Goblin

GoblinCoin Price Today & AI Analysis

Goblin
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 5, 2026

3KHMZhpthXuiCcgfTv7vVu9PpEz64KAEURFwi6Lopump

$0.000150

+1.67%

FDV $105,636

LiveContract:3KHMZhpthXuiCcgfTv7vVu9PpEz64KAEURFwi6LopumpChain:SolanaHolders:8,056Market cap:$105,636

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Report snapshotas of May 5, 01:59 AM
FDV

$1,042,241

Liquidity

$139,671

Holders

2,966

Snipers

38

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

GoblinCoin (Goblin) is a meme/community token launched via Discord (discord.gg/uxento) on the Solana blockchain, trading on PumpSwap at $0.001436 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$1.04M. The token is experiencing a sharp 24-hour sell-off of -25.5%, with sell pressure dominating at 82.1% of volume. Liquidity is thin at $139.67K, and the holder base has contracted sharply over the past 3 days after a brief spike. Smart money snipers are largely in profit and appear to be distributing, adding downward pressure.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Launched via Discord community (discord.gg/uxento), indicating a grassroots community origin
Trading exclusively on PumpSwap — a pump.fun derivative DEX — suggesting early-stage lifecycle
Verified contract with mutable=false metadata, reducing some rug risk
Sniper cohort is predominantly in profit (majority of 20 snipers show positive realized PnL), signaling ongoing distribution risk
Holder base peaked at 4,084 on 2026-05-01 and has since collapsed to 2,966 — a -27% drawdown in holders over 4 days

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
24–72 hours

Price is in a clear short-term downtrend, closing at $0.001436 after a high of $0.002238 in candle [23]. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 82.1% of 24h volume ($520K sells vs $113K buys). The 5m change of -0.83% and 1h change of -4.05% confirm continued momentum to the downside. A relief bounce is possible but unlikely to be sustained given the structural sell pressure.

Target low$0.00110
Target high$0.00175
Support: $0.001436 (current price / recent close), $0.001422 (candle [13] and [14] lows), $0.001100 (estimated next psychological support)
Resistance: $0.001680 (candle [2] high), $0.001910 (candle [11] high / candle [15] high), $0.002238 (candle [23] 24h high — major resistance)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

The medium-term outlook is bearish. Holder count has been declining sharply since May 1 peak (4,084 → 2,966), and the 30-day holder data shows a flat base from April 5–24 at 2,693 holders before a volatile spike-and-crash cycle. Unless new catalysts emerge from the Discord community, the token risks returning to or below its pre-spike holder base. FDV of ~$1.04M leaves limited upside without significant new demand.

Catalysts
  • New Discord community announcement or partnership
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Influencer promotion driving new buyer inflow
  • Reduction in sniper sell pressure as early holders exhaust positions

Bullish factors

  • Verified contract with mutable=false reduces rug risk
  • 24h buyer count of 455 shows some continued demand
  • +47 new holders in the last 1 hour suggests some accumulation interest at lower prices
  • Most snipers have already sold significant portions, reducing future sell pressure from that cohort
  • Community-driven origin with active social presence (Twitter, Moralis)

Bearish factors

  • 82.1% sell pressure in 24h ($520K sells vs $113K buys)
  • Price down -25.5% in 24h and -36.6% in 6h — accelerating decline
  • Holder count down -7.4% in 24h and collapsing from 4,084 peak
  • Thin liquidity of $139.67K creates high slippage risk for larger exits
  • Multiple snipers with large realized profits (e.g., 3216.6%, 321.1%, 299.9%) still holding balances — potential further distribution
  • No utility described beyond Discord community launch
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the meme coin nature of the asset, thin liquidity ($139.67K), missing sniper cost-basis data (sniped USD amounts unknown), and high volatility (6h change: -36.6%). Price action is driven largely by sentiment and sniper distribution rather than fundamentals.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles analyzed (2026-05-04T02:00Z to 2026-05-05T01:00Z), GoblinCoin printed a clear distribution and decline pattern. The session opened around $0.001973 (candle [24]) and reached a 24h high of $0.002238 in candle [23] at 03:00 UTC on May 4. From that peak, price made a series of lower highs and lower lows: $0.002190 (candle [20]), $0.002049 (candle [21]), $0.002160 (candle [22]), then a sharp drop through the $0.002000 level. Candle [7] (19:00 UTC) showed a strong spike to $0.002423 with high volume ($57.7K) but closed at $0.002399 — a potential blow-off top. Candle [6] (20:00 UTC) opened at $0.002412, hit $0.002464 (session high for that window), then collapsed to close at $0.001917 — a large bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern. Subsequent candles [5] through [1] show continued lower closes, ending at $0.001436.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 18%Sell 82%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are clearly bearish. The token made a lower high at $0.002464 (candle [6]) compared to the earlier $0.002238 spike, then failed to hold above $0.002000. The final 6 candles are all closing progressively lower, confirming a sustained downtrend with no reversal signal yet.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.001436 (current close / candle [1] low)
Major$0.001422 (candles [13] and [14] lows — double bottom area)
Resistance
Immediate$0.001680 (candle [2] high)
Major$0.002464 (candle [6] absolute high — 24h peak)

