Luna

ルナ Price Today & AI Analysis

LunaSolanaAnalysis as of May 3, 2026

Price

$0.052628

FDV $2,626

Contract

Live
4xeCLJkMRAQRWvYzUf3RyL12mQxcLTp4mJpzLXM41JST

Chain

Solana

Holders

54

Market cap

$2,626

More tokens on Solana

APPLEWIFAPPLEWIFapplewifhat$0.052230+0.0%MC $2.2KPPIKACHUPikachu$0.073281+0.0%MC $3.3KGuardiansGuardiansEyes Up, Guardians$0.052335+0.0%MC $2.3KNORMIENORMIENORMIE$0.052824+0.0%MC $2.7KWERLDKUPWERLDKUPWERLD KUP$0.053377+0.0%MC $3.4KRAYRAYRaydium$1.99+8.6%MC $1.10B

ルナ: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-03 15:47 UTC

Holder addresses

193

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is ルナ ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 193 addresses (2026-05-03 15:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling ルナ?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ルナ liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-03 15:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Ask Unhosted AI about Luna

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of May 3, 03:47 PM UTC

FDV

$8,052

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

193

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ルナ (Luna) is a Solana-based memecoin (mint: 4xeCLJkMRAQRWvYzUf3RyL12mQxcLTp4mJpzLXM41JST) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of approximately $8,052. The token launched very recently — holder counts were flat at 6 for the entire prior 30-day period before exploding to 193 holders within the last 24 hours, coinciding with a violent price spike and subsequent -76% crash. Trading activity is heavily sell-dominated (71.9% sell pressure), liquidity is reported at $0.00, and the top holder (the PumpSwap pair address) controls 43.07% of supply. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a high-risk, newly launched memecoin with extreme volatility and concentrated ownership.

Key points

  • Explosive same-day launch: 0→193 holders and a full price cycle (pump and dump) within hours
  • Extreme sell dominance: 71.9% sell pressure with 3,561 sells vs 1,630 buys in 24h
  • Top holder (PumpSwap LP) controls 43.07% of supply, creating severe concentration risk
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00) despite active trading on PumpSwap
  • 20 snipers active in first 1,000 blocks — majority at a loss, indicating early buyers are underwater

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price has already collapsed -76.11% in 24h from a peak near $0.0000416 (candle [6] high) to the current $0.00000805. Sell pressure remains overwhelming at 71.9% and holders are actively exiting (-17 holders in the last hour alone). The path of least resistance is further downside unless a new catalyst emerges.

Target low

$0.0000050

Target high

$0.0000120

Support

$0.00000805 (current price / recent close), $0.00000531 (candle [3] low), $0.00000623 (candle [4] low)

Resistance

$0.0000120 (candle [3]/[4] overlap zone), $0.0000160 (candle [3] high area), $0.0000416 (all-time high, candle [6])

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Given the token's memecoin nature, near-zero liquidity, and the fact that the vast majority of snipers and early buyers are at a loss or have already sold, sustained recovery is unlikely without a major viral catalyst. Most memecoins that experience a same-day pump-and-dump of this magnitude fail to recover meaningfully.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media campaign driving new buyer inflow
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (highly unlikely at this FDV)
  • Coordinated community effort to rebuild liquidity
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats

Bullish factors

  • Rapid holder acquisition (0→193 in <24h) shows some organic interest
  • Buy transactions still occurring (1,630 buys in 24h) suggesting residual demand
  • Price stabilized somewhat in the last two candles after the initial crash

Bearish factors

  • Price down -76.11% in 24h with no sign of reversal
  • Sell pressure at 71.9% — sellers outnumber buyers 2:1 in both volume and transaction count
  • Zero reported liquidity makes large exits extremely difficult
  • Top holder (43.07%) is the LP pool — any LP withdrawal would be catastrophic
  • Majority of snipers are at a loss, increasing dump risk as they seek exits
  • Holder count dropped -17 (-8.80%) in just the last hour

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility, near-zero liquidity, very short price history (only 6 hourly candles available), and the speculative memecoin nature of the token. Price prediction for assets of this type is inherently unreliable.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4xeCLJ...1JST
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • Near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported) makes exits extremely difficult and slippage severe
  • Price already down -76% with continued sell pressure (71.9% sell volume)
  • Holder count declining (-17 in last hour) indicating active exit behavior
  • Top 10 holders control 62.91% — coordinated dump would be devastating

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Six hourly candles are available, all from 2026-05-03. The token opened around $0.0000331 at 10:00 UTC and reached an all-time high of $0.0000416 within that candle before closing at $0.0000201 — a massive bearish candle with a long upper wick. Candle [5] (11:00) continued lower, opening at $0.0000203 and closing at $0.00000877 with a low of $0.00000713, another large bearish candle. Candle [4] (12:00) showed a brief recovery attempt, opening at $0.00000867 and closing at $0.0000127 (bullish close), but candle [3] (13:00) reversed violently: opened at $0.0000124, spiked to $0.0000159, then crashed to a low of $0.00000531 before closing at $0.00000835 — a shooting star / bearish engulfing pattern. Candles [2] and [1] (14:00–15:00) show continued slow bleed with lower opens and closes, settling near $0.00000805. The overall pattern is a classic pump-and-dump: parabolic spike followed by cascading lower highs and lower lows.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token has made a series of lower highs and lower lows across all six available candles. No base has been established yet.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

