$SPCX

SpaceX Price Today & AI Analysis

$SPCXSolanaAnalysis as of May 20, 2026

Price

$0.047612

FDV $76,121

Contract

Live
33YQ9wRo4xShREUVFWLFb5NveUfH3wERGxNPz2frysB5

Chain

Solana

Holders

4

Market cap

$76,121

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SpaceX: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-20 22:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,766

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is SpaceX ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,766 addresses (2026-05-20 22:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling SpaceX?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is SpaceX liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-20 22:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 20, 10:17 PM UTC

FDV

$74,959

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

1,766

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

SpaceX ($SPCX) is a newly launched Solana meme/narrative token (mint: 33YQ9wRo4xShREUVFWLFb5NveUfH3wERGxNPz2frysB5) riding the narrative of a fabricated or speculative 'SpaceX IPO' announcement. The token launched within the last 24 hours, surging ~87% in price to $0.0000750 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$74,959. It has attracted 1,766 holders almost entirely through swaps, but exhibits extreme supply concentration — the top holder alone controls 61.94% of supply. Liquidity is reported as $0.00 on-chain, raising serious concerns about exit risk. The token is unverified, the update authority is unknown, and the description is a clear narrative hook tied to a real-world event. This is a very high-risk, speculative micro-cap.

Key points

  • Narrative-driven launch tied to a SpaceX IPO rumor/news hook
  • Explosive 24h price surge of ~86.6% from near zero
  • Entire holder base (1,765 of 1,766) acquired within the last 24 hours — brand new token
  • Extreme supply concentration: top holder holds 61.94%, top 10 hold 78.13%
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity despite $5.55M in 24h combined volume — critical red flag

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already surged ~87% in its first hours of trading. With $0 reported liquidity, extreme top-holder concentration (61.94% in a single wallet), and near-perfectly balanced buy/sell pressure (50.1% vs 49.9%), the token is highly susceptible to a sharp reversal. The most recent candle (hour 1) shows a pullback from the high of $0.0000763 to close at $0.0000750, suggesting early distribution. Short-term downside risk is significant.

Target low

$0.000027

Target high

$0.000085

Support

$0.0000590 (hour-1 candle low), $0.0000275 (hour-2 candle open/low)

Resistance

$0.0000763 (hour-1 candle high / all-time high), $0.0000655 (hour-2 candle high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without genuine utility, verified contracts, or meaningful liquidity, narrative-driven micro-caps of this type typically retrace 80–99% once the initial hype fades. The SpaceX IPO narrative may sustain brief pumps on news cycles, but the structural risks (concentration, zero liquidity, unverified contract) make a sustained rally unlikely.

Catalysts

  • Any real SpaceX IPO news could trigger a short-term pump
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market momentum
  • Whale (61.94% holder) choosing to hold rather than dump
  • Listing on a secondary aggregator or influencer promotion

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price surge of +86.6% demonstrates early demand
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.1%/49.9%) with 6,758 buys vs 6,593 sells suggests active two-sided market
  • 1,766 holders acquired in under 24 hours shows rapid community formation
  • Narrative tied to high-profile SpaceX IPO story may attract continued retail attention
  • No snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — no immediate sniper dump overhang

Bearish factors

  • Total reported liquidity is $0.00 — exit risk is extreme
  • Top holder controls 61.94% of supply (619M of 1B tokens) — single-wallet dump risk is catastrophic
  • Top 10 holders control 78.13%, top 100 control 96.29% — severely concentrated
  • Token is unverified, update authority is unknown, mutable status unclear
  • Entire holder base appeared in the last 24 hours — no long-term conviction holders
  • Description reads as a narrative hook, not a legitimate project
  • FDV of only ~$75K means tiny absolute liquidity even at current prices

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, liquidity is reported as $0, and the update authority is unknown. There is insufficient price history to make reliable predictions. All directional calls are based on structural on-chain risk factors rather than technical patterns.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
33YQ9w...ysB5
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

Key Risks

  • Single wallet (HLnpSz9h2S4hiLQ43rnSD9XkcUThA7B8hQMKmDaiTLcC) holds 61.94% of supply — catastrophic dump risk
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity makes exit nearly impossible for any meaningful position
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record, unverified contract, and unknown authority status
  • Narrative is based on a speculative/fabricated SpaceX IPO claim — no real-world backing

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Hour 2 (21:00 UTC): Open $0.0000275, High $0.0000655, Low $0.0000275, Close $0.0000627 — a massive bullish candle with a 138% range from open to high, closing near the top. This is a strong momentum launch candle. Hour 1 (22:00 UTC): Open $0.0000628, High $0.0000763, Low $0.0000590, Close $0.0000750 — a smaller bullish candle that made a new high ($0.0000763) but has a visible lower wick at $0.0000590, suggesting some selling pressure. The close at $0.0000750 is near the top of the range, maintaining bullish short-term structure. However, the narrowing range and lower wick in hour 1 hint at early distribution after the explosive hour-2 launch.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically up given two consecutive higher closes ($0.0000627 → $0.0000750) and a new all-time high at $0.0000763. However, with only 2 candles and a brand-new token, the medium-term trend is indeterminate — classified as sideways pending more data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000590 (hour-1 candle low)

Major support

$0.0000275 (hour-2 candle open/absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000763 (hour-1 all-time high)

Major resistance

$0.0001000 (psychological round number)

The only meaningful support levels are derived from the 2 available candles. The hour-1 low of $0.0000590 is the first line of defense. A break below that targets the hour-2 open at $0.0000275, which represents an ~63% drawdown from current price. Resistance is the all-time high at $0.0000763, with no historical resistance above that level.

