grail

grail Price Prediction 2026

grail
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 26, 2026

3x6apzqJKgf33zet8CbkAx7LogqkRhNX6FiRzVA5pump

$0.041321

-2.49%

FDV $13,205

LiveContract:3x6apzqJKgf33zet8CbkAx7LogqkRhNX6FiRzVA5pumpChain:SolanaHolders:2,338Market cap:$13,205

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Report snapshotas of May 26, 04:17 AM
FDV

$119,917

Liquidity

$0

Holders

757

Snipers

37

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

GRAIL (grail) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: 3x6apzqJKgf33zet8CbkAx7LogqkRhNX6FiRzVA5pump) with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a current FDV of ~$119,917. The token has experienced an extraordinary 301% price surge in the past 24 hours, rising from ~$0.000030 to ~$0.000120. However, this spike is accompanied by heavily skewed sell pressure (73.8% sell volume), zero reported on-chain liquidity, and a holder base that was completely stagnant at 78 holders for the entire prior 30-day period before exploding to 757 holders in the last 24 hours. These dynamics suggest a highly speculative, potentially coordinated pump event with significant dump risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 301% 24h price surge on a Pump.fun token with no prior holder growth for 30 days
Sell pressure dominates at 73.8% of 24h volume ($225.69K sells vs $80.26K buys)
Holder base jumped from 78 to 757 (+679) in a single day after 30 days of zero growth
Zero reported total liquidity ($0.00) on PumpSwap despite active trading — extreme slippage risk
20 snipers active in first 1000 blocks; mixed PnL with several large profitable exits already taken

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is showing classic pump-and-dump characteristics. Sell pressure at 73.8% of 24h volume, zero liquidity depth, and multiple snipers already having taken profit (e.g., sniper #19 at +175.2%, sniper #15 at +103.1%, sniper #10 at +288.2%) suggest the price spike is unsustainable. The most recent candle (04:00 UTC) shows a sharp drop from the open of $0.0000342 with a high of $0.0000637 and close of $0.0000637 — well below the current reported price of $0.000120, indicating the live price may reflect a thin-order-book spike. Immediate reversion toward $0.000034–$0.000064 range is likely.

Target low$0.000020
Target high$0.000120
Support: $0.000034 (candle [1] open / candle [3] open), $0.000020 (candle [3] low — $0.0000202)
Resistance: $0.000088 (candle [3] high), $0.000120 (current live price / 24h high)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token had zero holder growth for 30 days prior to this event, no verified contract, no project description, and no on-chain liquidity, sustained medium-term price appreciation is unlikely without a fundamental catalyst. Most pump-and-dump tokens on Pump.fun revert to near-zero within days of the initial spike.

Catalysts
  • Unexpected viral social media traction (Twitter link present)
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Whale accumulation reversing sell pressure

Bullish factors

  • 301% 24h price gain demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • Holder count grew +679 (90%) in 24 hours indicating rapid new interest
  • 5-minute price change of +7.6% and 1-hour change of +104% show continued intraday momentum
  • Some snipers still holding (e.g., sniper #20 with $132 balance, sniper #18 with $42 balance) suggesting not all early buyers have exited
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • 73.8% of 24h volume is sell-side ($225.69K sells vs $80.26K buys)
  • Total reported liquidity is $0.00 — any sell order faces catastrophic slippage
  • Token was completely dormant (78 holders, zero change) for the entire prior 30-day period
  • No project description, unverified contract, update authority unknown
  • Multiple high-profit snipers have already fully exited (sniper #19: +175.2% on $2,053 sold; sniper #15: +103.1% on $988 sold)
  • Pump.fun suffix in mint address confirms this is a bonding-curve launch with no fundamental backing
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) zero liquidity reported making price discovery unreliable, (2) OHLC data covers only 3 hourly candles with inconsistent H/L ordering suggesting data anomalies, (3) no top holder data available, (4) sniper cost basis unknown making precise PnL pressure calculations impossible, and (5) the token's 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day explosion is highly atypical and hard to model.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available (02:00–04:00 UTC on 2026-05-26). NOTE: The provided OHLC data contains an anomaly — in candle [1] (04:00 UTC), the Low ($0.0000811) is higher than the High ($0.0000637), which is physically impossible and suggests a data feed error or label swap. Interpreting with caution: Candle [3] (02:00): O=$0.0000342, H=$0.0000879, L=$0.0000202, C=$0.0000646 — a wide-range bullish candle with a long lower wick, suggesting a sharp dip and recovery. Candle [2] (03:00): O=$0.0000637, H=$0.0000637, L=$0.0000207, C=$0.0000342 — a bearish candle closing near the low, indicating selling pressure after the initial spike. Candle [1] (04:00): Data anomalous; close at $0.0000637. The current live price of $0.000120 is significantly above all three candle closes, suggesting a further spike occurred after 04:00 UTC on very thin liquidity.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 26%Sell 74%

