soldier

the soldier Price Today & AI Analysis

soldier
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 4, 2026

4fxpDcp8Td7jCY11rsT6aPERcmbm6AYAbH6hvw1upump

$0.052001

FDV $2,001

LiveContract:4fxpDcp8Td7jCY11rsT6aPERcmbm6AYAbH6hvw1upumpChain:SolanaHolders:53Market cap:$2,001

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Ask Unhosted AI about soldier

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 4, 11:17 PM
FDV

$62,216

Liquidity

$0

Holders

234

Snipers

26

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

The Soldier (SOLDIER) is a newly launched Solana memecoin on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$62,216 and a current price of ~$0.0000622. The token launched within the last 24 hours, going from 1 holder to 234 holders in a single day. The description — 'the brave soldiers that are still here trying to change their lives rug after rug' — is self-referentially ironic and signals a high-risk, community-driven memecoin. Trading activity is heavily sell-dominated (84.8% sell pressure), liquidity data is reported as $0.00, and the token is unverified. This is an extremely high-risk, speculative asset suitable only for experienced degenerate traders.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive single-day launch: 0 to 234 holders in under 24 hours
Heavily sell-dominated trading: 84.8% sell pressure vs 15.2% buy pressure
Reported total liquidity of $0.00 on PumpSwap — extreme slippage risk
Self-deprecating memecoin narrative targeting serial rug survivors
Top 10 holders control 29.01% of supply; top 100 control 89.61%

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a sharp post-launch sell-off phase. Candle [2] (22:00 UTC) showed a bearish close at $0.0000537 from an open of $0.0000675, and candle [1] (23:00 UTC) partially recovered to $0.0000641. The 5-minute change is -1.59%, and sell pressure is overwhelming at 84.8%. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile and biased downward unless new buy catalysts emerge.

Target low$0.0000491
Target high$0.0000971
Support: $0.0000491 (candle [1] low), $0.0000192 (candle [3] open / launch low)
Resistance: $0.0000675 (candle [2] open / recent high), $0.0000971 (candle [3] all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

Without sustained community growth, new liquidity inflows, or a viral narrative catalyst, the token is likely to fade. The sell-through rate among snipers is high, and the majority of early buyers are at a loss. Memecoin survivorship at this market cap tier is extremely low.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/X driving new buyer inflow
  • Influencer promotion or community-driven narrative momentum
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all small caps
  • Sniper profit-taking exhaustion creating a supply vacuum

Bullish factors

  • 19.85% 24h price gain despite heavy sell pressure
  • Rapid holder growth from 1 to 234 in under 24 hours
  • Candle [1] showed recovery (higher low and higher close vs candle [2])
  • Some snipers showing strong realized PnL (141.4%, 132.2%, 66.6%) suggesting early momentum

Bearish factors

  • 84.8% sell pressure — 1,543 sells vs 278 buys in 24h
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme exit risk
  • 918 unique sellers vs 118 unique buyers in 24h
  • Majority of snipers are at a realized loss
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record
  • Self-described 'rug after rug' narrative signals low long-term commitment
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly candles of price history are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, liquidity is reported as $0.00, and all holder growth occurred in a single day. Predictions are highly speculative given the extreme data limitations.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (21:00–23:00 UTC on 2026-05-04). Candle [3] (21:00): explosive launch candle — open $0.0000192, high $0.0000971, low $0.0000192, close $0.0000673. This is a massive bullish engulfing/spike candle with a very long upper wick, indicating strong initial buying followed by profit-taking. Volume: $84,873. Candle [2] (22:00): bearish candle — open $0.0000675, high $0.0000675 (no upper wick), low $0.0000537, close $0.0000537. A full bearish candle with no recovery, suggesting sustained selling. Volume: $68,772. Candle [1] (23:00): partial recovery — open $0.0000521, high $0.0000653, low $0.0000491, close $0.0000641. A bullish candle recovering from the sell-off low, but still below the candle [3] close. Volume: $6,453 — sharply declining, suggesting momentum is fading.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
neutral

