MelaniaCoin

Melania Coin Price Today & AI Analysis

MelaniaCoin
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 14, 2026

5JYoWf9rqFmtCtx597s1rRipNRHyWjo5wbtbo1QCpump

$0.053360

FDV $3,357

LiveContract:5JYoWf9rqFmtCtx597s1rRipNRHyWjo5wbtbo1QCpumpChain:SolanaHolders:232Market cap:$3,357

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Ask Unhosted AI about MelaniaCoin

Report snapshotas of Jul 14, 08:47 AM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$21,800

Holders

850

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Melania Coin (MelaniaCoin) is an unverified, mutable PumpSwap token on Solana with a total supply of 1 (likely a fractional/decimal-zero token), a micro-cap FDV of ~$45.77K, and extremely thin liquidity of $21.80K. The token experienced a violent 34.4% price crash in the last 24 hours, driven by overwhelming sell pressure (88.5% of volume). Holder data shows a suspicious pattern: 27 holders for 30 consecutive days followed by a sudden spike to 850 holders in the last 24 hours — a hallmark of coordinated bot activity or a pump-and-dump setup. No top holder data, no sniper data, and no verified contract are available, severely limiting analytical confidence.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Total supply reported as 1 with 0 decimals — highly anomalous tokenomics suggesting possible data artifact or intentional obfuscation
Holder count was frozen at exactly 27 for 30 consecutive days, then spiked +823 (+97%) in 24 hours — a strong manipulation signal
88.5% sell pressure with $149.73K sell volume vs $19.53K buy volume in 24h indicates active distribution/dump
Price dropped 34.4% in 24h from a high of ~$0.000163 to current ~$0.0000458
Mutable metadata and unknown update authority introduce rug-pull risk
No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a sharp downtrend following a 34.4% crash. The most recent hourly candle (08:00 UTC) opened at $0.000129, hit a high of $0.000147, then collapsed to a low of $0.0000225 before closing at $0.0000458 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick-down candle. Sell pressure at 88.5% of volume strongly favors continued downside. A brief 5-minute bounce of +6.5% is insufficient to reverse the trend.

Target low$0.0000100
Target high$0.0000650
Support: $0.0000458 (current close), $0.0000225 (recent hourly low)
Resistance: $0.000129 (08:00 open), $0.000162 (07:00 hourly high)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

With no fundamental utility described, mutable metadata, unknown authority, and a holder base that was stagnant for 30 days before a suspicious spike, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Liquidity of only $21.80K means any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. Without new catalysts or genuine community growth, price is likely to continue declining toward negligible levels.

Catalysts
  • Genuine organic holder growth beyond the suspicious 24h spike
  • Liquidity additions to reduce slippage risk
  • Metadata verification and authority renouncement
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 5-minute price bounce of +6.5% suggests some residual buying interest
  • Token is trading on PumpSwap with an active pair, indicating some market accessibility
  • Holder count spike to 850 could represent genuine new interest (though manipulation is more likely)

Bearish factors

  • 88.5% sell pressure — $149.73K sell volume vs $19.53K buy volume in 24h
  • Price down 34.4% in 24 hours
  • Most recent hourly candle shows a massive upper wick and close near the low — bearish price action
  • Only $21.80K total liquidity — extremely shallow
  • Holder count was frozen at 27 for 30 consecutive days — strong manipulation signal
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority
  • No verified contract
  • FDV of only $45.77K with no described utility
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) missing top holder data preventing concentration analysis, (2) no sniper data, (3) anomalous tokenomics (supply=1, decimals=0), (4) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available for technical analysis, and (5) the suspicious holder spike pattern that makes on-chain signals unreliable.

MelaniaCoin call history

Full track record →
Jul 14bearish
24h-90.3%
7d-92.2%
30d-92.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (07:00 UTC): O=$0.0000580, H=$0.000162, L=$0.0000538, C=$0.000128 — a bullish candle with a large upper wick suggesting rejection at highs. Candle [1] (08:00 UTC): O=$0.000129, H=$0.000147, L=$0.0000225, C=$0.0000458 — a strongly bearish candle that opened near the prior close, briefly pushed higher, then collapsed to a new low of $0.0000225 before closing at $0.0000458. This is a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern indicating a failed breakout and aggressive selling. The close at $0.0000458 is near the session low, confirming seller dominance.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 12%Sell 89%

The two available candles show a clear short-term downtrend: price peaked at $0.000162 in the 07:00 candle and has since fallen to $0.0000458, a decline of ~72% from the intraday high. The 24h price change of -34.4% confirms the medium-term downtrend. Insufficient historical candle data exists to assess a longer-term trend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000225 (08:00 hourly low)
Major$0.0000100 (estimated psychological floor given micro-cap status)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000129 (08:00 open / prior close area)
Major$0.000162 (07:00 hourly high — intraday peak)

The $0.0000225 level represents the most recent swing low and is the immediate support. A break below this level would signal further capitulation. Resistance at $0.000129 aligns with the 08:00 open and the prior candle's close. The $0.000162 level is the intraday high and represents major resistance that would require a significant sentiment reversal to reclaim.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish shooting star / engulfing on the 08:00 candle — open near high, close near low
  • Large upper wicks on both candles indicating repeated rejection at higher prices
  • Volume spike accompanying price crash — distribution pattern
  • Failed breakout above $0.000147 in the 08:00 candle

