soldier

the soldier Prediction

soldier
Solana
AI Analysis
May 4, 11:17 PM

4fxpDcp8Td7jCY11rsT6aPERcmbm6AYAbH6hvw1upump

$0.0000622162

+19.85%

FDV $62,216

FDV

$62,216

Liquidity

$0

Holders

234

Snipers

26

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

The Soldier (SOLDIER) is a newly launched Solana memecoin on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$62,216 and a current price of ~$0.0000622. The token launched within the last 24 hours, going from 1 holder to 234 holders in a single day. The description — 'the brave soldiers that are still here trying to change their lives rug after rug' — is self-referentially ironic and signals a high-risk, community-driven memecoin. Trading activity is heavily sell-dominated (84.8% sell pressure), liquidity data is reported as $0.00, and the token is unverified. This is an extremely high-risk, speculative asset suitable only for experienced degenerate traders.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive single-day launch: 0 to 234 holders in under 24 hours
Heavily sell-dominated trading: 84.8% sell pressure vs 15.2% buy pressure
Reported total liquidity of $0.00 on PumpSwap — extreme slippage risk
Self-deprecating memecoin narrative targeting serial rug survivors
Top 10 holders control 29.01% of supply; top 100 control 89.61%

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a sharp post-launch sell-off phase. Candle [2] (22:00 UTC) showed a bearish close at $0.0000537 from an open of $0.0000675, and candle [1] (23:00 UTC) partially recovered to $0.0000641. The 5-minute change is -1.59%, and sell pressure is overwhelming at 84.8%. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile and biased downward unless new buy catalysts emerge.

Target low$0.0000491
Target high$0.0000971
Support: $0.0000491 (candle [1] low), $0.0000192 (candle [3] open / launch low)
Resistance: $0.0000675 (candle [2] open / recent high), $0.0000971 (candle [3] all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

Without sustained community growth, new liquidity inflows, or a viral narrative catalyst, the token is likely to fade. The sell-through rate among snipers is high, and the majority of early buyers are at a loss. Memecoin survivorship at this market cap tier is extremely low.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/X driving new buyer inflow
  • Influencer promotion or community-driven narrative momentum
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all small caps
  • Sniper profit-taking exhaustion creating a supply vacuum

Bullish factors

  • 19.85% 24h price gain despite heavy sell pressure
  • Rapid holder growth from 1 to 234 in under 24 hours
  • Candle [1] showed recovery (higher low and higher close vs candle [2])
  • Some snipers showing strong realized PnL (141.4%, 132.2%, 66.6%) suggesting early momentum

Bearish factors

  • 84.8% sell pressure — 1,543 sells vs 278 buys in 24h
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme exit risk
  • 918 unique sellers vs 118 unique buyers in 24h
  • Majority of snipers are at a realized loss
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record
  • Self-described 'rug after rug' narrative signals low long-term commitment
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly candles of price history are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, liquidity is reported as $0.00, and all holder growth occurred in a single day. Predictions are highly speculative given the extreme data limitations.

Deep Analysis

Technical Analysis
Holder Trends
Whale Map
Risk Assessment
Investment Thesis

Unlock Full AI Analysis

Sign up to access technical analysis, whale maps, risk assessment, holder trends, and more

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 SOLDIER

Key Risks

Reported $0.00 liquidity — potential inability to exit positions
Token is less than 24 hours old with no established track record
84.8% sell pressure with 5.6:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio
Self-referential 'rug' narrative in token description

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Sniped amounts in USD are unknown, preventing precise concentration calculation. PnL is mixed: top earners include sniper [1] (+141.4%, sold $1,395), sniper [12] (+132.2%, sold $2), sniper [15] (+66.6%, sold $329), and sniper [18] (+18.7%, sold $4,302 — the largest seller). However, the majority of snipers (12 of 20) are at a realized loss, with losses ranging from -4.2% to -38.0%. The largest realized seller (sniper [18], AgmLJBMDCq...) sold $4,302 at +18.7% profit, representing the dominant smart money exit. High sell-through rate is confirmed by the 84.8% sell pressure in 24h trading.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper balances are reported as 'unknown' for most wallets; only sniper [16] (2tgUbS9...) shows a remaining balance of $9, and sniper [7] (3KcPSJ8...) shows $0 balance. The majority appear to have sold significant portions of their positions.

Mixed-to-negative. While a few snipers captured strong gains (141.4%, 132.2%), the majority are underwater. The largest dollar-volume sniper exit ($4,302 by AgmLJBMDCq...) suggests informed early sellers have already taken profits. Remaining snipers holding losses may create future sell pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for the soldier (soldier)?

The token is in a sharp post-launch sell-off phase. Candle [2] (22:00 UTC) showed a bearish close at $0.0000537 from an open of $0.0000675, and candle [1] (23:00 UTC) partially recovered to $0.0000641. The 5-minute change is -1.59%, and sell pressure is overwhelming at 84.8%. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile and biased downward unless new buy catalysts emerge. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000491 to $0.0000971.

Is soldier a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced memecoin traders who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This is a speculative, unverified, sub-$100K FDV memecoin launched less than 24 hours ago.

How are soldier holders trending?

the soldier currently has 234 holders and is growing (24h: 100, 7d: 100, 30d: 100). All holder growth occurred on launch day (2026-05-04). The token had exactly 1 holder (the deployer) for the entire prior 30-day period shown in the historical data, confirming this is a brand-new launch. The +29 holders in the last hour is a positive signal of ongoing interest, but with 918 unique sellers vs 118 unique buyers in 24h, many of these 'holders' may be transient. Distribution breakdown: 137 whales, 12 sharks, 58 dolphins, 22 fish, 11 octopus — the high whale count relative to total holders (58.5% of holders classified as whales) is unusual and may reflect the small total supply distribution among early buyers.

What does sniper activity look like for soldier?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding soldier?

Reported $0.00 liquidity — potential inability to exit positions • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established track record • 84.8% sell pressure with 5.6:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio

More tokens on Solana

Get AI insights for soldier