ref

ref Price Today & AI Analysis

refSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 16, 2026

Price

$0.000122

+167.61% 24h

Contract

Live
5u8icj1m6zNPqZtQrWQYjP4GZUACqsiZxK95vW29pump

Chain

Holders

1,256

Market cap

$118,424

At a $1M market cap, $REF would be $0.001032 (8.44x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is ref a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 16

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell

Launch wallets hold

6.4%1 sniper, 4 bundlers, 2 insiders still holding

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

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ref: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-16 19:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,531

Top 10 supply share

18.24%

Reported liquidity

$19,639.00
How concentrated is ref ownership?
As of 2026-10-16 19:17 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 18.24% of supply. It reports 1,531 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling ref?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 19:17 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $398,534.00 in buys and $389,621.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ref liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +46.85%, from $14,280.40 (2026-10-16 18:00 UTC) to $20,970.49 (2026-10-16 19:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Unhosted token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-16 19:17 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-16 18:00 UTC$14,280.40
2026-10-16 19:00 UTC$20,970.49

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 16, 07:17 PM UTC

FDV

$171,512

Liquidity

$19,639.00

Holders

1,531

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

ref is a Token-2022 pump.fun-launched token on PumpSwap, FDV about $171.5K, with only $19.64K liquidity. Price spiked roughly 287% in 24h (about $0.000177), but the last 5 minutes show -21.8%. Unhosted's scam check is NEUTRAL (0/100, contract analysis inconclusive), and the token settings show no mint/freeze authority, no transfer fee or hook, so the token itself cannot block or tax sells. Extreme volatility and thin liquidity versus about $788K 24h volume dominate the risk.

Key points

  • Mint and freeze authorities renounced; no transfer fee, hook or permanent delegate
  • Liquidity of $19.64K is about 11% of FDV
  • 24h volume of about $788K is roughly 40x liquidity
  • Top-10 hold 18.24% across 1,531 holder addresses
  • Bundlers 4 holding 6.39%, insiders 2 holding 2.84%

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24h

neutral

After a parabolic move, the last hourly candle closed at 0.00018 near its 0.00027 high, and 5m is -21.8%. A pullback or choppy consolidation is as likely as continuation. Only 2 candles are available.

Target low

$0.000068

Target high

$0.00027

Support

$0.000102, $0.0000676

Resistance

$0.00027, $0.000110

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Direction is not forecastable from the data. Thin liquidity and momentum-driven trading make outcomes binary.

Catalysts

  • Sustained volume and liquidity growth
  • Social attention (a twitter link exists)
  • Profit-taking after the spike

Bullish factors

  • Parabolic momentum with 7,976 buys
  • Authorities renounced, no tax
  • Buy pressure 50.6%

Bearish factors

  • Liquidity only $19.64K
  • 5m -21.8% off the high
  • Bundlers/insiders hold 9.23% combined
  • Hourly candle low-to-high ranges of more than 100%

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly candles, no sniper or holder history, and a very young, volatile token.

ref call history

Full track record →

Oct 16neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
5u8icj...pump
Total Supply
968,803,314.96

Key Risks

  • Shallow liquidity and heavy slippage
  • Extreme price volatility after a parabolic move
  • Bundler and insider holdings of 9.23% could be sold
  • Scam check contract analysis is inconclusive

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Two hourly candles: 18:00 opened at 0.0000038 and closed at 0.000102 (high 0.00011); 19:00 opened at 0.000102, ran to 0.00027, and closed at 0.00018. Both are strongly bullish, and the second has an upper wick showing rejection from the high.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The short-term trend is sharply up, but two candles are not enough to establish a medium-term trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000102

Major support

$0.0000676

Immediate resistance

$0.00027

Major resistance

$0.00027 (no higher data)

Levels come from the two candles only and are of low reliability.

Notable patterns

  • Higher high and higher close across both candles
  • Upper wick on the 19:00 candle (rejection from 0.00027)

Liquidity

Liquidity

$19,639.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

24h trading: 7,976 buys and 6,857 sells. Volume is about 40x the $19.64K liquidity, so larger trades will have heavy slippage and liquidity can be pulled or drained quickly. Net flow is about +$8.9K.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

968,803,314.96

FDV

$171.51K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    +287% in 24h, a -21.8% 5m move, and hourly ranges above 100%.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $19.64K liquidity against $788K of 24h volume.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 hold 18.24%; bundlers hold 6.39% and insiders 2.84%. Top-100 data is unavailable.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Shallow liquidity and heavy slippage
  • Extreme price volatility after a parabolic move
  • Bundler and insider holdings of 9.23% could be sold
  • Scam check contract analysis is inconclusive
  • Very short price history

Mitigating factors

  • Authorities renounced
  • No transfer tax or hook; sells are not blocked by the token
  • Scam check verdict is NEUTRAL with no listed reasons
  • Top-10 share of 18.24% is moderate

Suitable for

Only for speculative traders who accept a total loss. Not suitable for risk-averse investors. Informational only, not financial advice.

This is a high-momentum micro-cap with clean token settings but thin liquidity and a short history. It is a speculative trade rather than a thesis-driven investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Momentum and social attention continue and liquidity grows, supporting new highs above $0.00027.

  • Sustained buy volume
  • Rising liquidity
  • Renounced authorities attract traders

Base Case

Choppy, volatile trading with a gradual retrace as volume fades.

  • Volume declines from the peak
  • No major liquidity change
  • Holder interest is speculative

Bear Case

High probability

The spike fades and the price retraces toward $0.0001 or lower as early holders take profit in thin liquidity.

  • Liquidity of $19.64K
  • Profit-taking after a ~47x two-hour move
  • Bundler and insider supply

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 16, 07:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-16 19:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Price and 2 hourly OHLC candles
  • Trading analytics
  • Unhosted's scam check
  • Holder aggregates

Limitations

  • Only 2 candles
  • No sniper data
  • No holder history or wallet classification
  • Top-100 data unavailable
  • Placeholder zeros in unsupported fields

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Crypto tokens carry a high risk of total loss.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ref a scam?

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. Checked Oct 16, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell ref?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Oct 16, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is ref ownership?

As of 2026-10-16 19:17 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 18.24% of supply. It reports 1,531 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling ref?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 19:17 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $398,534.00 in buys and $389,621.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is ref liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +46.85%, from $14,280.40 (2026-10-16 18:00 UTC) to $20,970.49 (2026-10-16 19:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for ref (ref)?

After a parabolic move, the last hourly candle closed at 0.00018 near its 0.00027 high, and 5m is -21.8%. A pullback or choppy consolidation is as likely as continuation. Only 2 candles are available. Short-term outlook is neutral (24h), with a target range of $0.000068 to $0.00027.

Is ref a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 82/100. Only for speculative traders who accept a total loss. Not suitable for risk-averse investors. Informational only, not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding ref?

Shallow liquidity and heavy slippage • Extreme price volatility after a parabolic move • Bundler and insider holdings of 9.23% could be sold

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