OUTCOME

Outcome Market Price Today & AI Analysis

OUTCOMESolanaAnalysis as of Aug 14, 2026

Price

$0.053213

-0.49% 24h

Contract

Live
6cE1jiKnQpF41MG27hdy7MRCXFckgcA2H8aQPQtWpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

272

Market cap

$3,071

More tokens on Solana

fogfogfog$0.041349+0.0%MC $13.5KskewskewSkew$0.053461+0.9%MC $3.5KGiselleGiselleThe Survivor$0.041396+0.0%MC $13.9KAsk Ask Ask Jeeves$0.057836+0.0%MC $7.8KPEAKSPEAKSPeaks Trade$0.052555+0.0%MC $2.6Ke/acce/accEffective Accelerationism$0.008889+103.9%MC $8.74M

Outcome Market: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-14 03:17 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$35,800.38
How concentrated is Outcome Market ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Outcome Market?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Outcome Market liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-14 03:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $35,800.38. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-14 03:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Ask Unhosted AI about OUTCOME

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Aug 14, 03:17 AM UTC

FDV

$63,679

Liquidity

$35,800.38

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

OUTCOME (Outcome Market) is a Solana-based token minted on the PumpSwap platform with a current price of ~$0.0000666 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$63.7K. The token has experienced extreme intraday volatility — a 46.5% 24h price gain masks a dramatic pump-and-dump pattern visible in the hourly OHLC data, where price spiked from ~$0.000029 to ~$0.000240 before collapsing back to ~$0.0000667. Sell pressure dominates heavily at 73.2% of 24h volume ($360.87K sells vs $132.39K buys). Liquidity is extremely shallow at $35.8K. No sniper data is available, and holder/whale data is unavailable from the upstream endpoints.

Key points

  • Extreme intraday volatility: price ranged from $0.0000194 to $0.000240 within two hours
  • Heavily sell-dominated: 73.2% sell pressure with 6,185 sells vs 2,597 buys in 24h
  • Very shallow liquidity at $35.8K total, creating high slippage risk
  • FDV of only ~$63.7K indicating micro-cap speculative asset
  • Mutable flag is false, but update authority is unknown — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
  • No verified contract, no description, and no sniper data available

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The most recent hourly candle (03:00 UTC) shows a dramatic rejection from the $0.000240 high, closing at $0.0000667 — a ~72% intrabar collapse. The 5-minute change of -10.6% confirms continued selling pressure. With sell volume at 73.2% of 24h total and only $35.8K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance in the near term.

Target low

$0.0000194

Target high

$0.000100

Support

$0.0000194 (hourly candle low, 02:00 UTC), $0.0000391 (hourly candle low, 03:00 UTC)

Resistance

$0.000100 (psychological round number), $0.000197 (03:00 UTC open / prior close area), $0.000240 (02:00–03:00 UTC spike high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without a verified contract, meaningful liquidity, or identifiable fundamentals, sustained price recovery is unlikely. The pump-and-dump candle pattern suggests early buyers have already distributed. Unless new catalysts emerge (social campaign, exchange listing), the token is likely to drift lower or become illiquid.

Catalysts

  • New social media campaign or influencer promotion (bullish catalyst)
  • Additional liquidity provision to PumpSwap pool (bullish catalyst)
  • Continued large-wallet distribution (bearish catalyst)
  • Loss of remaining retail interest leading to near-zero volume (bearish catalyst)

Bullish factors

  • 46.5% 24h price gain shows speculative interest exists
  • 1,656 unique wallets traded in 24h indicating some community activity
  • Token is not flagged as spam
  • Mutable flag is false, reducing one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • 73.2% sell pressure ($360.87K sells vs $132.39K buys)
  • Hourly candle shows ~72% intrabar collapse from spike high
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($35.8K) — high slippage on any meaningful trade
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority
  • FDV of only $63.7K — micro-cap with very limited market depth
  • 5-minute price change of -10.6% confirms ongoing selling
  • 6h and 24h % change both reported as 0% — data anomaly suggesting possible manipulation or reporting issue

Confidence: low. Only two hourly OHLC candles are available, no holder data exists, no sniper data is available, and the token has no verified contract or description. The extremely thin liquidity means price can move violently on small orders, making any target highly unreliable.

