toadtard

toadtard Price Today & AI Analysis

toadtardSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 10, 2026

Price

$0.054395

+1.85% 24h

Contract

Live
2mDE5QH86fdjHsKTxr7kAUGYGJX8QWa3hLfviSVppump

Chain

Solana

Holders

860

Market cap

$4,273

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toadtard: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-10 18:16 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$16,928.04
How concentrated is toadtard ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling toadtard?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is toadtard liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-10 18:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $16,928.04. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-10 18:16 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 10, 06:16 PM UTC

FDV

$3,129

Liquidity

$16,928.04

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

toadtard (TOADTARD) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a mint address of 2mDE5QH86fdjHsKTxr7kAUGYGJX8QWa3hLfviSVppump. The token experienced a catastrophic price collapse of approximately -99.74% in 24 hours, falling from a peak near $0.00240 to the current price of ~$0.00000322. Total liquidity stands at only $16.93K against a fully diluted valuation of $3.13K, indicating the market cap has fallen well below even the remaining liquidity pool value. Trading volume was extremely high during the crash event (candles 18-20 show volumes of $272K–$1.66M) but has since dried up to single-digit dollar amounts per hour. This is a classic pump-and-dump pattern with near-total value destruction.

Key points

  • Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~99.74%, consistent with a pump-and-dump event
  • Peak price of ~$0.00243 collapsed to ~$0.00000322 within hours
  • Extremely low liquidity ($16.93K) relative to 24h volume ($4.8M+), indicating the crash was driven by mass exits
  • No sniper data available; no verified contract; update authority unknown
  • FDV of $3.13K is now below the liquidity pool value, signaling near-zero market confidence

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already lost ~99.74% of its value in 24 hours. Hourly candles show a consistent series of lower highs and lower lows from the peak (~$0.00243 at candle 20) down to the current ~$0.00000322. Volume has collapsed from millions of dollars per hour to under $20/hour, indicating near-total loss of interest. Further downside or complete abandonment is the most likely near-term outcome.

Target low

$0.000001

Target high

$0.000005

Support

$0.00000322 (current price / recent low), $0.000001 (psychological floor)

Resistance

$0.00000369 (candle 12 high), $0.00000376 (candle 17 high), $0.00000754 (candle 15 open)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

With FDV at $3.13K, liquidity at $16.93K, and no fundamental utility described, the token is unlikely to recover. Post-pump meme tokens of this type typically trend toward zero as remaining holders exit and liquidity is withdrawn.

Catalysts

  • Liquidity withdrawal by remaining LPs would push price to near zero
  • Any residual community activity or social media push could cause a brief dead-cat bounce
  • Broader Solana meme token market sentiment could temporarily lift all boats

Bullish factors

  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some community infrastructure
  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Mutable: false — token metadata cannot be changed by issuer

Bearish factors

  • Price down ~99.74% in 24 hours — near-total value destruction
  • FDV ($3.13K) is below total liquidity ($16.93K), indicating market cap has collapsed
  • Hourly volume has fallen from $1.6M+ to under $20, signaling complete loss of momentum
  • No verified contract; update authority unknown
  • Classic pump-and-dump OHLC pattern: massive spike followed by sustained collapse
  • Sell transactions (13,003) significantly outnumber buy transactions (9,184) in 24h

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the token has already experienced near-total value destruction, making precise price targets meaningless. The directional bias (bearish/continued decline) is high-confidence, but exact price levels in this micro-cap range are highly uncertain.

toadtard call history

Full track record →

Aug 10bearish
24h+55.2%
7d—
30d+19.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2mDE5Q...pump
Total Supply
972,515,821.865406

Key Risks

  • Near-total value destruction already occurred (-99.74% in 24h)
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($16.93K) makes exit difficult without further price impact
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for additional malicious actions
  • No verified contract; no described utility

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 20 hourly candles tell a clear pump-and-dump story. Candles 20–19 (Aug 9, 19:00–20:00 UTC) show the pump phase: price opened at ~$0.00230 and reached a high of ~$0.00243, with enormous volume ($1.375M and $1.657M respectively). Candle 18 (21:00 UTC) marks the beginning of the crash: open $0.000399, high $0.000408, low $0.00000330, close $0.00000376 — a massive bearish engulfing/crash candle with $272K volume. From candle 17 onward (22:00 UTC to present), price has been trading in a tight range between ~$0.00000322 and ~$0.00000376, with volumes collapsing to under $125 per hour. The post-crash candles show a series of doji-like and near-flat candles with minimal wicks, indicating price discovery has essentially stopped at these depressed levels.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The token is in a severe downtrend across all timeframes following the pump-and-dump event. Lower highs and lower lows are visible from candle 20 through candle 1. No recovery pattern is evident.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

49%

Sell

51%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00000322 (current price, recent multi-hour low)

Major support

$0.000001 (psychological floor; no historical support below current price)

Immediate resistance

$0.00000376 (candle 17 close / candle 16 high area)

Major resistance

$0.00000669 (candle 12 high of $0.00000369 is nearest; candle 15 open $0.00000741 is next significant level)

The token has no meaningful support below current price given the near-vertical collapse. Resistance levels are derived from post-crash candle highs: $0.00000376 (candle 17 high), $0.00000369 (candle 12 high), and $0.00000754 (candle 15 open). Any recovery attempt would face heavy overhead supply from trapped buyers.

