PAIN

Max Pain Price Prediction 2026

PAIN
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 11, 2026

2N9BXbRtyZM4YHzj9wvteW1Nuq6B5DzDwh57dDmZpump

$0.058385

+2.46%

FDV $8,382

LiveContract:2N9BXbRtyZM4YHzj9wvteW1Nuq6B5DzDwh57dDmZpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,795Market cap:$8,382

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Ask Unhosted AI about PAIN

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 11, 06:20 PM
FDV

$190,256

Liquidity

$0

Holders

418

Snipers

24

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Max Pain (PAIN) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (mint: 2N9BXbRtyZM4YHzj9wvteW1Nuq6B5DzDwh57dDmZpump) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a current FDV of ~$190,256. The token is extremely new — holder counts were flat at 9 for the entire 30-day historical window until a sudden explosion to 418 holders within the last 24 hours, coinciding with a +121% price surge. Trading activity is heavily sell-dominated (66.2% sell pressure), liquidity is reported at $0.00 on-chain, and supply concentration is very high (top 10 hold 50.5%). This is a high-risk, early-stage speculative token with classic pump characteristics.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h holder growth from 9 to 418 (+4,433%), all within a single day
Price up +121% in 24h with a 5-minute gain of +26% still ongoing at analysis time
Severe sell dominance: 66.2% sell pressure, 1,702 sells vs 873 buys in 24h
Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00) despite active trading on PumpSwap
Top 10 wallets control 50.5% of supply; top 100 control 89.4%

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Despite the recent +121% 24h surge and a +26% 5-minute spike, sell pressure dominates at 66.2% with nearly 2x more sellers than buyers (688 vs 309). The OHLC data shows a volatile, whipsaw pattern with candle [2] closing well below its open (O:0.0000709 → C:0.0000403), suggesting distribution. The current price of $0.000190 is significantly above the recent 3-hour trading range of $0.000037–$0.000110, implying the latest spike may be a short-lived pump. A retracement toward the $0.000070–$0.000110 range is likely in the near term.

Target low$0.000060
Target high$0.000250
Support: $0.000070 (candle [1] close / candle [2] open), $0.000040 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.000037 (candle [3] low — recent absolute low)
Resistance: $0.000110 (candle [3] high / candle [1] low anomaly), $0.000190 (current price — recent spike high), $0.000250 (psychological extension level)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without sustained community growth, utility, or liquidity depth, PAIN is unlikely to maintain its current price level. The token sat dormant with only 9 holders for 30+ days before a sudden pump, which is a classic coordinated launch pattern. Sniper profits are largely already realized, and whale concentration remains extreme. Unless new catalysts emerge, mean reversion toward sub-$0.000050 levels is the base expectation.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction driving genuine new holder adoption
  • Liquidity pool deepening on PumpSwap reducing slippage risk
  • Whale accumulation rather than distribution
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Price up +121% in 24h and +26% in 5 minutes — strong short-term momentum
  • Holder count exploded from 9 to 418 in under 24 hours, showing viral interest
  • 873 buy transactions in 24h from 309 unique buyers indicates genuine demand
  • Most snipers (18 of 20 with data) show positive realized PnL, suggesting early buyers are profitable and may hold for more upside
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces certain rug vectors

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 66.2% (1,702 sells vs 873 buys)
  • Total on-chain liquidity reported as $0.00 — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Top 10 wallets hold 50.5% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 9 holders before the pump — coordinated launch signal
  • No social links, no verified contract, no utility described beyond 'Max Pain'
  • Snipers with high PnL (e.g., 263.5%, 248.2%, 235.4%) have strong incentive to dump remaining holdings
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 hourly OHLC candles available, providing minimal technical history; (2) $0.00 reported liquidity creating price discovery uncertainty; (3) the token is less than 24 hours into its active trading phase; (4) sniper cost basis data is unknown, making PnL-driven sell pressure hard to quantify precisely.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (16:00–18:00 UTC on 2026-05-11). Candle [3] (16:00): O:0.0000403, H:0.0001102, L:0.0000372, C:0.0000702 — a wide-range bullish candle with a long upper wick, suggesting buying followed by partial rejection. Candle [2] (17:00): O:0.0000709, H:0.0000709, L:0.0000701, C:0.0000403 — a strong bearish candle (close well below open), indicating distribution/selling pressure dominated. Candle [1] (18:00): O:0.0000403, H:0.0001089, L:0.0001089, C:0.0000709 — NOTE: the L > H anomaly in the raw data suggests a possible data feed issue for this candle; treating H as the effective high (~$0.000110) and the candle as a recovery attempt. The current price of $0.000190 is well above all 3 candles, suggesting a sharp spike occurred after the 18:00 candle, likely within the last hour (+44% 1h change).