OUTCOME call history

Full track record →

Aug 14bearish
24h-64.5%
7d—
30d-95.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
6cE1ji...pump
Total Supply
956,644,153.69 OUTCOME

Key Risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 1,130%+ intraday range observed in just two hourly candles
  • Severe liquidity risk — $35.8K total liquidity with $493K 24h volume creates massive slippage
  • Heavy sell pressure — 73.2% of 24h volume is selling; 4.25:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • Pump-and-dump candle pattern — shooting star reversal at $0.000240 spike high

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (02:00 UTC): O=$0.0000291, H=$0.000216, L=$0.0000195, C=$0.000196 — a massive bullish spike candle with a long lower wick, closing near the high. Candle [1] (03:00 UTC): O=$0.000199, H=$0.000240, L=$0.0000391, C=$0.0000667 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star candle that opened near the prior close, briefly made a new high at $0.000240, then collapsed ~72% to close near the low. This two-candle sequence is a classic pump-and-dump pattern: a spike candle followed by a shooting star/bearish engulfing reversal.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The short-term trend is decisively bearish following the shooting star reversal candle at the $0.000240 peak. Medium-term trend is indeterminate given only two candles of data, but the collapse back toward the $0.0000391–$0.0000667 range suggests a return to pre-pump levels.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

27%

Sell

73%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000391 (03:00 UTC candle low)

Major support

$0.0000195 (02:00 UTC candle low — absolute recent floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000100 (psychological level above current price)

Major resistance

$0.000240 (02:00–03:00 UTC spike high — likely heavy supply zone)

The $0.0000195–$0.0000391 zone represents the recent floor established during the pump initiation. The $0.000240 level is the spike high and represents a major overhead supply zone where sellers clearly dominated. Current price of $0.0000667 sits between these extremes, closer to support than resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing candle at $0.000240 spike high (03:00 UTC) — strong reversal signal
  • Pump-and-dump two-candle sequence: spike candle followed by full reversal
  • High upper wick on 03:00 UTC candle indicating strong rejection at highs
  • Volume contraction on the down candle consistent with post-distribution selling
  • Price closing near the low of the 03:00 UTC candle — bearish close

Liquidity

Liquidity

$35,800.38

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $35.8K is extremely shallow relative to 24h trading volume of ~$493K — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~13.8x, indicating the pool is being heavily traded relative to its depth. This creates severe slippage risk for any trade of meaningful size. Net flow is strongly negative: $360.87K in sell volume vs $132.39K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$228.5K. The seller-to-buyer ratio of 4.25:1 (1,604 sellers vs 377 buyers) confirms broad distribution. The PumpSwap pair (5dSvh8pufnJQy5iezp9B63WZcfQgxAdrvbfUkmziD9x2) is the sole liquidity venue identified, concentrating all exit risk in one pool.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

956,644,153.69 OUTCOME

FDV

$63,720

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price ranged from $0.0000195 to $0.000240 within two hours — a ~1,130% intraday range. The 5-minute change of -10.6% and 1h change of +144% confirm extreme volatility. This level of price movement is consistent with a highly manipulated or speculative micro-cap.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $35.8K on a single PumpSwap pool. With 24h volume of ~$493K, the pool is being turned over ~13.8x per day. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage. Exit liquidity is severely limited.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 1,130%+ intraday range observed in just two hourly candles
  • Severe liquidity risk — $35.8K total liquidity with $493K 24h volume creates massive slippage
  • Heavy sell pressure — 73.2% of 24h volume is selling; 4.25:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • Pump-and-dump candle pattern — shooting star reversal at $0.000240 spike high
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Unverified contract with no description or whitepaper
  • Single liquidity venue (PumpSwap) — no alternative exit routes
  • Micro-cap FDV of $63.7K — highly susceptible to manipulation
  • 6h and 24h price change both reported as 0% despite clear price movement — possible data anomaly or manipulation signal

Mitigating factors

  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Mutable flag is false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some project presence
  • 1,656 unique wallets traded in 24h indicating some genuine community activity
  • Token launched on PumpSwap (pump.fun ecosystem) which has some baseline anti-rug mechanisms

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, conservative portfolios, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT financial advice.

