OUTCOME

Outcome Market Price Prediction 2026

OUTCOME
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 14, 2026

6cE1jiKnQpF41MG27hdy7MRCXFckgcA2H8aQPQtWpump

$0.046657

+46.50%

FDV $63,679

LiveContract:6cE1jiKnQpF41MG27hdy7MRCXFckgcA2H8aQPQtWpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,106Market cap:$63,679

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Ask Unhosted AI about OUTCOME

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Aug 14, 03:17 AM
FDV

$63,679

Liquidity

$35,800

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

OUTCOME (Outcome Market) is a Solana-based token minted on the PumpSwap platform with a current price of ~$0.0000666 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$63.7K. The token has experienced extreme intraday volatility — a 46.5% 24h price gain masks a dramatic pump-and-dump pattern visible in the hourly OHLC data, where price spiked from ~$0.000029 to ~$0.000240 before collapsing back to ~$0.0000667. Sell pressure dominates heavily at 73.2% of 24h volume ($360.87K sells vs $132.39K buys). Liquidity is extremely shallow at $35.8K. No sniper data is available, and holder/whale data is unavailable from the upstream endpoints.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme intraday volatility: price ranged from $0.0000194 to $0.000240 within two hours
Heavily sell-dominated: 73.2% sell pressure with 6,185 sells vs 2,597 buys in 24h
Very shallow liquidity at $35.8K total, creating high slippage risk
FDV of only ~$63.7K indicating micro-cap speculative asset
Mutable flag is false, but update authority is unknown — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
No verified contract, no description, and no sniper data available

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent hourly candle (03:00 UTC) shows a dramatic rejection from the $0.000240 high, closing at $0.0000667 — a ~72% intrabar collapse. The 5-minute change of -10.6% confirms continued selling pressure. With sell volume at 73.2% of 24h total and only $35.8K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance in the near term.

Target low$0.0000194
Target high$0.000100
Support: $0.0000194 (hourly candle low, 02:00 UTC), $0.0000391 (hourly candle low, 03:00 UTC)
Resistance: $0.000100 (psychological round number), $0.000197 (03:00 UTC open / prior close area), $0.000240 (02:00–03:00 UTC spike high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a verified contract, meaningful liquidity, or identifiable fundamentals, sustained price recovery is unlikely. The pump-and-dump candle pattern suggests early buyers have already distributed. Unless new catalysts emerge (social campaign, exchange listing), the token is likely to drift lower or become illiquid.

Catalysts
  • New social media campaign or influencer promotion (bullish catalyst)
  • Additional liquidity provision to PumpSwap pool (bullish catalyst)
  • Continued large-wallet distribution (bearish catalyst)
  • Loss of remaining retail interest leading to near-zero volume (bearish catalyst)

Bullish factors

  • 46.5% 24h price gain shows speculative interest exists
  • 1,656 unique wallets traded in 24h indicating some community activity
  • Token is not flagged as spam
  • Mutable flag is false, reducing one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • 73.2% sell pressure ($360.87K sells vs $132.39K buys)
  • Hourly candle shows ~72% intrabar collapse from spike high
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($35.8K) — high slippage on any meaningful trade
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority
  • FDV of only $63.7K — micro-cap with very limited market depth
  • 5-minute price change of -10.6% confirms ongoing selling
  • 6h and 24h % change both reported as 0% — data anomaly suggesting possible manipulation or reporting issue
Confidence: low. Only two hourly OHLC candles are available, no holder data exists, no sniper data is available, and the token has no verified contract or description. The extremely thin liquidity means price can move violently on small orders, making any target highly unreliable.

