马一龙

Yilongma Price Prediction 2026

马一龙
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 14, 2026

669g9YAKRgAzBYXLF4hAa1advjVsn2YPGEBNxaBppump

$0.051849

FDV $1,845

LiveContract:669g9YAKRgAzBYXLF4hAa1advjVsn2YPGEBNxaBppumpChain:SolanaHolders:88Market cap:$1,845

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Report snapshotas of May 14, 06:17 AM
FDV

$86,300

Liquidity

$21,672

Holders

486

Snipers

29

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Yilongma (马一龙) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap, themed around Elon Musk's Chinese alter-ego. The token has experienced an explosive 171% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a sudden wave of new holders (from 7 to 486 in under 24 hours). With only $21.67K in liquidity, a fully diluted valuation of ~$86–90K, and heavy sell pressure (73.9% of volume), this is an extremely high-risk, early-stage meme token with classic pump characteristics.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Viral meme concept tied to Elon Musk's Chinese identity ('Yilongma'), with social media presence on Twitter and a website
Explosive holder growth: from 7 holders to 486 in under 24 hours (+99% in 24h)
171% price surge in 24h with 1h momentum of +213.86%
All 20 tracked snipers are in profit (realized PnL ranging from 1.5% to 133.7%), indicating early buyers have not fully exited
Launched on PumpSwap with very low liquidity ($21.67K), making it highly susceptible to price manipulation

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Despite the explosive 1h gain of +213.86%, the token faces severe sell pressure (73.9% of 24h volume is sells, $194.40K vs $68.53K buys). With only $21.67K in liquidity and 20 snipers mostly in profit, a sharp retracement is likely in the near term. The most recent candle (hour 1) shows a close of $0.0000863 well below the high of $0.0000903, suggesting fading momentum.

Target low$0.000020
Target high$0.000103
Support: $0.0000691 (candle 1 low), $0.0000209 (candle 2 low), $0.0000284 (candle 3 low)
Resistance: $0.0000903 (candle 1 high / recent peak), $0.0000803 (candle 2 high), $0.0000591 (candle 3 high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or a viral catalyst, the token is likely to retrace significantly. The token was dormant for ~30 days with only 7 holders before this pump, suggesting this is a coordinated or opportunistic pump. Sniper profit-taking and thin liquidity make a sustained rally unlikely.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction on Twitter or broader Elon Musk news cycle
  • New exchange listings or integrations
  • Continued meme momentum in the Chinese crypto community
  • Sniper sell-off triggering a cascade dump

Bullish factors

  • Strong viral meme concept tied to Elon Musk
  • +213.86% price gain in the last hour showing explosive momentum
  • Holder count surged from 7 to 486 in under 24 hours
  • All 20 snipers are in profit, suggesting early buyers have not fully dumped yet
  • Social presence (Twitter, website) provides some legitimacy

Bearish factors

  • 73.9% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($194.40K sells vs $68.53K buys)
  • Only $21.67K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Token was dormant for ~30 days with 7 holders before this pump — classic pump setup
  • Top 10 holders control 38.71% of supply; top 100 control 83.98%
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable metadata flag unclear
  • 20 snipers all in profit — significant overhang of potential sell pressure
  • FDV of only ~$86–90K with no clear utility beyond meme speculation
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (171% in 24h), very thin liquidity ($21.67K), and the meme-driven nature of price action. The token was dormant for ~30 days before this pump, making any price prediction highly speculative. The 6h and 24h % change showing 0% in analytics data suggests possible data lag or a very recent pump event.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles analyzed (04:00–06:00 UTC, May 14 2026). Candle 3 (04:00): O=$0.0000366, H=$0.0000591, L=$0.0000284, C=$0.0000560 — bullish candle, +53% body, moderate volume ($16.9K). Candle 2 (05:00): O=$0.0000572, H=$0.0000803, L=$0.0000209, C=$0.0000803 — extremely volatile, wide-range candle with a massive lower wick (low of $0.0000209) and close at the high, suggesting a sharp dip and recovery; highest volume ($176.9K). Candle 1 (06:00): O=$0.0000790, H=$0.0000903, L=$0.0000691, C=$0.0000863 — bullish continuation but with a notable upper wick, suggesting resistance near $0.0000903; volume dropped sharply to $20.4K, indicating fading momentum. The sequence shows higher highs and higher closes (higher highs pattern), but volume is declining sharply on the most recent candle — a bearish divergence signal.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 26%Sell 74%

