Mogcoin

Mogcoin Price Today & AI Analysis

MogcoinSolanaAnalysis as of May 3, 2026

Price

$0.052603

FDV $2,329

Contract

Live
4E7AdzfnCBg2WA4diuEzr9QL9zapsf7XLnvK25Uppump

Chain

Solana

Holders

108

Market cap

$2,329

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Mogcoin: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-03 00:19 UTC

Holder addresses

655

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Mogcoin ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 655 addresses (2026-05-03 00:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Mogcoin?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Mogcoin liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-03 00:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 3, 12:19 AM UTC

FDV

$49,788

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

655

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Mogcoin (symbol: Mogcoin) is a newly launched Solana meme token on PumpSwap (pair Es6GDdjkQdKP4Ev262RjAGYHUDmxGK1xAKc3n74DaBJe) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$49,788. The token launched via https://j7tracker.io and experienced a dramatic single-day surge of +115.8% on May 2–3, 2026, accompanied by a rapid holder expansion from 19 to 655 wallets. However, sell pressure is heavily dominant (70.1% sell volume vs 29.9% buy volume), liquidity is reported at $0.00, and the token exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics typical of early-stage pump-and-dump dynamics.

Key points

  • Explosive 24h price gain of +115.79% from a near-dormant base
  • Holder count surged 97% in 24h (from 19 to 655), all concentrated in a single day
  • Severe sell-side dominance: 70.1% sell volume ($216.44K) vs 29.9% buy volume ($92.27K)
  • Top 10 holders control 38.99% of supply; top 100 control 76.85%
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price is already retracing sharply after the pump: -10.6% in 5 minutes and -19.9% in 1 hour at time of analysis. The most recent candle (Candle 1: O $0.0000350, H $0.0000494, L $0.0000470, C $0.0000494) shows a narrow range near the high, but the dominant sell pressure (70.1%) and near-zero liquidity suggest the pump is exhausting. Immediate downside risk is significant.

Target low

$0.000012

Target high

$0.000050

Support

$0.0000230 (Candle 2 open / prior resistance), $0.0000188 (Candle 2 low), $0.0000128 (Candle 3 low — deepest recent wick)

Resistance

$0.0000494 (Candle 1 high / current price ceiling), $0.0000362 (Candle 3 high / Candle 2 close)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Without sustained buying interest, meaningful utility, or liquidity depth, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000012–$0.000018). Sniper profit-taking and whale distribution are the primary medium-term headwinds.

Catalysts

  • Continued sniper sell-offs from the 15+ profitable snipers
  • Whale distribution from top 10 holders (38.99% of supply)
  • Absence of any reported liquidity ($0.00) limiting organic price discovery
  • Potential re-accumulation if a viral meme narrative emerges

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price appreciation of +115.79%
  • Rapid holder acquisition: 636 new holders in 24h
  • High transaction count (6,432 total trades in 24h) indicating active speculation
  • Some snipers still holding (e.g., FLgijHveJjQgaNj6gTskunpAk7EH8HkGmUZfZ4qTysT5 with $80 balance remaining)

Bearish factors

  • 70.1% sell volume dominance ($216.44K sells vs $92.27K buys)
  • Price already down -10.6% in 5 min and -19.9% in 1h at snapshot time
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — catastrophic exit risk
  • Top 10 holders control 38.99%; top 100 control 76.85% — extreme concentration
  • Majority of snipers are in profit and likely distributing
  • Token deployed via a tracker tool with no verified contract and unknown update authority
  • Holder base existed at only 19 wallets for ~30 days before sudden pump — suggests coordinated launch

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) $0.00 reported liquidity makes price discovery unreliable; (3) the token is <48 hours old with highly volatile and thin trading conditions; (4) meme tokens of this profile are inherently unpredictable.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4E7Adz...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage
  • 70.1% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.13:1
  • Token dormant for 29 days at 19 holders before sudden pump — suggests coordinated/artificial launch
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential for supply manipulation

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle 3 (22:00 UTC): O $0.0000350, H $0.0000362, L $0.0000128, C $0.0000231 — a large bearish candle with a deep lower wick, indicating a volatile shakeout. Candle 2 (23:00 UTC): O $0.0000230, H $0.0000350, L $0.0000188, C $0.0000350 — a strong bullish engulfing candle recovering from the Candle 3 low, closing at the high. Candle 1 (00:00 UTC): O $0.0000350, H $0.0000494, L $0.0000470, C $0.0000494 — a bullish continuation candle with a very narrow body near the high, suggesting a near-doji at the top of the move. Volume was highest in Candle 2 ($175,677) — the main pump candle — while Candle 1 volume dropped sharply to $22,955, a classic volume divergence warning at a local top.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The 3-candle sequence shows a sharp pump from $0.0000128 to $0.0000494 — a 3-candle uptrend. However, the token has no meaningful medium-term price history (dormant for 30 days at 19 holders), so medium-term trend is effectively sideways/undefined. The -19.9% 1h price change at snapshot time suggests the short-term uptrend is already reversing.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

30%

Sell

70%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000470 (Candle 1 low)

Major support

$0.0000128 (Candle 3 low — deepest wick in dataset)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000494 (Candle 1 high / all-time high in dataset)

Major resistance

$0.0000494 (current ATH; no higher historical data available)

The immediate support at $0.0000470 (Candle 1 low) is thin and likely to break given sell dominance. A failure there targets the Candle 2 open at $0.0000230, then the Candle 3 low at $0.0000128. Resistance is the current ATH at $0.0000494. Given only 3 candles of data, these levels carry low reliability.

