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Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities Price Today & AI Analysis

ARMSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 22, 2026

Price

$344.75

-6.30% 24h · FDV $1,503,481

Contract

Live
ARMbSB1MBRQrY6PNMao1HdQ431VafC6JRJCsGZ2Yv3iJ

Chain

Solana

Holders

2,734

Market cap

$1,503,481

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Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-22 21:15 UTC

Holder addresses

2,734

Top 10 supply share

5.63%

Reported liquidity

$224,188.00
How concentrated is Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities ownership?
As of 2026-09-22 21:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 5.63% of supply. It reports 2,734 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 21:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $1,330,569.00 in buys and $2,838,080.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -31.05%, from $1,770,479.32 (2026-09-22 20:00 UTC) to $1,220,793.06 (2026-09-22 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-22 21:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-22 20:00 UTC$1,770,479.32
2026-09-22 21:00 UTC$1,220,793.06

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 22, 09:16 PM UTC

FDV

$1,503,481

Liquidity

$224,188.00

Holders

2,734

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ARM ('Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities') is a low-float Solana token (total supply ~4,361 units) trading around $344.75 with an FDV of ~$1.50M, currently exhibiting high volatility (a recent spike to $402.23 followed by a rejection to $332.04) and net sell-dominant trading (68.1% sell vs 31.9% buy volume over 24h) against a shallow liquidity base of just $224.19K. Critical risk inputs — mint/freeze authority status and sniper wallet activity — are entirely unavailable in this data set, and top-100 holder concentration plus any holder-history trend data are also missing, limiting the depth of this assessment. The token's branding references recognizable external entity names without any verifiable affiliation shown in the data.

Key points

  • Very small total supply (~4,361 tokens) creating high price sensitivity to capital flows
  • Recent sharp volatility: intra-window range from $332.04 to $402.23
  • Thin liquidity ($224.19K) relative to heavy 24h volume (>$4.17M combined), implying high slippage risk
  • Net sell-dominant order flow (5,837 sellers vs 4,577 buyers)
  • Complete absence of mint/freeze authority and sniper data, leaving major rug/dump risk vectors unresolved
  • Unverified brand-referencing token name, a common impersonation red flag

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-48 hours

bearish

With sell volume nearly double buy volume over the last 24h (68.1% vs 31.9%) and price already down 6.30% in that window, near-term momentum favors continued softness or range-bound consolidation between the recent $332 low and $345-402 resistance zone. The sharp rejection from the $402.23 spike high suggests limited near-term upside without a fresh demand catalyst.

Target low

$320

Target high

$360

Support

$332.04, $334.09

Resistance

$345.67, $402.23

Medium term · 1-2 weeks

neutral

Medium-term direction is highly uncertain given only two hourly candles of price history and no holder-history data. Sustainability depends heavily on whether the current net-outflow pattern reverses and whether liquidity depth improves; absent that, further volatility and possible retests of both the $332 support and $402 resistance are plausible in either direction.

Catalysts

  • Any resolution of mint/freeze authority uncertainty (positive if renounced, negative if active)
  • Liquidity additions or removals from the Raydium CLMM pool
  • Continued buy/sell volume imbalance trends
  • Broader market conditions affecting small-cap/low-liquidity Solana tokens

Bullish factors

  • Extremely small total supply (~4,361 tokens) means price can be highly reactive to relatively small capital flows
  • Top-10 concentration (5.63%) does not, on its face, show extreme whale dominance

Bearish factors

  • Net sell pressure over 24h (68.1% sell vs 31.9% buy volume, more sellers than buyers)
  • Shallow liquidity ($224.19K) relative to volume, raising slippage and downside-cascade risk
  • Sharp rejection from recent $402.23 high back to the $332-345 range
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves supply-inflation risk unresolved
  • Absence of sniper data prevents ruling out concentrated early-holder dump risk
  • Unverified branding referencing recognizable external entity names

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the technical dataset consists of only two hourly OHLC candles, holder aggregates lack any historical trend, sniper/authority data is entirely absent, and the token's naming raises unverified impersonation concerns — all of which limit the reliability of any directional forecast.

