toadtard

toadtard Price Prediction 2026

toadtard
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 10, 2026

2mDE5QH86fdjHsKTxr7kAUGYGJX8QWa3hLfviSVppump

$0.053217

-99.74%

FDV $3,129

LiveContract:2mDE5QH86fdjHsKTxr7kAUGYGJX8QWa3hLfviSVppumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,489Market cap:$3,129

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Ask Unhosted AI about toadtard

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Aug 10, 06:16 PM
FDV

$3,129

Liquidity

$16,928

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

toadtard (TOADTARD) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a mint address of 2mDE5QH86fdjHsKTxr7kAUGYGJX8QWa3hLfviSVppump. The token experienced a catastrophic price collapse of approximately -99.74% in 24 hours, falling from a peak near $0.00240 to the current price of ~$0.00000322. Total liquidity stands at only $16.93K against a fully diluted valuation of $3.13K, indicating the market cap has fallen well below even the remaining liquidity pool value. Trading volume was extremely high during the crash event (candles 18-20 show volumes of $272K–$1.66M) but has since dried up to single-digit dollar amounts per hour. This is a classic pump-and-dump pattern with near-total value destruction.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~99.74%, consistent with a pump-and-dump event
Peak price of ~$0.00243 collapsed to ~$0.00000322 within hours
Extremely low liquidity ($16.93K) relative to 24h volume ($4.8M+), indicating the crash was driven by mass exits
No sniper data available; no verified contract; update authority unknown
FDV of $3.13K is now below the liquidity pool value, signaling near-zero market confidence

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already lost ~99.74% of its value in 24 hours. Hourly candles show a consistent series of lower highs and lower lows from the peak (~$0.00243 at candle 20) down to the current ~$0.00000322. Volume has collapsed from millions of dollars per hour to under $20/hour, indicating near-total loss of interest. Further downside or complete abandonment is the most likely near-term outcome.

Target low$0.000001
Target high$0.000005
Support: $0.00000322 (current price / recent low), $0.000001 (psychological floor)
Resistance: $0.00000369 (candle 12 high), $0.00000376 (candle 17 high), $0.00000754 (candle 15 open)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

With FDV at $3.13K, liquidity at $16.93K, and no fundamental utility described, the token is unlikely to recover. Post-pump meme tokens of this type typically trend toward zero as remaining holders exit and liquidity is withdrawn.

Catalysts
  • Liquidity withdrawal by remaining LPs would push price to near zero
  • Any residual community activity or social media push could cause a brief dead-cat bounce
  • Broader Solana meme token market sentiment could temporarily lift all boats

Bullish factors

  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some community infrastructure
  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Mutable: false — token metadata cannot be changed by issuer

Bearish factors

  • Price down ~99.74% in 24 hours — near-total value destruction
  • FDV ($3.13K) is below total liquidity ($16.93K), indicating market cap has collapsed
  • Hourly volume has fallen from $1.6M+ to under $20, signaling complete loss of momentum
  • No verified contract; update authority unknown
  • Classic pump-and-dump OHLC pattern: massive spike followed by sustained collapse
  • Sell transactions (13,003) significantly outnumber buy transactions (9,184) in 24h
Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the token has already experienced near-total value destruction, making precise price targets meaningless. The directional bias (bearish/continued decline) is high-confidence, but exact price levels in this micro-cap range are highly uncertain.

toadtard call history

Full track record →
Aug 10bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 20 hourly candles tell a clear pump-and-dump story. Candles 20–19 (Aug 9, 19:00–20:00 UTC) show the pump phase: price opened at ~$0.00230 and reached a high of ~$0.00243, with enormous volume ($1.375M and $1.657M respectively). Candle 18 (21:00 UTC) marks the beginning of the crash: open $0.000399, high $0.000408, low $0.00000330, close $0.00000376 — a massive bearish engulfing/crash candle with $272K volume. From candle 17 onward (22:00 UTC to present), price has been trading in a tight range between ~$0.00000322 and ~$0.00000376, with volumes collapsing to under $125 per hour. The post-crash candles show a series of doji-like and near-flat candles with minimal wicks, indicating price discovery has essentially stopped at these depressed levels.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 49%Sell 51%