OUTCOME is a micro-cap Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a $63.7K FDV and $35.8K liquidity. The token experienced a violent pump-and-dump within a two-hour window, with price spiking ~1,130% before collapsing ~72%. Current sell pressure is overwhelming (73.2%), and the market structure is consistent with early holder distribution. Without verified fundamentals, meaningful liquidity, or confirmed authority renouncement, this is a highly speculative instrument with asymmetric downside risk.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A renewed social media campaign or influencer promotion drives fresh retail interest, pushing price back toward the $0.000197–$0.000240 resistance zone. New liquidity is added to the PumpSwap pool, reducing slippage and enabling larger trades. The 1,656 unique wallets from 24h activity form a community base that sustains interest.

  • Viral social media momentum on Twitter/website channels
  • New liquidity provision reducing slippage risk
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Community-driven buy pressure overwhelming current distribution

Base Case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0000391–$0.0000667 range (between the 03:00 UTC candle low and close) as the immediate post-pump selling exhausts itself. Low-level speculative trading continues at reduced volume. The token neither recovers to pump highs nor collapses to zero in the near term, but remains highly volatile and illiquid.

  • Sell pressure moderates as the most motivated sellers exit
  • Some residual retail interest maintains minimal trading activity
  • No new major catalyst (positive or negative) emerges in the near term
  • Liquidity pool remains intact at current $35.8K level

Bear Case

High probability

Continued distribution by early holders drains remaining liquidity. Volume dries up as retail loses interest post-pump. Price drifts back toward the $0.0000195 floor or lower. The token becomes effectively illiquid and untradeable.

  • Sustained 73.2% sell pressure exhausting buy-side liquidity
  • Shallow $35.8K liquidity pool unable to absorb continued selling
  • No verified fundamentals or utility to attract long-term holders
  • Post-pump retail disillusionment reducing new buyer inflow
  • Unknown authority status creating persistent rug risk overhang

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 14, 03:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-14 03:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability, authority)
  • Price feed (USD spot price, 24h change)
  • OHLC hourly candles (2 candles provided)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, unique wallets, liquidity)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Holder and whale distribution data unavailable (upstream endpoints retired)
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are severely limited
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • 6h and 24h price change both reported as 0% despite clear price movement — possible data pipeline anomaly
  • No contract verification or audit available
  • Single liquidity venue limits market depth assessment
  • Token description is 'none' — no fundamental context available
  • FDV of $63.7K makes this highly susceptible to price manipulation by small actors

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from on-chain activity and third-party analytics providers and may contain errors or anomalies. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Outcome Market ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Outcome Market?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Outcome Market liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-14 03:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $35,800.38. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Outcome Market (OUTCOME)?

The most recent hourly candle (03:00 UTC) shows a dramatic rejection from the $0.000240 high, closing at $0.0000667 — a ~72% intrabar collapse. The 5-minute change of -10.6% confirms continued selling pressure. With sell volume at 73.2% of 24h total and only $35.8K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000194 to $0.000100.

Is OUTCOME a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, conservative portfolios, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding OUTCOME?

Extreme price volatility — 1,130%+ intraday range observed in just two hourly candles • Severe liquidity risk — $35.8K total liquidity with $493K 24h volume creates massive slippage • Heavy sell pressure — 73.2% of 24h volume is selling; 4.25:1 seller-to-buyer ratio

← Back to all predictions

Track OUTCOME