FOLD

Clarity Protocol Price Today & AI Analysis

FOLD
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 2, 2026

2TfSKMphshQ8zFLMJuGsw2iotSdGHLhYYPM4uy1opump

$0.043547

+0.53%

FDV $35,474

LiveContract:2TfSKMphshQ8zFLMJuGsw2iotSdGHLhYYPM4uy1opumpChain:SolanaHolders:734Market cap:$35,474

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Ask Unhosted AI about FOLD

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 2, 01:17 PM
FDV

$1,779,927

Liquidity

$114,807

Holders

796

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Clarity Protocol (FOLD) is a Solana-based token launched on PumpSwap with a current price of ~$0.00178 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$1.78M. The token has experienced a dramatic 24-hour price surge of ~65.8%, driven by a sharp rally beginning around 07:00 UTC on May 2, 2026. Despite the price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily (75.1% sell volume vs 24.9% buy volume), and the holder base of 796 wallets is relatively small. Liquidity stands at $114.81K, which is thin relative to trading volumes. The token is mutable=false and verified, but update authority is unknown, leaving some governance risk unresolved.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Sharp 65.8% 24h price surge from a low base of ~$0.00107 to ~$0.00178
Heavily skewed sell pressure: 75.1% sell volume ($182.95K) vs 24.9% buy volume ($60.56K)
Top 10 holders control 41.3% of supply; top 100 control 86.42%
Small but growing holder base: +440 holders (+55%) over 30 days, though recent days show decline
Traded on PumpSwap — a launchpad-style DEX — with thin liquidity of $114.81K
No sniper data available; smart money signals are limited

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

The token has surged ~65.8% in 24h, closing at $0.001780. However, sell pressure is overwhelming (75.1% of volume), with 1,261 sells vs 387 buys and 446 sellers vs 155 buyers. The most recent candle (13:00 UTC) shows a high of $0.001782 and close of $0.001780, suggesting the rally may be exhausting near the $0.00178 level. A pullback toward the $0.00124–$0.00130 range is likely in the near term if buying momentum fades.

Target low$0.00095
Target high$0.00195
Support: $0.00124 (candle 6 close), $0.00107 (candle 7 open / prior resistance), $0.00094 (candles 8–9 lows)
Resistance: $0.00178 (current price / 24h high), $0.00195 (extrapolated extension), $0.00122 (candle 7 high, now support-turned-resistance)

Medium term

neutral
1–4 weeks

Medium-term direction depends heavily on whether the project delivers any utility or catalysts. The 30-day holder growth of +55% is positive, but the recent 2-day decline in holders (-142 net) and dominant sell pressure suggest distribution may be underway. Without new catalysts, price is likely to consolidate or drift lower from current elevated levels.

Catalysts
  • New exchange listings or liquidity additions
  • Project announcements or protocol utility launch
  • Broader Solana ecosystem rally
  • Whale accumulation at lower price levels

Bullish factors

  • 65.8% 24h price surge demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • 30-day holder growth of +55% (+440 holders) shows expanding community interest
  • Verified contract with mutable=false reduces some manipulation risk
  • Price is well above 30-day lows, suggesting a structural shift upward

Bearish factors

  • 75.1% sell volume ($182.95K) vs 24.9% buy volume ($60.56K) — heavy distribution
  • 1,261 sells vs 387 buys in 24h — sellers outnumber buyers 3.25:1
  • Top 10 holders control 41.3%; top 100 control 86.42% — extreme concentration
  • Thin liquidity of $114.81K relative to $182.95K daily sell volume
  • Holder count declined -13 in 24h and -142 over the last 2 days despite price spike
  • No project description, unknown update authority, no sniper data available
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the absence of sniper data, unknown update authority, thin liquidity, and the highly speculative nature of a PumpSwap-launched token with no described utility. The 65.8% single-day spike with dominant sell pressure makes directional prediction unreliable.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series reveals a clear two-phase structure. Phase 1 (candles 24–15, May 1 14:00–23:00 UTC): Price ranged between $0.00104–$0.00126, showing a gradual decline from ~$0.00125 to ~$0.00081 by midnight. Phase 2 (candles 14–1, May 2 00:00–13:00 UTC): A strong recovery and breakout began at 07:00 UTC (candle 7), where price surged from $0.000944 to $0.001232 (+30% in one hour), then continued higher through candles 5–2, reaching $0.001589 by 12:00 UTC. The final candle (13:00 UTC) shows O:$0.001637, H:$0.001782, L:$0.001619, C:$0.001780 — a strong bullish close near the session high. Volume was heaviest in candle 2 ($57,575) and candle 24 ($15,117), with very low volume in candles 9–10 ($208–$528), suggesting the overnight lows were illiquid.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 25%Sell 75%