The token is in a severe downtrend across all timeframes following the pump-and-dump event. Lower highs and lower lows are visible from candle 20 through candle 1. No recovery pattern is evident.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000322 (current price, recent multi-hour low)
Major$0.000001 (psychological floor; no historical support below current price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.00000376 (candle 17 close / candle 16 high area)
Major$0.00000669 (candle 12 high of $0.00000369 is nearest; candle 15 open $0.00000741 is next significant level)

The token has no meaningful support below current price given the near-vertical collapse. Resistance levels are derived from post-crash candle highs: $0.00000376 (candle 17 high), $0.00000369 (candle 12 high), and $0.00000754 (candle 15 open). Any recovery attempt would face heavy overhead supply from trapped buyers.

Notable patterns

  • Classic pump-and-dump: parabolic rise in candles 19-20 followed by near-total collapse in candle 18
  • Massive bearish engulfing candle (candle 18): open $0.000399, close $0.00000376 — body spans nearly the entire prior range
  • Post-crash consolidation doji cluster (candles 1–17): extremely tight range with minimal wicks, indicating price exhaustion
  • Volume climax at candle 19 ($1.657M) coinciding with price peak — classic distribution top
  • Consistent lower highs from candle 20 through candle 1 — no recovery attempt

Liquidity$16,930
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$2,340,000
Sell$2,460,000
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers5,697
Unique sellers8,507

Liquidity is critically shallow at $16.93K, which is actually higher than the token's FDV of $3.13K — an unusual and alarming inversion indicating the market cap has collapsed below the liquidity pool value. Slippage risk is very high; any meaningful trade would move the price significantly. The 24h volume of ~$4.8M is entirely attributable to the pump-and-dump event in candles 18-20; post-crash hourly volumes are under $125. Sellers (8,507 unique) significantly outnumber buyers (5,697 unique) in the 24h window, confirming net outflow. The pair trades on PumpSwap (2yD8js96RaSNU4PQJQ3ES1FyKVpzPHDjYfPnnKjJ5xBd).

Supply & Valuation

Total supply972,515,821.865406
FDV$3,128.58

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~972.5 million tokens. The FDV has collapsed to $3,128.58 following the ~99.74% price decline. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the provided metadata, preventing a definitive assessment of mint or freeze authority status. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which means metadata cannot be altered — a minor positive. However, the unknown authority status means rug risk from authorities cannot be ruled out. The token is not verified and has no described utility or use case. The pump-and-dump price action is the dominant tokenomics story here.

Volatility
high

The token lost ~99.74% of its value in a single 24-hour period. Peak-to-trough move from ~$0.00243 to ~$0.00000322 represents near-total destruction of value. Hourly candles confirm a parabolic pump followed by an immediate collapse.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $16.93K, which exceeds the token's FDV of $3.13K — an inverted relationship indicating extreme illiquidity relative to any meaningful position size. Any sell order beyond a few dollars would cause severe slippage.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. However, the pump-and-dump price action strongly implies high concentration among early buyers who distributed into retail demand. The volume profile (massive spike then collapse) is consistent with coordinated selling by a small number of wallets.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available. However, the OHLC pattern — parabolic rise in two candles followed by near-total collapse — is the textbook signature of sniper/early-buyer distribution. The risk of further dumps from any remaining early holders is elevated.

Authority
high

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is not verified. Unknown authority status means the possibility of malicious actions (minting, freezing) cannot be excluded.

Key risks

  • Near-total value destruction already occurred (-99.74% in 24h)
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($16.93K) makes exit difficult without further price impact
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for additional malicious actions
  • No verified contract; no described utility
  • Post-crash volume has collapsed to near zero, indicating abandonment
  • FDV ($3.13K) below liquidity pool value — market has essentially priced the token at near-zero
  • Classic pump-and-dump OHLC signature with no recovery pattern

Mitigating factors

  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Mutable: false — metadata cannot be altered
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some community presence
  • The worst of the price decline may already be priced in at current levels
Suitable for: This token is suitable only for highly speculative traders who fully understand and accept the near-certain risk of total loss. It is entirely unsuitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The pump-and-dump pattern is already complete; there is no investment thesis supported by the data.

toadtard presents no credible investment thesis based on available on-chain data. The token has already experienced a near-complete pump-and-dump cycle, losing ~99.74% of its value in 24 hours. FDV stands at $3.13K with $16.93K in liquidity — an inverted relationship. The only scenarios for upside are speculative and low-probability.

