grail

grail Price Today & AI Analysis

grailSolanaAnalysis as of May 26, 2026

Price

$0.058656

-1.11% 24h · FDV $8,652

Contract

Live
3x6apzqJKgf33zet8CbkAx7LogqkRhNX6FiRzVA5pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

2,150

Market cap

$8,652

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grail: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-26 04:17 UTC

Holder addresses

757

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is grail ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 757 addresses (2026-05-26 04:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling grail?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is grail liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-26 04:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 26, 04:17 AM UTC

FDV

$119,917

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

757

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

GRAIL (grail) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: 3x6apzqJKgf33zet8CbkAx7LogqkRhNX6FiRzVA5pump) with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a current FDV of ~$119,917. The token has experienced an extraordinary 301% price surge in the past 24 hours, rising from ~$0.000030 to ~$0.000120. However, this spike is accompanied by heavily skewed sell pressure (73.8% sell volume), zero reported on-chain liquidity, and a holder base that was completely stagnant at 78 holders for the entire prior 30-day period before exploding to 757 holders in the last 24 hours. These dynamics suggest a highly speculative, potentially coordinated pump event with significant dump risk.

Key points

  • Extreme 301% 24h price surge on a Pump.fun token with no prior holder growth for 30 days
  • Sell pressure dominates at 73.8% of 24h volume ($225.69K sells vs $80.26K buys)
  • Holder base jumped from 78 to 757 (+679) in a single day after 30 days of zero growth
  • Zero reported total liquidity ($0.00) on PumpSwap despite active trading — extreme slippage risk
  • 20 snipers active in first 1000 blocks; mixed PnL with several large profitable exits already taken

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is showing classic pump-and-dump characteristics. Sell pressure at 73.8% of 24h volume, zero liquidity depth, and multiple snipers already having taken profit (e.g., sniper #19 at +175.2%, sniper #15 at +103.1%, sniper #10 at +288.2%) suggest the price spike is unsustainable. The most recent candle (04:00 UTC) shows a sharp drop from the open of $0.0000342 with a high of $0.0000637 and close of $0.0000637 — well below the current reported price of $0.000120, indicating the live price may reflect a thin-order-book spike. Immediate reversion toward $0.000034–$0.000064 range is likely.

Target low

$0.000020

Target high

$0.000120

Support

$0.000034 (candle [1] open / candle [3] open), $0.000020 (candle [3] low — $0.0000202)

Resistance

$0.000088 (candle [3] high), $0.000120 (current live price / 24h high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the token had zero holder growth for 30 days prior to this event, no verified contract, no project description, and no on-chain liquidity, sustained medium-term price appreciation is unlikely without a fundamental catalyst. Most pump-and-dump tokens on Pump.fun revert to near-zero within days of the initial spike.

Catalysts

  • Unexpected viral social media traction (Twitter link present)
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Whale accumulation reversing sell pressure

Bullish factors

  • 301% 24h price gain demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • Holder count grew +679 (90%) in 24 hours indicating rapid new interest
  • 5-minute price change of +7.6% and 1-hour change of +104% show continued intraday momentum
  • Some snipers still holding (e.g., sniper #20 with $132 balance, sniper #18 with $42 balance) suggesting not all early buyers have exited
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • 73.8% of 24h volume is sell-side ($225.69K sells vs $80.26K buys)
  • Total reported liquidity is $0.00 — any sell order faces catastrophic slippage
  • Token was completely dormant (78 holders, zero change) for the entire prior 30-day period
  • No project description, unverified contract, update authority unknown
  • Multiple high-profit snipers have already fully exited (sniper #19: +175.2% on $2,053 sold; sniper #15: +103.1% on $988 sold)
  • Pump.fun suffix in mint address confirms this is a bonding-curve launch with no fundamental backing

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) zero liquidity reported making price discovery unreliable, (2) OHLC data covers only 3 hourly candles with inconsistent H/L ordering suggesting data anomalies, (3) no top holder data available, (4) sniper cost basis unknown making precise PnL pressure calculations impossible, and (5) the token's 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day explosion is highly atypical and hard to model.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
3x6apz...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

  • Zero reported liquidity makes exit at current prices practically impossible for any meaningful position
  • 73.8% sell pressure with 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • Token was completely dormant for 30+ days before a single-day pump — classic coordinated pump pattern
  • No project description, unverified contract, unknown update authority

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available (02:00–04:00 UTC on 2026-05-26). NOTE: The provided OHLC data contains an anomaly — in candle [1] (04:00 UTC), the Low ($0.0000811) is higher than the High ($0.0000637), which is physically impossible and suggests a data feed error or label swap. Interpreting with caution: Candle [3] (02:00): O=$0.0000342, H=$0.0000879, L=$0.0000202, C=$0.0000646 — a wide-range bullish candle with a long lower wick, suggesting a sharp dip and recovery. Candle [2] (03:00): O=$0.0000637, H=$0.0000637, L=$0.0000207, C=$0.0000342 — a bearish candle closing near the low, indicating selling pressure after the initial spike. Candle [1] (04:00): Data anomalous; close at $0.0000637. The current live price of $0.000120 is significantly above all three candle closes, suggesting a further spike occurred after 04:00 UTC on very thin liquidity.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 301% 24h gain and current price above all recent candle closes. However, the medium-term picture is sideways-to-bearish given 30 days of complete price and holder stagnation prior to this event. The current uptrend is driven by a speculative spike rather than organic accumulation.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

26%

Sell

74%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000064 (recent candle close cluster)

Major support

$0.000020 (candle [3] low — absolute recent floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000088 (candle [3] high)

