Goblin

GoblinCoin Prediction

Goblin
Solana
AI Analysis
Apr 29, 04:47 PM

3KHMZhpthXuiCcgfTv7vVu9PpEz64KAEURFwi6Lopump

$0.00244519

+9823.61%

FDV $1,876,292

FDV

$1,876,292

Liquidity

$104,690

Holders

2,123

Snipers

38

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

GoblinCoin (Goblin) is a meme/community token launched via PumpFun and promoted through a Discord server (discord.gg/uxento). It trades on PumpSwap at ~$0.00244 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$905K–$1.88M depending on the source. The token has experienced an extraordinary 24h price surge of ~7,380–9,824% from near-zero levels, driven by a rapid influx of new holders (+1,336 in 24h, +63%). However, sell pressure is overwhelming at 76.2% of 24h volume ($2.63M sells vs $820K buys), liquidity is thin at $104.69K, and the token shows all hallmarks of a newly launched speculative meme coin with high dump risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price appreciation (~7,380–9,824%) from near-zero launch price
Rapid holder growth: +1,336 holders (+63%) in 24h, from a flat base of 518 holders for most of April
Overwhelming sell pressure: 76.2% sell volume ($2.63M) vs 23.8% buy volume ($820K) in 24h
Very thin liquidity at $104.69K on PumpSwap — high slippage risk for any meaningful position
20 identified snipers, majority in profit with several showing 84–321% realized PnL, indicating early buyers are actively distributing

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is already showing a -37.7% 1h decline after its parabolic spike. With 76.2% sell pressure, 4,347 sellers vs 1,325 buyers, and snipers actively taking profits, the short-term path of least resistance is down. The current price of ~$0.00244 is ~35x above the pre-pump level of ~$0.000067. A reversion toward the $0.0005–$0.001 range is plausible if selling continues.

Target low$0.0003
Target high$0.003
Support: $0.000957 (candle 5 & 13 low cluster), $0.000527 (candle 9 low), $0.000193 (candle 15 low), $0.000067 (pre-pump base)
Resistance: $0.00244 (current price / recent high area), $0.003 (psychological round number), $0.00245 (24h high zone)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token's history of flat holder counts for ~30 days (518 holders from March 30 to April 24), the recent pump appears to be a speculative event rather than organic growth. Without a clear utility, verified contract, or sustained community engagement beyond Discord, medium-term price action is likely to revert significantly. Continued sniper distribution and whale selling could push price back toward pre-pump levels.

Catalysts
  • Sustained community growth and Discord engagement could provide buying support
  • Any viral social media moment (Twitter/X) could reignite speculative interest
  • Sniper and whale distribution completing could stabilize price at a lower level
  • Broader Solana meme coin market sentiment

Bullish factors

  • Extraordinary 24h price appreciation demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • Rapid holder growth (+1,336 in 24h) shows community is forming quickly
  • 6h price change of +258.9% suggests intraday momentum bursts are possible
  • Low FDV (~$905K) leaves room for further speculative upside if narrative catches on
  • Majority of snipers are in profit, meaning they have incentive to hold for higher prices before dumping

Bearish factors

  • 76.2% sell pressure ($2.63M sells vs $820K buys) in 24h is deeply bearish
  • 1h price change of -37.7% confirms the pump is already reversing
  • Only $104.69K total liquidity — any moderate sell order causes severe price impact
  • Token was dormant for ~30 days (518 holders flat from March 30 to April 24) before this pump
  • 20 snipers with mostly positive PnL are likely distributing into retail buyers
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable=false but no authority confirmation
  • Launched via Discord with no clear utility or roadmap
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (24h range spans 3 orders of magnitude), the very short trading history with meaningful volume, missing sniper cost-basis data, and the highly speculative nature of the token. OHLC data shows anomalous candle structure (L values higher than O/H in several candles, suggesting data feed issues), further reducing technical reliability.

Deep Analysis

Technical Analysis
Holder Trends
Whale Map
Risk Assessment
Investment Thesis

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Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply767,341,677.61

Key Risks

Extreme price reversal risk: -37.7% already in last 1 hour after parabolic pump
Thin liquidity ($104.69K) creates severe exit risk and price manipulation vulnerability
Overwhelming sell pressure (76.2% of 24h volume) with 3.2x more sellers than buyers
Sniper distribution: 16/20 snipers in profit with 84–321% gains, actively selling into retail

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, 16 show positive realized PnL percentages, with several showing extraordinary gains: wallet 2WAqQGpQDNzA38AdQpiLpJAzkGq3nrghVrZnyxvaL7g5 at +321.1%, wallet 52oc72vjNbpUhF7jNE1pPAvc17JwBTyxybFp3u7PvetG at +299.9%, wallet 912iwi9rQV6mc6RxGa77QDjcQjLgoKvEVahBFeqdpSgN at +204.6%, and wallet kEFiAX3jo5NmemysQov342TZ9mGh6yp92GDRjhA8XDf at +160.8%. Only 3 snipers show negative PnL (BS7kabqFK8Qb2AqrzLC1M1VLhrh79QyoyQkJMossVDY9 at -10.9%, Hqs1RhP9yitpc9S6VpYNeGMqQXrmxDgiF4s1FJpiVmGj at -11.4%, 9fdszY8vQhBGy8GqY8spvGFrYRuR6AURMCXstpFtXxGv at -1.7%). The majority of snipers are in profit and have been selling into the pump, contributing to the 76.2% sell pressure. Exact sniper supply concentration cannot be computed as sniped USD amounts are unknown.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.50%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; exact supply sniped is unknown but individual sell amounts range from $0 to $3,394, with total identified sells of ~$18,294 across active snipers

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly in profit and actively distributing. The high realized PnL percentages (many 84–321%) suggest they entered at very low prices and are selling into retail demand generated by the pump. This is a significant bearish signal as smart money is clearly exiting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for GoblinCoin (Goblin)?

The token is already showing a -37.7% 1h decline after its parabolic spike. With 76.2% sell pressure, 4,347 sellers vs 1,325 buyers, and snipers actively taking profits, the short-term path of least resistance is down. The current price of ~$0.00244 is ~35x above the pre-pump level of ~$0.000067. A reversion toward the $0.0005–$0.001 range is plausible if selling continues. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0003 to $0.003.

Is Goblin a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This token exhibits all characteristics of a high-risk speculative pump event.

How are Goblin holders trending?

GoblinCoin currently has 2,123 holders and is growing (24h: 63, 7d: 76, 30d: 76). Holder growth is accelerating dramatically but is almost entirely driven by the speculative pump event. The 30-day and 7-day growth figures are identical (76%) because all meaningful growth occurred in the last 4–5 days. The token was completely dormant for ~25 days (518 holders flat). The -27 holder decline in the last hour, coinciding with the -37.7% price drop, suggests holders are already exiting. Distribution breakdown shows 174 whales, 93 sharks, 570 dolphins, 462 fish, and 345 octopus — a relatively broad distribution for a token this new, but dominated by smaller holders (fish/octopus/dolphin = 1,377 of 2,123 = 64.9%).

What does sniper activity look like for Goblin?

Snipers hold roughly 0.50% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Goblin?

Extreme price reversal risk: -37.7% already in last 1 hour after parabolic pump • Thin liquidity ($104.69K) creates severe exit risk and price manipulation vulnerability • Overwhelming sell pressure (76.2% of 24h volume) with 3.2x more sellers than buyers

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