based

based Price Today & AI Analysis

basedSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 23, 2026

Price

$0.000604

+1147.19% 24h · FDV $589,686

Contract

Live
4wYd4vPhzaUQs5vqUrEJ7CPtKg1qzXHhauERuh4MiNMB

Chain

Solana

Holders

3,051

Market cap

$589,686

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based: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-23 02:15 UTC

Holder addresses

3,051

Top 10 supply share

20.34%

Reported liquidity

$37,842.00
How concentrated is based ownership?
As of 2026-09-23 02:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 20.34% of supply. It reports 3,051 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling based?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 02:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $677,488.00 in buys and $643,785.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is based liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +1034.38%, from $3,406.76 (2026-09-23 00:00 UTC) to $38,645.74 (2026-09-23 02:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-23 02:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-23 00:00 UTC$3,406.76
2026-09-23 01:00 UTC$28,730.77
2026-09-23 02:00 UTC$38,645.74

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 23, 02:16 AM UTC

FDV

$589,686

Liquidity

$37,842.00

Holders

3,051

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

Based (BASED) is a Solana token trading on PumpSwap that has experienced an extreme parabolic price surge of 1147% in the past 24 hours, reaching $0.000604 with a fully diluted valuation of $589.69K. The token exhibits very shallow liquidity ($37.84K) relative to its trading volume (over $1.3M combined 24h buy+sell), moderate top-10 holder concentration (20.34% of supply across 3,051 holder addresses), and critical data gaps around mint/freeze authority status and sniper wallet activity that prevent a full risk clearance.

Key points

  • Extreme recent price appreciation (+1147% 24h, +471% 1h) on very limited (3-candle) price history
  • Severely thin liquidity ($37.84K) relative to volume, creating high slippage and volatility risk
  • Near-balanced but slightly buy-skewed 24h volume (51.3% buy vs 48.7% sell)
  • Unresolved mint/freeze authority status representing an unquantified rug risk
  • No sniper wallet data available, leaving insider dumping risk unassessed
  • Only current-snapshot holder data (3,051 addresses, 20.34% top-10 concentration) with no historical trend visibility

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-48 hours

neutral

After a 1147% 24h rally and 471% 1h spike on only $37.84K of liquidity, the token is in a highly overbought, high-volatility state. Short-term direction is genuinely uncertain — continuation is possible given persistent net buy pressure (51.3%/48.7%), but a sharp pullback or consolidation is equally plausible given the parabolic nature of the move and thin liquidity making it vulnerable to profit-taking.

Target low

$0.000324

Target high

$0.000900

Support

$0.000324, $0.0000123

Resistance

$0.000663, psychological $0.001

Medium term · 1-2 weeks

neutral

Medium-term outlook cannot be reliably assessed with only 3 hours of candle history. Sustainability depends heavily on whether liquidity deepens, whether mint/freeze authority risk resolves favorably, and whether holder concentration (20.34% in top 10) remains stable or worsens. Tokens experiencing this kind of extreme early-stage parabolic move frequently retrace significantly once initial speculative momentum fades.

Catalysts

  • Potential liquidity growth or migration to deeper pools
  • Continued social media/community momentum (Twitter, website presence noted)
  • Resolution of authority/rug-risk unknowns
  • Broader PumpSwap/launchpad ecosystem sentiment

Bullish factors

  • Net positive 24h buy pressure (51.3% vs 48.7% sell)
  • More unique buyers (5,415) than sellers (3,884) in 24h
  • Consecutive bullish candles with higher highs and higher lows
  • Elevated and sustained trading volume suggesting active interest

Bearish factors

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($37.84K) relative to volume creates high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Parabolic 1147% 24h move is a classic setup for sharp reversion/correction
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status is an unresolved rug risk
  • No sniper data available to rule out early insider dumping
  • Only 3 hours of candle history — insufficient for robust technical conviction

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely limited price history (only 3 hourly candles), shallow liquidity ($37.84K) that can distort price discovery, absence of sniper/insider wallet data, and unknown mint/freeze authority status. The token's age and volatility make any prediction highly speculative.

based call history

Full track record →

Sep 23neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4wYd4v...iNMB
Total Supply
975,741,542.62 (formatted)

Key Risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($37.84K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation susceptibility
  • Parabolic 1147% 24h price move raises high risk of sharp mean-reverting correction
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • No sniper/insider wallet visibility to assess early dumping risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Sideways

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Stable

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

unknown

Major support

unknown

Immediate resistance

unknown

Major resistance

unknown

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Liquidity

Liquidity

$37,842.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $37.84K is extremely shallow relative to a 24h trading volume exceeding $1.32M combined (buy+sell), implying the liquidity pool is being turned over roughly 35x daily. This mismatch between thin liquidity and enormous volume indicates high slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade and suggests the price is highly susceptible to sharp swings from relatively small order sizes. Buy volume ($677.49K, 51.3%) slightly exceeds sell volume ($643.78K, 48.7%), producing a mild net inflow bias, and buyer count (5,415) exceeds seller count (3,884), consistent with the parabolic 24h price move. However, with liquidity this thin, even modest sell pressure could cause outsized downside moves.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

975,741,542.62 (formatted)