Short-term trend is clearly upward based on the 3-candle sequence (higher highs: $0.0000591 → $0.0000803 → $0.0000903; higher closes: $0.0000560 → $0.0000803 → $0.0000863). However, the medium-term trend is sideways-to-bearish given the token was dormant for ~30 days before this pump. The sharp volume decline in the most recent candle (from $176.9K to $20.4K) is a warning sign.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000691 (candle 1 low)
Major$0.0000209 (candle 2 low — extreme wick low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000903 (candle 1 high — recent peak)
Major$0.0001000 (psychological round number above current price)

Immediate support sits at $0.0000691 (candle 1 low). A break below this level could see a rapid move toward the candle 2 wick low of $0.0000209, given the thin liquidity. Resistance is at $0.0000903 (candle 1 high). The current price of $0.0000863 is sandwiched between these levels. Given the shallow liquidity of $21.67K, these levels can be breached rapidly.

Notable patterns

  • Higher highs across 3 candles ($0.0000591 → $0.0000803 → $0.0000903) — short-term uptrend
  • Volume climax in candle 2 ($176.9K) followed by sharp volume decline — classic pump exhaustion signal
  • Upper wick on candle 1 near $0.0000903 — seller resistance at highs
  • Extreme lower wick on candle 2 (low $0.0000209 vs open $0.0000572) — sharp dip and recovery suggesting a shakeout or bot activity
  • Bearish volume divergence: price making higher highs but volume declining sharply

Total holders486
24h Δ+99
7d Δ+99
30d Δ+99
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is strongly correlated with the price pump. The token had exactly 7 holders for the entire 30-day period from April 14 to May 12, 2026. On May 13, holders increased to 11 (+4, +36%). The explosive jump to 486 holders (+479, +99%) occurred within the 24-hour window coinciding with the 171% price surge. This is a textbook pump-driven holder acquisition pattern.

Holder growth is dramatically accelerating but is entirely pump-driven. The token was dormant with 7 holders for ~30 days (April 14 – May 12), suggesting these were likely the founding team or early insiders. The sudden explosion to 486 holders in under 24 hours is consistent with a viral meme pump on PumpSwap. Of the 486 holders, 479 acquired via swap and 7 via transfer — confirming the swap-driven nature of the pump. The distribution shows 158 whales, 62 sharks, 215 dolphins, 52 fish, and 10 octopus wallets. The rapid holder growth is a positive signal for momentum but does not indicate organic, sustained community building given the dormant history.

Top 10 hold38.71%
Top 100 hold83.98%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

BRu58ZY4mA28L1AFSS6irxtzzawpHfxWSXGnsxG4rxfj

DEX liquidity pool — this is the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data

15.43%

1aC2FgH1tujX87Bv9yMVbda2sPiRDNCsjMJoJjw3n6C

Individual whale / early insider

3.42%

EwtKcegnZ9vjERhzSk29cqwC2QLHHCi4ii87zmHbJRU4

Individual whale / early insider

3.38%

A8Z1ejQGk45EJibBPJviWnM3UvwKSuYun53nSCkWKM52

Individual whale / early insider

3.27%

GMD1F2G9zMq8ZDdHq3ktVu7RT1q2w7XjyXRPX8A1E14d

Individual whale / early insider

3.00%

The top holder (15.43%, address BRu58ZY4mA28L1AFSS6irxtzzawpHfxWSXGnsxG4rxfj) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool pair address — this is expected and not a concern for concentration. Excluding the LP, the top 9 non-LP holders control approximately 23.28% of supply (holders 2–10). The top 100 wallets hold 83.98% of supply, indicating significant concentration. Holders 2–10 each hold between 1.72% and 3.42%, suggesting a cluster of early insiders or coordinated wallets that acquired before the public pump. The 7 original holders (pre-pump) likely correspond to these top wallet positions. Mixed sentiment: some whales appear to be holding (no large sells detected in top holders), while the overall market shows heavy sell pressure (73.9% of volume).