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 15%Sell 85%

The token launched with a violent spike (candle [3]) followed by a lower high and lower close pattern (candle [2]), then a partial recovery (candle [1]). The overall 3-candle structure shows a post-spike downtrend with declining volume, consistent with a pump-and-partial-dump pattern. Medium-term trend is indeterminate given only 3 hours of data.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000491 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000192 (candle [3] open — launch price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000675 (candle [2] open / candle [3] close area)
Major$0.0000971 (candle [3] all-time high)

The all-time high of $0.0000971 from the launch spike represents the key resistance. The $0.0000491 level (candle [1] low) is the immediate support. A break below $0.0000491 would target the launch price zone around $0.0000192. Recovery above $0.0000675 would be the first bullish signal.

Notable patterns

  • Launch spike with long upper wick (candle [3]) — classic pump pattern with profit-taking
  • Bearish engulfing follow-through (candle [2]) — sellers in control post-spike
  • Partial recovery on declining volume (candle [1]) — weak bounce, not confirmed reversal
  • Volume exhaustion: 92% volume decline over 2 hours post-launch

Total holders234
24h Δ+100
7d Δ+100
30d Δ+100
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The token launched within the last 24 hours, going from 1 holder (the deployer) to 234 holders in a single day. The historical holder data shows 1 holder from 2026-04-04 through 2026-05-03, with all 233 new holders acquired on 2026-05-04. The +29 holders in the last hour (+12%) suggests the growth rate is still active. However, the 24h, 7d, and 30d growth rates are all identical at +233 holders (100%), as the token did not exist in a distributed form prior to launch day. Price correlation is positive in the very short term — the launch spike attracted buyers — but the overwhelming sell pressure (84.8%) suggests many new holders are sellers, not long-term accumulators.

All holder growth occurred on launch day (2026-05-04). The token had exactly 1 holder (the deployer) for the entire prior 30-day period shown in the historical data, confirming this is a brand-new launch. The +29 holders in the last hour is a positive signal of ongoing interest, but with 918 unique sellers vs 118 unique buyers in 24h, many of these 'holders' may be transient. Distribution breakdown: 137 whales, 12 sharks, 58 dolphins, 22 fish, 11 octopus — the high whale count relative to total holders (58.5% of holders classified as whales) is unusual and may reflect the small total supply distribution among early buyers.

Top 10 hold29.01%
Top 100 hold89.61%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

9MnQ23bEBpAXdpXExSDtYBJj2x9LBtn9hg7oZwspZZWk

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address matches the trading pair listed in price data)

15.75%

31HPt5v1zLzBM9CvfnHj467e1q7bvieJk8845kP6M8HF

Individual whale — early buyer or team-related wallet

2.02%

4XDsU9vMLfYqRSUtE9Rm8vxpbPLAEQCDHV6P5yrZT3dm

Individual whale — early buyer

1.97%

FcfJmRr8wYRmE1rdrLeqvnzzJvXambDZxsjbjKyv6mCM

Individual whale — early buyer

1.52%

2dsHJfXJgXqDGp4EB2GQuGy9RNqwBhTzaiZ8YDBeQ8tb

Individual whale — early buyer

1.35%

The largest single holder (15.75%, address 9MnQ23b...) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool pair address, which is expected and not a concern in isolation. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders each hold between 1.03% and 2.02%, giving a relatively even distribution among top holders outside the LP. However, top 100 wallets control 89.61% of supply, meaning the bottom ~134 holders share only 10.39% — a highly concentrated distribution. The overall sentiment is distributing given the 84.8% sell pressure and high sniper sell-through rate.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$26,580
Sell$148,620
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers118
Unique sellers918

Total liquidity is reported as $0.00, which is a critical red flag. This may reflect a data reporting issue with PumpSwap's bonding curve mechanism (where liquidity is embedded in the curve rather than a traditional AMM pool), but at face value it signals extreme slippage risk and potential inability to exit positions of any meaningful size. The 24h net flow is heavily negative: $148,620 in sell volume vs $26,580 in buy volume — a sell-to-buy ratio of 5.6:1. With 918 unique sellers vs 118 unique buyers, the market is in clear distribution mode. The 278 buy transactions vs 1,543 sell transactions further confirms this. Market health is poor for new entrants.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 SOLDIER
FDV$62,216.23

