Bear

The Black Bear Price Today & AI Analysis

BearSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 15, 2026

Price

$0.054664

-33.82% 24h

Contract

Live
49PU6ENTpYc3zkhgCruzCSBzgVAdix5muP2oVzRGpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

985

Market cap

$4,549

At a $1M market cap, $BEAR would be $0.001025 (220x from today’s price)

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The Black Bear: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-15 23:45 UTC

Holder addresses

985

Top 10 supply share

14.20%

Reported liquidity

$3,249.00
How concentrated is The Black Bear ownership?
As of 2026-10-15 23:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 14.20% of supply. It reports 985 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling The Black Bear?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-15 23:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $3,297.00 in buys and $3,961.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Black Bear liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -18.64%, from $3,942.18 (2026-10-15 00:00 UTC) to $3,207.33 (2026-10-15 23:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-15 23:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-15 00:00 UTC$3,942.18
2026-10-15 01:00 UTC$3,999.85
2026-10-15 02:00 UTC$3,911.62
2026-10-15 03:00 UTC$4,061.04
2026-10-15 04:00 UTC$3,956.89
2026-10-15 05:00 UTC$3,868.96
2026-10-15 06:00 UTC$3,921.75
2026-10-15 07:00 UTC$3,938.41
2026-10-15 08:00 UTC$3,952.70
2026-10-15 09:00 UTC$3,524.61
2026-10-15 10:00 UTC$3,152.05
2026-10-15 11:00 UTC$3,134.58
2026-10-15 12:00 UTC$3,253.42
2026-10-15 13:00 UTC$3,628.72
2026-10-15 14:00 UTC$3,293.30
2026-10-15 15:00 UTC$3,471.53
2026-10-15 16:00 UTC$3,557.88
2026-10-15 17:00 UTC$3,549.31
2026-10-15 18:00 UTC$3,547.31
2026-10-15 19:00 UTC$3,522.11
2026-10-15 20:00 UTC$3,387.99
2026-10-15 21:00 UTC$3,298.50
2026-10-15 22:00 UTC$3,227.42
2026-10-15 23:00 UTC$3,207.33

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 15, 11:46 PM UTC

FDV

$4,549

Liquidity

$3,249.00

Holders

985

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

The Black Bear (Bear) is a micro-cap pump.fun token trading on PumpSwap at about $0.00000466 with an FDV near $4.55K and liquidity near $3.25K. Price fell 33.8% in 24h and sellers outweighed buyers slightly (54.6% sell volume).

Key points

  • FDV about $4.55K, so it is extremely small
  • Liquidity of $3.25K is very thin relative to about $3.3K of daily buy volume
  • Top-10 holders own 14.2% of supply, with 985 holder addresses
  • Authority and sniper data are unavailable

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-72h

bearish

Price is in a lower-high, lower-low sequence after dropping from about $0.0000072 to about $0.0000047. It is sitting at the 24h low area with sell-side dominance. A relief bounce is possible, but the trend is down.

Target low

$0.0000035

Target high

$0.0000058

Support

$0.00000459, $0.0000035

Resistance

$0.0000055, $0.0000062, $0.0000072

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

With so little liquidity and no fundamentals in the data, the medium-term outcome is mostly speculative. It depends on whether new buyers arrive.

Catalysts

  • Social/meme momentum
  • Liquidity additions
  • Broader market sentiment

Bullish factors

  • Price bounced from $0.00000459 to about $0.0000062 intraday, which suggests dip buyers exist
  • Top-10 share of 14.2% is moderate
  • Buy and sell counts are equal at 195 each

Bearish factors

  • Price is down 33.8% in 24h
  • Sell volume is 54.6% of the total
  • There are 147 sellers against 111 buyers
  • Liquidity is only $3.25K
  • Last candle volume is near zero, so interest is fading

Confidence: low. Only 24 hourly candles are available, the token is micro-cap and thinly traded, and its price is easily moved by single trades.