Liquidity$21,670
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$68,530
Sell$194,400
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers431
Unique sellers1,201

Liquidity is critically shallow at $21.67K on a single PumpSwap pool (BRu58ZY4mA28L1AFSS6irxtzzawpHfxWSXGnsxG4rxfj). The FDV of $86–90K against $21.67K liquidity means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 24%, which is low for a healthy market. Any significant sell order will cause extreme slippage. The 24h sell volume of $194.40K is nearly 9x the total liquidity, confirming that the pool has been heavily stressed. Net flow is clearly outflow: 1,201 unique sellers vs 431 unique buyers, and sell volume ($194.40K) is 2.84x buy volume ($68.53K). Despite this, the price has risen 171%, suggesting the buys were concentrated at higher prices or the sells were at lower prices earlier in the day. The market health is poor for a new entrant — thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a single pool create significant exit risk.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,560.77
FDV$86,300–$90,320

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is approximately 1 billion tokens (999,999,560.77), a standard meme token supply. The FDV ranges from $86,300 (price data) to $90,320 (analytics data), reflecting minor price discrepancy between data sources. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The 'mutable: false' flag is a positive signal, suggesting token metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data — these are listed as 'unknown'. The token was launched via PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically handles authority renouncement automatically upon bonding curve completion, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. The unverified contract status adds risk. No vesting schedules, allocation breakdowns, or whitepaper data are available.

Volatility
high

171% price surge in 24h, +213.86% in 1h. Extreme volatility driven by meme speculation on a micro-cap token. The token was dormant for 30 days before this pump, indicating no organic price discovery.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $21.67K on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h sell volume of $194.40K is ~9x the pool liquidity. Any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage and potential pool drain.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 38.71% of supply; top 100 control 83.98%. Excluding the LP pool (15.43%), the remaining top holders (2–10) collectively hold ~23.28%. The 7 original pre-pump holders likely represent insiders with large, unrealized positions.

SniperDump
high

All 20 tracked snipers are in profit (PnL range: +1.5% to +133.7%). While several have already sold ($4,703; $4,416; $4,111 in realized sales), 5 snipers have $0 in sales and are still holding. Combined with the 7 original insider holders, there is significant latent sell pressure.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status is unknown. The token was launched via PumpFun (address ends in 'pump'), which typically renounces authorities upon bonding curve graduation, but this cannot be confirmed. The 'mutable: false' metadata flag is a positive signal. Update authority is listed as unknown.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($21.67K) — a single large sell could collapse the price
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with 7 holders before the pump — classic coordinated pump setup
  • 73.9% sell pressure in 24h volume ($194.40K sells vs $68.53K buys)
  • All 20 snipers in profit with 5 still holding — significant unrealized sell overhang
  • Top 100 holders control 83.98% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Unverified contract and unknown authority status
  • No utility, no roadmap, pure meme speculation
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no diversified market depth
  • Holder growth entirely pump-driven, not organic community building

Mitigating factors

  • 'Mutable: false' metadata flag reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically auto-renounces authorities upon graduation
  • Social presence (Twitter, website) provides some legitimacy vs anonymous tokens
  • All snipers are in profit, suggesting price has genuinely appreciated from launch
  • Viral meme concept (Elon Musk's Chinese alter-ego) has demonstrated ability to attract attention
  • Holder count grew from 7 to 486 in 24h, showing real market interest
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme: 30-day dormancy followed by explosive pump, extreme sell pressure, thin liquidity, and concentrated insider holdings. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative amount.

Yilongma (马一龙) is a high-risk meme token that has experienced a classic PumpFun-style pump: dormant for 30 days, then explosive price and holder growth driven by a viral Elon Musk meme concept. The token's value proposition is entirely speculative and meme-driven. The bull case requires sustained viral momentum; the bear case (most likely) is a rapid retracement as sell pressure dominates and early holders exit.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme momentum sustains and accelerates. The Elon Musk 'Yilongma' concept gains traction on Chinese social media and broader crypto Twitter, driving continued holder growth and buy pressure. Liquidity deepens as more traders enter, and the token achieves a higher FDV milestone ($500K–$1M range).

  • Elon Musk mentions or engages with the 'Yilongma' concept on social media
  • Broader meme coin market rally lifts all Solana meme tokens
  • Chinese crypto community adoption drives sustained buying
  • Liquidity providers add depth to the PumpSwap pool
  • Early holders (snipers) continue to hold rather than dump

Base case

Token experiences a partial retracement from the pump high, stabilizing at a lower price level with reduced trading activity. Some holders remain speculating on future pumps, but the token loses 50–80% of its pump gains within 1–7 days as sell pressure dominates. It may persist as a low-activity meme token.

  • Sell pressure continues to dominate (73.9% trend persists)
  • Some snipers and early holders take profits, reducing price
  • A small community of meme speculators maintains minimal trading activity
  • No major viral catalyst emerges to restart momentum
  • Liquidity remains thin, amplifying price moves in both directions

Bear case (high)

Rapid price collapse as sell pressure overwhelms thin liquidity. Early insiders and snipers exit their profitable positions, the 7 original holders dump their concentrated holdings, and the token returns to near-zero. The pump proves to be a coordinated short-term event with no lasting community.

