PAIN

Max Pain Price Today & AI Analysis

PAINSolanaAnalysis as of May 11, 2026

Price

$0.041199

-1.27% 24h · FDV $11,984

Contract

Live
2N9BXbRtyZM4YHzj9wvteW1Nuq6B5DzDwh57dDmZpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,733

Market cap

$11,984

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Max Pain: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-11 18:20 UTC

Holder addresses

418

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Max Pain ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 418 addresses (2026-05-11 18:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Max Pain?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Max Pain liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-11 18:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 11, 06:20 PM UTC

FDV

$190,256

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

418

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Max Pain (PAIN) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (mint: 2N9BXbRtyZM4YHzj9wvteW1Nuq6B5DzDwh57dDmZpump) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a current FDV of ~$190,256. The token is extremely new — holder counts were flat at 9 for the entire 30-day historical window until a sudden explosion to 418 holders within the last 24 hours, coinciding with a +121% price surge. Trading activity is heavily sell-dominated (66.2% sell pressure), liquidity is reported at $0.00 on-chain, and supply concentration is very high (top 10 hold 50.5%). This is a high-risk, early-stage speculative token with classic pump characteristics.

Key points

  • Explosive 24h holder growth from 9 to 418 (+4,433%), all within a single day
  • Price up +121% in 24h with a 5-minute gain of +26% still ongoing at analysis time
  • Severe sell dominance: 66.2% sell pressure, 1,702 sells vs 873 buys in 24h
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00) despite active trading on PumpSwap
  • Top 10 wallets control 50.5% of supply; top 100 control 89.4%

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Despite the recent +121% 24h surge and a +26% 5-minute spike, sell pressure dominates at 66.2% with nearly 2x more sellers than buyers (688 vs 309). The OHLC data shows a volatile, whipsaw pattern with candle [2] closing well below its open (O:0.0000709 → C:0.0000403), suggesting distribution. The current price of $0.000190 is significantly above the recent 3-hour trading range of $0.000037–$0.000110, implying the latest spike may be a short-lived pump. A retracement toward the $0.000070–$0.000110 range is likely in the near term.

Target low

$0.000060

Target high

$0.000250

Support

$0.000070 (candle [1] close / candle [2] open), $0.000040 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.000037 (candle [3] low — recent absolute low)

Resistance

$0.000110 (candle [3] high / candle [1] low anomaly), $0.000190 (current price — recent spike high), $0.000250 (psychological extension level)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without sustained community growth, utility, or liquidity depth, PAIN is unlikely to maintain its current price level. The token sat dormant with only 9 holders for 30+ days before a sudden pump, which is a classic coordinated launch pattern. Sniper profits are largely already realized, and whale concentration remains extreme. Unless new catalysts emerge, mean reversion toward sub-$0.000050 levels is the base expectation.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media traction driving genuine new holder adoption
  • Liquidity pool deepening on PumpSwap reducing slippage risk
  • Whale accumulation rather than distribution
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Price up +121% in 24h and +26% in 5 minutes — strong short-term momentum
  • Holder count exploded from 9 to 418 in under 24 hours, showing viral interest
  • 873 buy transactions in 24h from 309 unique buyers indicates genuine demand
  • Most snipers (18 of 20 with data) show positive realized PnL, suggesting early buyers are profitable and may hold for more upside
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces certain rug vectors

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 66.2% (1,702 sells vs 873 buys)
  • Total on-chain liquidity reported as $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Top 10 wallets hold 50.5% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 9 holders before the pump — coordinated launch signal
  • No social links, no verified contract, no utility described beyond 'Max Pain'
  • Snipers with high PnL (e.g., 263.5%, 248.2%, 235.4%) have strong incentive to dump remaining holdings

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 hourly OHLC candles available, providing minimal technical history; (2) $0.00 reported liquidity creating price discovery uncertainty; (3) the token is less than 24 hours into its active trading phase; (4) sniper cost basis data is unknown, making PnL-driven sell pressure hard to quantify precisely.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2N9BXb...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 PAIN

Key Risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top wallet holds 19.24%, top 10 hold 50.5%
  • Near-zero reported liquidity ($0.00) creating catastrophic exit risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — coordinated launch signal
  • Sell pressure dominates at 66.2% with 2.2x more sellers than buyers

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (16:00–18:00 UTC on 2026-05-11). Candle [3] (16:00): O:0.0000403, H:0.0001102, L:0.0000372, C:0.0000702 — a wide-range bullish candle with a long upper wick, suggesting buying followed by partial rejection. Candle [2] (17:00): O:0.0000709, H:0.0000709, L:0.0000701, C:0.0000403 — a strong bearish candle (close well below open), indicating distribution/selling pressure dominated. Candle [1] (18:00): O:0.0000403, H:0.0001089, L:0.0001089, C:0.0000709 — NOTE: the L > H anomaly in the raw data suggests a possible data feed issue for this candle; treating H as the effective high (~$0.000110) and the candle as a recovery attempt. The current price of $0.000190 is well above all 3 candles, suggesting a sharp spike occurred after the 18:00 candle, likely within the last hour (+44% 1h change).