Notable patterns

  • Explosive launch candle (hour 2): open equals low, close near high — strong bullish momentum
  • Volume divergence: price made higher high in hour 1 but volume fell ~60% — bearish divergence
  • Lower wick on hour-1 candle at $0.0000590 suggests intra-hour selling pressure was absorbed
  • Parabolic 2-hour move of ~172% from open to ATH — historically precedes sharp mean reversion in micro-caps

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 (1 billion)

FDV

$74,959.02

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token surged ~172% from its launch price to ATH within 2 hours. With only 2 candles of price history, a micro-cap FDV of ~$75K, and zero liquidity, price swings of 50–90% in either direction within hours are entirely plausible.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single wallet (HLnpSz9h2S4hiLQ43rnSD9XkcUThA7B8hQMKmDaiTLcC) holds 61.94% of supply — catastrophic dump risk
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity makes exit nearly impossible for any meaningful position
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record, unverified contract, and unknown authority status
  • Narrative is based on a speculative/fabricated SpaceX IPO claim — no real-world backing
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with 1 holder before sudden launch — classic pre-coordinated pump pattern
  • Volume divergence (falling volume on rising price) suggests weakening momentum
  • Top 100 holders control 96.29% of supply — retail holders own less than 4%

Mitigating factors

  • No snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — no immediate sniper dump pressure
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.1%/49.9%) suggests genuine two-sided market activity
  • 1,393 unique buyers in 24h shows broad retail interest
  • Token marked as mutable: false — metadata cannot be altered
  • Not flagged as spam by analytics provider
  • High-profile narrative (SpaceX IPO) may sustain short-term retail interest

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Position sizing should be minimal (< 0.1% of portfolio) if engaging at all. This is not an investment — it is a speculative trade on a narrative with extreme structural risks.

SpaceX ($SPCX) is a narrative-driven micro-cap meme token launched within the last 24 hours on Solana, riding a speculative SpaceX IPO story. The bull case relies entirely on sustained retail momentum and the top whale not selling. The bear case — which is structurally more probable — involves the dominant whale dumping into thin liquidity, collapsing the price. This is a high-risk speculative trade, not an investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The SpaceX IPO narrative gains traction on social media (Twitter/X), driving a second wave of retail buyers. The top holder (61.94%) is a long-term believer or the project team who does not sell. Volume sustains above $1M/day, liquidity deepens on Meteora, and the FDV expands 5–10x to $375K–$750K.

  • Viral spread of SpaceX IPO narrative on Twitter/X and Solana meme communities
  • Top whale (61.94%) abstains from selling, providing price stability
  • Broader Solana meme-coin bull market provides tailwind
  • Influencer or KOL promotion drives second wave of buyers
  • Liquidity deepens organically as market makers enter the pool

Base Case

The token experiences a typical meme-coin pump-and-dump cycle: a brief continuation of the current pump (possibly to $0.0001–$0.00015) followed by a sharp 70–90% retracement as early buyers take profits and the narrative fades. The token stabilizes at a fraction of its peak price with a small residual community.

  • Top whale sells a portion (not all) of holdings over 24–72 hours
  • Retail interest sustains for 1–3 days before fading
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero, allowing partial exits
  • No major exchange listing or influencer catalyst materializes
  • Price retraces to the $0.000010–$0.000025 range within 7 days

Bear Case

High probability

The top holder (61.94%) begins selling into the thin liquidity pool. Price collapses 80–99% within hours. The narrative fades as no real SpaceX IPO materializes. Remaining holders are unable to exit due to zero liquidity. Token becomes effectively worthless.

  • Top wallet dumps 61.94% of supply into near-zero liquidity
  • Narrative fails to sustain — SpaceX IPO story is speculative/fabricated
  • Volume dries up as initial hype fades (volume already dropped 60% from hour 2 to hour 1)
  • Zero liquidity means even small sell orders cause catastrophic price impact
  • Unverified contract and unknown authorities erode confidence

Analysis details

Generated

May 20, 10:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-20 22:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: 33YQ9wRo4xShREUVFWLFb5NveUfH3wERGxNPz2frysB5)
  • Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 price feed (pair: D2nMTCZMqifV39wtR6XGMinSssYb8RMFzdkhGPmL4iTL)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, May 20 2026 21:00–23:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys, sells, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder snapshot
  • 30-day historical holder time series (daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Token metadata including social links, description, and authority fields

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data artifact; true liquidity depth unknown
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not confirmed in available metadata
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot assess rug risk from authorities definitively
  • No sniper data available (0 snipers detected) — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate unknown
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are based on an extremely short history
  • No order book data, no CEX listings, no vesting or tokenomics documentation available
  • Social link presence (Twitter, Moralis) does not imply legitimacy or community size

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in $SPCX. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is SpaceX ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,766 addresses (2026-05-20 22:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling SpaceX?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is SpaceX liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for SpaceX ($SPCX)?

The token has already surged ~87% in its first hours of trading. With $0 reported liquidity, extreme top-holder concentration (61.94% in a single wallet), and near-perfectly balanced buy/sell pressure (50.1% vs 49.9%), the token is highly susceptible to a sharp reversal. The most recent candle (hour 1) shows a pullback from the high of $0.0000763 to close at $0.0000750, suggesting early distribution. Short-term downside risk is significant. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000027 to $0.000085.

Is $SPCX a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Position sizing should be minimal (< 0.1% of portfolio) if engaging at all. This is not an investment — it is a speculative trade on a narrative with extreme structural risks.

What are the key risks of holding $SPCX?

Single wallet (HLnpSz9h2S4hiLQ43rnSD9XkcUThA7B8hQMKmDaiTLcC) holds 61.94% of supply — catastrophic dump risk • Zero reported on-chain liquidity makes exit nearly impossible for any meaningful position • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record, unverified contract, and unknown authority status

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