The $0.001422–$0.001436 zone represents the most recent support cluster from multiple candle lows. A break below $0.001422 opens the door to $0.001100 and below. On the upside, $0.001680 is the first meaningful resistance, with $0.001910 and $0.002464 as progressively stronger resistance levels from prior highs.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at candle [6] (20:00 UTC) — opened $0.002412, high $0.002464, closed $0.001917 — classic distribution top signal
  • Lower highs sequence: $0.002464 → $0.002423 → $0.002094 → $0.001910 → $0.001848 → $0.001680 — confirmed downtrend
  • High-volume spike at candle [7] ($57.7K) followed by immediate reversal — blow-off top pattern
  • Doji-like candles [21] and [24] at highs indicating indecision before breakdown
  • Consecutive lower closes in candles [3] through [1] — 3-candle bearish momentum sequence

Total holders2,966
24h Δ-7.4
7d Δ+0.34
30d Δ+9.2
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder count and price are strongly correlated in this case. The holder peak of 4,084 on 2026-05-01 coincided with price strength, and the subsequent collapse to 2,966 (-27.4% in 4 days) mirrors the price decline of -25.5% in 24h. The 24h holder loss of -220 (-7.4%) is accelerating relative to the 7d net gain of only +10 (+0.34%), confirming that the recent spike in holders was speculative and is now unwinding rapidly.

The 30-day holder history reveals a striking pattern: holders were completely flat at 2,693 from April 5 through April 24 (20 consecutive days of zero change — likely a data artifact or token inactivity period). Activity resumed sharply on April 25 (+655, +20%) and peaked at 4,084 on May 1 (+388, +9.5%). Since then, holders have collapsed: -363 on Apr 30, +961 on Apr 29 (volatile spike), then -294, -545, -343 in the last 3 days. The current 24h loss of -220 and the 3-day cumulative loss of -1,182 holders (-29%) indicates accelerating distribution. The 1h gain of +47 may represent bargain hunters at current lows but is insufficient to reverse the trend.

Top 10 hold23.09%
Top 100 hold70.35%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

BJt1j9BqcGGHLmFMmCwYvD5aapSEut1MvFCR64xmrAYV

DEX Liquidity Pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

6.64%

RwT8dxbecoLaSxkPNwnK1zNpPYFoY1upDiFM5XMpGit

Individual whale or early investor

2.93%

EATmaY5h2szFxGi5BsNZpzrVaQ4iYaDNDV7YBeEo57aP

Individual whale or early investor

2.58%

AW1ZD8La7DtZcPXgEoDG3bQBut69yH7ueyfUC5H3Y5bh

Individual whale or early investor

1.97%

CK71NMuPiZcfWAWRZYPab5EsCSE9zZJwAA6SmQ244jYy

Individual whale or early investor

1.70%

The top 10 holders control 23.09% of supply and the top 100 control 70.35%, indicating a moderately concentrated distribution. The largest single holder (6.64%) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address (BJt1j9BqcGGHLmFMmCwYvD5aapSEut1MvFCR64xmrAYV), which matches the trading pair address. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders range from 1.41% to 2.93% each — a relatively even spread among individual whales with no single dominant non-LP holder. Holders 11–13 show suspiciously round balances (10,004,200; 10,000,069; 9,989,787) suggesting possible coordinated accumulation or bot activity. The overall whale sentiment is distributing given the sharp price and holder decline. The distribution across 184 whales, 103 sharks, 469 dolphins, 555 fish, and 568 octopus wallets shows a broad but declining base.