Total holders850
24h Δ+823
7d Δ+823
30d Δ+823
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder spike of +823 (+97%) in the last 24 hours coincides directly with the price pump-and-dump pattern observed in the OHLC data. Price reached an intraday high of ~$0.000162 before crashing 72% to ~$0.0000458. This suggests the holder spike is correlated with retail FOMO buyers entering at or near the top, followed by a sharp sell-off. The 30-day historical data shows exactly 27 holders with zero change every single day from June 14 to July 13 — this is statistically implausible for organic growth and strongly suggests the prior holder base was artificial or inactive.

The holder data presents a major red flag: the token maintained exactly 27 holders with zero net change for 30 consecutive days (June 14 – July 13, 2026), then suddenly gained 823 holders (+97%) in a single 24-hour period. This pattern is inconsistent with organic growth and is characteristic of a coordinated pump event where a token is held dormant by insiders before being promoted to attract retail buyers. The current 850 holders may include many who bought during the pump phase and are now holding at a loss following the 34.4% price decline. No distribution breakdown (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) is available, and top holder data is missing, preventing deeper analysis.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the API returned no results for the top 20 holders. The supply concentration metrics show top10=0% and top100=0%, which is likely a data artifact rather than genuine distribution, given the token's total supply of 1 with 0 decimals. This data anomaly (supply=1) may be causing holder concentration calculations to fail. Without top holder data, it is impossible to assess whale concentration, identify team/treasury wallets, or evaluate dump risk from large holders. This is a significant analytical limitation and itself constitutes a risk factor, as it prevents transparency assessment. Distribution is classified as 'very_concentrated' by default given the data unavailability and the suspicious 30-day holder stagnation pattern.

Liquidity$21,800
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$19,530
Sell$149,730
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers237
Unique sellers1,334

Liquidity is critically shallow at $21.80K against an FDV of $45.77K — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~47.6%, which sounds reasonable but in absolute terms means any trade above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. The 24h sell volume of $149.73K is nearly 6.9x the buy volume of $19.53K, representing a massive net outflow. With 1,334 unique sellers vs 237 unique buyers (a 5.6:1 ratio), the market is in active distribution mode. The total 24h volume of ~$169.26K is approximately 7.8x the total liquidity pool, indicating extremely high turnover relative to available liquidity. This creates a dangerous feedback loop where continued selling will rapidly deplete the liquidity pool and cause price to approach zero. The PumpSwap pair (3Etb9ohRpGxnqZmtGrfgEUYtwDFRE4GNEQyDsW5btdyJ) is the sole trading venue identified.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1 (with 0 decimals — highly anomalous; likely a data artifact or intentional obfuscation)
FDV$45,770

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The tokenomics data is deeply anomalous. A total supply of 1 with 0 decimals is essentially non-functional as a standard fungible token — this is either a data reporting artifact (the actual supply may be in the billions with the decimal adjustment not applied) or an intentional obfuscation. The metadata is marked as 'Mutable: true' with 'Update authority: unknown', meaning the token's metadata can be changed by an unknown party at any time — a significant rug risk vector. The contract is unverified ('Verified contract: false'). Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data, so both are marked 'unknown'. The combination of mutable metadata, unknown authority, unverified contract, and anomalous supply figures results in a HIGH rug risk from authorities assessment. The FDV of $45.77K is micro-cap territory with no described utility or use case.

Volatility
high

Price dropped 34.4% in 24 hours and fell ~72% from the intraday high of $0.000162 to the current close of $0.0000458 within a single hourly candle. Extreme intraday volatility with large wicks on both available candles.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $21.80K. The 24h sell volume of $149.73K is ~6.9x the total liquidity pool, meaning the pool is being rapidly depleted. High slippage risk on any meaningful trade size.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable, preventing concentration assessment. The token had exactly 27 holders for 30 consecutive days — suggesting a highly concentrated insider group. Supply of 1 with 0 decimals creates additional analytical uncertainty.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available. However, the 30-day holder stagnation followed by a sudden 823-holder spike, combined with 88.5% sell pressure, is consistent with an insider-coordinated pump-and-dump where early holders (snipers/insiders) are distributing to retail.

Authority
high

Metadata is mutable with unknown update authority. Contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. This combination allows the token creator to modify metadata, potentially freeze accounts, or mint additional supply without warning.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days of frozen holder count followed by sudden +823 holder spike and immediate 34.4% price crash
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug pull vector
  • Unverified contract with anomalous tokenomics (supply=1, decimals=0)
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($21.80K) with 88.5% sell pressure
  • No top holder transparency — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • 5.6:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicating active distribution
  • Token name 'Melania Coin' is a celebrity/political name that may attract uninformed retail buyers

Mitigating factors

  • Token is trading on PumpSwap with an active liquidity pair
  • Some residual buying interest evidenced by 237 unique buyers in 24h
  • 5-minute price bounce of +6.5% suggests not completely abandoned
  • FDV is low enough ($45.77K) that absolute loss exposure is limited for small positions
Suitable for: This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand the extreme risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are aware of the significant manipulation signals present in this token's on-chain data. This analysis does NOT constitute financial advice.

