TOADLADY

Mrs Toad Pepe Price Prediction 2026

TOADLADY
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 8, 2026

3BtjGxurkvMVe6sosa93dw4WQ2j9e2cWKDu8nXbxpump

$0.000252

+678.03%

FDV $242,622

LiveContract:3BtjGxurkvMVe6sosa93dw4WQ2j9e2cWKDu8nXbxpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,059Market cap:$242,622

More tokens on Solana

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about TOADLADY

Report snapshotas of Aug 8, 06:17 PM
FDV

$242,622

Liquidity

$54,585

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Mrs Toad Pepe (TOADLADY) is a meme token on Solana launched on PumpSwap with a mint address of 3BtjGxurkvMVe6sosa93dw4WQ2j9e2cWKDu8nXbxpump. The token has experienced an extraordinary 678% price surge in 24 hours, rising from ~$0.000032 to ~$0.000252. Despite the dramatic price action, the token exhibits several high-risk characteristics: extremely shallow liquidity ($54.59K), a sell-side imbalance (56.6% sell pressure, 8,932 sells vs. 3,869 buys), an unverified contract, and unknown update authority. The token is a classic low-cap meme coin with speculative appeal but very high risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 678% 24h price surge driven by meme narrative ('Toad Pepe's wife')
PumpSwap-launched token with very low liquidity ($54.59K) relative to FDV ($244K)
Sell transactions outnumber buy transactions more than 2:1 (8,932 vs. 3,869)
Unverified contract and unknown update authority add significant trust risk
No sniper data available, limiting early-buyer risk assessment

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

After a 678% surge in 24h, the most recent hourly candle (18:00 UTC) shows a high of $0.000307 with a close of $0.000254, well below the wick high — a classic rejection candle. The prior candle (17:00 UTC) was a massive breakout from $0.000031 open to $0.000153 close. With sell pressure dominating at 56.6% and sells outnumbering buys 2.3:1, short-term mean reversion is the higher-probability outcome. Immediate support sits near $0.000154 (prior candle close / current candle open), with deeper support at $0.000139 (current candle low).

Target low$0.000100
Target high$0.000307
Support: $0.000154, $0.000139, $0.000029
Resistance: $0.000307, $0.000212

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Meme tokens launched on PumpSwap with sub-$55K liquidity and no verified contract historically face severe retracement after initial pumps. Without sustained community momentum, new utility, or whale accumulation, the token is likely to retrace a significant portion of its gains. The FDV of $244K vs. $54.59K liquidity implies a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~22%, which is thin and susceptible to large price swings on modest sell pressure.

Catalysts
  • Sustained meme virality or celebrity endorsement could extend the rally
  • New exchange listings or partnership announcements
  • Broader Solana meme coin market momentum
  • Profit-taking by early buyers could accelerate decline

Bullish factors

  • Extraordinary 678% 24h price momentum signals strong initial demand
  • 1h price change of 413.7% shows accelerating intra-hour buying
  • 5m price change of +1.79% suggests very recent buying activity
  • Meme narrative ('Toad Pepe's wife') may attract speculative retail interest
  • 623 unique buyers in 24h shows broad participation

Bearish factors

  • Sell transactions (8,932) outnumber buy transactions (3,869) by 2.3:1
  • Sell volume ($312.09K) exceeds buy volume ($239.09K) — net outflow
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($54.59K) amplifies downside volatility
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Upper wick rejection on most recent candle (high $0.000307, close $0.000254) signals selling pressure at highs
  • 6h and 24h price change both show 0% in the analytics snapshot, suggesting the pump is very recent and fragile
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, no sniper data exists, holder data is unavailable, and the token has existed for an extremely short observable window. Price predictions are based on limited data and meme token behavioral patterns rather than robust technical history.