OUTCOME call history

Full track record →
Aug 14bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (02:00 UTC): O=$0.0000291, H=$0.000216, L=$0.0000195, C=$0.000196 — a massive bullish spike candle with a long lower wick, closing near the high. Candle [1] (03:00 UTC): O=$0.000199, H=$0.000240, L=$0.0000391, C=$0.0000667 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star candle that opened near the prior close, briefly made a new high at $0.000240, then collapsed ~72% to close near the low. This two-candle sequence is a classic pump-and-dump pattern: a spike candle followed by a shooting star/bearish engulfing reversal.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 27%Sell 73%

The short-term trend is decisively bearish following the shooting star reversal candle at the $0.000240 peak. Medium-term trend is indeterminate given only two candles of data, but the collapse back toward the $0.0000391–$0.0000667 range suggests a return to pre-pump levels.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000391 (03:00 UTC candle low)
Major$0.0000195 (02:00 UTC candle low — absolute recent floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000100 (psychological level above current price)
Major$0.000240 (02:00–03:00 UTC spike high — likely heavy supply zone)

The $0.0000195–$0.0000391 zone represents the recent floor established during the pump initiation. The $0.000240 level is the spike high and represents a major overhead supply zone where sellers clearly dominated. Current price of $0.0000667 sits between these extremes, closer to support than resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing candle at $0.000240 spike high (03:00 UTC) — strong reversal signal
  • Pump-and-dump two-candle sequence: spike candle followed by full reversal
  • High upper wick on 03:00 UTC candle indicating strong rejection at highs
  • Volume contraction on the down candle consistent with post-distribution selling
  • Price closing near the low of the 03:00 UTC candle — bearish close

Liquidity$35,800
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$132,390
Sell$360,870
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers377
Unique sellers1,604

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $35.8K is extremely shallow relative to 24h trading volume of ~$493K — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~13.8x, indicating the pool is being heavily traded relative to its depth. This creates severe slippage risk for any trade of meaningful size. Net flow is strongly negative: $360.87K in sell volume vs $132.39K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$228.5K. The seller-to-buyer ratio of 4.25:1 (1,604 sellers vs 377 buyers) confirms broad distribution. The PumpSwap pair (5dSvh8pufnJQy5iezp9B63WZcfQgxAdrvbfUkmziD9x2) is the sole liquidity venue identified, concentrating all exit risk in one pool.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply956,644,153.69 OUTCOME
FDV$63,720

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~956.6M tokens. FDV is ~$63.7K, placing this firmly in micro-cap territory. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, preventing a definitive assessment of mint or freeze authority status. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but this does not confirm that mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The contract is unverified and there is no description provided. The token was launched on PumpSwap (pump.fun ecosystem), which is consistent with a community-launched meme/speculative token. The combination of unknown authority status, unverified contract, and no description elevates tokenomics risk.

Volatility
high

Price ranged from $0.0000195 to $0.000240 within two hours — a ~1,130% intraday range. The 5-minute change of -10.6% and 1h change of +144% confirm extreme volatility. This level of price movement is consistent with a highly manipulated or speculative micro-cap.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $35.8K on a single PumpSwap pool. With 24h volume of ~$493K, the pool is being turned over ~13.8x per day. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage. Exit liquidity is severely limited.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable, preventing direct measurement. However, the 4.25:1 seller-to-buyer ratio and the pump-and-dump candle pattern strongly suggest concentrated early holders distributing to retail. Default 'concentrated' classification applied per methodology.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so direct sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. The trading pattern (spike followed by collapse, heavy sell volume) is consistent with early buyer distribution, but cannot be confirmed as sniper activity specifically.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is marked mutable:false which reduces metadata manipulation risk, but the unknown authority status means rug vectors via minting or freezing cannot be ruled out.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 1,130%+ intraday range observed in just two hourly candles
  • Severe liquidity risk — $35.8K total liquidity with $493K 24h volume creates massive slippage
  • Heavy sell pressure — 73.2% of 24h volume is selling; 4.25:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
  • Pump-and-dump candle pattern — shooting star reversal at $0.000240 spike high
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Unverified contract with no description or whitepaper
  • Single liquidity venue (PumpSwap) — no alternative exit routes
  • Micro-cap FDV of $63.7K — highly susceptible to manipulation
  • 6h and 24h price change both reported as 0% despite clear price movement — possible data anomaly or manipulation signal

Mitigating factors

  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Mutable flag is false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some project presence
  • 1,656 unique wallets traded in 24h indicating some genuine community activity
  • Token launched on PumpSwap (pump.fun ecosystem) which has some baseline anti-rug mechanisms
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, conservative portfolios, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT financial advice.

