Sharpie

Sharpie Prediction

Sharpie
Solana
AI Analysis
May 5, 03:19 AM

48kvjZzEpsJCNfd3jWWYKKY4pNhhiHdSuvYW6tzTpump

$0.0000463439

+64.46%

FDV $46,344

FDV

$46,344

Liquidity

$0

Holders

581

Snipers

38

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Sharpie (Sharpie) is a Solana memecoin launched via PumpFun/PumpSwap, promoted through a Discord server (discord.gg/uxento). With a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$46,344, this is an ultra-micro-cap token. The token experienced a dramatic launch event on May 5, 2026, surging 64.46% in 24h from near-zero holder counts (17 holders for the prior 30 days) to 581 holders in a single day. Trading activity is heavily sell-dominated (75.2% sell pressure), and on-chain liquidity is reported as $0.00, indicating extremely thin or migrated liquidity.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive single-day holder growth: from 17 to 581 holders (+97%) in under 24 hours
Launched via PumpSwap on Solana with Discord community origin
Top holder (7xYkVT... — likely the PumpSwap liquidity pool) controls 18.78% of supply
Heavily sell-dominated trading: 75.2% sell pressure with 3,474 sells vs 1,406 buys in 24h
Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation, suggesting a coordinated launch or re-launch event

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent hourly candle (03:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the open of $0.0000633 down to a close of $0.0000463, with the 5-minute price change at -16.3%. Sell pressure dominates at 75.2% of 24h volume. The price is likely to test the recent low of $0.0000168 (candle [3] low) if buying interest does not return.

Target low$0.0000168
Target high$0.0000703
Support: $0.0000433 (candle [1] low), $0.0000168 (candle [3] absolute low)
Resistance: $0.0000647 (candle [1] high), $0.0000703 (candle [2] high / 24h high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Given the token's ultra-low FDV (~$46K), zero reported on-chain liquidity, overwhelming sell pressure, and the fact that 20 snipers are sitting on positions — many of which are in profit — the medium-term outlook is bearish. Profit-taking from early buyers and snipers is likely to continue suppressing price. Sustained recovery would require significant new capital inflows and community growth beyond the initial Discord-driven launch.

Catalysts
  • Renewed Discord/social media campaign driving new buyer inflows
  • Influencer promotion or viral memecoin narrative adoption
  • Reduction in sniper sell pressure as profitable positions are fully exited
  • Migration to a higher-liquidity DEX with deeper order books

Bullish factors

  • 64.46% 24h price appreciation demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • 581 holders acquired in a single day shows rapid community formation
  • 577 of 581 holders acquired via swap (organic buying)
  • Some snipers showing strong realized profits (up to +64.8%) suggesting early price discovery was real
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces certain manipulation vectors

Bearish factors

  • 75.2% sell pressure (3,474 sells vs 1,406 buys) in 24h
  • Total reported liquidity is $0.00 — extremely dangerous for exit liquidity
  • Token was completely dormant (17 holders, zero activity) for 30+ days before this event
  • Top 10 holders control 40.32% of supply; top 100 control 80.91%
  • 5-minute price already down -16.3% from recent peak
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • FDV of only ~$46K leaves minimal room for institutional interest
  • 20 snipers present, many in profit and likely to continue selling
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 hourly candles of price history available, (2) $0.00 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (3) extreme volatility with 64.46% 24h gain already partially reversing, and (4) memecoin dynamics are inherently unpredictable. The analysis is based on very limited OHLC data and on-chain signals only.

Deep Analysis

Technical Analysis
Holder Trends
Whale Map
Risk Assessment
Investment Thesis

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Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion tokens)

Key Risks

Zero reported on-chain liquidity creates extreme exit risk
Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 17 holders — pre-launch insider accumulation likely
75.2% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.3:1
Top 100 holders control 80.91% of supply — extreme concentration

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, the majority (12 out of 20) show positive realized PnL percentages, with gains ranging from +0.1% to +64.8%. Notable profitable snipers include 6XzmFv... (+64.8%), 1aDerPK... (+62.5%), 920iwi... (+58.1%), E9RXTA... (+57.9%), and 7Wf3jR... (+57.0%). Four snipers show losses: LhLcjg... (-25.6%), 5WEmqH... (-23.5%), 3KcPSJ... (0.0%), CsxawzJ... (-19.0%), Hz8nhos... (-15.3%), 7uHjqJ... (-14.3%). The majority of snipers are in profit and represent a continued sell-side overhang. Exact sniped supply is unknown, limiting precision.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Exact sniped supply amounts are unknown, but sniper #1 (3KcPSJ8...) holds $0 balance suggesting full exit. Several snipers have sold significant amounts: E9RXTA... sold $970, 1aDerPK... sold $663, kEFiAX... sold $546, STorreSu... sold $508, 6XzmFv... sold $362. Estimated sniper concentration is low (~2% of supply) given unknown exact sniped amounts.

Mixed-to-bearish. While most snipers are in profit (suggesting successful early entry), the high sell-through rates from top snipers (E9RXTA... sold $970, 1aDerPK... sold $663) indicate early buyers are actively distributing into the current price pump. The presence of 4 loss-making snipers suggests not all early buyers timed entries perfectly.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Sharpie (Sharpie)?

The most recent hourly candle (03:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the open of $0.0000633 down to a close of $0.0000463, with the 5-minute price change at -16.3%. Sell pressure dominates at 75.2% of 24h volume. The price is likely to test the recent low of $0.0000168 (candle [3] low) if buying interest does not return. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000168 to $0.0000703.

Is Sharpie a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced speculative traders who understand memecoin dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions. Completely unsuitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a high-risk pump-and-dump scenario.

How are Sharpie holders trending?

Sharpie currently has 581 holders and is growing (24h: 97, 7d: 97, 30d: 97). The holder data reveals a stark two-phase pattern: a 30-day dormancy period (April 5 – May 4, 2026) with a flat 17 holders and zero activity, followed by an explosive single-day activation on May 5, 2026 adding 564 new holders (+97% growth rate). Within the last hour alone, 20 new holders were added (+3.40%). Growth is technically 'accelerating' in the sense that it went from 0 to maximum in one step, but this is a launch event rather than sustained organic growth. The 577 swap-acquired holders vs 4 transfer-acquired holders confirms nearly all new holders bought in via DEX. The distribution breakdown shows 168 whales, 70 sharks, 246 dolphins, 73 fish, and 20 octopus-classified holders, suggesting a mix of position sizes. Critically, the 30-day dormancy before launch raises questions about what the original 17 holders were doing — potentially pre-launch insiders or team wallets.

What does sniper activity look like for Sharpie?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Sharpie?

Zero reported on-chain liquidity creates extreme exit risk • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 17 holders — pre-launch insider accumulation likely • 75.2% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.3:1

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