TOADPUNK

Toad Punk Price Today & AI Analysis

TOADPUNKSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 13, 2026

Price

$0.053459

-1.67% 24h

Contract

Live
5rRdD6BFADz1iPcm7dzMaeTV4tpu3PHoucGUAD8Spump

Chain

Solana

Holders

290

Market cap

$3,344

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Toad Punk: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-13 06:17 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$76,873.98
How concentrated is Toad Punk ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Toad Punk?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Toad Punk liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-13 06:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $76,873.98. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-13 06:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 13, 06:17 AM UTC

FDV

$534,684

Liquidity

$76,873.98

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

TOADPUNK (5rRdD6BFADz1iPcm7dzMaeTV4tpu3PHoucGUAD8Spump) is a meme/culture token on Solana launched on PumpSwap, themed around a 'punk' evolution of the $TOAD brand. The token has experienced an extreme price collapse over the past 24 hours — from a peak near $0.0038 down to the current ~$0.00055, a drawdown of roughly 85% from intraday highs. Trading activity is high (34K+ buys and 34K+ sells in 24h), but liquidity is very thin at ~$76.87K, creating severe slippage risk. The contract is unverified, update authority is unknown, and no sniper data is available.

Key points

  • Extremely high 24h trading volume (~$4.1M) relative to tiny liquidity pool (~$76.87K), indicating speculative frenzy
  • Massive intraday price collapse: ~85% drop from $0.0038 peak to current ~$0.00055
  • Mutable metadata is false, reducing one rug vector, but update authority is unknown
  • Unverified contract with no on-chain holder data available
  • Launched on PumpSwap — typical pump-and-dump launchpad environment

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has collapsed ~85% from its intraday high of ~$0.0038 (candle 20–21) to the current ~$0.00055. The most recent candle (candle 1) shows a partial recovery from $0.000470 to $0.000565, but this follows a catastrophic sell-off in candles 2–5 where price fell from $0.00247 to $0.000495. The 1h change is -36.4% and 6h change is -66.3%, confirming dominant bearish momentum. Short-term bounces are possible given the 5m +13.3% tick, but the overall structure is deeply bearish.

Target low

$0.000350

Target high

$0.000750

Support

$0.000470 (candle 1 low), $0.000411 (candle 24 all-time low in dataset)

Resistance

$0.000742 (candle 3 low / prior support-turned-resistance), $0.001203 (candle 24 close), $0.001429 (candle 3 close)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Unless a new catalyst emerges, the token is likely to continue drifting lower or consolidate at depressed levels. The volume spike that drove the initial pump has dissipated, and sell pressure slightly exceeds buy pressure (51.1% vs 48.9%). Thin liquidity means any moderate sell order can push price significantly lower.

Catalysts

  • New social media campaign or influencer promotion could trigger a secondary pump
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Liquidity addition to the PumpSwap pool improving depth
  • Continued sell-off from early buyers taking profits at lower levels

Bullish factors

  • 5-minute price up +13.3%, suggesting very short-term buying interest
  • High unique buyer count (7,678) indicates broad retail participation
  • Candle 1 shows a bullish close at the high ($0.000565), a potential short-term reversal candle
  • Mutable=false reduces one rug risk vector

Bearish factors

  • Price down -66.3% in 6 hours and -36.4% in 1 hour — severe downtrend
  • Sell volume ($2.10M) exceeds buy volume ($2.01M) over 24h
  • Liquidity only $76.87K vs $4.1M daily volume — extreme slippage risk
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure: parabolic rise followed by sharp collapse
  • FDV of only ~$535K with no fundamental utility described

Confidence: low. Meme tokens with no verified contract, unknown authority, and no holder data are highly unpredictable. The price action is driven almost entirely by speculative sentiment and social momentum, which can reverse instantly. The 85% intraday collapse and thin liquidity make any price target highly uncertain.

