Pigeon

The Depressed Pigeon Price Today & AI Analysis

PigeonSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 19, 2026

Price

$0.000386

+713.12% 24h · FDV $368,411

Contract

Live
53rZTtfGghxqdd6qTeDdfS8MBqg2CTyQeLW1LHCRpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

2,575

Market cap

$368,411

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 19, 03:16 AM UTC

FDV

$368,411

Liquidity

$30,359

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

The Depressed Pigeon (Pigeon) is a newly parabolic Solana meme token trading on PumpSwap that spiked +713% in 24 hours, reaching a fully diluted valuation of ~$368K on just $30.36K of total liquidity. The available 3-hour candle window shows a classic blow-off-top pattern: an explosive ~64x intra-hour rally followed immediately by a sharp reversal, with volume declining as price pulled back. No holder distribution, whale concentration, or sniper wallet data was available in the provided dataset, and mint/freeze/update authority status is unconfirmed, leaving significant unknowns around rug-pull and dump risk.

Key points

  • Extremely fresh, high-volatility pump.fun-style meme token with no fundamental product description
  • Very shallow liquidity ($30.36K) relative to both volume ($2.33M/24h) and FDV ($368K), creating outsized slippage and manipulation risk
  • Recent price action shows textbook blow-off top / exhaustion candle pattern immediately after the parabolic spike
  • Complete absence of holder, whale, and sniper on-chain data, and unknown authority renouncement status, significantly limiting risk visibility

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-48 hours

bearish

After a +713% 24h spike and a clear blow-off-top reversal candle (price fell from a high near $0.000664-$0.000856 area down to $0.000197 before closing at $0.000387), short-term risk is skewed to further downside or high-volatility consolidation as early buyers/snipers likely take profits into shallow liquidity.

Target low

$0.000130

Target high

$0.000664

Support

$0.000197, $0.0000130

Resistance

$0.000664, $0.000856

Medium term · 1-2 weeks

neutral

Medium-term direction is highly uncertain given the token's brand-new listing profile, extreme volatility, and total absence of holder/sniper/authority confirmation data. Sustained interest would require continued social momentum and liquidity growth; absent that, reversion toward pre-pump levels is a real risk.

Catalysts

  • Whether liquidity providers add depth to the PumpSwap pool
  • Social media/Twitter momentum sustaining or fading
  • Any confirmation (positive or negative) of mint/freeze authority status
  • Continued buyer/seller wallet count trends

Bullish factors

  • Buy volume (50.7%) and buyer count (6,064) currently exceed sell volume (49.3%) and seller count (4,875)
  • Large 24h percentage gain shows strong existing momentum and market attention
  • Low absolute FDV ($368K) leaves theoretical room for further speculative re-rating

Bearish factors

  • Blow-off top candle pattern with a sharp reversal from highs on declining volume
  • Extremely shallow $30.36K liquidity relative to $2.33M 24h volume, high manipulation/slippage risk
  • No data to confirm holder distribution, sniper concentration, or authority renouncement — all unknowns that skew risk downward
  • Newly listed pump.fun-style token with no product description, purely narrative/speculative

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because only 3 hourly candles are available (a very short lookback), holder and sniper data are entirely absent, and authority/verification metadata is unknown. The extreme volatility already observed makes any point prediction unreliable, and predictions rely heavily on limited trading analytics rather than a full data picture.

Pigeon call history

Full track record →

Sep 19bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
53rZTt...pump
Total Supply
954,825,078.73

Key Risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($30.36K) relative to volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Parabolic +713% 24h move with a subsequent sharp intra-candle reversal, suggesting a blow-off top and elevated dump risk
  • No holder/whale distribution data available to assess concentration risk
  • No sniper data available to assess bot/early-buyer dump risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper data was returned for this token, so sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through behavior cannot be assessed. Given the extreme, explosive price action (713% in 24h, with a single hourly candle rallying from ~$0.0000132 to a high of $0.000856, a ~64x intra-hour spike) it is highly plausible that early snipers or bots captured outsized gains, but this cannot be confirmed or quantified from the data provided.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown — no sniper data available

