GAPLA

Federated States of Gapla Price Prediction 2026

GAPLA
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 16, 2026

3y3X6Bk6zpZpaFJ1KYJ7b33HbFM7ip5TqQPYLWJhpump

$0.041560

-17.40%

FDV $15,576

LiveContract:3y3X6Bk6zpZpaFJ1KYJ7b33HbFM7ip5TqQPYLWJhpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,132Market cap:$15,576

More tokens on Solana

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about GAPLA

Report snapshotas of May 16, 06:20 AM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$0

Holders

675

Snipers

33

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

GAPLA (Federated States of Gapla) is an ultra-low-cap Solana memecoin launched on PumpSwap (mint: 3y3X6Bk6zpZpaFJ1KYJ7b33HbFM7ip5TqQPYLWJhpump). The token is priced at ~$0.000148 with a reported 321% 24h gain, but exhibits extreme sell pressure (79.4% sell volume), $0 reported liquidity, and deeply anomalous tokenomics data (percentage figures in the holder table exceed 100%, suggesting a fractional/decimal mismatch). The token has no verified contract, no social links, no description, and a mutable update authority — all significant red flags. Holder count surged from 45 to 675 within the last 24 hours, almost entirely driven by the current pump event.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 321% 24h price surge driven by a sudden viral pump event
Holder base grew from 45 to 675 (+630, +93%) in under 24 hours — entirely within the pump window
Severe sell-side dominance: 79.4% sell volume ($185K) vs 20.6% buy volume ($48K) in 24h
Reported total liquidity of $0.00 despite active trading — extreme slippage and exit risk
Mutable metadata, unverified contract, no socials, no description — minimal trust signals
Top 10 holders control 27.61% of supply; top 100 control 77.37%

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is showing classic pump-and-dump dynamics. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 79.4% of 24h volume ($185K sells vs $48K buys). The most recent hourly candle (06:00 UTC) shows a dramatic wick with H:$0.0000975 and C:$0.0000344 — a sharp rejection from highs. With $0 reported liquidity and 3,647 sell transactions vs 1,173 buys, downside continuation is the most probable near-term outcome. Price could retrace to pre-pump levels near $0.000034–$0.000037.

Target low$0.000020
Target high$0.000200
Support: $0.000034 (recent candle close / prior range low), $0.000035 (04:00 UTC candle close)
Resistance: $0.000097 (recent hourly wick high), $0.000148 (current price / 24h high zone)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without any utility, verified contract, social presence, or liquidity depth, sustained price appreciation is highly unlikely. The token sat dormant at 45 holders for 30 days before this pump, suggesting no organic community. Post-pump sell-off is the base expectation. Recovery would require a new catalyst, which is speculative given the absence of any project fundamentals.

Catalysts
  • New viral social media campaign (unconfirmed)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • Whale accumulation at depressed post-dump prices

Bullish factors

  • 321% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative momentum
  • 1h price change of +153% shows very recent buying interest
  • Holder count grew 93% in 24h indicating new market participants entering
  • 20 snipers present — some with significant realized profits (up to 71.6%) suggesting early entry was profitable

Bearish factors

  • 79.4% sell volume dominance ($185K sells vs $48K buys)
  • $0.00 reported total liquidity — extreme exit risk and slippage
  • Token was completely dormant (45 holders, zero change) for the entire prior 30-day period
  • No verified contract, no description, no social links, mutable metadata
  • 3,647 sell transactions vs 1,173 buy transactions in 24h
  • Top hourly candle shows sharp rejection wick (H:$0.0000975, C:$0.0000344)
  • Multiple snipers already in profit and likely distributing
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) $0 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (2) anomalous holder percentage data suggesting possible data feed issues, (3) extremely short price history (token was dormant for 30 days), and (4) no fundamental anchors to model against. The directional bias (bearish) is supported by overwhelming sell pressure and classic pump-and-dump candle structure.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (04:00 UTC): O:$0.0000374, H:$0.0000391, L:$0.0000352, C:$0.0000352 — a bearish close, small range, low volume ($4,086). Candle [2] (05:00 UTC): O:$0.0000344, H:$0.0000374, L:$0.0000344, C:$0.0000374 — a bullish engulfing-style candle with moderate volume ($136,798), recovering from the prior close. Candle [1] (06:00 UTC): O:$0.0000374, H:$0.0000975, L:$0.0000344, C:$0.0000344 — a massive bearish shooting star / inverted hammer with an extreme upper wick reaching $0.0000975 before collapsing back to $0.0000344. This is a textbook pump-and-dump candle pattern. Note: OHLC data appears to have L/H values potentially swapped in candle [1] (L > O), which may reflect a data feed anomaly; the wick structure is interpreted as a spike-and-rejection event.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 21%Sell 79%