Liquidity$139,670
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$113,470
Sell$520,000
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers455
Unique sellers1,554

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $139.67K is very thin relative to the 24h sell volume of $520K — meaning sellers are moving more than 3.7x the available liquidity in a single day, which explains the -25.5% price decline. The buy/sell ratio is severely imbalanced: 1,518 buy transactions vs 4,137 sell transactions (2.7:1 sell dominance), and 455 unique buyers vs 1,554 unique sellers (3.4:1 seller dominance). Net flow is clearly outflow. The shallow liquidity depth means any large sell order will cause significant price impact, and the high slippage risk makes this token dangerous for larger position sizes. The PumpSwap pair (BJt1j9BqcGGHLmFMmCwYvD5aapSEut1MvFCR64xmrAYV) is the sole liquidity venue identified.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply725,660,288.58 Goblin
FDV$1,042,241.36

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 725.66M tokens with an FDV of ~$1.04M at current prices. The metadata shows 'mutable: false' which is a positive signal — the token metadata cannot be changed, reducing certain manipulation vectors. However, the update authority is listed as 'unknown', preventing definitive assessment of mint and freeze authority status. The token was launched on PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically involves a bonding curve mechanism where mint authority may be burned upon graduation to PumpSwap — but this cannot be confirmed from the available data. The 'mutable: false' flag and verified contract status are mitigating factors, but investors should independently verify mint/freeze authority status on-chain. The FDV of $1.04M is modest for a Solana meme coin, leaving theoretical upside if community momentum returns, but also limited institutional interest at this scale.

Volatility
high

Price declined -36.6% in 6 hours and -25.5% in 24 hours. The 24h range spans from ~$0.001422 to $0.002464 — a 73% intraday swing. Extreme volatility is characteristic of low-liquidity meme coins.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $139.67K is critically thin. With $520K in 24h sell volume, the pool is being drained rapidly. Large exits will face severe slippage, and liquidity could be withdrawn at any time.

Concentration
medium

Top 10 holders control 23.09% (excluding LP at 6.64%, the top 9 non-LP holders control ~16.45%). Top 100 control 70.35%. While no single whale dominates excessively, the 70.35% top-100 concentration means a coordinated exit by a small group could be devastating.

SniperDump
high

14 of 20 snipers are in profit with realized PnL ranging from +3.2% to +3,216.6%. Several have already sold thousands of dollars worth. Remaining sniper positions represent ongoing distribution risk. The high sell pressure (82.1%) is consistent with sniper dumping behavior.

Authority
medium

Update authority is unknown, preventing confirmation of mint/freeze authority renouncement. The 'mutable: false' metadata flag is positive, and the PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority upon DEX graduation, but this cannot be verified from available data alone.

Key risks

  • Overwhelming sell pressure (82.1% of 24h volume) with no reversal signal
  • Critically thin liquidity ($139.67K) relative to daily volume ($633K total)
  • Holder base collapsing: -1,182 holders (-29%) in 3 days from peak
  • Snipers predominantly in profit and actively distributing
  • No clear utility beyond Discord community — pure sentiment-driven asset
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Single DEX venue (PumpSwap) with no diversified liquidity

Mitigating factors

  • Verified contract with mutable=false metadata
  • Broad holder distribution (2,966 holders across multiple tiers)
  • FDV of ~$1.04M is low enough that a community catalyst could drive significant % gains
  • Some snipers have already fully exited, reducing future sell pressure from that cohort
  • 1h holder gain of +47 suggests some accumulation interest at current lows
  • Active social presence (Twitter, Moralis, Discord)
Suitable for: Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators with small position sizes they can afford to lose entirely. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable returns, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme coin dynamics. This is a speculative play with very high probability of further downside.

GoblinCoin is a Discord-launched Solana meme coin in active distribution phase. The token experienced a speculative spike in holders and price around April 29 – May 1, 2026, which is now unwinding sharply. The investment thesis is primarily speculative: the bull case requires a community-driven revival, while the bear case (most probable) involves continued distribution to near-zero. The base case is stabilization at a lower price level if selling exhausts itself.

Bull case (low)

Community revival drives new buyer inflow. If the Discord community (discord.gg/uxento) launches a new campaign, partnership, or utility announcement, combined with broader Solana meme coin market strength, GoblinCoin could see a rapid recovery. Snipers having largely distributed their positions would reduce overhead sell pressure, allowing new demand to push prices higher.

  • New Discord community catalyst or viral social media moment
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally (SOL price appreciation)
  • Sniper distribution exhaustion removing sell pressure
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving FOMO buying
  • Low FDV ($1.04M) making large % gains mathematically achievable with modest capital inflow

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0010–$0.0014 range as selling exhausts itself and a small core community remains. Holder count stabilizes around 2,500–2,700 (near the pre-spike base). Token trades with low volume and high volatility, occasionally spiking on community activity but without sustained upward momentum.

  • Sniper distribution largely completes within 48–72 hours
  • Core Discord community of ~2,500–2,700 holders remains engaged
  • No new major catalysts emerge in the near term
  • Broader Solana market remains relatively stable
  • Liquidity pool is not withdrawn by LPs

Bear case (high)

Continued distribution drives price to near-zero. If selling pressure persists and no new buyers emerge, the thin liquidity ($139.67K) will be overwhelmed. Holder count could return to or below the pre-spike base of 2,693. Price could fall 50-80% from current levels as remaining snipers and early holders exit.