Bull case (low)

A residual community or social media campaign drives renewed speculative interest, causing a brief dead-cat bounce. Given the extremely low FDV ($3.13K), even a small influx of capital could produce a large percentage gain from current levels.

  • Active Twitter/website community drives renewed attention
  • Broader Solana meme token market enters a speculative frenzy
  • Low FDV ($3.13K) means small capital inflows produce outsized percentage moves
  • Token not flagged as spam — may remain discoverable on aggregators

Base case

The token continues to trade at or near current depressed levels ($0.000003–$0.000005) with minimal volume and liquidity, slowly drifting toward zero as remaining holders exit and LPs eventually withdraw.

  • No new catalysts emerge to drive renewed interest
  • Remaining liquidity stays in the pool for the near term
  • Post-crash volume remains in the $10–$100/hour range
  • No malicious authority actions (mint/freeze) occur

Bear case (high)

Remaining liquidity is withdrawn by LPs, volume continues to collapse, and the token trends toward zero. This is the most likely outcome given the post-pump abandonment pattern visible in the hourly candles.

  • Liquidity withdrawal by remaining pool providers
  • Complete loss of trading volume (already near zero post-crash)
  • No utility, no verified contract, unknown authority status
  • Pump-and-dump cycle already complete — early buyers have exited
  • FDV already below liquidity pool value

GeneratedAug 10, 06:16 PM
Data freshnessMost recent candle: 2026-08-10T18:00:00.000Z (current hour). Price and analytics data reflect 24h window ending at analysis time.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • 20 hourly OHLC candles (Aug 9–10, 2026)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buy/sell counts, unique wallets)
  • PumpSwap pair data (2yD8js96RaSNU4PQJQ3ES1FyKVpzPHDjYfPnnKjJ5xBd)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder count, growth, and distribution data is unavailable — holder endpoints were retired
  • Whale map and concentration data cannot be computed without holder data
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — smart money signals are inferred from OHLC/volume only
  • Update authority is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed
  • Token is unverified — on-chain metadata may be incomplete or misleading
  • Only 20 hourly candles provided — longer-term technical analysis is not possible
  • The token's social links (Twitter, website) were not analyzed for content
  • FDV and liquidity figures are point-in-time and may change rapidly given shallow liquidity

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens carries extreme risk of total loss. The pump-and-dump pattern identified in this analysis is based on on-chain data and does not constitute a legal determination of market manipulation. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply972,515,821.865406

Key Risks

•Near-total value destruction already occurred (-99.74% in 24h)
•Extremely shallow liquidity ($16.93K) makes exit difficult without further price impact
•Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for additional malicious actions
•No verified contract; no described utility

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for toadtard. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. What can be inferred from the OHLC and volume data is that the pump phase (candles 19-20) saw enormous volume ($3M+) concentrated in two hours, strongly suggesting coordinated early buyers distributed into retail demand. The subsequent crash candle (candle 18) with $272K volume and a close near the all-time low confirms a near-complete exit by early participants. The 24h sell transaction count (13,003) significantly exceeds buy transactions (9,184), further supporting the thesis that early/smart money has already exited.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Early buyers who participated in the pump phase (candles 19-20) almost certainly sold into the rally given the volume profile. Any remaining early buyers are likely deeply underwater at current prices (~$0.00000322 vs. pump-phase prices of $0.001–$0.00243).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for toadtard (toadtard)?

The token has already lost ~99.74% of its value in 24 hours. Hourly candles show a consistent series of lower highs and lower lows from the peak (~$0.00243 at candle 20) down to the current ~$0.00000322. Volume has collapsed from millions of dollars per hour to under $20/hour, indicating near-total loss of interest. Further downside or complete abandonment is the most likely near-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000001 to $0.000005.

Is toadtard a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is suitable only for highly speculative traders who fully understand and accept the near-certain risk of total loss. It is entirely unsuitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The pump-and-dump pattern is already complete; there is no investment thesis supported by the data.

What does sniper activity look like for toadtard?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding toadtard?

Near-total value destruction already occurred (-99.74% in 24h) • Extremely shallow liquidity ($16.93K) makes exit difficult without further price impact • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for additional malicious actions

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