Unknown — no wallet-level buyer data provided. The rapid, parabolic move suggests early participants (if any existed before the spike) would be sitting on extremely large unrealized gains, increasing the risk of a sharp reversal from profit-taking.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle [1] (01:00 UTC) opened at $0.00000455 and closed at $0.0000132, a ~190% gain, on volume of ~$23.5K — the initial breakout leg. Candle [2] (02:00 UTC) is a massive expansion candle: open $0.0000132, high $0.000856, low $0.0000130, close $0.000663, a roughly 50x range on volume of ~$1.92M — indicative of an extreme parabolic pump likely driven by a herd of buyers/bots. Candle [3] (03:00 UTC) opened at $0.000663, made a marginal new high of $0.0000664 (~0.03% above open) before collapsing to a low of $0.000197 and closing at $0.000387, a ~42% pullback from the open on volume of ~$542K — a long-upper-wick reversal/exhaustion candle showing heavy profit-taking after the spike.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Medium-term (3-candle window) trend is sharply up (+713% 24h), but the most recent candle shows a strong intra-candle reversal from the highs, signaling short-term downside momentum after the parabolic spike.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000197 (candle [3] low)

Major support

$0.0000130 (candle [2] low, pre-pump base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000664 (candle [3] open / candle [2] close area)

Major resistance

$0.000856 (candle [2] high, all-time high in this dataset)

The token is currently trading around $0.000386, sandwiched between immediate support near $0.000197 (the low of the most recent reversal candle) and immediate resistance near $0.000664 (former pump close level). A break below $0.000197 would expose the pre-pump base near $0.0000130-$0.0000132, while reclaiming $0.000664-$0.000856 would be needed to resume the uptrend and challenge the all-time high.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic breakout candle with ~50x range (candle [2])
  • Long upper-wick reversal/exhaustion candle after new marginal high (candle [3])
  • Volume climax followed by declining volume — classic blow-off top pattern
  • Extremely high short-term volatility inconsistent with a mature, stable market

Liquidity

Liquidity

$30.36K

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity is extremely thin at just $30.36K against a fully diluted valuation of $368.41K and 24h traded volume of roughly $2.33M combined (buy+sell). This liquidity-to-volume ratio (~77x turnover of pool depth in a single day) is a major red flag: even modest trade sizes can move price violently, as evidenced by the candle data showing multi-hundred-percent single-hour swings. Buy volume ($1.18M) slightly exceeds sell volume ($1.15M), producing a marginal net inflow (50.7% vs 49.3%), but buyers (6,064) outnumber sellers (4,875) by about 24%, suggesting more new entrants than exits over the period. With such shallow liquidity, slippage risk is high for anything beyond small trade sizes, and the pool is vulnerable to rapid drains or manipulation.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$1.18M

Sell volume

$1.15M

Net flow

Inflow

Unique buyers

6,064

Unique sellers

4,875

Supply & authorities

Total supply

954,825,078.73

FDV

$368,411

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Update authority, mutability, verified-contract status, and mint/freeze authority states are all listed as 'unknown' in the provided metadata — none could be confirmed as renounced or burned. This is a pump.fun-style token (mint suffix 'pump') traded on PumpSwap, which typically has standardized authority settings, but without explicit on-chain confirmation this cannot be verified from the data provided. Rug risk from authorities is therefore rated unknown rather than assumed low, and should be independently verified via an explorer before any capital commitment.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +713% and an intra-hour range spanning roughly 64x (from ~$0.0000132 to $0.000856) in a single candle represents extreme volatility even by meme-token standards.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $30.36K against $2.33M in combined 24h volume and a $368K FDV means the pool can be easily drained or manipulated, and larger trades will suffer significant slippage.

  • Concentrationhigh

    No holder distribution data is available to confirm or refute concentration, but the token's newly-listed, low-liquidity, parabolic-pump profile is typical of tokens where a small number of early wallets hold a disproportionate share of supply. This is treated as an elevated but unconfirmed risk given lack of data.

  • Sniper Dumphigh

    No sniper wallet data is available, but the observed price pattern (parabolic spike immediately followed by a sharp reversal from highs with volume declining) is highly consistent with early buyers/snipers taking profit and dumping into the rally.

  • Authoritymedium

    Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, and mutability status are all listed as 'unknown' in the provided metadata, meaning rug-pull vectors via authority abuse cannot be ruled out or confirmed.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($30.36K) relative to volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Parabolic +713% 24h move with a subsequent sharp intra-candle reversal, suggesting a blow-off top and elevated dump risk
  • No holder/whale distribution data available to assess concentration risk
  • No sniper data available to assess bot/early-buyer dump risk
  • Authority renouncement status (mint/freeze/update) unknown, leaving potential rug vectors unverified
  • Meme-token with no real product description ('Description: none'), relying entirely on speculative/social momentum

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume ($1.18M) modestly exceeds sell volume ($1.15M), and buyers (6,064) outnumber sellers (4,875), indicating net new demand rather than pure distribution
  • Token has active trading pair on PumpSwap with real-time price discovery and social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some community presence
  • Sell pressure (49.3%) is nearly balanced with buy pressure (50.7%), meaning the market has not yet tipped into outright capitulation

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of total capital loss. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors, retirement savings, or anyone unable to tolerate 50-90%+ intraday drawdowns. Position sizing should be minimal given the shallow liquidity and unverified authority/holder data.