  • Sustained 82.1% sell pressure with no demand catalyst
  • Holder count collapse accelerating (-7.4% in 24h)
  • Thin liquidity amplifying price impact of each sell
  • No utility or fundamental value floor
  • Remaining profitable snipers continuing to distribute

GeneratedMay 5, 01:59 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of 2026-05-05T01:00:00Z (most recent candle close). Holder data reflects snapshot at time of analysis. Sniper data covers first 1,000 blocks post-launch.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: 3KHMZhpthXuiCcgfTv7vVu9PpEz64KAEURFwi6Lopump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: BJt1j9BqcGGHLmFMmCwYvD5aapSEut1MvFCR64xmrAYV)
  • Hourly OHLCV candle data (24 candles, May 4–5 2026)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • 30-day historical holder series (daily)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Sniper cost basis (total sniped USD) is unknown for all 20 snipers, preventing precise sniper concentration % calculation
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed (update authority listed as 'unknown')
  • No historical price data beyond 24 hourly candles provided — longer-term technical analysis not possible
  • Holder historical data shows 20 consecutive days of zero change (April 5–24) which may indicate a data gap or token inactivity rather than true stasis
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • Token age and launch date not explicitly provided — inferred from PumpFun mint address suffix
  • No information on LP lock status or LP token ownership

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly meme coins, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analyst has no position in GoblinCoin.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply725,660,288.58 Goblin

Key Risks

Overwhelming sell pressure (82.1% of 24h volume) with no reversal signal
Critically thin liquidity ($139.67K) relative to daily volume ($633K total)
Holder base collapsing: -1,182 holders (-29%) in 3 days from peak
Snipers predominantly in profit and actively distributing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, the majority show positive realized PnL percentages: 14 out of 20 are in profit (ranging from +3.2% to +3,216.6%), 3 are at a loss (-1.7%, -10.9%, -11.4%), and 1 shows 0% PnL. The aggregate realized profits are substantial — sniper [2] at +3,216.6%, sniper [10] at +321.1%, sniper [19] at +299.9%, sniper [17] at +204.6%, sniper [8] at +160.8%. Several snipers have sold thousands of dollars worth (sniper [8]: $3,394; sniper [20]: $2,921; sniper [17]: $2,648; sniper [5]: $1,954), indicating active distribution. The total sniped USD amount is unknown, limiting precise concentration calculations.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.50%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; exact token balances largely unknown but most show $0 or minimal remaining balance, suggesting significant sell-through. Notable exceptions: sniper [1] holds $0 balance with 0% realized PnL (possibly still holding or never sold profitably).

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly distributing into any price strength. The high realized PnL percentages suggest they entered at very low prices and have been systematically selling into rallies. The current price decline aligns with this distribution behavior.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for GoblinCoin (Goblin)?

Price is in a clear short-term downtrend, closing at $0.001436 after a high of $0.002238 in candle [23]. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 82.1% of 24h volume ($520K sells vs $113K buys). The 5m change of -0.83% and 1h change of -4.05% confirm continued momentum to the downside. A relief bounce is possible but unlikely to be sustained given the structural sell pressure. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.00110 to $0.00175.

Is Goblin a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators with small position sizes they can afford to lose entirely. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable returns, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme coin dynamics. This is a speculative play with very high probability of further downside.

How are Goblin holders trending?

GoblinCoin currently has 2,966 holders and is declining (24h: -7.4, 7d: 0.34, 30d: 9.2). The 30-day holder history reveals a striking pattern: holders were completely flat at 2,693 from April 5 through April 24 (20 consecutive days of zero change — likely a data artifact or token inactivity period). Activity resumed sharply on April 25 (+655, +20%) and peaked at 4,084 on May 1 (+388, +9.5%). Since then, holders have collapsed: -363 on Apr 30, +961 on Apr 29 (volatile spike), then -294, -545, -343 in the last 3 days. The current 24h loss of -220 and the 3-day cumulative loss of -1,182 holders (-29%) indicates accelerating distribution. The 1h gain of +47 may represent bargain hunters at current lows but is insufficient to reverse the trend.

What does sniper activity look like for Goblin?

Snipers hold roughly 0.50% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Goblin?

Overwhelming sell pressure (82.1% of 24h volume) with no reversal signal • Critically thin liquidity ($139.67K) relative to daily volume ($633K total) • Holder base collapsing: -1,182 holders (-29%) in 3 days from peak

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