TOADPUNK call history

Full track record →

Aug 13bearish
24h-99.6%
7d—
30d-99.4%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
5rRdD6...pump
Total Supply
966,870,049.17

Key Risks

  • Extreme price collapse: -85% from intraday high within 24 hours
  • Critically thin liquidity ($76.87K) relative to trading volume ($4.11M/day)
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure with no fundamental utility

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC dataset (hourly) tells a clear pump-and-dump story. Candles 24–23 (07:00–08:00 UTC Aug 12) show the initial breakout: price launched from a low of $0.000411 to a high of $0.003251, a 7x move in two hours. Candles 22–17 (09:00–14:00) show continued high-volatility trading with highs reaching $0.003784 (candle 20) and $0.003649 (candle 21) — the peak zone. From candle 16 onward (15:00 UTC), a sustained distribution phase begins: candle 16 opens at $0.002474 and closes at $0.001531, a large bearish candle. Candles 15–7 show a grinding downtrend from ~$0.0016 range. Candles 6–5 show a brief dead-cat bounce to $0.002025. Candles 4–2 show renewed selling, with candle 2 being a massive bearish engulfing: open $0.001420, high $0.001616, low $0.000435, close $0.000495 — a near-total collapse. Candle 1 (most recent) shows a small recovery: open $0.000509, high $0.000565, close $0.000565 — a bullish close at the high, but from a very depressed base.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token peaked around $0.0038 in candles 20–21 and has since lost ~85% of value. The brief bounce in candles 6–7 failed to reclaim prior structure, and candle 2 confirmed the downtrend with a massive bearish engulfing candle.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

49%

Sell

51%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000470 (candle 1 low)

Major support

$0.000411 (candle 24 absolute low in dataset)

Immediate resistance

$0.000742 (candle 3 low, prior support zone)

Major resistance

$0.001487–$0.001532 (candle 15–16 lows, now overhead resistance)

The $0.000411–$0.000470 zone represents the base of the initial pump and is the strongest nearby support. A break below $0.000411 would signal potential further downside with little structural support. On the upside, $0.000742 is the first meaningful resistance (candle 3 low), followed by the $0.001487–$0.001532 zone where heavy distribution occurred.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump followed by sharp collapse — classic pump-and-dump structure
  • Bearish engulfing candle (candle 2): open $0.001420, close $0.000495 — extremely bearish
  • Dead-cat bounce in candles 6–7: brief recovery to $0.002025 before renewed selling
  • Candle 1 bullish close at high ($0.000565) — potential micro-reversal signal but low conviction
  • Volume declining as price falls — diminishing seller urgency but also lack of buyer conviction
  • Candle 16: large bearish candle (open $0.002474, close $0.001531) marking start of distribution phase

Liquidity

Liquidity

$76,873.98

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at ~$76.87K against a 24h trading volume of ~$4.11M — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of approximately 53:1. This means the pool is being turned over many times per day, creating extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position size. Sell volume ($2.10M, 51.1%) slightly exceeds buy volume ($2.01M, 48.9%), indicating a net outflow. Notably, unique buyers (7,678) significantly outnumber unique sellers (4,684), but sellers are transacting in larger average sizes (~$449/tx vs ~$262/tx), suggesting larger holders are distributing to a broader retail base. The net flow is classified as outflow. The PumpSwap pair (7PojnJi7ZAMAaNwsbvJ7urQLAKyHyGoLAbwpntR2PaS9) is the sole liquidity venue identified.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

966,870,049.17

FDV

$534,684.10

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price collapsed ~85% from intraday high of ~$0.0038 to ~$0.00055 within 24 hours. The 1h change is -36.4% and 6h change is -66.3%. Extreme volatility is inherent to this token's trading pattern.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only ~$76.87K against $4.11M in 24h volume. Volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~53:1 means even small trades cause significant price impact. Exiting any meaningful position would incur severe slippage.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme price collapse: -85% from intraday high within 24 hours
  • Critically thin liquidity ($76.87K) relative to trading volume ($4.11M/day)
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure with no fundamental utility
  • Sell volume exceeds buy volume; larger holders appear to be distributing to retail
  • No holder concentration data available — distribution health unknown
  • Launched on PumpSwap — high-risk launchpad environment with frequent rug pulls
  • No roadmap, utility, or tokenomics transparency in project description