Notable patterns

  • Classic pump-and-dump: parabolic rise in candles 19-20 followed by near-total collapse in candle 18
  • Massive bearish engulfing candle (candle 18): open $0.000399, close $0.00000376 — body spans nearly the entire prior range
  • Post-crash consolidation doji cluster (candles 1–17): extremely tight range with minimal wicks, indicating price exhaustion
  • Volume climax at candle 19 ($1.657M) coinciding with price peak — classic distribution top
  • Consistent lower highs from candle 20 through candle 1 — no recovery attempt

Liquidity

Liquidity

$16,928.04

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $16.93K, which is actually higher than the token's FDV of $3.13K — an unusual and alarming inversion indicating the market cap has collapsed below the liquidity pool value. Slippage risk is very high; any meaningful trade would move the price significantly. The 24h volume of ~$4.8M is entirely attributable to the pump-and-dump event in candles 18-20; post-crash hourly volumes are under $125. Sellers (8,507 unique) significantly outnumber buyers (5,697 unique) in the 24h window, confirming net outflow. The pair trades on PumpSwap (2yD8js96RaSNU4PQJQ3ES1FyKVpzPHDjYfPnnKjJ5xBd).

Supply & authorities

Total supply

972,515,821.865406

FDV

$3,128.58

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token lost ~99.74% of its value in a single 24-hour period. Peak-to-trough move from ~$0.00243 to ~$0.00000322 represents near-total destruction of value. Hourly candles confirm a parabolic pump followed by an immediate collapse.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $16.93K, which exceeds the token's FDV of $3.13K — an inverted relationship indicating extreme illiquidity relative to any meaningful position size. Any sell order beyond a few dollars would cause severe slippage.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Near-total value destruction already occurred (-99.74% in 24h)
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($16.93K) makes exit difficult without further price impact
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for additional malicious actions
  • No verified contract; no described utility
  • Post-crash volume has collapsed to near zero, indicating abandonment
  • FDV ($3.13K) below liquidity pool value — market has essentially priced the token at near-zero
  • Classic pump-and-dump OHLC signature with no recovery pattern

Mitigating factors

  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • Mutable: false — metadata cannot be altered
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some community presence
  • The worst of the price decline may already be priced in at current levels

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly speculative traders who fully understand and accept the near-certain risk of total loss. It is entirely unsuitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The pump-and-dump pattern is already complete; there is no investment thesis supported by the data.

toadtard presents no credible investment thesis based on available on-chain data. The token has already experienced a near-complete pump-and-dump cycle, losing ~99.74% of its value in 24 hours. FDV stands at $3.13K with $16.93K in liquidity — an inverted relationship. The only scenarios for upside are speculative and low-probability.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A residual community or social media campaign drives renewed speculative interest, causing a brief dead-cat bounce. Given the extremely low FDV ($3.13K), even a small influx of capital could produce a large percentage gain from current levels.

  • Active Twitter/website community drives renewed attention
  • Broader Solana meme token market enters a speculative frenzy
  • Low FDV ($3.13K) means small capital inflows produce outsized percentage moves
  • Token not flagged as spam — may remain discoverable on aggregators

Base Case

The token continues to trade at or near current depressed levels ($0.000003–$0.000005) with minimal volume and liquidity, slowly drifting toward zero as remaining holders exit and LPs eventually withdraw.

  • No new catalysts emerge to drive renewed interest
  • Remaining liquidity stays in the pool for the near term
  • Post-crash volume remains in the $10–$100/hour range
  • No malicious authority actions (mint/freeze) occur

Bear Case

High probability

Remaining liquidity is withdrawn by LPs, volume continues to collapse, and the token trends toward zero. This is the most likely outcome given the post-pump abandonment pattern visible in the hourly candles.

  • Liquidity withdrawal by remaining pool providers
  • Complete loss of trading volume (already near zero post-crash)
  • No utility, no verified contract, unknown authority status
  • Pump-and-dump cycle already complete — early buyers have exited
  • FDV already below liquidity pool value

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 10, 06:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-10 18:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • 20 hourly OHLC candles (Aug 9–10, 2026)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buy/sell counts, unique wallets)
  • PumpSwap pair data (2yD8js96RaSNU4PQJQ3ES1FyKVpzPHDjYfPnnKjJ5xBd)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder count, growth, and distribution data is unavailable — holder endpoints were retired
  • Whale map and concentration data cannot be computed without holder data
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — smart money signals are inferred from OHLC/volume only
  • Update authority is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed
  • Token is unverified — on-chain metadata may be incomplete or misleading
  • Only 20 hourly candles provided — longer-term technical analysis is not possible
  • The token's social links (Twitter, website) were not analyzed for content
  • FDV and liquidity figures are point-in-time and may change rapidly given shallow liquidity

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens carries extreme risk of total loss. The pump-and-dump pattern identified in this analysis is based on on-chain data and does not constitute a legal determination of market manipulation. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is toadtard ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling toadtard?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is toadtard liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-10 18:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $16,928.04. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for toadtard (toadtard)?

The token has already lost ~99.74% of its value in 24 hours. Hourly candles show a consistent series of lower highs and lower lows from the peak (~$0.00243 at candle 20) down to the current ~$0.00000322. Volume has collapsed from millions of dollars per hour to under $20/hour, indicating near-total loss of interest. Further downside or complete abandonment is the most likely near-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000001 to $0.000005.

Is toadtard a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is suitable only for highly speculative traders who fully understand and accept the near-certain risk of total loss. It is entirely unsuitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. The pump-and-dump pattern is already complete; there is no investment thesis supported by the data.

What are the key risks of holding toadtard?

Near-total value destruction already occurred (-99.74% in 24h) • Extremely shallow liquidity ($16.93K) makes exit difficult without further price impact • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for additional malicious actions

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