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 34%Sell 66%

Short-term trend is technically upward given the +121% 24h and +44% 1h price moves, but this is driven by a spike rather than sustained accumulation. The medium-term picture is sideways-to-bearish given the 30+ days of dormancy at 9 holders and the sell-dominated volume profile.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000070 (candle [1] close and candle [2] open — tested multiple times)
Major$0.000037 (candle [3] absolute low — recent floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000110 (candle [3] high — recent intraday peak)
Major$0.000190 (current spike price — untested as support)

The $0.000070 level has acted as both support and resistance across the 3-candle window, making it the most significant near-term pivot. The $0.000037 level represents the recent absolute low and a potential worst-case support. The current price of $0.000190 is in uncharted territory relative to the available candle history and represents a significant premium to recent trading ranges.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing-style candle at [2]: opened at the prior close and sold off sharply
  • High-volume distribution candle: candle [2] had the highest volume ($108K) and was bearish
  • Gap-up spike: current price ($0.000190) is ~170% above the candle [1] close ($0.000071), suggesting a post-candle pump
  • Long upper wicks on candles [3] and [1] indicate repeated selling into strength
  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden activation — classic coordinated pump pattern

Total holders418
24h Δ+409
7d Δ+409
30d Δ+409
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is perfectly correlated with the price spike — both occurred simultaneously within the last 24 hours after 30+ days of complete dormancy (9 holders, flat price). This simultaneous activation of holders and price is consistent with a coordinated launch or viral pump event rather than organic growth.

The historical holder data shows the token was completely dormant from at least April 11 through May 10, 2026, with exactly 9 holders and zero net change every single day for 30 days. On May 11, holders exploded from 9 to 418 (+409 holders, +4,433% growth) in a single day. The 1-hour change of +128 holders (+31%) shows the growth is still accelerating at analysis time. The distribution breakdown shows 132 whales, 49 sharks, 129 dolphins, 80 fish, and 28 octopus — a surprisingly whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 418 holders, reinforcing concentration concerns.

Top 10 hold50.50%
Top 100 hold89.40%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

EgSptShwdAQVgNZ5v4fFaStUQnrig9wDtx9jfQBg7cTp

Individual whale / potential team wallet — holds 19.24% (192.4M tokens), the single largest non-pool holder. This level of concentration in a 418-holder token is a significant red flag.

19.24%

Cf51Hk5Zm7JtMaqzkR9kj6AD8o1PeuwMeFf4z947XQ55

DEX liquidity pool — this address matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data (Cf51Hk5Zm7JtMaqzkR9kj6AD8o1PeuwMeFf4z947XQ55), holding 10.46% of supply as pool liquidity.

10.46%

4bLUksHbExppTW6ChEZintHMmurt4JXRx7RZrEBXpQq3

Individual whale — holds 4.56% (45.6M tokens). No on-chain classification available; likely an early buyer or team-affiliated wallet.

4.56%

FD2JB6rVFa89shYVRqhu6Wt9eDpEcEaAFKv3jPodtqne

Individual whale — holds 4.25% (42.5M tokens). Possibly an early sniper or insider given the token's dormant launch history.

4.25%

Eaqmawbj4SupbS5ZVtZJyr4SxdKshYQPavQGFQDAwPbp

Individual whale — holds 3.13% (31.3M tokens). One of several wallets in the 3–5% range suggesting a coordinated multi-wallet holding structure.

3.13%

Supply concentration is extreme: the top 10 wallets hold 50.5% of supply and the top 100 hold 89.4%, leaving only 10.6% distributed among the remaining holders. The largest single wallet (EgSptShwdAQVgNZ5v4fFaStUQnrig9wDtx9jfQBg7cTp) holds 19.24% alone — a massive overhang. The PumpSwap pool (Cf51Hk5Zm7JtMaqzkR9kj6AD8o1PeuwMeFf4z947XQ55) holds 10.46% as liquidity. Wallets 3–10 each hold 1.2–4.6%, suggesting a cluster of early/insider wallets. Sentiment is mixed: the pool holding is neutral, but the large individual whale positions represent significant dump risk, especially given the current price pump.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported — likely a data feed issue or extremely thin pool)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$78,930
Sell$154,450
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers309
Unique sellers688

