Goated

Happy 3 years Price Today & AI Analysis

Goated
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 17, 2026

4gEW7hD7ToAbRaw6YKoo969oLJtVZw6pcjDCr2R8pump

$0.052045

-0.29%

FDV $2,045

LiveContract:4gEW7hD7ToAbRaw6YKoo969oLJtVZw6pcjDCr2R8pumpChain:SolanaHolders:120Market cap:$2,045

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Ask Unhosted AI about Goated

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 17, 04:17 PM
FDV

$266,843

Liquidity

$51,849

Holders

884

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Goated (Happy 3 years) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana (mint: 4gEW7hD7ToAbRaw6YKoo969oLJtVZw6pcjDCr2R8pump) with a 1B token supply and a current FDV of ~$267K. The token sat completely dormant at 26 holders for the entire 30-day historical window, then exploded to 884 holders within the last 24 hours — a +97% holder surge driven almost entirely by swap activity. This sudden activation is accompanied by an extreme sell-side imbalance: 92.8% of 24h volume ($246K) is selling vs. only 7.2% buying ($19K). The price spiked sharply intra-hour but is already retracing. The combination of dormancy-then-spike, near-total sell pressure, missing top-holder data, and an unverified contract makes this a very high-risk token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Token was completely dormant (26 holders, zero net change) for the entire 30-day historical window before a sudden 24h activation
Extreme sell-side dominance: 92.8% sell pressure ($246K sells vs $19K buys) in 24h
884 holders acquired almost entirely via swap in a single day, suggesting coordinated or bot-driven activity
Top holder data is entirely unavailable, preventing concentration analysis
Unverified contract on PumpSwap with unknown update authority

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token spiked from ~$0.000055 to a high of ~$0.000374 within a single hour (candle [2]), then opened the next hour at $0.000327 and closed lower at $0.000280 (candle [1]), forming a bearish close. With 92.8% of 24h volume being sells and only $19K in buy support against $246K in sell pressure, the path of least resistance is sharply lower. The current price of ~$0.000267 is already below both recent candle opens.

Target low$0.000055
Target high$0.000337
Support: $0.000280 (candle [1] low / close), $0.000104 (candle [2] open), $0.000055 (candle [2] absolute low)
Resistance: $0.000327 (candle [1] open), $0.000374 (candle [2] all-time high in window)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Given the token's 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day pump-and-dump pattern, sustained medium-term price appreciation is unlikely without a fundamental catalyst. The sell-through pressure and lack of organic holder growth history suggest this is a short-lived speculative event.

Catalysts
  • Unexpected viral social media traction
  • Whale accumulation reversing sell pressure
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Price surged ~6x from intra-hour low ($0.000055) to high ($0.000374) in a single hour, demonstrating explosive upside potential in a momentum scenario
  • Holder count grew from 26 to 884 (+858) in 24 hours, indicating rapid community formation
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some level of project presence

Bearish factors

  • 92.8% of 24h volume is sell-side ($246K sells vs $19K buys)
  • 2,043 sell transactions vs only 362 buy transactions in 24h
  • 925 unique sellers vs 131 unique buyers — sellers outnumber buyers ~7:1
  • Token was completely dormant for 30+ days before this spike, suggesting a coordinated pump
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Price already retracing from hourly high ($0.000374) to current $0.000267
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the token has no meaningful price history prior to the last 24 hours. Confidence in any price target is therefore low.

Goated call history

Full track record →
Jul 17bearish
24h-99.4%
7d-99.4%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (15:00 UTC): O=$0.000104, H=$0.000374, L=$0.000055, C=$0.000322 — an extremely wide-range bullish candle with a massive lower wick, indicating a violent pump from near-zero. Volume was enormous at $256K. Candle [1] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.000327, H=$0.000337, L=$0.000280, C=$0.000280 — a bearish candle that closed at its low, with a small upper wick and no lower wick. This is a bearish engulfing/close-at-low pattern following the pump candle, signaling distribution and selling pressure taking over. The price has since drifted further to ~$0.000267, below candle [1]'s low.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 7%Sell 93%

Short-term trend has turned bearish after the pump candle peaked. The medium-term is effectively sideways/unknown given the 30-day dormancy and only 2 candles of active price history.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000267 (current price / post-candle drift)
Major$0.000055 (candle [2] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000280 (candle [1] close/low, now acting as resistance)
Major$0.000374 (candle [2] all-time high in window)