Notable patterns

  • Bullish engulfing in Candle 2 (strong recovery from $0.0000188 low, closing at $0.0000350 high)
  • Near-doji / shooting star at top in Candle 1 (narrow body at high, low wick — potential exhaustion)
  • Volume-price bearish divergence: price higher in Candle 1 but volume 87% lower than Candle 2
  • Classic pump-and-dump volume profile: spike then collapse

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$49,788.13

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price surged +115.79% in 24h and is already retracing -19.9% in 1h. With only 3 candles of price history and a near-zero liquidity base, price swings of 50–90% in either direction are plausible within hours.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage
  • 70.1% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.13:1
  • Token dormant for 29 days at 19 holders before sudden pump — suggests coordinated/artificial launch
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority — potential for supply manipulation
  • Unverified contract deployed via third-party tool
  • Top 10 holders (excl. LP) hold ~21.5% of supply and appear to be distributing
  • Price already retracing sharply (-19.9% in 1h) from pump highs
  • No fundamental utility, roadmap, or verified team information provided

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as mutable:false — metadata cannot be altered
  • Rapid holder growth (655 holders) shows genuine speculative interest
  • Some snipers still holding positions, suggesting not all early buyers have exited
  • FDV of ~$49,788 is low enough that a small influx of capital could move price significantly (double-edged)
  • Active social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) suggest some community presence

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk meme pump: dormant pre-launch, sudden viral pump, dominant sell pressure, near-zero liquidity, concentrated holdings, and active sniper distribution. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as a lottery ticket). Not suitable for conservative, moderate, or even most aggressive investors.

Mogcoin is a classic early-stage Solana meme token pump with extreme risk. The token was dormant for ~29 days at 19 holders before a sudden +115.79% price surge on May 2–3, 2026, driven by speculative buying and sniper activity. The market structure is deteriorating rapidly with 70.1% sell dominance, $0.00 reported liquidity, and a price already retracing. The investment case is purely speculative momentum — there is no fundamental value proposition. The bear case is the base case.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum continues: the Mogcoin narrative catches fire on Crypto Twitter/social media, driving a second wave of buyers that overwhelms current sell pressure. Liquidity deepens as market makers enter, and the token achieves a 5–10x from current levels, pushing FDV toward $250K–$500K.

  • Sustained viral social media attention on Twitter/Crypto communities
  • New whale accumulation overwhelming existing sell pressure
  • Broader Solana meme season driving speculative capital into low-cap tokens
  • Successful community building around the Mog brand

Base Case

Price retraces 40–70% from the pump high over the next 24–72 hours as sell pressure continues. A small speculative community forms around the token, providing occasional bounces, but the token fails to recapture pump highs and gradually fades. FDV stabilizes in the $10K–$25K range.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant but gradually normalizes
  • A small core of holders (100–200) remain long-term speculators
  • No major new catalyst or viral moment emerges
  • Liquidity remains thin, preventing large-scale price recovery

Bear Case

High probability

The pump exhausts within hours. Snipers and early whales continue distributing into any remaining buy pressure. Liquidity evaporates, price collapses 70–90% back toward pre-pump levels ($0.000012–$0.000018), and the token returns to dormancy with a small residual holder base.

  • Dominant sell pressure (70.1%) with sellers 2.13x buyers
  • 15 of 20 snipers in profit and actively distributing
  • Near-zero liquidity amplifying downside moves
  • No fundamental utility or verified team to sustain interest
  • Token's 29-day dormancy before pump suggests artificial/coordinated launch

Analysis details

Generated

May 3, 12:19 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-03 00:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair: Es6GDdjkQdKP4Ev262RjAGYHUDmxGK1xAKc3n74DaBJe)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed issue or genuinely zero; cannot be confirmed
  • Sniper sniped amounts and current balances are largely unknown, preventing precise sniper concentration calculation
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority listed as unknown — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Token is <48 hours old with extremely limited price history
  • No verified contract — on-chain code cannot be audited from this data
  • 6h and 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics despite 24h metadata showing +115.79% — possible data inconsistency in the analytics feed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in Mogcoin. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Mogcoin ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 655 addresses (2026-05-03 00:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Mogcoin?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Mogcoin liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Mogcoin (Mogcoin)?

Price is already retracing sharply after the pump: -10.6% in 5 minutes and -19.9% in 1 hour at time of analysis. The most recent candle (Candle 1: O $0.0000350, H $0.0000494, L $0.0000470, C $0.0000494) shows a narrow range near the high, but the dominant sell pressure (70.1%) and near-zero liquidity suggest the pump is exhausting. Immediate downside risk is significant. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000012 to $0.000050.

Is Mogcoin a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk meme pump: dormant pre-launch, sudden viral pump, dominant sell pressure, near-zero liquidity, concentrated holdings, and active sniper distribution. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as a lottery ticket). Not suitable for conservative, moderate, or even most aggressive investors.

What are the key risks of holding Mogcoin?

$0.00 reported liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage • 70.1% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.13:1 • Token dormant for 29 days at 19 holders before sudden pump — suggests coordinated/artificial launch

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