base (1,470 addresses) could indicate expanding interest, though this cannot be confirmed as organic

Base Case

Price remains highly volatile and choppy around current levels ($0.00035-$0.00075 range observed) as the market digests the recent spike, with continued elevated volume but no clear sustained directional trend given the extremely limited data history.

  • No major new catalysts emerge in the immediate term
  • Liquidity remains thin, keeping volatility elevated in both directions
  • Holder and authority data remain unverified, keeping risk elevated

Bear Case

High probability

The +676% spike proves to be an unsustainable pump that reverses sharply, as suggested by the immediate -24.7% 5-minute pullback; concentrated top-10 holders (34.11%) or unidentified early buyers/snipers liquidate into the shallow $42.22K liquidity pool, causing a rapid price collapse.

  • Extremely thin liquidity relative to volume amplifies downside price impact from even moderate selling
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the risk of supply dilution or account restrictions
  • No sniper data available to rule out coordinated early-buyer dumping, and the parabolic spike pattern historically correlates with high reversal risk
  • 34.11% concentration in top 10 wallets creates outsized sell pressure potential

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 23, 03:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-23 03:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • USD price and 24h/5m/1h change feed
  • Two most recent hourly OHLC candles from Raydium CPMM pair Cs4JQKrYeQTXUtY43UiDqQNKS3tGxr679PkCpSE9uTCy
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, buy/sell pressure)
  • Holder aggregates from Codex (current snapshot: holder count and top-10 concentration only)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only two hourly OHLC candles were available, severely limiting technical trend and support/resistance reliability
  • No sniper/early-buyer wallet data was available, preventing assessment of coordinated pump/dump risk
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) was available; only a single current snapshot of holder count (1,470) and top-10 concentration (34.11%) exists
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, contract verification, and mutability status were all marked unknown in the source data
  • Top-100 holder concentration and individual wallet classifications were not provided
  • 24h $ price change, native price, and 6h price change were marked unknown in the source data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is generated from limited, partial on-chain and market data and is provided for informational purposes only. It is NOT financial advice. Cryptocurrency tokens, especially low-liquidity micro-caps exhibiting extreme volatility, carry substantial risk of loss, including total loss of capital. Data gaps regarding sniper activity, holder history, and mint/freeze authority status mean this assessment cannot be considered comprehensive. Always conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is PHAT ownership?

As of 2026-09-23 03:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 34.11% of supply. It reports 1,470 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling PHAT?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 03:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $246,042.00 in buys and $216,733.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is PHAT liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +43.86%, from $33,705.94 (2026-09-23 02:00 UTC) to $48,490.80 (2026-09-23 03:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for PHAT (PHAT)?

Given the extreme volatility just observed (+676% then -24.7% in 5 minutes), short-term price direction is highly uncertain. The token could retest the recent high near $0.00075 if buy pressure persists, or fall back toward the candle 2 low of $0.000308 or lower if the pullback accelerates. Short-term outlook is neutral (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.000200 to $0.000750.

Is PHAT a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand micro-cap/low-liquidity Solana token dynamics and can tolerate potential total loss of capital. Not appropriate for conservative investors or those seeking stable, predictable exposure. Given the very high risk score, unknown authority status, and unknown sniper coverage, position sizing should be minimal if participating at all.

What are the key risks of holding PHAT?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($42.22K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation potential • Top 10 holders control over a third (34.11%) of total supply with no visibility into who they are • Unknown mint/freeze authority status means the possibility of further dilution or account freezing cannot be ruled out

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