The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is alarming — even if this is a data feed artifact for PumpSwap pools, it signals extremely shallow liquidity depth. With $233K in 24h volume against near-zero reported liquidity, slippage on any meaningful trade would be severe. The net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($154.45K) is nearly double buy volume ($78.93K), with 688 unique sellers vs 309 unique buyers. This 2.2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio is a clear bearish signal. The 24h buy/sell transaction count (873 buys, 1,702 sells) mirrors this imbalance. Despite the price being up +121%, the underlying flow data suggests the price is being driven by a small number of large buys against a backdrop of widespread selling — a classic pump-and-dump dynamic.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 PAIN
FDV$190,255.94

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a fixed supply of 1,000,000,000 PAIN with an FDV of ~$190K at current prices. The metadata lists update authority as 'unknown' and mutable as 'false' — the immutability (mutable=false) is a positive signal, suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data, so these cannot be confirmed as renounced. The token was launched via PumpFun (pump suffix in mint address) and trades on PumpSwap. No social links, no verified contract, and a minimal description ('Max Pain') provide no additional confidence in the project's legitimacy or longevity. The PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority upon bonding curve graduation, but this cannot be confirmed from the available data.

Volatility
high

Price surged +121% in 24h and +26% in 5 minutes. With near-zero liquidity depth, price can move violently in either direction. The 3-candle OHLC window shows swings from $0.000037 to $0.000110 within hours.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity reported at $0.00. Even if this is a data artifact, the PumpSwap pool holds only 10.46% of supply. Any significant sell order will face extreme slippage. Exit risk for positions larger than a few hundred dollars is very high.

Concentration
high

Top 10 wallets hold 50.5% of supply; top 100 hold 89.4%. The single largest non-pool wallet holds 19.24% (192.4M tokens). At current prices, this wallet's position is worth ~$36,600 — a single dump could crater the price.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. 18 of 20 are in profit (PnL ranging from +6.8% to +263.5%). The current +121% price pump gives remaining sniper holders a strong incentive to exit. Sell-through rate is already high, but remaining balances (unknown) could still represent significant supply.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown from available data. The token is marked mutable=false which is positive, and the PumpFun launch mechanism often burns mint authority. However, without explicit confirmation, authority risk cannot be fully dismissed. Update authority is listed as 'unknown'.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top wallet holds 19.24%, top 10 hold 50.5%
  • Near-zero reported liquidity ($0.00) creating catastrophic exit risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — coordinated launch signal
  • Sell pressure dominates at 66.2% with 2.2x more sellers than buyers
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit with high sell-through rate — ongoing dump pressure
  • No social links, no utility, no verified contract — pure speculative meme token
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority on graduation
  • Rapid holder growth (9 → 418 in 24h) shows genuine market interest
  • 873 buy transactions from 309 unique buyers indicates distributed buying
  • FDV of only $190K means absolute loss exposure is limited in dollar terms
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics simultaneously: extreme concentration, near-zero liquidity, coordinated launch pattern, and dominant sell pressure. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible amount of capital.

PAIN is a newly activated PumpFun meme token that has experienced a violent 24h pump (+121%) after 30+ days of complete dormancy. The token exhibits classic pump-and-dump characteristics: coordinated launch, extreme whale concentration, near-zero liquidity, and heavy sell dominance. While short-term momentum traders may find opportunities in the volatility, the structural risk profile is very high and the probability of sustained price appreciation is low without significant new catalysts.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme adoption drives sustained holder growth beyond 1,000+ wallets, liquidity deepens on PumpSwap, and whale wallets choose to hold rather than distribute. The 'Max Pain' narrative resonates with the broader crypto community during a volatile market period, driving organic buying that absorbs sell pressure.

  • Viral social media spread of the 'Max Pain' meme narrative
  • Whale wallets (especially the 19.24% holder) choosing to hold or accumulate
  • Liquidity pool deepening reducing slippage and enabling larger trades
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats

Base case

PAIN experiences a partial retracement from its current $0.000190 spike, settling in the $0.000060–$0.000100 range as initial excitement fades. Holder count stabilizes around 500–800 as some early buyers hold for potential future pumps. The token remains a low-liquidity, high-volatility speculative instrument with periodic pump cycles.

  • Whale wallets partially distribute but do not fully dump
  • New retail buyers continue to enter at a rate sufficient to absorb moderate sell pressure
  • Liquidity remains thin but non-zero on PumpSwap
  • No major negative catalyst (e.g., rug pull, authority exploit) occurs

Bear case (high)

The 19.24% whale wallet and other top holders begin distributing into the current price pump. Snipers with 200%+ PnL exit remaining positions. Liquidity remains near zero, causing catastrophic slippage on sells. Price retraces 80–95% from current levels back toward the $0.000010–$0.000040 range.