Short-term trend is clearly bullish — the token has printed a series of higher lows and higher highs from the 07:00 UTC low of $0.000944 to the current $0.001780. Medium-term (30-day) trend is sideways-to-recovering, as the token spent most of April between $0.00104–$0.00126 before this breakout.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.001588 (candle 2 close / prior resistance now support)
Major$0.000944 (candle 7–8 lows, the breakout base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.001782 (candle 1 high / session high)
Major$0.001950 (extrapolated 10% extension above session high)

The $0.001588 level (candle 2 close) is the first meaningful support below current price. A break below $0.001232 (candle 7 high) would signal the breakout has failed. The $0.000944 zone represents the major support floor from the overnight consolidation. On the upside, $0.001782 is the immediate resistance at the session high.

Notable patterns

  • Strong bull breakout candle at 07:00 UTC (candle 7): body from $0.000988 to $0.001232, +24.6% in one hour
  • Volume climax at 12:00 UTC (candle 2, $57,575) followed by sharp volume drop — potential exhaustion signal
  • Doji-like structure in candles 9–10 (very low volume, narrow range) marking the overnight bottom
  • Higher highs and higher lows from candle 7 through candle 1 — confirmed short-term uptrend
  • Bearish divergence: price made new highs in candle 1 but volume dropped 92% from candle 2 peak

Total holders796
24h Δ-1.6
7d Δ+27
30d Δ+55
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

The 30-day holder growth of +55% (+440 holders, from ~356 to 796) broadly correlates with price activity, with notable spikes on April 16 (+94 holders, +19%), April 20 (+95 holders, +17%), and April 28 (+353 holders, +37%) coinciding with likely price events. However, the most recent 24h shows -13 holders (-1.6%) despite a 65.8% price surge, suggesting the current rally is not attracting new holders — a bearish divergence. The 2-day decline (May 1: -62, May 2 partial: -13) after the April 28 spike suggests many of those new holders have already exited.

The 30-day holder trend is net positive (+440, +55%), driven primarily by a large single-day spike of +353 on April 28. However, growth has been decelerating and reversing: holders peaked at 944 on April 28, then declined to 932 (-12), 852 (-80), 790 (-62), and currently 796 (+6 partial day). The 7-day net of +218 masks this recent deterioration. The fact that holders are declining during a major price spike is a significant bearish signal — it suggests existing holders are selling rather than new buyers accumulating. Growth is NOT accelerating; it is decelerating from the April 28 peak.

Top 10 hold41.30%
Top 100 hold86.42%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

HkKoST9HsYFSQNe9zQWMXJuogDQyoYJEX949n6w6asrv

Individual whale or project insider — largest single holder at 11.33% (113.26M tokens), round-ish balance suggests possible team/treasury allocation

11.33%

CpYbToWWPLMBsp8FiBhypYHSoojLDtNDiPX21ST3dUET

Project treasury or team wallet — exactly 100,000,000 tokens (10.00%), perfectly round balance strongly suggests a pre-allocated team or treasury address

10.00%

8EkBBg7TDa38XC6qWqoDVajopQGQe5aGWEav9y4AY48K

DEX liquidity pool — this address matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data, confirming it holds LP tokens/reserves

3.41%

64U9MukooWV5ziNXx2PCmZNmktBzQoKXnKsDBLvgCQ5g

Individual whale — 30.14M tokens, no obvious classification; likely a large early buyer or OTC participant

3.01%

DPUq1bDoAzHoapLaFAhH7Z3n8w8GqD4a1BwNCyivf5jc

Individual whale — 26.76M tokens, similar profile to holder #4; possible early accumulator

2.68%

Token distribution is extremely concentrated. The top 10 holders control 41.3% of supply, and the top 100 control 86.42%, leaving only ~13.58% of supply distributed among the remaining 696+ holders. Two wallets (HkKoST9H at 11.33% and CpYbToWW at 10.00%) together hold 21.33% of supply — the latter's perfectly round 100M balance strongly suggests a team or treasury allocation. The PumpSwap LP pool (8EkBBg7T) holds 3.41%. Multiple holders in positions 4–10 hold 2–3% each with round or near-round balances (22M, 20M), suggesting possible insider or coordinated allocations. This concentration level poses significant dump risk if any top holder decides to exit.