OUTCOME is a micro-cap Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a $63.7K FDV and $35.8K liquidity. The token experienced a violent pump-and-dump within a two-hour window, with price spiking ~1,130% before collapsing ~72%. Current sell pressure is overwhelming (73.2%), and the market structure is consistent with early holder distribution. Without verified fundamentals, meaningful liquidity, or confirmed authority renouncement, this is a highly speculative instrument with asymmetric downside risk.

Bull case (low)

A renewed social media campaign or influencer promotion drives fresh retail interest, pushing price back toward the $0.000197–$0.000240 resistance zone. New liquidity is added to the PumpSwap pool, reducing slippage and enabling larger trades. The 1,656 unique wallets from 24h activity form a community base that sustains interest.

  • Viral social media momentum on Twitter/website channels
  • New liquidity provision reducing slippage risk
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Community-driven buy pressure overwhelming current distribution

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0000391–$0.0000667 range (between the 03:00 UTC candle low and close) as the immediate post-pump selling exhausts itself. Low-level speculative trading continues at reduced volume. The token neither recovers to pump highs nor collapses to zero in the near term, but remains highly volatile and illiquid.

  • Sell pressure moderates as the most motivated sellers exit
  • Some residual retail interest maintains minimal trading activity
  • No new major catalyst (positive or negative) emerges in the near term
  • Liquidity pool remains intact at current $35.8K level

Bear case (high)

Continued distribution by early holders drains remaining liquidity. Volume dries up as retail loses interest post-pump. Price drifts back toward the $0.0000195 floor or lower. The token becomes effectively illiquid and untradeable.

  • Sustained 73.2% sell pressure exhausting buy-side liquidity
  • Shallow $35.8K liquidity pool unable to absorb continued selling
  • No verified fundamentals or utility to attract long-term holders
  • Post-pump retail disillusionment reducing new buyer inflow
  • Unknown authority status creating persistent rug risk overhang

GeneratedAug 14, 03:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-14T03:00 UTC based on the most recent OHLC candle timestamp
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability, authority)
  • Price feed (USD spot price, 24h change)
  • OHLC hourly candles (2 candles provided)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, unique wallets, liquidity)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Holder and whale distribution data unavailable (upstream endpoints retired)
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are severely limited
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • 6h and 24h price change both reported as 0% despite clear price movement — possible data pipeline anomaly
  • No contract verification or audit available
  • Single liquidity venue limits market depth assessment
  • Token description is 'none' — no fundamental context available
  • FDV of $63.7K makes this highly susceptible to price manipulation by small actors

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from on-chain activity and third-party analytics providers and may contain errors or anomalies. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply956,644,153.69 OUTCOME

Key Risks

•Extreme price volatility — 1,130%+ intraday range observed in just two hourly candles
•Severe liquidity risk — $35.8K total liquidity with $493K 24h volume creates massive slippage
•Heavy sell pressure — 73.2% of 24h volume is selling; 4.25:1 seller-to-buyer ratio
•Pump-and-dump candle pattern — shooting star reversal at $0.000240 spike high

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for OUTCOME. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. However, the trading analytics paint a concerning picture: 6,185 sells vs 2,597 buys, 1,604 unique sellers vs 377 unique buyers, and 73.2% sell pressure suggest that whoever accumulated during the pump has been aggressively distributing. The ratio of sellers to buyers (4.25:1) is a strong signal of distribution behavior.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Unknown — no sniper data available. The 4.25:1 seller-to-buyer ratio in 24h trading analytics suggests early accumulators are likely in distribution mode.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Outcome Market (OUTCOME)?

The most recent hourly candle (03:00 UTC) shows a dramatic rejection from the $0.000240 high, closing at $0.0000667 — a ~72% intrabar collapse. The 5-minute change of -10.6% confirms continued selling pressure. With sell volume at 73.2% of 24h total and only $35.8K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000194 to $0.000100.

Is OUTCOME a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, conservative portfolios, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT financial advice.

What does sniper activity look like for OUTCOME?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding OUTCOME?

Extreme price volatility — 1,130%+ intraday range observed in just two hourly candles • Severe liquidity risk — $35.8K total liquidity with $493K 24h volume creates massive slippage • Heavy sell pressure — 73.2% of 24h volume is selling; 4.25:1 seller-to-buyer ratio

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