  • Large whale (19.24% holder) selling into the pump
  • Sniper profit-taking from wallets with 200%+ realized PnL
  • Sell pressure already at 66.2% with 2.2x more sellers than buyers
  • Near-zero liquidity amplifying downside price impact
  • No utility, no community, no social presence to sustain demand

GeneratedMay 11, 06:20 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-11T18:00–18:30 UTC. Price data shows a +26% 5-minute change, indicating the market is actively moving at analysis time.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: 2N9BXbRtyZM4YHzj9wvteW1Nuq6B5DzDwh57dDmZpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: Cf51Hk5Zm7JtMaqzkR9kj6AD8o1PeuwMeFf4z947XQ55)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 16:00–18:00 UTC 2026-05-11)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data with balances and percentages
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed issue for PumpSwap pools
  • Sniper cost basis and current balances are 'unknown' — precise concentration and PnL calculations impossible
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Token is less than 24 hours into active trading — all metrics are extremely early-stage
  • No social data available to assess community sentiment or project legitimacy
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days and shows 30 days of dormancy — no pre-launch history

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in PAIN and receives no compensation from the project. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 PAIN

Key Risks

•Extreme supply concentration: top wallet holds 19.24%, top 10 hold 50.5%
•Near-zero reported liquidity ($0.00) creating catastrophic exit risk
•Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — coordinated launch signal
•Sell pressure dominates at 66.2% with 2.2x more sellers than buyers

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. Of the 20 snipers with PnL data, 18 show positive realized PnL (ranging from +6.8% to +263.5%), 1 shows near-zero (0.0%), and 1 shows a minor loss (-1.6%). The top performers — Ar2Y6o1Q (+263.5%, sold $997), STorreSu8 (+248.2%, sold $825), 6HKBcmqjN (+235.4%, sold $199), kEFiAX3j (+222.8%, sold $435) — have already taken significant profits. The largest seller, AgmLJBMD, sold $6,257 at only +11.6% PnL, suggesting a large early position was exited near cost. Sell-through rate is high: virtually all snipers have sold meaningful amounts. The current price spike (+121% 24h) may be triggering remaining sniper exits.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper balances are reported as 'unknown' in the data, preventing precise concentration calculation. However, 19 of 20 snipers show sold amounts ranging from $1 to $6,257, with only 1 sniper (3KcPSJ8...) showing $0 balance and 0% PnL, suggesting most have already exited or partially exited positions.

Early buyers (snipers) are overwhelmingly in profit and have been actively selling. The high sell-through rate combined with mostly-positive PnL suggests snipers are in distribution mode. The current price pump may represent a final exit opportunity for remaining sniper holdings.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Max Pain (PAIN)?

Despite the recent +121% 24h surge and a +26% 5-minute spike, sell pressure dominates at 66.2% with nearly 2x more sellers than buyers (688 vs 309). The OHLC data shows a volatile, whipsaw pattern with candle [2] closing well below its open (O:0.0000709 → C:0.0000403), suggesting distribution. The current price of $0.000190 is significantly above the recent 3-hour trading range of $0.000037–$0.000110, implying the latest spike may be a short-lived pump. A retracement toward the $0.000070–$0.000110 range is likely in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000060 to $0.000250.

Is PAIN a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics simultaneously: extreme concentration, near-zero liquidity, coordinated launch pattern, and dominant sell pressure. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible amount of capital.

How are PAIN holders trending?

Max Pain currently has 418 holders and is growing (24h: 409, 7d: 409, 30d: 409). The historical holder data shows the token was completely dormant from at least April 11 through May 10, 2026, with exactly 9 holders and zero net change every single day for 30 days. On May 11, holders exploded from 9 to 418 (+409 holders, +4,433% growth) in a single day. The 1-hour change of +128 holders (+31%) shows the growth is still accelerating at analysis time. The distribution breakdown shows 132 whales, 49 sharks, 129 dolphins, 80 fish, and 28 octopus — a surprisingly whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 418 holders, reinforcing concentration concerns.

What does sniper activity look like for PAIN?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding PAIN?

Extreme supply concentration: top wallet holds 19.24%, top 10 hold 50.5% • Near-zero reported liquidity ($0.00) creating catastrophic exit risk • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden pump — coordinated launch signal

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