Liquidity$114,810
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$60,560
Sell$182,950
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers155
Unique sellers446

Market health is concerning. Total liquidity of $114.81K is thin — the 24h sell volume of $182.95K alone exceeds total liquidity by 59%, meaning large sell orders will cause significant slippage. The buy/sell ratio is severely imbalanced: 75.1% sell pressure ($182.95K) vs 24.9% buy pressure ($60.56K), with sellers outnumbering buyers nearly 3:1 (446 vs 155). Net flow is clearly outflow. Despite the 65.8% price spike, the market is absorbing far more selling than buying, which is unsustainable. The PumpSwap pair (8EkBBg7TDa38XC6qWqoDVajopQGQe5aGWEav9y4AY48K) is the sole liquidity venue identified, creating single-point-of-failure risk for liquidity. Slippage risk is high for any position exceeding ~$5,000–$10,000.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,995,457.72
FDV$1,779,926.88

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion FOLD tokens (999,995,457.72), with an FDV of ~$1.78M at current prices. The token was launched via PumpFun/PumpSwap (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address). The metadata shows mutable=false, which is a positive signal — token metadata cannot be changed. However, update authority is listed as 'unknown', preventing definitive assessment of mint and freeze authority status. On PumpFun launches, mint authority is typically burned after bonding curve completion, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. The 'possible spam: false' and 'verified contract: true' flags are mildly reassuring. No description is provided for the token, which is a red flag for a project claiming to be a 'protocol.' The token has social links (Twitter, website, Moralis), suggesting some level of project presence, but no utility or roadmap information is available in the provided data.

Volatility
high

65.8% single-day price surge with 79.55% 6h change indicates extreme volatility. The token can move dramatically in either direction within hours, as evidenced by the overnight decline from $0.00126 to $0.00081 followed by a recovery to $0.00178.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $114.81K is insufficient to absorb large trades without significant slippage. Daily sell volume ($182.95K) exceeds total liquidity, and the token trades on a single DEX (PumpSwap). Any large holder exit could crash the price.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 41.3% of supply; top 100 control 86.42%. Two wallets alone hold 21.33%, including one with a perfectly round 100M token balance suggesting team/insider allocation. This creates extreme dump risk.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, preventing direct assessment. However, the heavy sell pressure (75.1% of volume) during a price spike is consistent with early buyer distribution. Risk is elevated to medium given the PumpFun launch mechanism which attracts snipers.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown.' While mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk, the inability to confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement leaves open the possibility of supply manipulation. PumpFun tokens typically burn mint authority, but this is unconfirmed.

Key risks

  • Extreme holder concentration: top 10 at 41.3%, top 100 at 86.42% — massive dump risk
  • Dominant sell pressure: 75.1% sell volume with sellers outnumbering buyers 3:1
  • Thin liquidity ($114.81K) relative to daily trading volume ($243.5K total)
  • Holder count declining (-13 in 24h, -142 over 2 days) despite price spike — distribution signal
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — cannot confirm full renouncement
  • No project description or utility information provided — pure speculation
  • Single DEX venue (PumpSwap) — no liquidity diversification
  • Small total holder base of 796 wallets — susceptible to whale manipulation

Mitigating factors

  • Verified contract with mutable=false metadata
  • 30-day holder growth of +55% shows some community building
  • Token has social presence (Twitter, website)
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically includes mint authority burn
  • Price is above 30-day lows, suggesting some structural support
  • FDV of $1.78M is relatively low, limiting absolute loss exposure
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto traders who understand meme/PumpFun token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana DeFi risks. Position sizing should be minimal (1–2% of portfolio maximum) if engaging at all.

FOLD (Clarity Protocol) is a high-risk, speculative PumpSwap token that has experienced a sharp 65.8% price spike in 24 hours. The bull case rests on momentum continuation and community growth, while the bear case — supported by dominant sell pressure, declining holders, and extreme concentration — suggests the current rally may be a distribution event. The base case is a pullback from current levels followed by sideways consolidation, with outcome heavily dependent on whale behavior.

Bull case (low)

Momentum continuation: The breakout above $0.00124 holds, new buyers enter attracted by the price action, and the project announces utility or exchange listings that drive FDV toward $5M+. Holder count resumes growth and liquidity deepens.

