soldier

the soldier Price Today & AI Analysis

soldierSolanaAnalysis as of May 4, 2026

Price

$0.052348

FDV $2,347

Contract

Live
4fxpDcp8Td7jCY11rsT6aPERcmbm6AYAbH6hvw1upump

Chain

Holders

51

Market cap

$2,347

More tokens on Solana

the soldier: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-04 23:17 UTC

Holder addresses

234

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is the soldier ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 234 addresses (2026-05-04 23:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling the soldier?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is the soldier liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-04 23:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 4, 11:17 PM UTC

FDV

$62,216

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

234

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

The Soldier (SOLDIER) is a newly launched Solana memecoin on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$62,216 and a current price of ~$0.0000622. The token launched within the last 24 hours, going from 1 holder to 234 holders in a single day. The description — 'the brave soldiers that are still here trying to change their lives rug after rug' — is self-referentially ironic and signals a high-risk, community-driven memecoin. Trading activity is heavily sell-dominated (84.8% sell pressure), liquidity data is reported as $0.00, and the token is unverified. This is an extremely high-risk, speculative asset suitable only for experienced degenerate traders.

Key points

  • Explosive single-day launch: 0 to 234 holders in under 24 hours
  • Heavily sell-dominated trading: 84.8% sell pressure vs 15.2% buy pressure
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 on PumpSwap — extreme slippage risk
  • Self-deprecating memecoin narrative targeting serial rug survivors
  • Top 10 holders control 29.01% of supply; top 100 control 89.61%

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is in a sharp post-launch sell-off phase. Candle [2] (22:00 UTC) showed a bearish close at $0.0000537 from an open of $0.0000675, and candle [1] (23:00 UTC) partially recovered to $0.0000641. The 5-minute change is -1.59%, and sell pressure is overwhelming at 84.8%. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile and biased downward unless new buy catalysts emerge.

Target low

$0.0000491

Target high

$0.0000971

Support

$0.0000491 (candle [1] low), $0.0000192 (candle [3] open / launch low)

Resistance

$0.0000675 (candle [2] open / recent high), $0.0000971 (candle [3] all-time high)

Medium term · 3–14 days

bearish

Without sustained community growth, new liquidity inflows, or a viral narrative catalyst, the token is likely to fade. The sell-through rate among snipers is high, and the majority of early buyers are at a loss. Memecoin survivorship at this market cap tier is extremely low.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/X driving new buyer inflow
  • Influencer promotion or community-driven narrative momentum
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all small caps
  • Sniper profit-taking exhaustion creating a supply vacuum

Bullish factors

  • 19.85% 24h price gain despite heavy sell pressure
  • Rapid holder growth from 1 to 234 in under 24 hours
  • Candle [1] showed recovery (higher low and higher close vs candle [2])
  • Some snipers showing strong realized PnL (141.4%, 132.2%, 66.6%) suggesting early momentum

Bearish factors

  • 84.8% sell pressure — 1,543 sells vs 278 buys in 24h
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme exit risk
  • 918 unique sellers vs 118 unique buyers in 24h
  • Majority of snipers are at a realized loss
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record
  • Self-described 'rug after rug' narrative signals low long-term commitment

Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly candles of price history are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, liquidity is reported as $0.00, and all holder growth occurred in a single day. Predictions are highly speculative given the extreme data limitations.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4fxpDc...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 SOLDIER

Key Risks

  • Reported $0.00 liquidity — potential inability to exit positions
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established track record
  • 84.8% sell pressure with 5.6:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio
  • Self-referential 'rug' narrative in token description

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (21:00–23:00 UTC on 2026-05-04). Candle [3] (21:00): explosive launch candle — open $0.0000192, high $0.0000971, low $0.0000192, close $0.0000673. This is a massive bullish engulfing/spike candle with a very long upper wick, indicating strong initial buying followed by profit-taking. Volume: $84,873. Candle [2] (22:00): bearish candle — open $0.0000675, high $0.0000675 (no upper wick), low $0.0000537, close $0.0000537. A full bearish candle with no recovery, suggesting sustained selling. Volume: $68,772. Candle [1] (23:00): partial recovery — open $0.0000521, high $0.0000653, low $0.0000491, close $0.0000641. A bullish candle recovering from the sell-off low, but still below the candle [3] close. Volume: $6,453 — sharply declining, suggesting momentum is fading.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The token launched with a violent spike (candle [3]) followed by a lower high and lower close pattern (candle [2]), then a partial recovery (candle [1]). The overall 3-candle structure shows a post-spike downtrend with declining volume, consistent with a pump-and-partial-dump pattern. Medium-term trend is indeterminate given only 3 hours of data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

15%

Sell

85%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000491 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000192 (candle [3] open — launch price)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000675 (candle [2] open / candle [3] close area)

Major resistance

$0.0000971 (candle [3] all-time high)

The all-time high of $0.0000971 from the launch spike represents the key resistance. The $0.0000491 level (candle [1] low) is the immediate support. A break below $0.0000491 would target the launch price zone around $0.0000192. Recovery above $0.0000675 would be the first bullish signal.