Melania Coin presents a highly speculative, very-high-risk profile with multiple red flags suggesting coordinated manipulation. The token leverages a celebrity/political name for attention, had a dormant 30-day period with exactly 27 holders, then experienced a sudden pump-and-dump event. The overwhelming sell pressure (88.5%), shallow liquidity, mutable metadata, and missing holder/sniper data make this an extremely dangerous token for retail investors.

Bull case (low)

Speculative meme coin revival driven by renewed political/celebrity news cycle attention to the Melania brand, attracting fresh retail capital and liquidity additions.

  • Renewed media attention to the Melania Trump brand driving meme coin speculation
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Liquidity additions by new market makers improving depth
  • Holder base stabilizes and begins organic growth beyond the initial spike

Base case

Token stabilizes at a significantly lower price level (~$0.00001–$0.00003) with minimal trading activity, becoming a dormant micro-cap with occasional speculative spikes tied to news events.

  • Selling pressure gradually exhausts as weak hands exit
  • A small core of 27–100 holders maintains minimal liquidity
  • No new catalysts emerge to drive significant volume
  • Liquidity pool is not fully drained

Bear case (high)

Continued distribution by insiders/early holders depletes the $21.80K liquidity pool, price approaches zero, and the token is abandoned as a failed pump-and-dump.

  • 88.5% sell pressure continues as retail buyers exit at losses
  • Liquidity pool drained by continued sell volume ($149.73K/day vs $21.80K pool)
  • No utility, no verified contract, no community infrastructure to sustain interest
  • Mutable metadata could be changed to further damage token credibility
  • Broader regulatory or reputational risk from celebrity name misuse

GeneratedJul 14, 08:47 AM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-07-14T08:00:00Z. Historical holder data covers 2026-06-14 to 2026-07-13. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles provided.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token API (metadata, price, OHLC, trading analytics)
  • On-chain holder metrics and historical holder series
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair: 3Etb9ohRpGxnqZmtGrfgEUYtwDFRE4GNEQyDsW5btdyJ)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No top holder data returned — whale concentration cannot be assessed
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are severely limited
  • Anomalous tokenomics (supply=1, decimals=0) may indicate data reporting errors
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — authority risk cannot be fully quantified
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown
  • Historical holder data shows implausible 30-day stagnation at exactly 27 — data reliability questionable
  • Price change fields for 1h/6h/24h all show 0% in analytics despite 24h showing -34.4% in price section — data inconsistency noted

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed contains multiple manipulation signals. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (with 0 decimals — highly anomalous; likely a data artifact or intentional obfuscation)

Key Risks

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days of frozen holder count followed by sudden +823 holder spike and immediate 34.4% price crash
Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug pull vector
Unverified contract with anomalous tokenomics (supply=1, decimals=0)
Critically shallow liquidity ($21.80K) with 88.5% sell pressure

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The overall trading pattern — 2,993 sells vs 468 buys in 24h, with 1,334 unique sellers vs 237 unique buyers — suggests broad distribution rather than accumulation. The ratio of sellers to buyers (5.6:1) is a strong bearish signal indicating that the majority of participants are exiting positions.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no results for this token.

Cannot be determined from available data. The suspicious holder pattern (27 holders for 30 days, then +823 in 24h) suggests early holders may have been insiders or bots who are now distributing to retail participants attracted by the name recognition of 'Melania Coin'.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Melania Coin (MelaniaCoin)?

The token is in a sharp downtrend following a 34.4% crash. The most recent hourly candle (08:00 UTC) opened at $0.000129, hit a high of $0.000147, then collapsed to a low of $0.0000225 before closing at $0.0000458 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick-down candle. Sell pressure at 88.5% of volume strongly favors continued downside. A brief 5-minute bounce of +6.5% is insufficient to reverse the trend. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000100 to $0.0000650.

Is MelaniaCoin a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand the extreme risks of micro-cap meme tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are aware of the significant manipulation signals present in this token's on-chain data. This analysis does NOT constitute financial advice.

How are MelaniaCoin holders trending?

Melania Coin currently has 850 holders and is growing (24h: 823, 7d: 823, 30d: 823). The holder data presents a major red flag: the token maintained exactly 27 holders with zero net change for 30 consecutive days (June 14 – July 13, 2026), then suddenly gained 823 holders (+97%) in a single 24-hour period. This pattern is inconsistent with organic growth and is characteristic of a coordinated pump event where a token is held dormant by insiders before being promoted to attract retail buyers. The current 850 holders may include many who bought during the pump phase and are now holding at a loss following the 34.4% price decline. No distribution breakdown (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) is available, and top holder data is missing, preventing deeper analysis.

What does sniper activity look like for MelaniaCoin?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding MelaniaCoin?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days of frozen holder count followed by sudden +823 holder spike and immediate 34.4% price crash • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug pull vector • Unverified contract with anomalous tokenomics (supply=1, decimals=0)

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