The token has broken below candle [1]'s low of $0.000280, which now acts as immediate resistance. The next meaningful support is the candle [2] open at $0.000104, and the absolute floor is the candle [2] low at $0.000055. Recovery above $0.000337 (candle [1] high) would be needed to signal renewed bullish momentum.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish close-at-low in candle [1] following a massive pump candle — classic distribution signal
  • Volume collapse: $256K in pump hour → $4.7K in following hour (~98% drop)
  • Price trading below candle [1] low, confirming bearish breakdown
  • Wide-range pump candle with large lower wick in candle [2] suggests initial sell pressure was absorbed before the spike, but follow-through buying has evaporated

Total holders884
24h Δ+97
7d Δ+97
30d Δ+97
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count explosion from 26 to 884 (+858, +97%) occurred simultaneously with the price spike in the last 24 hours. This correlation is suspicious — it suggests new holders are being attracted by the pump rather than organic community growth. The 30-day historical data shows zero holder growth (flat at 26) for the entire prior period, meaning all 858 new holders arrived in a single day, almost all via swap (883 of 884 total holders acquired via swap).

The holder trend is technically 'growing' but the pattern is deeply anomalous. The token had exactly 26 holders with zero net change every single day from June 17 to July 16, 2026 — 30 consecutive days of complete stagnation. Then in a single 24-hour window, holders surged to 884. This is not organic growth; it is a sudden activation event. The 97% 24h growth rate is entirely concentrated in one day and is not representative of sustainable momentum. The distribution data shows 0% in all whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus categories and 0% top10/top100 concentration, which likely reflects a data availability issue rather than genuine even distribution. Acquisition is almost entirely via swap (883/884), consistent with bot or coordinated buying activity.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

Data unavailable — no top holder list provided

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the data source returned no top 20 holders. The supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data gap rather than a genuine reflection of even distribution. Given the token's PumpFun origin, 30-day dormancy with only 26 holders, and sudden activation, it is highly probable that a small number of wallets hold a disproportionate share of supply. Without top holder data, concentration risk cannot be properly quantified, but must be assumed HIGH. The distributionHealth is flagged as 'very_concentrated' as a precautionary assessment given the data gap and token profile. Investors should treat the absence of holder data as a red flag.

Liquidity$51,850
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$19,180
Sell$246,350
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers131
Unique sellers925

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $51.85K against an FDV of ~$267–280K, representing roughly 18–19% of FDV in liquidity — a very thin ratio. Slippage risk is high; any meaningful sell order will move the price significantly. The 24h net flow is heavily negative: $246K in sells vs $19K in buys represents a net outflow of ~$227K. The ratio of sellers to buyers (925 vs 131, ~7:1) and sell transactions to buy transactions (2,043 vs 362, ~5.6:1) confirms overwhelming distribution pressure. The market is in a clear outflow state. The PumpSwap pair (Hs1krDnJmZ13y7Lq9X1BonCvv94ppZBkAFuSc46Dtfqf) is the sole liquidity venue, concentrating all exit risk in one pool.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000
FDV$266,843

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a standard 1B supply with 6 decimals, typical of PumpFun launches. The FDV is ~$267K at current price. Update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified (verified: false). The token is marked as mutable: false, which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data — both are marked unknown. The unverified contract and unknown authority status mean rug risk from authorities cannot be ruled out. The 'possible spam' flag is false, but this does not override the other risk signals. Investors should verify on-chain authority status independently before committing capital.

Volatility
high

Price moved ~6x in a single hour (from $0.000055 low to $0.000374 high) and is already retracing. Extreme intra-hour volatility with a 73% 24h gain that is rapidly unwinding.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $51.85K against $246K in 24h sell volume. The pool is shallow and a single large sell could drain it significantly. Slippage on exits will be severe.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable. The token had only 26 holders for 30 days before the spike, strongly implying heavy concentration among early wallets. Cannot be quantified but must be assumed high.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the pattern of 30-day dormancy followed by a sudden pump with 92.8% sell pressure is consistent with early holders (the original 26) dumping into new buyers. Profit-taking risk is high.

Authority
medium

Update authority is unknown, contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. Token is marked mutable:false which is a mild positive, but insufficient to lower authority risk to low given the unknowns.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 92.8% of 24h volume is selling ($246K sells vs $19K buys)
  • Top holder data completely unavailable — concentration risk unquantifiable
  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden activation is a classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • Shallow liquidity ($51.85K) makes exits costly and price highly manipulable
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • All 858 new holders arrived in a single day via swap — likely bot/coordinated activity
  • Price already retracing below candle [1] low after the pump

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked mutable:false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) exist, suggesting some project presence
  • Not flagged as possible spam by the data provider
  • FDV is relatively small (~$267K), limiting absolute loss exposure for small positions
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand pump-and-dump dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active monitoring capabilities. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

Goated (Happy 3 years) exhibits a textbook pump-and-dump profile: 30 days of complete dormancy at 26 holders, followed by a single-day explosion to 884 holders with 92.8% sell-side volume dominance. The risk/reward is highly unfavorable for new entrants. The only viable thesis is a short-term momentum trade with strict stop-losses, and even that carries extreme risk given the sell pressure and shallow liquidity.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme momentum: The token's name/theme catches viral attention on Crypto Twitter, driving a second wave of buying that overwhelms the current sell pressure. New buyers absorb the distribution and push price back toward or above the $0.000374 high.