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1 billion tokens (standard memecoin supply). The FDV is $62,216.23 at current price. The update authority is 'TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM' — this is NOT a burn address (not 11111... or a known renounced address), meaning the metadata update authority has NOT been renounced. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which means the token metadata itself cannot be changed, providing some protection. However, mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data. The contract is unverified. The non-renounced update authority combined with unverified contract status elevates rug risk. The description itself references 'rug after rug', which, while ironic, is a notable red flag for new investors.

Volatility
high

The token launched less than 24 hours ago with a 5x price spike (from $0.0000192 to $0.0000971) followed by a 45% retracement in 2 hours. Extreme intraday volatility is confirmed by the OHLC data.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is reported as $0.00. Even if this is a data artifact of PumpSwap's bonding curve, the practical liquidity is extremely thin given the $62K FDV. Large sell orders will face severe slippage.

Concentration
medium

Top 10 holders control 29.01% of supply (excluding the LP at 15.75%, the next 9 hold ~13.26%). Top 100 control 89.61%. While the top non-LP holders are relatively evenly distributed (1.03%–2.02% each), the overall supply is highly concentrated in the top 100.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. The largest sniper exit was $4,302 (sniper [18] at +18.7%). Several profitable snipers still hold positions (e.g., sniper [2] at +72.3% with $0 sold, sniper [6] at -38% unrealized). Remaining profitable snipers represent ongoing dump risk.

Authority
medium

Update authority (TSLvdd1p...) has not been renounced. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The token is unverified. However, 'Mutable: false' provides some metadata protection.

Key risks

  • Reported $0.00 liquidity — potential inability to exit positions
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established track record
  • 84.8% sell pressure with 5.6:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio
  • Self-referential 'rug' narrative in token description
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced update authority
  • Sniper profit-taking overhang from 20 early snipers
  • Top 100 holders control 89.61% of supply
  • Volume collapsed 92% in 2 hours post-launch

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable ('Mutable: false')
  • Top non-LP holders are relatively evenly distributed (no single whale >2.02% outside LP)
  • Some holder growth momentum (+29 in last hour)
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline legitimacy
  • FDV of $62K is low enough that a small catalyst could drive significant % gains
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced memecoin traders who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This is a speculative, unverified, sub-$100K FDV memecoin launched less than 24 hours ago.

SOLDIER is a brand-new Solana memecoin with a self-deprecating narrative targeting the 'serial rug survivor' community. At $62K FDV, it sits in the ultra-micro-cap tier where 10x–100x moves are theoretically possible but where the vast majority of tokens go to zero. The current data shows a classic pump-and-distribution pattern with overwhelming sell pressure. The investment case is purely speculative and momentum-driven.

Bull case (low)

Community narrative resonates virally on Twitter/X, driving a wave of new buyers into the $62K FDV token. The 'soldier' identity becomes a rallying point for memecoin degens, pushing the token to $500K–$1M FDV (8x–16x from current levels). Sniper selling exhausts, creating a supply vacuum that amplifies price moves.

  • Viral social media traction and influencer pickup
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Community-driven narrative momentum among 'rug survivor' demographic
  • Sniper sell pressure exhaustion creating supply vacuum
  • Low FDV ($62K) means small capital inflows drive large % gains

Base case

The token consolidates in the $0.0000400–$0.0000700 range for 24–48 hours as initial sell pressure subsides. Holder count grows modestly to 300–500. Without a major catalyst, the token slowly bleeds volume and price, eventually settling at 20%–50% below current levels within one week.

  • No major viral catalyst emerges
  • Sniper selling continues at a moderate pace
  • A small but loyal community of 'soldier' holders maintains baseline demand
  • PumpSwap liquidity remains thin but functional
  • Broader Solana market remains neutral

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to overwhelm buyers, liquidity dries up completely, and the token fades into obscurity within 48–72 hours. Price retraces to near-launch levels ($0.0000192) or lower as remaining snipers and early buyers exit. Token joins the vast majority of PumpFun/PumpSwap launches that fail to sustain momentum.