  • Sustained buying pressure overcoming current sell dominance
  • Project announcement or utility reveal driving organic demand
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • Whale accumulation at current levels rather than distribution

Base case

Pullback and consolidation: Price retraces 30–50% from current highs to the $0.00090–$0.00124 range as sell pressure continues. Holder count stabilizes around 700–800. Token trades sideways for weeks with occasional volatility spikes. Long-term outcome depends on project development.

  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes as early sellers exhaust their positions
  • Core holder base of ~700 wallets remains engaged
  • Liquidity stays above $50K to maintain basic tradability
  • No major whale exits in the near term

Bear case (high)

Distribution and collapse: The current price spike is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Top holders (controlling 41.3% of supply) use the liquidity event to exit, crashing price back toward $0.00050–$0.00080. Holder count continues declining, liquidity dries up, and the token becomes illiquid.

  • 75.1% sell pressure during price spike is consistent with whale distribution
  • Holder count declining despite price surge — no new demand
  • Top 2 wallets holding 21.33% could exit and crash price given thin $114.81K liquidity
  • No described utility or roadmap to sustain organic demand
  • PumpSwap tokens historically have high failure rates post-launch spike

GeneratedMay 2, 01:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z (most recent hourly candle). Holder data reflects snapshot at time of analysis. Historical holder series covers 2026-04-02 through 2026-05-01.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (no data available)

Limitations

  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are inferred only
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • No project description or whitepaper data — utility assessment impossible
  • Single DEX venue limits price discovery quality
  • Small holder base (796) makes statistical patterns less reliable
  • No historical price data beyond 24 hourly candles — medium-term technical analysis is limited
  • Holder classification (team, treasury, etc.) is inferred from balance patterns, not confirmed on-chain labels

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in small-cap and newly launched tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,995,457.72

Key Risks

•Extreme holder concentration: top 10 at 41.3%, top 100 at 86.42% — massive dump risk
•Dominant sell pressure: 75.1% sell volume with sellers outnumbering buyers 3:1
•Thin liquidity ($114.81K) relative to daily trading volume ($243.5K total)
•Holder count declining (-13 in 24h, -142 over 2 days) despite price spike — distribution signal

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data was provided for FOLD. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. However, observable on-chain behavior suggests significant distribution: 1,261 sells vs 387 buys in 24h, with 446 unique sellers vs 155 unique buyers. The dominant sell pressure during a price spike is a classic distribution pattern, potentially indicating early holders or whales are offloading into retail buying momentum.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer PnL data available. The heavy sell volume ($182.95K) during a price spike suggests early holders may be taking profits, but this cannot be confirmed without sniper/early buyer data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Clarity Protocol (FOLD)?

The token has surged ~65.8% in 24h, closing at $0.001780. However, sell pressure is overwhelming (75.1% of volume), with 1,261 sells vs 387 buys and 446 sellers vs 155 buyers. The most recent candle (13:00 UTC) shows a high of $0.001782 and close of $0.001780, suggesting the rally may be exhausting near the $0.00178 level. A pullback toward the $0.00124–$0.00130 range is likely in the near term if buying momentum fades. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.00095 to $0.00195.

Is FOLD a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto traders who understand meme/PumpFun token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana DeFi risks. Position sizing should be minimal (1–2% of portfolio maximum) if engaging at all.

How are FOLD holders trending?

Clarity Protocol currently has 796 holders and is growing (24h: -1.6, 7d: 27, 30d: 55). The 30-day holder trend is net positive (+440, +55%), driven primarily by a large single-day spike of +353 on April 28. However, growth has been decelerating and reversing: holders peaked at 944 on April 28, then declined to 932 (-12), 852 (-80), 790 (-62), and currently 796 (+6 partial day). The 7-day net of +218 masks this recent deterioration. The fact that holders are declining during a major price spike is a significant bearish signal — it suggests existing holders are selling rather than new buyers accumulating. Growth is NOT accelerating; it is decelerating from the April 28 peak.

What does sniper activity look like for FOLD?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding FOLD?

Extreme holder concentration: top 10 at 41.3%, top 100 at 86.42% — massive dump risk • Dominant sell pressure: 75.1% sell volume with sellers outnumbering buyers 3:1 • Thin liquidity ($114.81K) relative to daily trading volume ($243.5K total)

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