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 301% 24h gain and current price above all recent candle closes. However, the medium-term picture is sideways-to-bearish given 30 days of complete price and holder stagnation prior to this event. The current uptrend is driven by a speculative spike rather than organic accumulation.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000064 (recent candle close cluster)
Major$0.000020 (candle [3] low — absolute recent floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000088 (candle [3] high)
Major$0.000120 (current live price / apparent 24h high)

The $0.000020 level represents the lowest recent wick and acts as major support. The $0.000034 level (repeated open across candles [1] and [3]) is a key pivot. Resistance at $0.000088 (candle [3] high) and $0.000120 (live price) are thin-liquidity levels that could collapse quickly on any sell pressure.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing structure in candle [2]: opened at the prior close high ($0.0000637) and closed near the low ($0.0000342), indicating distribution
  • Long lower wicks in candles [2] and [3] suggest buy support at the $0.000020–$0.000034 range but also panic selling
  • Price spike to $0.000120 (current) on declining volume ($21,597 in candle [1]) — classic low-volume pump, high reversal risk
  • 30-day price dormancy followed by single-session explosion — textbook pump event pattern
  • Repeated open/close levels at $0.000034 and $0.000064 suggest these are key equilibrium zones

Total holders757
24h Δ+679
7d Δ+679
30d Δ+679
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count was completely flat at 78 for the entire 30-day historical period (April 26 – May 25, 2026), showing zero organic growth. The explosive +679 holder gain (+90%) in the last 24 hours is perfectly correlated with the 301% price spike, strongly suggesting the holder growth is a consequence of the pump event rather than organic adoption. This pattern — dormancy followed by a single-day explosion — is characteristic of coordinated pump activity.

Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' from zero to +679 in 24 hours, but this is misleading in isolation. The 30-day historical data shows 78 holders with zero net change every single day from April 26 to May 25 — an unusual pattern suggesting the token was either dormant, held by a small group, or artificially suppressed. The sudden jump to 757 holders on May 26 coincides precisely with the price pump. Acquisition method breakdown (743 via swap, 14 via transfer, 0 via airdrop) confirms these are active traders entering during the pump, not organic community growth. The distribution data (whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0) and top10/top100 concentration both showing 0% are likely data gaps rather than genuine readings.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

No top holder data available

Data unavailable — top holders list returned empty

0.00%

No top holder data was returned by the data provider (top 20 holders list is empty). The supply concentration metrics show top10=0% and top100=0%, which are almost certainly data gaps rather than genuine readings — a 1B supply token with 757 holders cannot have zero concentration in the top 100. This is a critical data limitation. Given the Pump.fun launch mechanism, it is likely that the bonding curve contract, the deployer wallet, and a small number of early buyers hold a disproportionate share of supply. The sniper data partially fills this gap: sniper #19 alone sold $2,053 worth of tokens at +175.2% profit, suggesting significant early accumulation. Without verified top holder data, whale sentiment is classified as 'mixed' based on sniper behavior — some have exited profitably, others at a loss, and a few still hold.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$80,260
Sell$225,690
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers673
Unique sellers1,630

The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is the single most alarming data point in this analysis. Despite $305.95K in 24h trading volume on PumpSwap (pair: UvN1ZVZJom7D4CPuhjJrbD6y82k5TSefRQMZHHXjjfM), the liquidity pool appears to have near-zero depth. This means any meaningful sell order will cause catastrophic price impact. The net flow is strongly negative: $225.69K in sell volume vs $80.26K in buy volume (73.8% sell pressure), with 1,630 unique sellers vs 673 unique buyers — a 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio. The high transaction count (4,296 sells vs 1,724 buys) further confirms distribution dominance. The current price of $0.000120 is likely a thin-book artifact and does not reflect a price at which any meaningful quantity could be sold. Market health is poor.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)
FDV$119,917.27