ARM call history

Full track record →

Sep 22bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
ARMbSB...v3iJ
Total Supply
4361.104822 ARM

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($224.19K) relative to 24h volume (>$4.17M), creating high slippage and potential for sharp price dislocation
  • Net negative flow over 24h: sell volume ($2.84M) nearly 2.15x buy volume ($1.33M), with more unique sellers (5,837) than buyers (4,577)
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot rule out supply inflation or transfer-freezing risk
  • No sniper data coverage, preventing assessment of early-buyer dump risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available, both from 2026-09-22 (20:00 and 21:00 UTC). Candle 1 opened at $353.01, spiked to a high of $402.23, dropped to a low of $334.09, and closed at $344.74 — a large-range candle with a long upper wick, suggesting a sharp rejection from the $400+ level on very high volume ($11.15M). Candle 2 opened at $344.74 (essentially flat from prior close), traded in a tighter range between $332.04 and $345.67, and closed at $344.52, on dramatically lower volume ($218.6K) — consolidation after the prior candle's volatility spike.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The most recent price action shows a sharp rejection from a local high (~$402) down to the $332-345 range, with the 24h change at -6.30%. The short-term trend (within the observed 2-hour window) is downward/consolidating after a spike-and-reject pattern. With only two candles of data, a reliable medium-term trend cannot be firmly established, so it is characterized as sideways/consolidating around the $332-345 band pending more data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

32%

Sell

68%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$332.04 (candle 2 low)

Major support

$334.09 (candle 1 low)

Immediate resistance

$345.67 (candle 2 high)

Major resistance

$402.23 (candle 1 high)

Immediate support sits at the $332-334 zone, defined by the lows of both recent candles. Immediate resistance is just above current price near $345.67 (candle 2 high), with a much larger resistance band at the $402.23 spike high from candle 1 — a level that saw an aggressive rejection and would need a strong volume catalyst to reclaim. Given only two candles of history, these levels should be treated as short-term reference points rather than durable technical structure.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper-wick spike-and-reject candle (candle 1: high $402.23 vs close $344.74)
  • Sharp volume climax followed by a >98% volume collapse in the subsequent hour
  • Post-spike consolidation/doji-like narrow-range candle (candle 2)

Liquidity

Liquidity

$224,188.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total on-chain liquidity is thin at $224.19K against a 24h trading volume of over $4.17M combined (buy+sell), implying liquidity turns over roughly 18-19x daily — a hallmark of shallow-liquidity, high-slippage conditions for any meaningfully-sized trade. Sell volume ($2.84M) substantially exceeds buy volume ($1.33M), a 68.1%/31.9% sell/buy pressure split, indicating net outflow pressure over the 24h window. Unique sellers (5,837) also outnumber unique buyers (4,577), reinforcing a net distributive/exit-biased trading pattern. This combination of shallow liquidity depth relative to volume and negative net flow raises meaningful concerns about price impact and exit liquidity for larger positions.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

4361.104822 ARM

FDV

$1.50M

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price swung from a high of $402.23 to a low of $332.04 within a single recent hourly candle (a ~17% intra-candle range), and is down 6.30% over 24h. This is extreme short-term volatility for a token trading above $300/unit.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $224.19K against 24h combined volume exceeding $4.17M represents very thin depth relative to trading activity, implying high slippage risk for moderate-to-large trades and a fragile market structure that could gap sharply on further selling.

  • Concentrationunknown

    Only top-10 concentration (5.63%) is available; top-100 concentration and any wallet classification/behavioral data are missing, so a full concentration risk picture cannot be established. The available figure alone does not permit a confident low-risk conclusion for the broader holder set.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($224.19K) relative to 24h volume (>$4.17M), creating high slippage and potential for sharp price dislocation
  • Net negative flow over 24h: sell volume ($2.84M) nearly 2.15x buy volume ($1.33M), with more unique sellers (5,837) than buyers (4,577)
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot rule out supply inflation or transfer-freezing risk
  • No sniper data coverage, preventing assessment of early-buyer dump risk
  • Token name references well-known real-world entities ('Arm Holdings', 'Backpack Securities') with no verifiable affiliation shown in the data — a common impersonation/branding red flag
  • Extreme recent volatility, including a rejection from a $402.23 high down to the $332-345 range within roughly an hour
  • Very limited historical data (only 2 OHLC candles, no holder history) constrains the reliability of any trend conclusions

Mitigating factors

  • Top-10 holder concentration is measured at a relatively low 5.63% of supply, which on its face does not show extreme concentration in the top decile (though this cannot be fully contextualized without top-100 or historical data)
  • Holder base includes a moderate 2,734 addresses, suggesting some distribution of ownership across wallets (though this does not confirm unique-person distribution)

Suitable for

Given the very high risk score driven by shallow liquidity, net sell pressure, unknown mint/freeze authority status, absent sniper coverage, and a token name that invokes recognizable brand names without verifiable affiliation, this token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can accept potential total loss of capital and significant slippage on entry/exit. It is not suitable for investors seeking capital preservation or those unable to independently verify contract authorities before allocating capital.