TOADLADY call history

Full track record →
Aug 8bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle 1 (17:00 UTC): O=$0.000031, H=$0.000212, L=$0.000029, C=$0.000153 — a massive bullish breakout candle with a 583% range from low to high, closing in the upper half. Volume: $362,188. Candle 2 (18:00 UTC): O=$0.000155, H=$0.000307, L=$0.000140, C=$0.000254 — a continuation candle with a significant upper wick (close $0.000254 vs. high $0.000307), indicating selling pressure at the top. Volume: $118,323, notably lower than the prior candle, suggesting momentum is fading. The pattern is a 'shooting star / upper wick rejection' on the second candle following a parabolic breakout.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 43%Sell 57%

The two-candle window shows a sharp uptrend from $0.000029 to a high of $0.000307, but the most recent candle's upper wick rejection and declining volume suggest the short-term uptrend may be exhausting. Medium-term trend is indeterminate with only 2 candles of history.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000154 (18:00 candle open / 17:00 candle close)
Major$0.000029 (17:00 candle absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000307 (18:00 candle high / all-time high in data)
Major$0.000212 (17:00 candle high)

The $0.000154 level is a key pivot — it was the prior candle's close and the current candle's open. A break below this level would signal a failed breakout. The $0.000307 all-time high (in available data) is the key resistance. The $0.000029 level represents the pre-pump base and would represent near-total loss of gains.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic breakout candle (17:00 UTC): 583% range, high-volume bullish engulfing from base
  • Upper wick rejection / shooting star (18:00 UTC): close well below high, declining volume — bearish signal
  • Volume divergence: price made higher high ($0.000307 > $0.000212) but volume dropped 67% — bearish divergence
  • Higher high confirmed ($0.000307 vs $0.000212) but close did not confirm strength

Liquidity$54,590
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$239,090
Sell$312,090
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers623
Unique sellers1,256

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $54.59K against an FDV of $244.37K — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 22%. This means even modest sell orders can cause significant price impact and slippage. The 24h net flow is negative: sell volume ($312.09K) exceeds buy volume ($239.09K) by $73K, and sellers (1,256 unique) outnumber buyers (623 unique) 2:1. Total transaction count is heavily sell-skewed (8,932 sells vs. 3,869 buys). The PumpSwap pair (5Uf4m5TCmm6X5bezRcVgRFGZnFDttqZh4fysaAGUWRW7) is the sole liquidity venue, concentrating all exit risk in one pool. High slippage risk for any position size above a few hundred dollars.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply962,972,802.31 TOADLADY
FDV$244,370

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is approximately 963 million tokens. The FDV is $244.37K at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The token was launched via PumpSwap (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism — this may imply some authority controls were handled at the platform level, but this cannot be confirmed without on-chain authority account inspection. The unverified contract status is a meaningful risk factor.

Volatility
high

678% 24h price surge with only $54.59K liquidity creates extreme volatility. The token can lose 80%+ of its value in minutes on modest sell pressure.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $54.59K is critically shallow. Any position above ~$500 will face meaningful slippage. Single-venue liquidity on PumpSwap concentrates exit risk.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. PumpSwap-launched tokens frequently have concentrated early holder bases. Cannot confirm or deny concentration, so risk is elevated by default.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. Rated low only because no snipers were detected — not because the risk is confirmed absent.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. Mutable=false is a mild positive, but overall authority risk remains high due to lack of transparency.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($54.59K) makes large exits nearly impossible without severe price impact
  • Sell transactions outnumber buys 2.3:1 — active distribution by holders
  • Unverified contract and unknown update/mint/freeze authority
  • Post-pump retracement risk: 678% gains are historically difficult to sustain for meme tokens
  • Single liquidity venue (PumpSwap) — no secondary market depth
  • No holder distribution data available to assess concentration risk
  • Meme token with no stated utility beyond narrative ('Toad Pepe's wife')

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • 1,444 unique wallets in 24h suggests broad retail participation rather than pure bot activity
  • No snipers detected, reducing immediate sniper dump risk
  • Active trading volume ($551K+ in 24h) exceeds FDV, showing genuine market interest
  • PumpSwap platform provides some baseline launch infrastructure
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <0.5% of portfolio) if any exposure is taken.

TOADLADY is a high-risk, high-volatility meme token that has experienced a parabolic 678% pump within a very short window. The investment case is purely speculative — there is no utility, no verified contract, and no fundamental value driver beyond meme narrative. The token may offer short-term trading opportunities for experienced momentum traders, but the structural setup (shallow liquidity, sell-side dominance, unknown authorities) strongly favors caution.