  • Persistent 84.8% sell pressure with no reversal signal
  • Reported $0.00 liquidity making exits increasingly difficult
  • No verified contract, no renounced authorities
  • Volume exhaustion (92% drop in 2 hours post-launch)
  • Majority of snipers at a loss with potential forced selling
  • Self-referential rug narrative may deter serious investors

GeneratedMay 4, 11:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-04T23:00 UTC. Token is less than 24 hours old. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: 4fxpDcp8Td7jCY11rsT6aPERcmbm6AYAbH6hvw1upump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (9MnQ23bEBpAXdpXExSDtYBJj2x9LBtn9hg7oZwspZZWk)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-05-04 21:00–23:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data artifact of PumpSwap bonding curve mechanics
  • Sniper sniped amounts in USD are unknown — precise sniper concentration % cannot be calculated
  • Sniper wallet balances are mostly unknown — current holdings cannot be assessed
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — no medium or long-term trend data exists
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided
  • Historical holder data shows only 1 holder for 30 days prior to launch — no pre-launch distribution history
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite clear price movement — possible data lag

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in SOLDIER. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before investing.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 SOLDIER

Key Risks

•Reported $0.00 liquidity — potential inability to exit positions
•Token is less than 24 hours old with no established track record
•84.8% sell pressure with 5.6:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio
•Self-referential 'rug' narrative in token description

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Sniped amounts in USD are unknown, preventing precise concentration calculation. PnL is mixed: top earners include sniper [1] (+141.4%, sold $1,395), sniper [12] (+132.2%, sold $2), sniper [15] (+66.6%, sold $329), and sniper [18] (+18.7%, sold $4,302 — the largest seller). However, the majority of snipers (12 of 20) are at a realized loss, with losses ranging from -4.2% to -38.0%. The largest realized seller (sniper [18], AgmLJBMDCq...) sold $4,302 at +18.7% profit, representing the dominant smart money exit. High sell-through rate is confirmed by the 84.8% sell pressure in 24h trading.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper balances are reported as 'unknown' for most wallets; only sniper [16] (2tgUbS9...) shows a remaining balance of $9, and sniper [7] (3KcPSJ8...) shows $0 balance. The majority appear to have sold significant portions of their positions.

Mixed-to-negative. While a few snipers captured strong gains (141.4%, 132.2%), the majority are underwater. The largest dollar-volume sniper exit ($4,302 by AgmLJBMDCq...) suggests informed early sellers have already taken profits. Remaining snipers holding losses may create future sell pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for the soldier (soldier)?

The token is in a sharp post-launch sell-off phase. Candle [2] (22:00 UTC) showed a bearish close at $0.0000537 from an open of $0.0000675, and candle [1] (23:00 UTC) partially recovered to $0.0000641. The 5-minute change is -1.59%, and sell pressure is overwhelming at 84.8%. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile and biased downward unless new buy catalysts emerge. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000491 to $0.0000971.

Is soldier a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced memecoin traders who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This is a speculative, unverified, sub-$100K FDV memecoin launched less than 24 hours ago.

How are soldier holders trending?

the soldier currently has 234 holders and is growing (24h: 100, 7d: 100, 30d: 100). All holder growth occurred on launch day (2026-05-04). The token had exactly 1 holder (the deployer) for the entire prior 30-day period shown in the historical data, confirming this is a brand-new launch. The +29 holders in the last hour is a positive signal of ongoing interest, but with 918 unique sellers vs 118 unique buyers in 24h, many of these 'holders' may be transient. Distribution breakdown: 137 whales, 12 sharks, 58 dolphins, 22 fish, 11 octopus — the high whale count relative to total holders (58.5% of holders classified as whales) is unusual and may reflect the small total supply distribution among early buyers.

What does sniper activity look like for soldier?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding soldier?

Reported $0.00 liquidity — potential inability to exit positions • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established track record • 84.8% sell pressure with 5.6:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio

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