FDV

$589.69K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved 1147% in 24h and 471% in just the last hour based on only 3 candles of history, indicating extreme volatility typical of very early-stage, thinly-traded tokens.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $37.84K against 24h volume exceeding $1.3M combined, meaning even moderate trade sizes could cause severe price impact and slippage.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 holders control 20.34% of supply per the Codex snapshot. Top-100 concentration and historical distribution trends are unavailable, so a full concentration picture cannot be formed; this figure alone is moderate but the lack of broader visibility (e.g., top-50/100) limits confidence in this assessment.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($37.84K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation susceptibility
  • Parabolic 1147% 24h price move raises high risk of sharp mean-reverting correction
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • No sniper/insider wallet visibility to assess early dumping risk
  • Only 3 hours of price history available, making trend durability highly uncertain
  • Holder history and wallet classification data unavailable, limiting ability to detect accumulation/distribution patterns

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy volume slightly exceeds sell volume (51.3% vs 48.7%), showing net demand rather than one-sided dumping so far
  • More unique buyers (5,415) than sellers (3,884) in the 24h window
  • Top-10 concentration of 20.34% is moderate rather than extreme relative to some newly launched tokens
  • Token has social presence (Twitter, website) suggesting some community/marketing infrastructure exists

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of total capital loss. It is unsuitable for conservative or risk-averse investors, retirement savings, or any allocation that cannot withstand extreme volatility and potential illiquidity. The combination of shallow liquidity, extreme recent price appreciation, and multiple unresolved data gaps (authorities, sniper activity, holder history) warrants extreme caution.

Based is a newly-surged Solana token showing an extreme parabolic price move (+1147% in 24h) on very thin liquidity ($37.84K), with a moderate top-10 holder concentration (20.34%) and net-positive but not overwhelming buy pressure (51.3%/48.7%). Critical risk data — mint/freeze authority status and sniper wallet activity — is entirely unavailable, making this a high-uncertainty, high-risk speculative opportunity rather than a well-vetted investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If buy demand continues to outpace sell pressure and liquidity deepens (e.g., via new pools or increased market maker participation), the token could sustain upward momentum, especially if the 'positive-sum launchpad' narrative attracts continued community and social media attention (Twitter/website presence exists).

  • Continued net-positive buyer/seller ratio (5,415 vs 3,884 in 24h)
  • Sustained or growing social media engagement
  • Potential liquidity migration to deeper, more resilient pools
  • Broader PumpSwap ecosystem momentum

Base Case

Price experiences high volatility with likely partial retracement from the recent highs ($0.000663) as the initial speculative surge cools, settling into a wide, choppy trading range while liquidity and holder base data develop further.

  • Liquidity remains thin in the near term, sustaining high volatility
  • No major rug event occurs in the immediate term but authority risk remains unresolved
  • Trading activity continues to be dominated by short-term speculators rather than long-term holders

Bear Case

High probability

The parabolic move reverses sharply as early buyers and any undetected snipers take profits into thin liquidity, causing a rapid price collapse back toward or below the candle 2 origin levels (~$0.0000123-$0.0000403), consistent with typical low-liquidity pump-and-dump patterns.

  • Extremely shallow liquidity amplifying downside moves
  • Classic parabolic-then-correction pattern seen in candle structure
  • Unknown mint authority could allow supply dilution
  • Lack of sniper visibility means insider dumping cannot be ruled out
  • 48.7% sell pressure already near-equal to buy pressure, showing meaningful distribution already occurring

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 23, 02:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-23 02:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, description, social links)
  • PumpSwap price feed (USD price, 24h % change)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 most recent candles)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price % change at multiple intervals)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count, top-10 concentration)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly candles available, severely limiting technical analysis depth and pattern reliability
  • No sniper wallet data available at all
  • Mint authority and freeze authority renouncement status unknown — cannot assess rug-pull risk from authorities
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) available; holder trend figures reported as 0 are placeholders, not measured zero-growth
  • Top-100 holder concentration not provided, limiting whale concentration analysis to top-10 only
  • No wallet classification data, so no notable/labeled holders could be identified
  • 24h $ change and native price change fields were marked unknown in source data
  • 6h price % change unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from a limited, point-in-time snapshot of on-chain and market data with significant gaps (authority status, sniper activity, holder history). Cryptocurrency markets, particularly newly launched low-liquidity tokens, are highly volatile and speculative. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. Conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is based ownership?

As of 2026-09-23 02:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 20.34% of supply. It reports 3,051 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling based?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 02:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $677,488.00 in buys and $643,785.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is based liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +1034.38%, from $3,406.76 (2026-09-23 00:00 UTC) to $38,645.74 (2026-09-23 02:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for based (based)?

After a 1147% 24h rally and 471% 1h spike on only $37.84K of liquidity, the token is in a highly overbought, high-volatility state. Short-term direction is genuinely uncertain — continuation is possible given persistent net buy pressure (51.3%/48.7%), but a sharp pullback or consolidation is equally plausible given the parabolic nature of the move and thin liquidity making it vulnerable to profit-taking. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.000324 to $0.000900.

Is based a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of total capital loss. It is unsuitable for conservative or risk-averse investors, retirement savings, or any allocation that cannot withstand extreme volatility and potential illiquidity. The combination of shallow liquidity, extreme recent price appreciation, and multiple unresolved data gaps (authorities, sniper activity, holder history) warrants extreme caution.

What are the key risks of holding based?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($37.84K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation susceptibility • Parabolic 1147% 24h price move raises high risk of sharp mean-reverting correction • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing

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