  • 73.9% sell pressure continues or accelerates
  • Original 7 insider holders begin selling their concentrated positions
  • Snipers with $0 sold begin exiting their profitable positions
  • Thin liquidity ($21.67K) cannot absorb sell pressure
  • No new viral catalyst to sustain momentum
  • Token was dormant 30 days — no evidence of genuine community pre-pump

GeneratedMay 14, 06:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-05-14T06:00:00.000Z (most recent hourly candle). Holder data reflects current state at time of analysis. Historical holder series covers April 14 – May 13, 2026.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • OHLC price candle data (hourly)
  • On-chain holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data

Limitations

  • Sniper USD amounts for initial purchase are unknown — sniperConcentrationPercent is estimated based on available balance/sold data rather than precise sniped supply figures
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from provided metadata (listed as unknown)
  • Update authority is unknown — cannot confirm PumpFun authority renouncement
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles provided — insufficient for robust technical analysis; longer timeframe data would improve accuracy
  • 6h and 24h price change showing 0% in analytics data may indicate data lag or reporting artifact
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations based on liquidity pool size
  • Sniper wallet balances are partially unknown, limiting precise concentration calculations
  • No vesting, allocation, or team wallet identification data available

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens like Yilongma carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance (including the 171% 24h gain) is not indicative of future results. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,560.77

Key Risks

Extremely thin liquidity ($21.67K) — a single large sell could collapse the price
Token was dormant for 30 days with 7 holders before the pump — classic coordinated pump setup
73.9% sell pressure in 24h volume ($194.40K sells vs $68.53K buys)
All 20 snipers in profit with 5 still holding — significant unrealized sell overhang

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

All 20 tracked snipers are in profit (realized PnL ranging from +1.5% to +133.7%), which is a notable signal. The largest sellers (AgmLJBMDCq: $4,703; HC8EWBghd: $4,416; 5tySgpR3: $4,111) have already taken significant profits, reducing some overhang. However, 5 snipers have sold $0 and are still holding, representing latent sell pressure. The total sniper USD amounts are relatively small (largest single sale ~$4,703), suggesting this is a micro-cap pump with limited institutional smart money. The fact that all snipers are profitable suggests the token price has risen substantially from launch.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

All 20 tracked snipers show positive realized PnL. Top sniper by realized PnL% is CkUZV387 (+133.7%), followed by 5RkXV56u (+129.8%) and H1r7wnmZ (+110.2%). The largest seller by USD is AgmLJBMDCq ($4,703 sold, +80.2% PnL) and HC8EWBghd ($4,416 sold, +69.6% PnL). Several snipers have $0 sold (wallets 10, 15, 16, 17, 20), indicating they are still holding.

Cautiously positive — early buyers are all in profit and some have already taken partial profits. The mix of sellers and holders among snipers suggests a gradual distribution rather than a coordinated dump. However, the 5 snipers with $0 sold represent potential future sell pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Yilongma (马一龙)?

Despite the explosive 1h gain of +213.86%, the token faces severe sell pressure (73.9% of 24h volume is sells, $194.40K vs $68.53K buys). With only $21.67K in liquidity and 20 snipers mostly in profit, a sharp retracement is likely in the near term. The most recent candle (hour 1) shows a close of $0.0000863 well below the high of $0.0000903, suggesting fading momentum. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000103.

Is 马一龙 a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme: 30-day dormancy followed by explosive pump, extreme sell pressure, thin liquidity, and concentrated insider holdings. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative amount.

How are 马一龙 holders trending?

Yilongma currently has 486 holders and is growing (24h: 99, 7d: 99, 30d: 99). Holder growth is dramatically accelerating but is entirely pump-driven. The token was dormant with 7 holders for ~30 days (April 14 – May 12), suggesting these were likely the founding team or early insiders. The sudden explosion to 486 holders in under 24 hours is consistent with a viral meme pump on PumpSwap. Of the 486 holders, 479 acquired via swap and 7 via transfer — confirming the swap-driven nature of the pump. The distribution shows 158 whales, 62 sharks, 215 dolphins, 52 fish, and 10 octopus wallets. The rapid holder growth is a positive signal for momentum but does not indicate organic, sustained community building given the dormant history.

What does sniper activity look like for 马一龙?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding 马一龙?

Extremely thin liquidity ($21.67K) — a single large sell could collapse the price • Token was dormant for 30 days with 7 holders before the pump — classic coordinated pump setup • 73.9% sell pressure in 24h volume ($194.40K sells vs $68.53K buys)

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