Bull case (low)

Meme virality extends the rally: TOADLADY gains traction on social media (Twitter link present), attracts new retail buyers, and the 'Toad Pepe wife' narrative resonates in the broader Pepe meme ecosystem. Liquidity deepens as more LPs enter, and the token reaches new highs above $0.000307.

  • Viral social media spread of the 'Toad Pepe wife' meme narrative
  • Broader Solana meme coin market in risk-on mode
  • New liquidity providers deepening the PumpSwap pool
  • Celebrity or influencer endorsement
  • Continuation of the 413% 1h momentum into subsequent hours

Base case

Partial retracement with stabilization: The token gives back 50–70% of its gains over 24–72 hours, stabilizing in the $0.000080–$0.000130 range as initial excitement fades but a small community retains interest. Trading volume normalizes to low levels.

  • Some early buyers hold rather than fully exiting
  • No major negative catalyst (rug pull, authority exploit)
  • Liquidity remains at current levels (~$54K)
  • Broader Solana market remains neutral

Bear case (high)

Post-pump dump: Early buyers take profits into the thin liquidity, the price retraces 80-95% of gains, and the token returns toward its pre-pump base near $0.000029–$0.000050. Sell-side dominance accelerates as momentum fades.

  • Sell transactions already outnumber buys 2.3:1 with net outflow of $73K
  • Volume declining 67% from candle 1 to candle 2 — momentum fading
  • Extremely shallow liquidity amplifies downside moves
  • No verified contract or authority renouncement reduces trust
  • Historical meme token behavior: most sub-$1M FDV pumps retrace sharply within 24–72 hours

GeneratedAug 8, 06:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-08T18:00 UTC. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — extremely limited historical window.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, decimals, supply, update authority, mutability)
  • Price feed (USD spot price, 24h change)
  • OHLC candle data (2 hourly candles, 17:00–18:00 UTC 2026-08-08)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buy/sell counts, unique wallets, liquidity)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair address, liquidity pool)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Holder data unavailable (endpoint retired) — concentration and distribution unknown
  • Sniper data unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm mint/freeze authority status
  • Unverified contract — on-chain code cannot be audited from available data
  • 6h and 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics snapshot, suggesting data pipeline anomaly for those timeframes
  • Single liquidity venue limits market depth assessment
  • No order book data available — slippage estimates are approximations

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply962,972,802.31 TOADLADY

Key Risks

Extremely shallow liquidity ($54.59K) makes large exits nearly impossible without severe price impact
Sell transactions outnumber buys 2.3:1 — active distribution by holders
Unverified contract and unknown update/mint/freeze authority
Post-pump retracement risk: 678% gains are historically difficult to sustain for meme tokens

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token is too new or that no bots targeted the launch. With 1,444 unique wallets active in 24h and a 2.3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio, the observable on-chain behavior suggests more distribution than accumulation among active traders.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available

Unknown — no sniper data available. However, the 678% price surge means any early buyers (pre-pump) are likely sitting on significant unrealized gains, creating elevated profit-taking risk.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Mrs Toad Pepe (TOADLADY)?

After a 678% surge in 24h, the most recent hourly candle (18:00 UTC) shows a high of $0.000307 with a close of $0.000254, well below the wick high — a classic rejection candle. The prior candle (17:00 UTC) was a massive breakout from $0.000031 open to $0.000153 close. With sell pressure dominating at 56.6% and sells outnumbering buys 2.3:1, short-term mean reversion is the higher-probability outcome. Immediate support sits near $0.000154 (prior candle close / current candle open), with deeper support at $0.000139 (current candle low). Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000100 to $0.000307.

Is TOADLADY a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <0.5% of portfolio) if any exposure is taken.

What does sniper activity look like for TOADLADY?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding TOADLADY?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($54.59K) makes large exits nearly impossible without severe price impact • Sell transactions outnumber buys 2.3:1 — active distribution by holders • Unverified contract and unknown update/mint/freeze authority

Track TOADLADY