Major resistance

$0.000120 (current live price / apparent 24h high)

The $0.000020 level represents the lowest recent wick and acts as major support. The $0.000034 level (repeated open across candles [1] and [3]) is a key pivot. Resistance at $0.000088 (candle [3] high) and $0.000120 (live price) are thin-liquidity levels that could collapse quickly on any sell pressure.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing structure in candle [2]: opened at the prior close high ($0.0000637) and closed near the low ($0.0000342), indicating distribution
  • Long lower wicks in candles [2] and [3] suggest buy support at the $0.000020–$0.000034 range but also panic selling
  • Price spike to $0.000120 (current) on declining volume ($21,597 in candle [1]) — classic low-volume pump, high reversal risk
  • 30-day price dormancy followed by single-session explosion — textbook pump event pattern
  • Repeated open/close levels at $0.000034 and $0.000064 suggest these are key equilibrium zones

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

FDV

$119,917.27

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    301% price gain in 24 hours with a 104% gain in the last hour alone. The token moved from ~$0.000030 to ~$0.000120 in hours. Such extreme volatility is characteristic of thin-liquidity pump events and can reverse just as rapidly.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity makes exit at current prices practically impossible for any meaningful position
  • 73.8% sell pressure with 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution
  • Token was completely dormant for 30+ days before a single-day pump — classic coordinated pump pattern
  • No project description, unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Pump.fun bonding curve launch with no fundamental utility or backing
  • Multiple profitable snipers have already fully exited, removing key buy-side support
  • FDV of only ~$120K makes the token trivially easy to manipulate

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable: false metadata reduces post-launch metadata manipulation risk
  • Some snipers still holding (snipers #18, #20) suggesting not all early buyers have exited
  • Social links present (Twitter, Moralis) indicating some community presence
  • Not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Holder count growth to 757 shows genuine new interest, even if speculative

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand Pump.fun mechanics, can monitor positions in real-time, and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is entirely unsuitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given zero liquidity, any position should be considered illiquid.

GRAIL is a Pump.fun memecoin that experienced a dramatic single-day pump after 30+ days of complete dormancy. The investment case is almost entirely speculative — there is no utility, no verified team, no liquidity, and no fundamental value proposition. The bull case relies entirely on continued momentum trading; the bear case (which appears more probable) is a rapid reversion to near-zero as the pump exhausts itself and sellers overwhelm the thin order book.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued momentum and viral spread drive further price appreciation. New buyers continue to enter faster than snipers and early holders exit, pushing the FDV toward $500K–$1M+ in the short term before a correction.

  • Viral social media traction on Twitter driving new retail buyers
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in risk-on mode
  • Whale accumulation absorbing sell pressure
  • Token achieves trending status on Pump.fun or DEX screeners

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.000034–$0.000064 range (recent candle cluster) over the next 24–72 hours as the initial pump fades. Volume declines sharply, holder count stabilizes or begins declining as disappointed buyers exit. Token returns to low-activity status within 1–2 weeks.

  • Sell pressure continues to dominate but at a declining rate
  • No new major catalyst emerges to reignite buying interest
  • Liquidity remains near zero, preventing large exits and causing gradual price erosion
  • The 757 current holders represent the peak of the pump cycle

Bear Case

High probability

The pump exhausts itself within hours. Sell pressure (already 73.8% of volume) overwhelms the zero-liquidity pool, causing a cascade collapse back toward the $0.000020–$0.000034 range or lower. Most recent buyers lose 70–90% of their investment.

  • Zero liquidity means any coordinated selling causes immediate price collapse
  • Profitable snipers have already exited; remaining holders are at higher cost basis
  • No fundamental value to anchor price during a downturn
  • 30-day dormancy pattern suggests no organic community to support price
  • 4,296 sell transactions vs 1,724 buy transactions already showing distribution dominance

Analysis details

Generated

May 26, 04:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-26 04:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • On-chain OHLC price feed (hourly)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Trading volume and wallet analytics

Limitations

  • Top 20 holders list returned empty — whale concentration analysis is severely limited
  • Total sniped USD amounts and sniper cost basis are unknown — precise sniper PnL and concentration % cannot be calculated
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed lag or genuine zero-liquidity condition; either way, price discovery is unreliable
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Candle [1] (04:00 UTC) contains an anomalous H/L inversion (L > H) suggesting a data feed error
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data gaps rather than genuine readings
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite 301% 24h change in price feed — data inconsistency noted
  • No project description or whitepaper available for fundamental analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used contains several gaps and anomalies as noted above. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is grail ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 757 addresses (2026-05-26 04:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling grail?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is grail liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for grail (grail)?

The token is showing classic pump-and-dump characteristics. Sell pressure at 73.8% of 24h volume, zero liquidity depth, and multiple snipers already having taken profit (e.g., sniper #19 at +175.2%, sniper #15 at +103.1%, sniper #10 at +288.2%) suggest the price spike is unsustainable. The most recent candle (04:00 UTC) shows a sharp drop from the open of $0.0000342 with a high of $0.0000637 and close of $0.0000637 — well below the current reported price of $0.000120, indicating the live price may reflect a thin-order-book spike. Immediate reversion toward $0.000034–$0.000064 range is likely. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000120.

Is grail a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand Pump.fun mechanics, can monitor positions in real-time, and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is entirely unsuitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given zero liquidity, any position should be considered illiquid.

What are the key risks of holding grail?

Zero reported liquidity makes exit at current prices practically impossible for any meaningful position • 73.8% sell pressure with 2.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates active distribution • Token was completely dormant for 30+ days before a single-day pump — classic coordinated pump pattern

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