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • High unique buyer count (7,678) shows broad retail interest
  • Social links (Telegram, website) suggest some community infrastructure
  • No sniper data to confirm concentrated early-buyer dump risk
  • 5-minute price recovery (+13.3%) suggests some residual buying interest

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with meme token dynamics and pump-and-dump patterns. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

TOADPUNK is a high-risk meme token that has already experienced its primary pump cycle, with price down ~85% from peak within 24 hours. The investment case is almost entirely speculative — dependent on a secondary social media catalyst or broader meme coin market momentum. The fundamentals (thin liquidity, unverified contract, no utility) are weak. The only viable thesis is a short-term speculative trade on a potential dead-cat bounce, with strict risk management.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A secondary social media campaign, influencer promotion, or broader Solana meme coin rally triggers renewed buying interest. The token reclaims the $0.001–$0.0015 range (candles 7–15 consolidation zone), representing a 2–3x from current levels. High unique buyer count (7,678) demonstrates an existing retail community that could re-engage.

  • New viral social media moment or influencer endorsement
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats
  • Liquidity addition to the pool improving trading conditions
  • Community-driven FOMO from the $TOAD brand association
  • Candle 1 bullish close at high suggesting micro-reversal

Base Case

The token consolidates in the $0.000400–$0.000700 range for several days as the initial frenzy subsides. Occasional small pumps occur on social media activity but fail to reclaim prior highs. Volume gradually declines and the token becomes illiquid.

  • No major new catalyst emerges in the near term
  • Retail buyers continue to absorb small amounts of sell pressure
  • Liquidity remains at current thin levels (~$76.87K)
  • Price stabilizes near the initial launch base ($0.000411–$0.000565)

Bear Case

High probability

Continued distribution from early buyers drives price below the $0.000411 base support. With no fundamental utility and thin liquidity, the token drifts toward near-zero as retail interest fades. The project is abandoned or the team moves on to a new token.

  • Sell volume already exceeds buy volume (51.1% vs 48.9%)
  • Liquidity too thin to support price at current levels under sustained selling
  • No verified contract, no utility, no roadmap — nothing to sustain long-term interest
  • Classic pump-and-dump structure with primary cycle already complete
  • Declining hourly volume (candle 1 at $59K vs peak $261K) signals fading interest

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 13, 06:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-13 06:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana SPL)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair: 7PojnJi7ZAMAaNwsbvJ7urQLAKyHyGoLAbwpntR2PaS9)
  • 24-hour OHLC hourly candles (USD)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder data is entirely unavailable — holder count, growth, and concentration cannot be assessed
  • Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer PnL and concentration cannot be quantified
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain code cannot be audited
  • No whale wallet data available — top holder concentration is unknown
  • FDV and price are highly volatile; figures may be significantly different by the time of reading
  • PumpSwap is a single liquidity venue — no cross-venue price discovery data available
  • Token description and social links are provided by the token creator and are unverified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from on-chain activity and third-party analytics; accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision. Past price action is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Toad Punk ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Toad Punk?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Toad Punk liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-13 06:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $76,873.98. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Toad Punk (TOADPUNK)?

The token has collapsed ~85% from its intraday high of ~$0.0038 (candle 20–21) to the current ~$0.00055. The most recent candle (candle 1) shows a partial recovery from $0.000470 to $0.000565, but this follows a catastrophic sell-off in candles 2–5 where price fell from $0.00247 to $0.000495. The 1h change is -36.4% and 6h change is -66.3%, confirming dominant bearish momentum. Short-term bounces are possible given the 5m +13.3% tick, but the overall structure is deeply bearish. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000350 to $0.000750.

Is TOADPUNK a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with meme token dynamics and pump-and-dump patterns. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

What are the key risks of holding TOADPUNK?

Extreme price collapse: -85% from intraday high within 24 hours • Critically thin liquidity ($76.87K) relative to trading volume ($4.11M/day) • Unverified contract with unknown update authority

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