Goblin

GoblinCoin Prediction

Goblin
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 5, 2026

3KHMZhpthXuiCcgfTv7vVu9PpEz64KAEURFwi6Lopump

$0.001436

-25.50%

FDV $1,042,241

LiveContract:3KHMZhpthXuiCcgfTv7vVu9PpEz64KAEURFwi6LopumpChain:SolanaHolders:2,966Market cap:$1,042,241

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Report snapshotas of May 5, 01:59 AM
FDV

$1,042,241

Liquidity

$139,671

Holders

2,966

Snipers

38

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

GoblinCoin (Goblin) is a meme/community token launched via Discord (discord.gg/uxento) on the Solana blockchain, trading on PumpSwap at $0.001436 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$1.04M. The token is experiencing a sharp 24-hour sell-off of -25.5%, with sell pressure dominating at 82.1% of volume. Liquidity is thin at $139.67K, and the holder base has contracted sharply over the past 3 days after a brief spike. Smart money snipers are largely in profit and appear to be distributing, adding downward pressure.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Launched via Discord community (discord.gg/uxento), indicating a grassroots community origin
Trading exclusively on PumpSwap — a pump.fun derivative DEX — suggesting early-stage lifecycle
Verified contract with mutable=false metadata, reducing some rug risk
Sniper cohort is predominantly in profit (majority of 20 snipers show positive realized PnL), signaling ongoing distribution risk
Holder base peaked at 4,084 on 2026-05-01 and has since collapsed to 2,966 — a -27% drawdown in holders over 4 days

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
24–72 hours

Price is in a clear short-term downtrend, closing at $0.001436 after a high of $0.002238 in candle [23]. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 82.1% of 24h volume ($520K sells vs $113K buys). The 5m change of -0.83% and 1h change of -4.05% confirm continued momentum to the downside. A relief bounce is possible but unlikely to be sustained given the structural sell pressure.

Target low$0.00110
Target high$0.00175
Support: $0.001436 (current price / recent close), $0.001422 (candle [13] and [14] lows), $0.001100 (estimated next psychological support)
Resistance: $0.001680 (candle [2] high), $0.001910 (candle [11] high / candle [15] high), $0.002238 (candle [23] 24h high — major resistance)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

The medium-term outlook is bearish. Holder count has been declining sharply since May 1 peak (4,084 → 2,966), and the 30-day holder data shows a flat base from April 5–24 at 2,693 holders before a volatile spike-and-crash cycle. Unless new catalysts emerge from the Discord community, the token risks returning to or below its pre-spike holder base. FDV of ~$1.04M leaves limited upside without significant new demand.

Catalysts
  • New Discord community announcement or partnership
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Influencer promotion driving new buyer inflow
  • Reduction in sniper sell pressure as early holders exhaust positions

Bullish factors

  • Verified contract with mutable=false reduces rug risk
  • 24h buyer count of 455 shows some continued demand
  • +47 new holders in the last 1 hour suggests some accumulation interest at lower prices
  • Most snipers have already sold significant portions, reducing future sell pressure from that cohort
  • Community-driven origin with active social presence (Twitter, Moralis)

Bearish factors

  • 82.1% sell pressure in 24h ($520K sells vs $113K buys)
  • Price down -25.5% in 24h and -36.6% in 6h — accelerating decline
  • Holder count down -7.4% in 24h and collapsing from 4,084 peak
  • Thin liquidity of $139.67K creates high slippage risk for larger exits
  • Multiple snipers with large realized profits (e.g., 3216.6%, 321.1%, 299.9%) still holding balances — potential further distribution
  • No utility described beyond Discord community launch
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the meme coin nature of the asset, thin liquidity ($139.67K), missing sniper cost-basis data (sniped USD amounts unknown), and high volatility (6h change: -36.6%). Price action is driven largely by sentiment and sniper distribution rather than fundamentals.

Deep Analysis

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply725,660,288.58 Goblin

Key Risks

Overwhelming sell pressure (82.1% of 24h volume) with no reversal signal
Critically thin liquidity ($139.67K) relative to daily volume ($633K total)
Holder base collapsing: -1,182 holders (-29%) in 3 days from peak
Snipers predominantly in profit and actively distributing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, the majority show positive realized PnL percentages: 14 out of 20 are in profit (ranging from +3.2% to +3,216.6%), 3 are at a loss (-1.7%, -10.9%, -11.4%), and 1 shows 0% PnL. The aggregate realized profits are substantial — sniper [2] at +3,216.6%, sniper [10] at +321.1%, sniper [19] at +299.9%, sniper [17] at +204.6%, sniper [8] at +160.8%. Several snipers have sold thousands of dollars worth (sniper [8]: $3,394; sniper [20]: $2,921; sniper [17]: $2,648; sniper [5]: $1,954), indicating active distribution. The total sniped USD amount is unknown, limiting precise concentration calculations.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.50%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; exact token balances largely unknown but most show $0 or minimal remaining balance, suggesting significant sell-through. Notable exceptions: sniper [1] holds $0 balance with 0% realized PnL (possibly still holding or never sold profitably).

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly distributing into any price strength. The high realized PnL percentages suggest they entered at very low prices and have been systematically selling into rallies. The current price decline aligns with this distribution behavior.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for GoblinCoin (Goblin)?

Price is in a clear short-term downtrend, closing at $0.001436 after a high of $0.002238 in candle [23]. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 82.1% of 24h volume ($520K sells vs $113K buys). The 5m change of -0.83% and 1h change of -4.05% confirm continued momentum to the downside. A relief bounce is possible but unlikely to be sustained given the structural sell pressure. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.00110 to $0.00175.

Is Goblin a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators with small position sizes they can afford to lose entirely. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable returns, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme coin dynamics. This is a speculative play with very high probability of further downside.

How are Goblin holders trending?

GoblinCoin currently has 2,966 holders and is declining (24h: -7.4, 7d: 0.34, 30d: 9.2). The 30-day holder history reveals a striking pattern: holders were completely flat at 2,693 from April 5 through April 24 (20 consecutive days of zero change — likely a data artifact or token inactivity period). Activity resumed sharply on April 25 (+655, +20%) and peaked at 4,084 on May 1 (+388, +9.5%). Since then, holders have collapsed: -363 on Apr 30, +961 on Apr 29 (volatile spike), then -294, -545, -343 in the last 3 days. The current 24h loss of -220 and the 3-day cumulative loss of -1,182 holders (-29%) indicates accelerating distribution. The 1h gain of +47 may represent bargain hunters at current lows but is insufficient to reverse the trend.

What does sniper activity look like for Goblin?

Snipers hold roughly 0.50% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Goblin?

Overwhelming sell pressure (82.1% of 24h volume) with no reversal signal • Critically thin liquidity ($139.67K) relative to daily volume ($633K total) • Holder base collapsing: -1,182 holders (-29%) in 3 days from peak

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