28%

Sell

72%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00000805 (current price, recent candle close)

Major support

$0.00000531 (candle [3] intraday low — the lowest recorded price)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000127 (candle [4] close / candle [3] open zone)

Major resistance

$0.0000416 (all-time high from candle [6])

The $0.00000531 level represents the only significant tested support. Resistance is layered at $0.0000120–$0.0000160 (the candle [3]–[4] consolidation zone) and the all-time high of $0.0000416. A recovery above $0.0000120 would be needed to suggest any trend change.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at candle [3] (13:00 UTC) — spike to $0.0000159 followed by close near lows
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure: parabolic rise in candles [6]–[5] followed by cascading lower highs
  • Declining volume on downtrend — no capitulation buying visible
  • Brief dead-cat bounce at candle [4] (12:00 UTC) — bullish close quickly reversed
  • Lower highs and lower lows across all six candles confirming established downtrend

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$8,051.89

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped -76.11% in 24 hours after a parabolic spike to $0.0000416. Six-hour candles show swings of 50–80% within single hours. Extreme volatility is inherent to this asset.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported) makes exits extremely difficult and slippage severe
  • Price already down -76% with continued sell pressure (71.9% sell volume)
  • Holder count declining (-17 in last hour) indicating active exit behavior
  • Top 10 holders control 62.91% — coordinated dump would be devastating
  • 20 snipers mostly at a loss, creating persistent overhead sell pressure
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Pure memecoin with no utility, roadmap, or fundamental value drivers
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden launch — suspicious pre-launch behavior

Mitigating factors

  • 'Mutable: false' metadata reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • Token is trading on PumpSwap with functioning AMM mechanics
  • Some buy activity persists (1,630 buys, 571 unique buyers in 24h)
  • FDV of only $8,052 means absolute dollar loss is limited for small positions
  • Social links (Twitter) suggest some community presence

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin mechanics and pump-and-dump dynamics.

ルナ (Luna) is a newly launched Solana memecoin that experienced a classic pump-and-dump cycle within its first hours of trading. The token offers no fundamental value proposition beyond speculative momentum. The investment case is almost entirely speculative, with the bear case being the most probable outcome based on available data.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A viral social media moment or influencer promotion drives a new wave of buyers, temporarily pushing price back toward the $0.0000120–$0.0000160 resistance zone. Community forms around the Japanese-themed branding and sustains enough buy pressure to stabilize price.

  • Viral Twitter/social media campaign gaining traction
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • New liquidity injection from a whale or market maker
  • Community-driven FOMO from the 'Luna' brand recognition

Base Case

Price stabilizes in the $0.000005–$0.000009 range as the initial dump exhausts itself. A small, residual community of ~100–150 holders remains. Occasional low-volume pumps occur but the token never recovers to its launch-day highs. Gradual decay over weeks.

  • Sell pressure moderates as weak hands exit
  • A small core of holders maintains positions
  • No new major catalysts emerge in either direction
  • Liquidity remains thin but functional on PumpSwap

Bear Case

High probability

Remaining holders continue to exit, liquidity dries up completely, and the token enters a death spiral toward near-zero. The 43.07% LP position is withdrawn, effectively ending trading. Price falls below $0.000005 and the token becomes illiquid.

  • Continued sell dominance (71.9% sell pressure) with no reversal catalyst
  • Holder attrition accelerating (-17 in last hour)
  • Near-zero liquidity making recovery impossible
  • Sniper and whale exits creating persistent overhead supply
  • No utility or fundamental value to anchor price

Analysis details

Generated

May 3, 03:47 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-03 15:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data (6 hourly candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, concentration percentages)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers, realized PnL data)
  • Token social metadata (Twitter, Moralis links)

Limitations

  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data artifact of PumpSwap bonding curve mechanics rather than true zero liquidity
  • Sniper balances are 'unknown' — exact sniper concentration cannot be computed, only estimated
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Only 6 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Token age is <24 hours — all metrics are extremely early-stage and subject to rapid change
  • Realized PnL percentages for snipers reflect only sold portions; unrealized PnL on remaining balances is unknown
  • No liquidity depth data available for slippage modeling

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is ルナ ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 193 addresses (2026-05-03 15:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling ルナ?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is ルナ liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for ルナ (Luna)?

Price has already collapsed -76.11% in 24h from a peak near $0.0000416 (candle [6] high) to the current $0.00000805. Sell pressure remains overwhelming at 71.9% and holders are actively exiting (-17 holders in the last hour alone). The path of least resistance is further downside unless a new catalyst emerges. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000050 to $0.0000120.

Is Luna a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin mechanics and pump-and-dump dynamics.

What are the key risks of holding Luna?

Near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported) makes exits extremely difficult and slippage severe • Price already down -76% with continued sell pressure (71.9% sell volume) • Holder count declining (-17 in last hour) indicating active exit behavior

← Back to all predictions

Track Luna