ARM ('Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities') is a small-cap Solana token with a tiny total supply (~4,361 tokens) trading at a high per-token USD price (~$344.75) and a modest FDV of ~$1.50M. The data shows a recent violent price spike-and-reject (high $402.23 to low $332.04) accompanied by heavy net sell pressure (68.1% sell vs 31.9% buy volume) against very shallow liquidity ($224.19K). Critical risk data points — mint/freeze authority status and sniper wallet activity — are entirely unavailable, and the token's name invokes recognizable external brands without any verifiable connection shown in the data. This combination warrants a cautious, skeptical stance.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If liquidity deepens and buy pressure re-emerges (reversing the current 68/32 sell-dominant split), the token could stabilize and consolidate above the immediate support band of $332-345, potentially retesting the recent high near $402 in a low-float, high-FDV-sensitivity setup where relatively small capital inflows can move price meaningfully.

  • Extremely low total supply (~4,361 tokens) means relatively small dollar inflows could produce outsized price moves
  • Top-10 holder concentration is currently measured at a modest 5.63%, which if sustained, could support a broader, less whale-dependent holder base
  • Renewed buyer interest could quickly flip the current negative net flow

Base Case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bear Case

Low probability

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 22, 09:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-22 21:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, FDV)
  • USD price feed and 24h % change
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 most recent candles) from Raydium CLMM pair
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, liquidity)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot holder count and top-10 concentration)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only two hourly OHLC candles were provided, severely limiting technical trend analysis and pattern reliability
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) was available; only a current snapshot holder count and top-10 concentration figure were provided
  • No sniper/early-buyer wallet data was available at all
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, and update authority renouncement status were not provided or were marked unknown, preventing any rug-risk-from-authorities conclusion
  • No wallet classification or notable holder labeling data was available, so whale behavior (accumulation/distribution) could not be assessed
  • Top-100 holder concentration was not provided, limiting the concentration risk picture to only the top-10 figure

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the limited on-chain and market data provided at a single point in time, contains significant data gaps (holder history, sniper activity, mint/freeze authority status), and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision. Cryptocurrency trading, particularly in low-liquidity tokens, carries substantial risk of loss. Conduct independent research and verify contract authorities before transacting.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities ownership?

As of 2026-09-22 21:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 5.63% of supply. It reports 2,734 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 21:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $1,330,569.00 in buys and $2,838,080.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed -31.05%, from $1,770,479.32 (2026-09-22 20:00 UTC) to $1,220,793.06 (2026-09-22 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Arm Holdings - Backpack Securities (ARM)?

With sell volume nearly double buy volume over the last 24h (68.1% vs 31.9%) and price already down 6.30% in that window, near-term momentum favors continued softness or range-bound consolidation between the recent $332 low and $345-402 resistance zone. The sharp rejection from the $402.23 spike high suggests limited near-term upside without a fresh demand catalyst. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-48 hours), with a target range of $320 to $360.

Is ARM a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 85/100. Given the very high risk score driven by shallow liquidity, net sell pressure, unknown mint/freeze authority status, absent sniper coverage, and a token name that invokes recognizable brand names without verifiable affiliation, this token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can accept potential total loss of capital and significant slippage on entry/exit. It is not suitable for investors seeking capital preservation or those unable to independently verify contract authorities before allocating capital.

What are the key risks of holding ARM?

Extremely thin liquidity ($224.19K) relative to 24h volume (>$4.17M), creating high slippage and potential for sharp price dislocation • Net negative flow over 24h: sell volume ($2.84M) nearly 2.15x buy volume ($1.33M), with more unique sellers (5,837) than buyers (4,577) • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot rule out supply inflation or transfer-freezing risk

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