The Depressed Pigeon is a freshly parabolic PumpSwap meme token that surged 713% in 24 hours before showing signs of exhaustion in the most recent hourly candle. With only $30.36K in liquidity against a $368K FDV, and no available holder or sniper data to confirm distribution health, this is a highly speculative, momentum-driven trade rather than an investment with fundamental backing.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If buy pressure (currently 50.7% of volume) continues to outweigh sell pressure and new buyers keep entering (6,064 buyers vs 4,875 sellers in 24h), the token could reclaim the $0.000664-$0.000856 resistance zone and attract further momentum/social traders, especially if amplified by Twitter/website promotion.

  • Continued net positive buyer count and buy volume dominance
  • Viral social media momentum sustaining attention
  • Low FDV ($368K) leaving room for further speculative upside if narrative catches on

Base Case

Price consolidates in a wide, highly volatile range between roughly $0.000197 (recent low) and $0.000664 (recent resistance) as early participants take profits and new speculators rotate in, with continued outsized volatility in both directions rather than a clean directional trend.

  • No holder or sniper data is available to model realistic supply overhang, so this range is based purely on the limited 3-candle OHLC dataset provided
  • Liquidity remains near current shallow levels (~$30K) absent a new liquidity injection
  • No major authority-related rug event occurs during the base-case window

Bear Case

High probability

The parabolic spike already shows a long-upper-wick reversal candle with price falling ~42% from the candle-3 open, and volume is declining after the initial climax — classic blow-off top behavior. Combined with razor-thin $30.36K liquidity, a large holder or sniper exit could crash the price back toward the pre-pump base near $0.0000130-$0.0000132.

  • Blow-off top pattern with declining volume after the spike
  • Extremely shallow liquidity enabling rapid, low-cost price collapse
  • Unknown holder/sniper concentration, raising probability of concentrated dumping
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority status leaving rug-pull risk on the table

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 19, 03:16 AM UTC

Data freshness

Data reflects the most recent available hourly candle timestamped 2026-09-19T03:00:00.000Z and current spot price/analytics at time of query.

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, FDV)
  • USD price and 24h/1h/5m % change data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 most recent candles) from PumpSwap pair
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buy/sell counts, unique buyers/sellers)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder or whale distribution data was available — holderTrends and whaleMap sections are populated with placeholder zero/empty values per methodology rules
  • No sniper wallet data was available — sniper concentration and PnL metrics could not be computed and are reported as unknown/zero
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles were provided, severely limiting technical trend analysis depth and reliability
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, verified-contract, and mutability status were all listed as 'unknown' in source metadata, preventing confirmation of rug-pull vectors
  • Token description was 'none', providing no fundamental/narrative context beyond name and social links

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is generated from limited on-chain and market data provided at a single point in time and is for informational purposes only. It does NOT constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any asset. Cryptocurrency and meme tokens, especially newly-listed low-liquidity tokens, carry extremely high risk including total loss of capital. Data gaps (holder data, sniper data, authority status) mean this analysis is necessarily incomplete. Always conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for The Depressed Pigeon (Pigeon)?

After a +713% 24h spike and a clear blow-off-top reversal candle (price fell from a high near $0.000664-$0.000856 area down to $0.000197 before closing at $0.000387), short-term risk is skewed to further downside or high-volatility consolidation as early buyers/snipers likely take profits into shallow liquidity. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.000130 to $0.000664.

Is Pigeon a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of total capital loss. Not appropriate for risk-averse investors, retirement savings, or anyone unable to tolerate 50-90%+ intraday drawdowns. Position sizing should be minimal given the shallow liquidity and unverified authority/holder data.

What does sniper activity look like for Pigeon?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Pigeon?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($30.36K) relative to volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Parabolic +713% 24h move with a subsequent sharp intra-candle reversal, suggesting a blow-off top and elevated dump risk • No holder/whale distribution data available to assess concentration risk

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