  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/TikTok
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats
  • Whale accumulation reversing the sell imbalance
  • Community formation around the 'Happy 3 years' theme

Base case

Gradual price decay: Sell pressure continues to dominate but at a slower pace. Price drifts down from current $0.000267 toward the $0.000104–$0.000055 range over the next 24–72 hours as the pump excitement fades. Holder count stabilizes or declines as disappointed buyers exit.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant but not catastrophic
  • No new viral catalyst emerges
  • Liquidity pool remains intact
  • Early holders continue gradual distribution

Bear case (high)

Full dump: Early holders (the original 26 wallets) continue distributing into the new buyers attracted by the pump. Liquidity drains, price collapses back toward the pre-pump level (~$0.000055 or lower), and the token returns to dormancy or dies entirely.

  • Continued 92.8% sell pressure with no catalyst for reversal
  • Shallow $51.85K liquidity unable to absorb ongoing sell flow
  • No fundamental value proposition beyond meme speculation
  • Bot/coordinated activity unwinding after the pump cycle completes
  • Unknown authority status creating potential for additional adverse actions

GeneratedJul 17, 04:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers the 2 most recent hourly candles (15:00–17:00 UTC July 17, 2026). Historical holder data covers June 17 – July 16, 2026 (30 days daily). Sniper data unavailable.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (Hs1krDnJmZ13y7Lq9X1BonCvv94ppZBkAFuSc46Dtfqf)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell breakdown, unique wallets)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 2 candles available)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate unknown
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status all unknown
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain code cannot be audited from available data
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10/top100 = 0%) appear to be a data gap rather than genuine even distribution
  • 30-day holder history shows only 26 holders with zero change — pre-activation history is opaque
  • Price change metrics for 5m, 6h, and 24h all show 0% which may indicate data lag or reporting anomaly

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed is sourced from on-chain and third-party providers and may contain errors or gaps. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000

Key Risks

•Extreme sell pressure: 92.8% of 24h volume is selling ($246K sells vs $19K buys)
•Top holder data completely unavailable — concentration risk unquantifiable
•30-day dormancy followed by sudden activation is a classic pump-and-dump pattern
•Shallow liquidity ($51.85K) makes exits costly and price highly manipulable

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the broader trading analytics paint a concerning picture: 925 unique sellers vs 131 unique buyers in 24h, with $246K in sell volume vs $19K in buy volume. This strongly suggests that whoever accumulated early (possibly during the 30-day dormancy period with 26 holders) is now distributing aggressively into the pump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

The 26 holders who held during the 30-day dormancy period are the likely early buyers. Given the extreme sell pressure (92.8% of volume) coinciding with the holder spike, it is highly probable that early holders are selling into new buyers attracted by the price spike. Sentiment among early holders appears to be distribution-oriented.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Happy 3 years (Goated)?

The token spiked from ~$0.000055 to a high of ~$0.000374 within a single hour (candle [2]), then opened the next hour at $0.000327 and closed lower at $0.000280 (candle [1]), forming a bearish close. With 92.8% of 24h volume being sells and only $19K in buy support against $246K in sell pressure, the path of least resistance is sharply lower. The current price of ~$0.000267 is already below both recent candle opens. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000055 to $0.000337.

Is Goated a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand pump-and-dump dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active monitoring capabilities. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

How are Goated holders trending?

Happy 3 years currently has 884 holders and is growing (24h: 97, 7d: 97, 30d: 97). The holder trend is technically 'growing' but the pattern is deeply anomalous. The token had exactly 26 holders with zero net change every single day from June 17 to July 16, 2026 — 30 consecutive days of complete stagnation. Then in a single 24-hour window, holders surged to 884. This is not organic growth; it is a sudden activation event. The 97% 24h growth rate is entirely concentrated in one day and is not representative of sustainable momentum. The distribution data shows 0% in all whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus categories and 0% top10/top100 concentration, which likely reflects a data availability issue rather than genuine even distribution. Acquisition is almost entirely via swap (883/884), consistent with bot or coordinated buying activity.

What does sniper activity look like for Goated?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Goated?

Extreme sell pressure: 92.8% of 24h volume is selling ($246K sells vs $19K buys) • Top holder data completely unavailable — concentration risk unquantifiable • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden activation is a classic pump-and-dump pattern

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