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1 billion tokens with 6 decimals, standard for Pump.fun launches. The FDV of ~$119,917 is extremely small, making this a micro-cap token highly susceptible to price manipulation. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is unverified, preventing definitive assessment of mint/freeze authority status. The metadata field 'Mutable: false' is a mild positive signal — immutable metadata reduces the risk of post-launch metadata manipulation. However, without confirmed renouncement of mint and freeze authorities on-chain, rug risk from authorities cannot be ruled out. The token has no description, no verified contract, and carries a Pump.fun mint address suffix ('pump'), confirming it was launched via the Pump.fun bonding curve mechanism. No vesting schedules, tokenomics documentation, or team allocation data is available.

Volatility
high

301% price gain in 24 hours with a 104% gain in the last hour alone. The token moved from ~$0.000030 to ~$0.000120 in hours. Such extreme volatility is characteristic of thin-liquidity pump events and can reverse just as rapidly.

Liquidity
high

Total reported liquidity is $0.00 on PumpSwap. Despite $305.95K in 24h volume, there is effectively no liquidity depth. Any sell order beyond a few dollars will face severe slippage, and exiting a meaningful position at the current price is likely impossible.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable, but the token was held by only 78 wallets for 30 days before the pump. With a Pump.fun launch and 20 identified snipers, early concentration is almost certainly high. The data gap (top10=0%, top100=0%) prevents precise measurement but does not reduce the risk.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. While many have already sold (reducing future dump pressure from this cohort), the largest profitable snipers (#19: +175.2%, #15: +103.1%, #10: +288.2%) have already exited, suggesting the pump may be in its distribution phase. Remaining holders from the 757 total who bought during the pump are now the potential sellers.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown' and the contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. 'Mutable: false' metadata is a mild positive. Without on-chain verification of authority renouncement, a medium authority risk rating is appropriate.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity makes exit at current prices practically impossible for any meaningful position
  • 73.8% sell pressure with 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • Token was completely dormant for 30+ days before a single-day pump — classic coordinated pump pattern
  • No project description, unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Pump.fun bonding curve launch with no fundamental utility or backing
  • Multiple profitable snipers have already fully exited, removing key buy-side support
  • FDV of only ~$120K makes the token trivially easy to manipulate

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable: false metadata reduces post-launch metadata manipulation risk
  • Some snipers still holding (snipers #18, #20) suggesting not all early buyers have exited
  • Social links present (Twitter, Moralis) indicating some community presence
  • Not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Holder count growth to 757 shows genuine new interest, even if speculative
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand Pump.fun mechanics, can monitor positions in real-time, and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is entirely unsuitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given zero liquidity, any position should be considered illiquid.

GRAIL is a Pump.fun memecoin that experienced a dramatic single-day pump after 30+ days of complete dormancy. The investment case is almost entirely speculative — there is no utility, no verified team, no liquidity, and no fundamental value proposition. The bull case relies entirely on continued momentum trading; the bear case (which appears more probable) is a rapid reversion to near-zero as the pump exhausts itself and sellers overwhelm the thin order book.

Bull case (low)

Continued momentum and viral spread drive further price appreciation. New buyers continue to enter faster than snipers and early holders exit, pushing the FDV toward $500K–$1M+ in the short term before a correction.

  • Viral social media traction on Twitter driving new retail buyers
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in risk-on mode
  • Whale accumulation absorbing sell pressure
  • Token achieves trending status on Pump.fun or DEX screeners

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.000034–$0.000064 range (recent candle cluster) over the next 24–72 hours as the initial pump fades. Volume declines sharply, holder count stabilizes or begins declining as disappointed buyers exit. Token returns to low-activity status within 1–2 weeks.

  • Sell pressure continues to dominate but at a declining rate
  • No new major catalyst emerges to reignite buying interest
  • Liquidity remains near zero, preventing large exits and causing gradual price erosion
  • The 757 current holders represent the peak of the pump cycle

Bear case (high)

The pump exhausts itself within hours. Sell pressure (already 73.8% of volume) overwhelms the zero-liquidity pool, causing a cascade collapse back toward the $0.000020–$0.000034 range or lower. Most recent buyers lose 70–90% of their investment.