Bear call history

Full track record →

Oct 15bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
49PU6E...pump
Total Supply
975,398,425

Key Risks

  • Extremely low liquidity and market cap
  • Sharp downtrend with sell dominance
  • Unknown mint/freeze authorities
  • No sniper or holder history data

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Price rose from $0.00000678 to a spike high of $0.00000872 at 02:00. It consolidated at about $0.0000070-0.0000072 until 09:00. A sharp breakdown followed to $0.00000459 by 11:00. A rebound to $0.00000639 at 14:00 failed, and price then bled lower to $0.00000466.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Lower highs since the 02:00 peak, with a failed retest near $0.0000064 and a close at the session low.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

45%

Sell

55%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00000459

Major support

$0.0000035 (estimate, no historical data)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000055

Major resistance

$0.0000072

$0.00000459 is the 11:00 low and is nearly retested now. $0.0000062-0.0000064 capped the afternoon bounce. $0.0000072 was the pre-breakdown base.

Notable patterns

  • Long-wick spike at 02:00-03:00
  • Sharp breakdown candles at 09:00-10:00
  • Lower high at 14:00
  • Steady lower closes from 17:00 to 23:00

Liquidity

Liquidity

$3,249.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is $3.25K, about 71% of the $4.55K FDV, and very shallow. Net sell flow is about $0.66K. There were 195 buys and 195 sells, and sellers outnumber buyers 147 to 111. Even small trades can move the price significantly.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

975,398,425

FDV

$4.55K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price fell 33.8% in 24h, with a high-to-low range of about 47% across the candles.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $3.25K of liquidity, so exits are costly.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 hold 14.2%. Wallet types and top-100 data are unavailable, so this is only partial evidence.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely low liquidity and market cap
  • Sharp downtrend with sell dominance
  • Unknown mint/freeze authorities
  • No sniper or holder history data
  • Anonymous meme token with no fundamentals shown

Mitigating factors

  • Top-10 holding is 14.2%
  • 985 holder addresses
  • Active two-way trading (195 buys and 195 sells)

Suitable for

Only for speculators who accept losing the entire amount. Not suitable for risk-averse investors.

This is a speculative micro-cap meme token in a downtrend with thin liquidity and missing safety data. The evidence does not support a strong conviction in either direction.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Meme momentum returns and price retests $0.0000062-0.0000072.

  • Dip buying near $0.00000459
  • New liquidity and buyers
  • Social attention

Base Case

Price chops in a low-volume range near $0.0000040-0.0000058 with high volatility.

  • No major new buyers
  • No liquidity removal
  • Volume stays low

Bear Case

High probability

Price breaks $0.00000459 and keeps falling on thin liquidity as holders exit.

  • Sell dominance
  • Fading volume
  • Shallow liquidity
  • Unverified authorities

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 15, 11:46 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-15 23:45 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Hourly OHLC (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics
  • Holder aggregates (snapshot)

Limitations

  • No sniper data
  • No mint/freeze authority data
  • No holder history or wallet classification
  • Only 24 hours of candles
  • Micro-cap prices are easily moved by single trades

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The Black Bear ownership?

As of 2026-10-15 23:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 14.20% of supply. It reports 985 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling The Black Bear?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-15 23:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $3,297.00 in buys and $3,961.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Black Bear liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed -18.64%, from $3,942.18 (2026-10-15 00:00 UTC) to $3,207.33 (2026-10-15 23:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Black Bear (Bear)?

Price is in a lower-high, lower-low sequence after dropping from about $0.0000072 to about $0.0000047. It is sitting at the 24h low area with sell-side dominance. A relief bounce is possible, but the trend is down. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-72h), with a target range of $0.0000035 to $0.0000058.

Is Bear a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Only for speculators who accept losing the entire amount. Not suitable for risk-averse investors.

What are the key risks of holding Bear?

Extremely low liquidity and market cap • Sharp downtrend with sell dominance • Unknown mint/freeze authorities

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