The short-term trend is decisively bearish following the shooting star rejection at the 06:00 UTC candle. The medium-term trend is also bearish given the token was completely flat for 30 days prior to this pump event, with no established uptrend structure.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000034 (recent candle lows and close)
Major$0.000020 (estimated pre-pump baseline, extrapolated)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000097 (06:00 UTC wick high)
Major$0.000148 (current price / reported 24h high zone)

The $0.000034–$0.000035 zone has acted as a floor across the last three candles and represents immediate support. The $0.000097 wick high is the first resistance level — a zone where sellers overwhelmed buyers decisively. Current price of $0.000148 sits above the candle data, suggesting continued upward movement after the 06:00 UTC candle, but the candle structure warns of imminent reversal.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish spike-and-rejection at 06:00 UTC candle (H:$0.0000975, C:$0.0000344)
  • Bullish engulfing at 05:00 UTC (pump initiation candle)
  • Extreme volume spike accompanying the pump candle ($136K vs $4K prior hour)
  • Classic pump-and-dump three-candle sequence: accumulation → spike → rejection

Total holders675
24h Δ+630
7d Δ+630
30d Δ+630
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is entirely correlated with the pump event. The token had exactly 45 holders with zero change for the entire 30-day historical period (Apr 16 – May 15, 2026). All 630 new holders (+93%) arrived within the last 24 hours, coinciding precisely with the 321% price spike. This is not organic growth — it is pump-driven FOMO accumulation.

The holder data tells a stark story: 45 stagnant holders for 30 days, then an explosive +630 holders (+93%) in a single 24-hour window. The 1h metric alone shows +289 holders (+43%), meaning nearly half of all new holders arrived in the most recent hour — the peak of the pump. Acquisition method is almost entirely swap-based (667 of 675 holders), confirming these are active traders rather than airdrop recipients. The distribution breakdown (169 whales, 93 sharks, 278 dolphins, 96 fish, 32 octopus) suggests a mix of sizes entered during the pump. Growth is accelerating in the immediate term but is entirely pump-dependent — a reversal in price will likely trigger rapid holder attrition as traders exit.

Top 10 hold27.61%
Top 100 hold77.37%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

2FxX1awKLyAaiWZSa4pL9bYcLzmEtie6JpuoCu8HTzRo

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

10.19%

7SeUfPLcRxthg4EsPa31X56yugTfLSaYED6UZNJeKyqe

Individual whale / early holder

2.84%

BAr5csYtpWoNpwhUjixX7ZPHXkUciFZzjBp9uNxZXJPh

Individual whale / early holder

2.76%

4iD83DYUbfcLx1A6V1D5uHbpZdQaZnYYXHywq6NNG4rs

Individual whale / early holder

1.92%

EDbP733xhF4cTN11yYgxc98FsFr4yKG8xPxavr2TSBfh

Individual whale / early holder

1.84%

The top 10 holders control 27.61% of supply and the top 100 control 77.37%, indicating meaningful concentration. The #1 holder (2FxX1awKLyAaiWZSa4pL9bYcLzmEtie6JpuoCu8HTzRo) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool itself, holding ~10.19% of supply — this is expected for an AMM pool. The remaining top holders appear to be individual wallets (whales/early holders) with no identifiable exchange or project treasury labels. Note: The percentage figures in the raw data are astronomically inflated (e.g., '10194002692351200.00%'), which is a clear data feed anomaly — likely caused by a decimal/supply mismatch. The relative rankings and balance figures are used to derive approximate concentrations. Overall sentiment among large holders is distributing, consistent with the dominant sell pressure observed in trading analytics.

Liquidity$0.00 (reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$48,210
Sell$185,290
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers467
Unique sellers1,306

The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is the single most alarming data point in this analysis. Despite $233K+ in 24h trading volume, the AMM pool reports zero liquidity depth — this means any meaningful position exit will face catastrophic slippage. The sell-to-buy ratio is extreme: 1,306 unique sellers vs 467 unique buyers, and 3,647 sell transactions vs 1,173 buy transactions. Net flow is heavily outbound. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair: 2FxX1awKLyAaiWZSa4pL9bYcLzmEtie6JpuoCu8HTzRo), a platform associated with early-stage memecoins. The combination of zero reported liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a freshly pumped price creates an extremely dangerous exit environment for latecomers.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1 (formatted) — likely a decimal/display error; raw balances in holder data suggest actual supply is in the quadrillions (e.g., top holder balance: 101,940,026,923,512 units with 0 decimals)
FDV$0.00 (reported — likely a data feed artifact)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The tokenomics data contains severe anomalies. The formatted total supply is reported as '1' with 0 decimals, yet holder balances show values in the tens of trillions (e.g., top holder: 101.9 trillion units). This is a fundamental data inconsistency — either the supply display is wrong or the decimal configuration is misreported. The FDV is reported as $0.00, which is mathematically impossible given the active price of ~$0.000148. Update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the token is mutable, meaning metadata can be changed post-launch — a significant rug risk factor. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data. The absence of any verified contract, description, or social links further elevates tokenomic risk. Investors should treat this token as having unknown and potentially dangerous authority controls.