Notable patterns

  • Launch spike with long upper wick (candle [3]) — classic pump pattern with profit-taking
  • Bearish engulfing follow-through (candle [2]) — sellers in control post-spike
  • Partial recovery on declining volume (candle [1]) — weak bounce, not confirmed reversal
  • Volume exhaustion: 92% volume decline over 2 hours post-launch

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 SOLDIER

FDV

$62,216.23

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token launched less than 24 hours ago with a 5x price spike (from $0.0000192 to $0.0000971) followed by a 45% retracement in 2 hours. Extreme intraday volatility is confirmed by the OHLC data.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Reported $0.00 liquidity — potential inability to exit positions
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established track record
  • 84.8% sell pressure with 5.6:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio
  • Self-referential 'rug' narrative in token description
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced update authority
  • Sniper profit-taking overhang from 20 early snipers
  • Top 100 holders control 89.61% of supply
  • Volume collapsed 92% in 2 hours post-launch

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable ('Mutable: false')
  • Top non-LP holders are relatively evenly distributed (no single whale >2.02% outside LP)
  • Some holder growth momentum (+29 in last hour)
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline legitimacy
  • FDV of $62K is low enough that a small catalyst could drive significant % gains

Suitable for

Suitable ONLY for highly experienced memecoin traders who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This is a speculative, unverified, sub-$100K FDV memecoin launched less than 24 hours ago.

SOLDIER is a brand-new Solana memecoin with a self-deprecating narrative targeting the 'serial rug survivor' community. At $62K FDV, it sits in the ultra-micro-cap tier where 10x–100x moves are theoretically possible but where the vast majority of tokens go to zero. The current data shows a classic pump-and-distribution pattern with overwhelming sell pressure. The investment case is purely speculative and momentum-driven.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Community narrative resonates virally on Twitter/X, driving a wave of new buyers into the $62K FDV token. The 'soldier' identity becomes a rallying point for memecoin degens, pushing the token to $500K–$1M FDV (8x–16x from current levels). Sniper selling exhausts, creating a supply vacuum that amplifies price moves.

  • Viral social media traction and influencer pickup
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Community-driven narrative momentum among 'rug survivor' demographic
  • Sniper sell pressure exhaustion creating supply vacuum
  • Low FDV ($62K) means small capital inflows drive large % gains

Base Case

The token consolidates in the $0.0000400–$0.0000700 range for 24–48 hours as initial sell pressure subsides. Holder count grows modestly to 300–500. Without a major catalyst, the token slowly bleeds volume and price, eventually settling at 20%–50% below current levels within one week.

  • No major viral catalyst emerges
  • Sniper selling continues at a moderate pace
  • A small but loyal community of 'soldier' holders maintains baseline demand
  • PumpSwap liquidity remains thin but functional
  • Broader Solana market remains neutral

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to overwhelm buyers, liquidity dries up completely, and the token fades into obscurity within 48–72 hours. Price retraces to near-launch levels ($0.0000192) or lower as remaining snipers and early buyers exit. Token joins the vast majority of PumpFun/PumpSwap launches that fail to sustain momentum.

  • Persistent 84.8% sell pressure with no reversal signal
  • Reported $0.00 liquidity making exits increasingly difficult
  • No verified contract, no renounced authorities
  • Volume exhaustion (92% drop in 2 hours post-launch)
  • Majority of snipers at a loss with potential forced selling
  • Self-referential rug narrative may deter serious investors

Analysis details

Generated

May 4, 11:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-04 23:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: 4fxpDcp8Td7jCY11rsT6aPERcmbm6AYAbH6hvw1upump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (9MnQ23bEBpAXdpXExSDtYBJj2x9LBtn9hg7oZwspZZWk)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-05-04 21:00–23:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data artifact of PumpSwap bonding curve mechanics
  • Sniper sniped amounts in USD are unknown — precise sniper concentration % cannot be calculated
  • Sniper wallet balances are mostly unknown — current holdings cannot be assessed
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — no medium or long-term trend data exists
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided
  • Historical holder data shows only 1 holder for 30 days prior to launch — no pre-launch distribution history
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite clear price movement — possible data lag

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in SOLDIER. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before investing.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is the soldier ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 234 addresses (2026-05-04 23:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling the soldier?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is the soldier liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for the soldier (soldier)?

The token is in a sharp post-launch sell-off phase. Candle [2] (22:00 UTC) showed a bearish close at $0.0000537 from an open of $0.0000675, and candle [1] (23:00 UTC) partially recovered to $0.0000641. The 5-minute change is -1.59%, and sell pressure is overwhelming at 84.8%. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile and biased downward unless new buy catalysts emerge. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000491 to $0.0000971.

Is soldier a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced memecoin traders who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This is a speculative, unverified, sub-$100K FDV memecoin launched less than 24 hours ago.

What are the key risks of holding soldier?

Reported $0.00 liquidity — potential inability to exit positions • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established track record • 84.8% sell pressure with 5.6:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio

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