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the +121% 24h and +44% 1h price moves, but this is driven by a spike rather than sustained accumulation. The medium-term picture is sideways-to-bearish given the 30+ days of dormancy at 9 holders and the sell-dominated volume profile.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

34%

Sell

66%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000070 (candle [1] close and candle [2] open — tested multiple times)

Major support

$0.000037 (candle [3] absolute low — recent floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000110 (candle [3] high — recent intraday peak)

Major resistance

$0.000190 (current spike price — untested as support)

The $0.000070 level has acted as both support and resistance across the 3-candle window, making it the most significant near-term pivot. The $0.000037 level represents the recent absolute low and a potential worst-case support. The current price of $0.000190 is in uncharted territory relative to the available candle history and represents a significant premium to recent trading ranges.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing-style candle at [2]: opened at the prior close and sold off sharply
  • High-volume distribution candle: candle [2] had the highest volume ($108K) and was bearish
  • Gap-up spike: current price ($0.000190) is ~170% above the candle [1] close ($0.000071), suggesting a post-candle pump
  • Long upper wicks on candles [3] and [1] indicate repeated selling into strength
  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden activation — classic coordinated pump pattern

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 PAIN

FDV

$190,255.94

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price surged +121% in 24h and +26% in 5 minutes. With near-zero liquidity depth, price can move violently in either direction. The 3-candle OHLC window shows swings from $0.000037 to $0.000110 within hours.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top wallet holds 19.24%, top 10 hold 50.5%
  • Near-zero reported liquidity ($0.00) creating catastrophic exit risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — coordinated launch signal
  • Sell pressure dominates at 66.2% with 2.2x more sellers than buyers
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit with high sell-through rate — ongoing dump pressure
  • No social links, no utility, no verified contract — pure speculative meme token
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority on graduation
  • Rapid holder growth (9 → 418 in 24h) shows genuine market interest
  • 873 buy transactions from 309 unique buyers indicates distributed buying
  • FDV of only $190K means absolute loss exposure is limited in dollar terms

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics simultaneously: extreme concentration, near-zero liquidity, coordinated launch pattern, and dominant sell pressure. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible amount of capital.

PAIN is a newly activated PumpFun meme token that has experienced a violent 24h pump (+121%) after 30+ days of complete dormancy. The token exhibits classic pump-and-dump characteristics: coordinated launch, extreme whale concentration, near-zero liquidity, and heavy sell dominance. While short-term momentum traders may find opportunities in the volatility, the structural risk profile is very high and the probability of sustained price appreciation is low without significant new catalysts.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme adoption drives sustained holder growth beyond 1,000+ wallets, liquidity deepens on PumpSwap, and whale wallets choose to hold rather than distribute. The 'Max Pain' narrative resonates with the broader crypto community during a volatile market period, driving organic buying that absorbs sell pressure.

  • Viral social media spread of the 'Max Pain' meme narrative
  • Whale wallets (especially the 19.24% holder) choosing to hold or accumulate
  • Liquidity pool deepening reducing slippage and enabling larger trades
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats

Base Case

PAIN experiences a partial retracement from its current $0.000190 spike, settling in the $0.000060–$0.000100 range as initial excitement fades. Holder count stabilizes around 500–800 as some early buyers hold for potential future pumps. The token remains a low-liquidity, high-volatility speculative instrument with periodic pump cycles.

  • Whale wallets partially distribute but do not fully dump
  • New retail buyers continue to enter at a rate sufficient to absorb moderate sell pressure
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero on PumpSwap
  • No major negative catalyst (e.g., rug pull, authority exploit) occurs

Bear Case

High probability

The 19.24% whale wallet and other top holders begin distributing into the current price pump. Snipers with 200%+ PnL exit remaining positions. Liquidity remains near zero, causing catastrophic slippage on sells. Price retraces 80–95% from current levels back toward the $0.000010–$0.000040 range.

  • Large whale (19.24% holder) selling into the pump
  • Sniper profit-taking from wallets with 200%+ realized PnL
  • Sell pressure already at 66.2% with 2.2x more sellers than buyers
  • Near-zero liquidity amplifying downside price impact
  • No utility, no community, no social presence to sustain demand

Analysis details

Generated

May 11, 06:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-11 18:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: 2N9BXbRtyZM4YHzj9wvteW1Nuq6B5DzDwh57dDmZpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: Cf51Hk5Zm7JtMaqzkR9kj6AD8o1PeuwMeFf4z947XQ55)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 16:00–18:00 UTC 2026-05-11)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data with balances and percentages
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed issue for PumpSwap pools
  • Sniper cost basis and current balances are 'unknown' — precise concentration and PnL calculations impossible
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Token is less than 24 hours into active trading — all metrics are extremely early-stage
  • No social data available to assess community sentiment or project legitimacy
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days and shows 30 days of dormancy — no pre-launch history

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in PAIN and receives no compensation from the project. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Max Pain ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 418 addresses (2026-05-11 18:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Max Pain?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Max Pain liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Max Pain (PAIN)?

Despite the recent +121% 24h surge and a +26% 5-minute spike, sell pressure dominates at 66.2% with nearly 2x more sellers than buyers (688 vs 309). The OHLC data shows a volatile, whipsaw pattern with candle [2] closing well below its open (O:0.0000709 → C:0.0000403), suggesting distribution. The current price of $0.000190 is significantly above the recent 3-hour trading range of $0.000037–$0.000110, implying the latest spike may be a short-lived pump. A retracement toward the $0.000070–$0.000110 range is likely in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000060 to $0.000250.

Is PAIN a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics simultaneously: extreme concentration, near-zero liquidity, coordinated launch pattern, and dominant sell pressure. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible amount of capital.

What are the key risks of holding PAIN?

Extreme supply concentration: top wallet holds 19.24%, top 10 hold 50.5% • Near-zero reported liquidity ($0.00) creating catastrophic exit risk • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — coordinated launch signal

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