Volatility
high

321% 24h price gain followed by a shooting star rejection candle. The 1h change of +153% and 5m change of +19% indicate extreme intraday volatility. Price could collapse as rapidly as it rose.

Liquidity
high

Total reported liquidity is $0.00. Despite $233K+ in 24h volume, there is no confirmed liquidity depth. Any attempt to exit a meaningful position will face severe slippage or may be impossible.

Concentration
medium

Top 10 holders control 27.61% of supply; top 100 control 77.37%. The #1 holder is the DEX pool. Remaining concentration among individual whales creates dump risk, though it is not extreme by memecoin standards.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. The largest snipers have already realized profits of 71.6%, 71.2%, 59.9%, and 32.3% respectively, with total exits exceeding $7,800. Continued sniper distribution into any price recovery is highly likely.

Authority
high

Update authority is unknown, token is mutable, contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token has no description, no social links, and no verifiable team. This profile is consistent with anonymous rug-pull setups.

Key risks

  • $0.00 reported liquidity makes exit potentially impossible without catastrophic slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before this pump — no organic community or utility
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug pull risk is unquantifiable
  • 79.4% sell volume dominance signals active distribution by early holders and snipers
  • Unverified contract with no description, no socials, no team transparency
  • Anomalous tokenomics data (supply reported as '1', FDV as $0.00) suggests data integrity issues
  • All 630 new holders arrived in the pump window — FOMO-driven, not fundamental

Mitigating factors

  • Token is listed as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
  • 20 snipers present but not all have exited — some residual holder interest remains
  • 1h price momentum (+153%) and 5m momentum (+19%) show very recent buying activity
  • Holder distribution includes 278 dolphins and 169 whales — not purely retail
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without a clear and executable exit strategy. Given the $0 liquidity report, even experienced traders may be unable to exit positions.

GAPLA is a high-risk, zero-fundamental memecoin that experienced a sudden pump event after 30+ days of complete dormancy. The investment case is purely speculative momentum trading. The overwhelming evidence points to a pump-and-dump in progress: dominant sell pressure, zero liquidity, sniper profit-taking, and no underlying utility or community. Any bullish thesis relies entirely on continued speculative momentum, which is historically short-lived in this token archetype.

Bull case (low)

Viral momentum continuation: If GAPLA catches broader social media attention (e.g., Twitter/X trending, influencer promotion), the 321% pump could be the beginning of a larger move. New buyers continue to absorb sell pressure, liquidity is added to the pool, and the token establishes a higher base.

  • Sustained viral social media attention driving new buyer inflow
  • Whale accumulation at current levels absorbing sniper distribution
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally creating favorable conditions
  • Liquidity addition to the PumpSwap pool enabling larger position sizes

Base case

Sharp retracement followed by low-volume stabilization: Price falls 60–80% from current levels as the pump unwinds, settling in the $0.000030–$0.000060 range. A small residual community of 100–200 holders remains, with occasional low-volume trading. The token does not recover to pump highs without a new catalyst.

  • Sell pressure continues to dominate over the next 24–72 hours
  • No new significant catalyst (viral event, influencer, partnership) emerges
  • Liquidity remains shallow, preventing large-scale buying
  • Sniper wallets complete their distribution within 48 hours of the pump

Bear case (high)

Rapid collapse post-pump: The token retraces to pre-pump levels (~$0.000034 or lower) as snipers and early holders complete distribution. With $0 liquidity and no fundamental support, the price could fall 80–95% from current levels. The 45 original holders who held through the dormant period may also take profits.

