The Lone Star Tick Price Today & AI Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (13:00 UTC): O=$0.0000311, H=$0.0001873, L=$0.0000236, C=$0.0001444 — an enormous bullish engulfing candle with a massive upper wick, indicating a violent pump followed by partial retracement. Volume was $241,449. Candle [1] (14:00 UTC): O=$0.0001399, H=$0.0001867, L=$0.0000989, C=$0.0001656 — opened near the prior close, tested the same resistance zone (~$0.0001873), failed to break out, and closed mid-range. Volume dropped sharply to $68,659. The pattern is a 'shooting star / doji at resistance' — a classic bearish reversal signal at the top of a pump.

Short-term the price is technically in an uptrend from the $0.0000236 base, but the 30-day context shows complete dormancy followed by a single-session spike. The medium-term trend is effectively a pump-and-dump structure, which historically resolves to the downside.

Key Price Levels

The $0.0001873 level has been tested twice and rejected both times, forming a clear double-top resistance. The $0.000099 level is the nearest meaningful support from candle [1]'s low. A break below $0.000099 opens the path to the $0.000024 base. Only 2 candles are available, so these levels carry limited statistical significance.

The historical holder data reveals a deeply anomalous pattern: the token held exactly 26 holders with zero net change every single day from June 21 to July 20, 2026 — a full 30 days of complete stagnation. Then, in a single hour on July 21, 965 new holders appeared (a 3,711% increase). This is not organic growth. Possible explanations include: (1) coordinated bot wallet creation to simulate demand, (2) a mass airdrop or transfer event not captured in the acquisition data (airdrop=0, transfer=12 — inconsistent with 965 new holders), or (3) data anomaly. The acquisition data shows swap=979 and transfer=12, which partially explains the mechanism but not the sudden timing. The distribution data shows whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0 — all zeros — which is internally inconsistent with 991 holders and raises further data reliability concerns. Top holder concentration shows 0% for both top10 and top100, which is impossible and confirms data quality issues for this section.

No top holder data is available for this token — the API returned an empty top holders list. The supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top10 and top100, which is analytically impossible for any real token and indicates a data availability failure rather than genuine distribution. Given the token's profile (PumpFun launch, 30-day dormancy, sudden pump), the actual concentration is likely very high among a small number of insider wallets. The 26 original holders who held the token for 30 days before the pump are the most likely beneficiaries of the price spike. Without top holder data, concentration risk must be assumed to be HIGH. The distributionHealth is marked 'very_concentrated' as a conservative assumption given data unavailability and the token's launch profile.

Liquidity is critically shallow at $49K against a $165.5K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 29.6%, which is low for a meme token. The PumpSwap pair (EpnsW2sHTULeAa4XL1Ti4DsRVL2NLesezacPUi7uUcrS) is the sole liquidity venue. With only $49K in liquidity, any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $271.43K in sells vs $69.65K in buys represents a net outflow of ~$201.78K. Sellers outnumber buyers 1,607 to 553 (a 2.9:1 ratio). The market is in active distribution — insiders or early holders appear to be selling into retail demand generated by the price pump. This is a textbook pump-and-dump liquidity profile.

The token has a standard 1 billion supply with 6 decimals, consistent with PumpFun launches. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, meaning neither renouncement nor retention can be confirmed — this is a risk factor. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but this does not address mint or freeze authority. The contract is unverified (verified=false), adding further uncertainty. The FDV of $165.5K is extremely small, making this a micro-cap token with high manipulation risk. The token was launched via a Discord server (discord.gg/uxento), which is a low-credibility launch venue with no on-chain governance or transparency. Given the unknown authority status and unverified contract, rug risk from authorities cannot be assessed and must be treated as elevated.

The Lone Star Tick (Irradimus) presents a classic high-risk meme coin pump-and-dump profile. The token was dormant for 30+ days at 26 holders, then experienced a violent single-session pump of 263% accompanied by overwhelming sell pressure (79.6%), shallow liquidity ($49K), and anomalous holder growth (965 new holders in 1 hour). The risk/reward is extremely unfavorable for new entrants at current prices. Any investment thesis must account for the near-certainty of significant retracement.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. All data is sourced from on-chain metrics and third-party APIs which may contain errors or delays. Past price performance does not predict future results. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely.