BUGSY

Bugsy Price Today & AI Analysis

BUGSY
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 2, 2026

3BCUjsQK4NXrPpDEXDzjL7WaSEmEGW83MipruQWapump

$0.051537

FDV $1,471

LiveContract:3BCUjsQK4NXrPpDEXDzjL7WaSEmEGW83MipruQWapumpChain:SolanaHolders:20Market cap:$1,471

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Report snapshotas of Aug 2, 10:18 AM
FDV

$1,473

Liquidity

$18,123

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Bugsy (BUGSY) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a mint address of 3BCUjsQK4NXrPpDEXDzjL7WaSEmEGW83MipruQWapump. The token has experienced a catastrophic 24-hour price decline of approximately -95.61%, collapsing from a high of ~$0.000151 to a current price of ~$0.00000154. Total liquidity stands at just $18.12K against a fully diluted valuation of only $1.47K — an unusual inversion suggesting extreme price dislocation. Trading volume over 24h is roughly balanced between buys ($96.97K) and sells ($100.80K), indicating active but largely destructive price action. The token carries very high risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price crash of -95.61% from intraday high to close
Fully diluted valuation ($1.47K) is far below total liquidity ($18.12K), indicating severe price dislocation
Near-perfectly balanced buy/sell pressure (49%/51%) despite massive price decline
No sniper data available, limiting early-buyer intelligence
Mutable flag is false and update authority is unknown, adding tokenomics uncertainty

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already shed ~95.61% of its value in 24 hours. The current candle (10:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000839, hit a high of $0.000151, and collapsed to close near $0.00000154 — a near-total wipeout within a single hour. With liquidity at only $18.12K and FDV at $1.47K, any meaningful sell pressure could push the price to near zero. The 5-minute change of +3.7% is a minor dead-cat bounce signal but is not meaningful given the scale of the decline.

Target low$0.0000005
Target high$0.000005
Support: $0.00000148 (recent candle low), $0.00000100 (psychological)
Resistance: $0.0000084 (candle [1] open), $0.0000101 (candle [2] high), $0.000151 (candle [1] all-time high in data)

Medium term

bearish
1–30 days

Given the near-total price collapse, extremely low FDV, and minimal liquidity, recovery to prior highs is highly unlikely without a significant catalyst. The token's meme nature and lack of verified contract or renounced authorities further reduce confidence in sustained recovery.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media attention driving speculative re-entry
  • Coordinated community buy-back campaign
  • Listing on a higher-profile venue or aggregator

Bullish factors

  • Minor 5-minute price uptick of +3.7% suggests residual buying interest
  • 24h buy volume ($96.97K) is nearly equal to sell volume ($100.80K), showing some demand
  • 660 unique buyers in 24h indicates broad (if speculative) participation
  • Token has social links (Telegram, Twitter, Website) suggesting some community infrastructure

Bearish factors

  • Catastrophic -95.61% 24h price decline
  • FDV ($1.47K) is far below liquidity pool ($18.12K), indicating extreme price dislocation
  • Current price ($0.00000154) is near the candle low of $0.00000148 — barely above all-time low in data
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Meme token with no described utility or fundamental value driver
  • Total supply of ~958M tokens with no burn or lock data available
Confidence: low. Only two hourly OHLC candles are available, no sniper data exists, holder data is unavailable, and the token has just undergone a >95% crash. Predictions are highly speculative under these conditions.

BUGSY call history

Full track record →
Aug 2bearish
24h-6.8%
7d-4.8%
30d-0.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (09:00 UTC): O=$0.0000336, H=$0.000102, L=$0.0000257, C=$0.0000821 — a bullish candle with strong upward momentum and a wide range. Candle [1] (10:00 UTC): O=$0.0000839, H=$0.000151, L=$0.00000148, C=$0.00000154 — a catastrophic bearish engulfing/crash candle. The open gapped up from the prior close, hit a new high of $0.000151, then collapsed nearly 99% intra-candle to close at $0.00000154. This is a textbook 'blow-off top and crash' pattern — a sharp spike followed by near-total reversal within the same candle.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trendstable
Buy 49%Sell 51%

The two-candle sequence shows a violent pump-and-dump pattern: a bullish candle followed immediately by a catastrophic crash candle that wiped out all gains and then some. Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000148 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.00000100 (psychological round number below current price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.00000839 (candle [1] open / prior candle [2] close area)
Major$0.000151 (candle [1] all-time high in available data)

Immediate support is the candle [1] low at $0.00000148, just below the current price of $0.00000154. A break below this level would leave no technical support until the psychological $0.000001 level. Resistance begins at the candle [1] open (~$0.0000839), which would represent a ~54x recovery from current levels — extremely unlikely in the near term.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top and crash: candle [1] spiked to $0.000151 then collapsed ~99% intra-candle
  • Bearish engulfing / shooting star hybrid on candle [1]: opened high, made new high, closed near the low
  • Near-identical volume on both candles ($89.4K–$89.7K) suggesting programmatic or bot-driven activity
  • Price currently sitting just above the all-time low in available data ($0.00000148)

Liquidity$18,120
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$96,970
Sell$100,800
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers660
Unique sellers655

Liquidity is critically shallow at $18.12K on the PumpSwap pair (FAZrbm9gLJ7Wv81DfRY8iUBGBZBRNQgUuS1QKofQjKvA). The fully diluted valuation of $1.47K is paradoxically far below the liquidity pool value, indicating extreme price dislocation following the crash. With only $18.12K in liquidity, even modest sell orders of a few thousand dollars would cause severe slippage. The 24h net flow is marginally negative ($96.97K buys vs $100.80K sells), confirming slight outflow pressure. The near-equal buyer/seller counts (660 vs 655) suggest the crash was driven by a small number of large sell orders rather than broad capitulation. Slippage risk is very high for any position of meaningful size.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply958,260,479.25 BUGSY
FDV$1,473.21

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is approximately 958.26 million BUGSY tokens with 6 decimals. The fully diluted valuation of $1,473.21 is extremely low, reflecting the post-crash price. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the token metadata does not confirm whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal (metadata cannot be changed), but without explicit confirmation of mint/freeze authority renouncement, rug risk from authorities cannot be assessed. The contract is unverified. The token was launched via PumpFun/PumpSwap (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which is a permissionless launchpad — no audit or formal verification is implied.

Volatility
high

The token lost ~95.61% of its value in 24 hours, with an intra-candle collapse of ~99% from high to close on the most recent hourly candle. Extreme volatility is the defining characteristic of this token.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $18.12K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will experience severe slippage. Exit liquidity is critically limited.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. However, the violent intra-candle crash pattern is consistent with concentrated holdings being dumped rapidly. Cannot confirm or deny concentration without holder data.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available. The pump-and-dump price pattern is consistent with sniper or early-buyer dumping, but this cannot be confirmed. Risk is elevated to medium given the circumstantial evidence from price action.

Authority
medium

Update authority is unknown. Mint and freeze authority renouncement status cannot be confirmed. The token is marked mutable=false, which is a partial mitigant, but full authority risk cannot be assessed without explicit on-chain confirmation.

Key risks

  • Catastrophic -95.61% price decline in 24 hours — near-total value destruction
  • FDV ($1.47K) is far below liquidity pool ($18.12K) — extreme price dislocation
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($18.12K) with high slippage risk
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Pump-and-dump price pattern strongly suggested by OHLC data
  • No sniper, holder, or whale data available to assess distribution risk
  • Meme token with no described utility or fundamental value

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked mutable=false, preventing metadata manipulation
  • Near-equal buyer/seller counts (660 vs 655) suggests some genuine two-sided market activity
  • Token has social links (Telegram, Twitter, Website) indicating some community presence
  • No sniper concentration confirmed (data unavailable, not confirmed high)
Suitable for: This token is suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone allocating meaningful capital. The token has already experienced a near-total collapse and exhibits multiple hallmarks of a pump-and-dump scheme.

Bugsy (BUGSY) is a high-risk meme token on Solana that has undergone a catastrophic pump-and-dump event, losing ~95.61% of its value in 24 hours. The investment case is overwhelmingly negative based on available data. The only speculative bull case rests on community-driven recovery momentum, which is highly uncertain. The base and bear cases both point to continued value erosion or near-zero price.

Bull case (low)

Community-driven speculative recovery: A viral social media campaign or coordinated buy-back drives renewed speculative interest, pushing the price back toward the $0.000008–$0.000010 range (candle [1] open level), representing a ~5–6x from current levels.

  • Viral meme or social media catalyst on Twitter/Telegram
  • Coordinated community buy-back campaign
  • New liquidity injection into the PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats

Base case

Prolonged low-price stagnation: The token stabilizes near current levels ($0.0000010–$0.0000020) with minimal trading activity, gradually fading into obscurity as liquidity slowly erodes.

  • Some residual community activity maintains minimal buy pressure
  • No major new catalyst (positive or negative) emerges
  • Liquidity pool is not fully drained in the near term
  • Price remains in the $0.000001–$0.000002 range with high volatility

Bear case (high)

Complete collapse to near-zero: Remaining liquidity is drained, the token becomes untradeable, and the price falls to effectively $0. This is the most likely outcome given the current FDV of $1.47K and $18.12K liquidity pool.

  • Continued sell pressure from remaining holders seeking to exit
  • No new buyers willing to enter after the -95.61% crash
  • Liquidity pool drainage making the token effectively illiquid
  • Loss of community interest and social media attention

GeneratedAug 2, 10:18 AM
Data freshnessData reflects the most recent hourly candle closing at 2026-08-02T10:00 UTC. Price change percentages are as of the data snapshot.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint: 3BCUjsQK4NXrPpDEXDzjL7WaSEmEGW83MipruQWapump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (FAZrbm9gLJ7Wv81DfRY8iUBGBZBRNQgUuS1QKofQjKvA)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, 2026-08-02T09:00–10:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Holder data unavailable — distribution, concentration, and growth metrics cannot be computed
  • Whale map data unavailable — top holder concentration unknown
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Unverified contract — no audit or formal security review
  • FDV/liquidity inversion ($1.47K FDV vs $18.12K liquidity) may reflect data timing issues or extreme price dislocation
  • 24h price change shown as 0% in some fields while -95.61% in others — possible data inconsistency in the source

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from on-chain and third-party analytics and may contain errors or inconsistencies. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply958,260,479.25 BUGSY

Key Risks

Catastrophic -95.61% price decline in 24 hours — near-total value destruction
FDV ($1.47K) is far below liquidity pool ($18.12K) — extreme price dislocation
Critically shallow liquidity ($18.12K) with high slippage risk
Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. The near-equal buy/sell volume split (49%/51%) and the violent intra-candle crash pattern are consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump, but this cannot be confirmed without sniper or wallet-level data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer data provided. Given the -95.61% crash, early buyers who did not exit near the $0.000151 high are likely deeply underwater.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Bugsy (BUGSY)?

The token has already shed ~95.61% of its value in 24 hours. The current candle (10:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000839, hit a high of $0.000151, and collapsed to close near $0.00000154 — a near-total wipeout within a single hour. With liquidity at only $18.12K and FDV at $1.47K, any meaningful sell pressure could push the price to near zero. The 5-minute change of +3.7% is a minor dead-cat bounce signal but is not meaningful given the scale of the decline. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000005 to $0.000005.

Is BUGSY a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone allocating meaningful capital. The token has already experienced a near-total collapse and exhibits multiple hallmarks of a pump-and-dump scheme.

What does sniper activity look like for BUGSY?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding BUGSY?

Catastrophic -95.61% price decline in 24 hours — near-total value destruction • FDV ($1.47K) is far below liquidity pool ($18.12K) — extreme price dislocation • Critically shallow liquidity ($18.12K) with high slippage risk

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