  • Continued sniper and whale distribution into any price recovery
  • Zero liquidity depth making price support impossible to maintain
  • FOMO buyers from the pump window exiting as momentum fades
  • No utility, community, or catalyst to sustain interest post-pump
  • Mutable token metadata creating rug-pull overhang

GeneratedMay 16, 06:20 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-16T06:00–06:30 UTC. OHLC data covers the most recent 3 hours only. Historical holder data covers April 16 – May 15, 2026.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading pair data (pair: 2FxX1awKLyAaiWZSa4pL9bYcLzmEtie6JpuoCu8HTzRo)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-05-16 04:00–06:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (675 total holders, acquisition breakdown)
  • Historical holder time series (30 days, daily granularity)
  • Top 20 holder wallet addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks, realized PnL data)

Limitations

  • Total supply is reported as '1' with 0 decimals, contradicting holder balance data showing trillions of units — all supply-based calculations are approximate
  • FDV and total liquidity are both reported as $0.00, which is inconsistent with active trading — these figures are likely data feed errors
  • Sniper sniped amounts and current balances are largely 'unknown', limiting precise concentration calculations
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk cannot be precisely quantified
  • Holder percentage figures in raw data exceed 100% by orders of magnitude — a clear data anomaly requiring interpretation
  • No social links, whitepaper, or team information available for fundamental analysis
  • Price data shows 0% change for 6h and 24h periods despite a 321% 24h gain — possible data feed inconsistency

This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in GAPLA. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (formatted) — likely a decimal/display error; raw balances in holder data suggest actual supply is in the quadrillions (e.g., top holder balance: 101,940,026,923,512 units with 0 decimals)

Key Risks

$0.00 reported liquidity makes exit potentially impossible without catastrophic slippage
Token was dormant for 30+ days before this pump — no organic community or utility
Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug pull risk is unquantifiable
79.4% sell volume dominance signals active distribution by early holders and snipers

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, the majority have already sold significant portions of their positions. The top 4 snipers by exit value (AgmLJBM: $3,868 at +71.6%; DiBiwF5: $1,179 at +71.2%; 1aDerPK: $1,610 at +32.3%; STorres: $1,123 at +59.9%) are all in profit and have distributed heavily. Several snipers show negative PnL (2QALaBb: -36.8%, 56S29mZ: -7.8%, 5EpXnC3: -1.8%), suggesting they bought in at higher prices or sold too early. The overall sniper PnL state is mixed but skewed toward profit-taking by the largest actors. The high sell-through rate among profitable snipers is a bearish signal — smart money has largely exited.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; exact supply concentration unknown due to missing sniped balance data. Notable exits: AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51 sold $3,868 (+71.6% PnL), DiBiwF5kwvhFc5EGkXE6Pje3XoqMmWjvE9MVtXjZhfft sold $1,179 (+71.2%), 1aDerPKk87xJHCAqTY5bGxF5Xet2MG476y4Zmq2WJ8Y sold $1,610 (+32.3%), STorreSu8X6yPLmiEScNHSGDinqV7j84hWjmvH9SPwk sold $1,123 (+59.9%).

Early buyers (snipers) who entered in the first 1,000 blocks are predominantly in profit and have been actively selling. The largest sniper exits total over $7,800 in realized proceeds. This distribution behavior from early buyers is a classic warning sign of a coordinated pump-and-dump.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Federated States of Gapla (GAPLA)?

The token is showing classic pump-and-dump dynamics. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 79.4% of 24h volume ($185K sells vs $48K buys). The most recent hourly candle (06:00 UTC) shows a dramatic wick with H:$0.0000975 and C:$0.0000344 — a sharp rejection from highs. With $0 reported liquidity and 3,647 sell transactions vs 1,173 buys, downside continuation is the most probable near-term outcome. Price could retrace to pre-pump levels near $0.000034–$0.000037. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000200.

Is GAPLA a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without a clear and executable exit strategy. Given the $0 liquidity report, even experienced traders may be unable to exit positions.

How are GAPLA holders trending?

Federated States of Gapla currently has 675 holders and is growing (24h: 630, 7d: 630, 30d: 630). The holder data tells a stark story: 45 stagnant holders for 30 days, then an explosive +630 holders (+93%) in a single 24-hour window. The 1h metric alone shows +289 holders (+43%), meaning nearly half of all new holders arrived in the most recent hour — the peak of the pump. Acquisition method is almost entirely swap-based (667 of 675 holders), confirming these are active traders rather than airdrop recipients. The distribution breakdown (169 whales, 93 sharks, 278 dolphins, 96 fish, 32 octopus) suggests a mix of sizes entered during the pump. Growth is accelerating in the immediate term but is entirely pump-dependent — a reversal in price will likely trigger rapid holder attrition as traders exit.

What does sniper activity look like for GAPLA?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding GAPLA?

$0.00 reported liquidity makes exit potentially impossible without catastrophic slippage • Token was dormant for 30+ days before this pump — no organic community or utility • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug pull risk is unquantifiable

Track GAPLA