  • Zero liquidity means any coordinated selling causes immediate price collapse
  • Profitable snipers have already exited; remaining holders are at higher cost basis
  • No fundamental value to anchor price during a downturn
  • 30-day dormancy pattern suggests no organic community to support price
  • 4,296 sell transactions vs 1,724 buy transactions already showing distribution dominance

GeneratedMay 26, 04:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 2026-05-26T04:00–04:30 UTC. Historical holder data covers April 26 – May 25, 2026 (30 days). OHLC covers only the last 3 hourly candles (02:00–04:00 UTC on 2026-05-26).
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • On-chain OHLC price feed (hourly)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Trading volume and wallet analytics

Limitations

  • Top 20 holders list returned empty — whale concentration analysis is severely limited
  • Total sniped USD amounts and sniper cost basis are unknown — precise sniper PnL and concentration % cannot be calculated
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed lag or genuine zero-liquidity condition; either way, price discovery is unreliable
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Candle [1] (04:00 UTC) contains an anomalous H/L inversion (L > H) suggesting a data feed error
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data gaps rather than genuine readings
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite 301% 24h change in price feed — data inconsistency noted
  • No project description or whitepaper available for fundamental analysis

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used contains several gaps and anomalies as noted above. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

Zero reported liquidity makes exit at current prices practically impossible for any meaningful position
73.8% sell pressure with 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
Token was completely dormant for 30+ days before a single-day pump — classic coordinated pump pattern
No project description, unverified contract, unknown update authority

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. PnL is mixed: 7 snipers show positive realized PnL (ranging from +1.3% to +288.2%) while 11 show negative realized PnL (ranging from -3.3% to -34.0%), and 2 show 0% (likely unsold). The sell-through rate is high — the vast majority of snipers have already sold most or all of their positions. The largest profitable exits (sniper #19: +175.2%, sniper #10: +288.2%, sniper #15: +103.1%) suggest early buyers timed the pump well and have largely exited, removing a key source of potential future buying. Remaining sniper holders represent minimal overhang.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper cost basis and sniped amounts are unknown; however, 18 of 20 snipers have sold at least some tokens. The largest exits by dollar value: sniper #19 sold $2,053 (+175.2% PnL), sniper #15 sold $988 (+103.1%), sniper #16 sold $670 (-3.3%), sniper #5 sold $72 (-15.6%), sniper #7 sold $68 (-15.6%). Only snipers #18 ($42 balance) and #20 ($132 balance) appear to still hold meaningful positions.

Predominantly bearish — the majority of snipers with known PnL have sold at a loss, and the largest profitable snipers have already fully exited. This indicates the initial smart money has rotated out, leaving retail buyers holding the bag at elevated prices.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for grail (grail)?

The token is showing classic pump-and-dump characteristics. Sell pressure at 73.8% of 24h volume, zero liquidity depth, and multiple snipers already having taken profit (e.g., sniper #19 at +175.2%, sniper #15 at +103.1%, sniper #10 at +288.2%) suggest the price spike is unsustainable. The most recent candle (04:00 UTC) shows a sharp drop from the open of $0.0000342 with a high of $0.0000637 and close of $0.0000637 — well below the current reported price of $0.000120, indicating the live price may reflect a thin-order-book spike. Immediate reversion toward $0.000034–$0.000064 range is likely. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000120.

Is grail a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand Pump.fun mechanics, can monitor positions in real-time, and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is entirely unsuitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given zero liquidity, any position should be considered illiquid.

How are grail holders trending?

grail currently has 757 holders and is growing (24h: 679, 7d: 679, 30d: 679). Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' from zero to +679 in 24 hours, but this is misleading in isolation. The 30-day historical data shows 78 holders with zero net change every single day from April 26 to May 25 — an unusual pattern suggesting the token was either dormant, held by a small group, or artificially suppressed. The sudden jump to 757 holders on May 26 coincides precisely with the price pump. Acquisition method breakdown (743 via swap, 14 via transfer, 0 via airdrop) confirms these are active traders entering during the pump, not organic community growth. The distribution data (whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0) and top10/top100 concentration both showing 0% are likely data gaps rather than genuine readings.

What does sniper activity look like for grail?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding grail?

Zero reported liquidity makes exit at current prices practically impossible for any meaningful position • 73.8% sell pressure with 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution • Token was completely dormant for 30+ days before a single-day pump — classic coordinated pump pattern

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