Shrek

Menace Shrek Prediction

Shrek
Solana
AI Analysis
May 2, 02:49 AM

6ixv7h9LQ8Vz4S9F4Ta8BWM7USaDapihZroDWSRBpump

$0.0000977461

+192.09%

FDV $97,746

FDV

$97,746

Liquidity

$0

Holders

495

Snipers

33

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Menace Shrek (SHREK) is a meme token on Solana launched via PumpFun/PumpSwap (mint: 6ixv7h9LQ8Vz4S9F4Ta8BWM7USaDapihZroDWSRBpump). The token has a total supply of 1,000,000,000 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$97,746 at the time of analysis. It is an extremely early-stage, unverified meme coin with no description, no confirmed authority renouncement, and a trading history that is essentially less than 48 hours old. The token experienced a massive 192% price spike in the last 24 hours, driven by a sudden surge in holders from 21 to 495 — virtually all growth occurring in a single day. Sell pressure is dominant at 71.8% of 24h volume, and liquidity is reported as $0.00, indicating extremely shallow market depth. This is a very high-risk speculative asset.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 192% 24h price gain from a near-zero base, suggesting viral meme momentum
Holder base grew from 21 to 495 in under 24 hours — a 96% increase in a single day
Traded exclusively on PumpSwap with $0 reported liquidity depth, creating extreme slippage risk
20 snipers active in the first 1,000 blocks; majority are in profit, indicating early buyer advantage over latecomers
Top 10 holders control 34.25% of supply; top 100 control 84.93%, showing high concentration risk

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

After a 192% spike, the token is showing dominant sell pressure (71.8% of 24h volume is sells, 3,353 sell transactions vs 1,416 buys). The most recent hourly candle (02:00 UTC) shows a large upper wick from $0.0001283 high back down to $0.0000977 close, a classic rejection pattern. Short-term retracement toward the $0.000043–$0.000060 range is likely unless new buying catalysts emerge.

Target low$0.000032
Target high$0.000128
Support: $0.000059 (candle [1] open / prior consolidation), $0.000043 (candle [3] close / candle [2] low zone), $0.000032 (candle [5] low — major support)
Resistance: $0.000097 (current price / candle [1] close), $0.000128 (candle [1] all-time high wick — major resistance)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

The token has no utility, no verified contract, no description, and no confirmed authority renouncement. The holder base is brand new (21 holders for ~29 days, then 474 added in one day). Meme tokens of this profile typically retrace 70–95% from their spike highs within days unless sustained social momentum drives new buyers. The dominant sell pressure and sniper profit-taking further compress medium-term upside.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction on Twitter (listed as a social link)
  • New exchange listings or aggregator visibility
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Whale accumulation reversing current distribution trend

Bullish factors

  • 192% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • Holder count growing rapidly: +474 in 24h (+96%)
  • 1h price change of +154% shows continued buying interest in the most recent hour
  • Some snipers (e.g., STorreSu8X6y: +74.9%, AgmLJBMDCqWy: +33.3%, 1aDerPKk87x: +61.5%) are in significant profit, suggesting early buyers see value
  • Meme coin narrative (Shrek) has proven viral appeal in crypto markets historically

Bearish factors

  • 71.8% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($184.64K sells vs $72.42K buys)
  • 3,353 sell transactions vs only 1,416 buy transactions in 24h
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Token was dormant for ~29 days with only 21 holders before sudden spike — suspicious launch pattern
  • No verified contract, no description, update authority unknown, mutable=false but authority status unclear
  • Top 100 holders control 84.93% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Sniper sell-through is active; multiple snipers already realized profits
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token being less than 48 hours old with minimal price history (only 5 hourly candles available), $0 reported liquidity, unknown mint/freeze authority status, and the inherently unpredictable nature of meme coin momentum. Technical analysis is based on very limited OHLC data.

Deep Analysis

Technical Analysis
Holder Trends
Whale Map
Risk Assessment
Investment Thesis

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Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 SHREK

Key Risks

$0.00 reported liquidity makes large exits impossible without catastrophic slippage
Token was dormant for 29 days with 21 holders — highly suspicious pre-pump accumulation pattern
71.8% sell pressure with 2.6x more sellers than buyers despite price being up 192%
Top 100 holders control 84.93% of supply — extreme concentration and dump risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. Exact sniped amounts are unknown, limiting precise concentration calculation. Of the 20 snipers with known PnL data: approximately 12 are in profit (positive realized_pnl_pct) and 6 are at a loss, making the overall state 'mixed' but leaning toward profit for early buyers. The largest realized gains belong to STorreSu8X6y (+74.9%, sold $632), AgmLJBMDCqWy (+33.3%, sold $6,907 — the largest seller), 1aDerPKk87x (+61.5%, sold $1,077), and 6XzmFvaNivoY (+40.6%, sold $745). The fact that AgmLJBMDCqWy sold $6,907 at +33.3% profit is a significant smart money exit signal. Snipers with losses (BYNQC56Fo5K: -13.4%, DrnuP46qcf7b: -4.6%) suggest not all early buyers timed exits well.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; exact sniped supply unknown. Estimated concentration is low-to-moderate given most show sold balances and few hold remaining positions (only wallets [3] and [13] show non-zero remaining balances of $0 and $24 respectively).

Mixed-to-bearish. While several snipers are in profit and have partially or fully exited, the dominant sell pressure (71.8%) and active sniper profit-taking suggest early buyers are distributing into retail momentum rather than holding for further upside. The largest sniper by exit value (AgmLJBMDCqWy, $6,907 sold) has already taken profits.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Menace Shrek (Shrek)?

After a 192% spike, the token is showing dominant sell pressure (71.8% of 24h volume is sells, 3,353 sell transactions vs 1,416 buys). The most recent hourly candle (02:00 UTC) shows a large upper wick from $0.0001283 high back down to $0.0000977 close, a classic rejection pattern. Short-term retracement toward the $0.000043–$0.000060 range is likely unless new buying catalysts emerge. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000032 to $0.000128.

Is Shrek a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token is inappropriate for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with meme coin dynamics and PumpFun launch mechanics. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). Not suitable for portfolio allocation exceeding 0.5–1% of risk capital.

How are Shrek holders trending?

Menace Shrek currently has 495 holders and is growing (24h: 96, 7d: 96, 30d: 96). The holder trend is technically 'growing' and 'accelerating' but the context is critical: 21 holders held the token dormant for 29 consecutive days with zero net change. The entire holder base of 474 new holders was acquired in under 24 hours, coinciding exactly with the 192% price spike. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated pump launch — a small group of 21 wallets held the token quietly, then a trigger event caused viral spread. The 1h growth of +125 holders (+25%) is the most recent acceleration signal. Distribution breakdown: whales=154, sharks=48, dolphins=191, fish=52, octopus=21 — notably, 154 'whale' classification holders out of 495 total is unusually high and warrants caution.

What does sniper activity look like for Shrek?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Shrek?

$0.00 reported liquidity makes large exits impossible without catastrophic slippage • Token was dormant for 29 days with 21 holders — highly suspicious pre-pump accumulation pattern • 71.8% sell pressure with 2.6x more sellers than buyers despite price being up 192%

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