CHYNA

chyna Price Prediction 2026

CHYNA
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 13, 2026

2KTKyuaexFpkftPNcsdQ5jnzYn713s7s3JgTUsdiYwTe

$0.051590

FDV $1,590

LiveContract:2KTKyuaexFpkftPNcsdQ5jnzYn713s7s3JgTUsdiYwTeChain:SolanaHolders:192Market cap:$1,590

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Report snapshotas of May 13, 04:20 PM
FDV

$122,594

Liquidity

$29,733

Holders

-760

Snipers

46

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

CHYNA (chyna waking up) is a Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~999.99M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$122.6K–$135K. The token has experienced an explosive 290.87% price surge in the past 24 hours, currently trading at $0.0001226. However, this pump is accompanied by severe sell pressure (70.9% sell volume), a sharply declining holder count (-2,974 over 7d/30d), and thin liquidity of only $29.73K. The token was dormant for nearly a month before this spike, raising significant concerns about sustainability.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 290.87% 24h price surge from a very low base
Extremely thin liquidity ($29.73K) relative to 24h volume (~$418K combined)
Severe holder exodus: -2,974 holders over 7d/30d, -760 net current
Sell pressure dominates at 70.9% of 24h volume ($296.84K sells vs $121.92K buys)
Token was completely dormant (zero holder change) for ~30 days before this pump event
Top 10 holders control 30.76% of supply; top 100 control 84.39%

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has pumped 290.87% in 24h and 113.28% in the last hour alone, driven by speculative momentum. However, sell pressure at 70.9% of volume, a rapidly declining holder base (-689 in the last hour), and only $29.73K in liquidity suggest the pump is likely exhausting. A sharp retracement toward the $0.000034–$0.000046 range is probable unless new buying catalysts emerge.

Target low$0.000034
Target high$0.000135
Support: $0.000091 (candle [1] open / recent consolidation), $0.000065 (candle [2] open), $0.000034 (candle [3]/[5] open — multi-candle base support)
Resistance: $0.000135 (candle [1] high — recent intraday peak), $0.000119 (candle [2] high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Given the token's 30-day dormancy prior to this pump, the absence of any fundamental catalyst, the massive holder decline, and the meme-token nature of the project, a sustained medium-term uptrend is unlikely. Price is expected to retrace significantly unless a new narrative or influencer catalyst drives fresh demand.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media attention or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at lower prices
  • Liquidity injection into the PumpSwap pool

Bullish factors

  • 290.87% 24h price surge demonstrates strong speculative momentum
  • More unique buyers (4,614) than sellers (2,458) in 24h, suggesting broader participation
  • Recent 1h price gain of 113.28% shows active momentum
  • Token migrated to PumpSwap, indicating it graduated from pump.fun bonding curve

Bearish factors

  • 70.9% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($296.84K sells vs $121.92K buys)
  • Holder count declining sharply: -689 in 1h, -2,974 over 7d/30d
  • Liquidity extremely thin at $29.73K — large trades will cause severe slippage
  • Token was completely dormant for ~30 days before this pump
  • Top 100 holders control 84.39% of supply — high concentration risk
  • Unverified contract, mutable metadata authority not renounced
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the highly speculative and volatile nature of this meme token, the absence of fundamental data, unknown sniper entry prices, and the extreme divergence between buy/sell volumes. Meme token price action is largely driven by social sentiment which is unquantifiable from on-chain data alone.

Deep Analysis

Reviewing the 6 most recent hourly candles (oldest to newest): Candle [6] (11:00) shows a small bearish candle with open=close near $0.0000395/$0.0000345, low volume ($10.2K). Candle [5] (12:00) is a small bullish candle ($0.0000344→$0.0000395, $78.8K volume). Candle [4] (13:00) appears to have inverted OHLC data (O>H anomaly: O=$0.0000395, H=$0.0000395, L=$0.0000736, C=$0.0000344) — likely a data artifact; treat as a volatile/indecisive candle with $91.3K volume. Candle [3] (14:00) is a strong bullish candle: O=$0.0000344→C=$0.0000672, H=$0.0000672, $118.9K volume — the highest volume candle, marking the breakout. Candle [2] (15:00) continues the rally: O=$0.0000656→C=$0.0000907, H=$0.0001195, $39K volume — showing a long upper wick (potential exhaustion). Candle [1] (16:00, most recent) opens at $0.0000920, reaches H=$0.0001350, closes at $0.0001226 with $6.7K volume — a doji-like candle with long upper wick and sharply declining volume, suggesting momentum exhaustion at the top.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 29%Sell 71%

Short-term trend is clearly up — price has made successive higher highs and higher closes over the past 5 hours, rising from ~$0.0000345 to $0.0001226 (+255%). However, the medium-term context (30 days of flat/zero holder change and dormant price) suggests this is a spike within a broader sideways/dormant structure. The declining volume on the most recent candle and long upper wicks signal the uptrend may be stalling.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000091 (candle [1] open, recent consolidation base)
Major$0.000034 (multi-candle base — candles [3], [5], [6] all touched this level)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000135 (candle [1] intraday high)
Major$0.000119 (candle [2] high — prior resistance now potential support/resistance flip zone)

The $0.000034 level served as a strong base across multiple candles and represents the most significant support. The $0.000091–$0.000092 zone is the immediate support from the most recent candle's open. On the upside, $0.000135 is the all-time high from this pump cycle and represents the key resistance. A failure to hold $0.000091 would likely see a rapid retest of $0.000034.

Notable patterns

  • Higher highs and higher closes across candles [5]→[3]→[2]→[1] — confirmed short-term uptrend
  • Declining volume on rising price (bearish divergence) — candles [3] to [1]
  • Long upper wick on candle [2] ($0.0000907 close vs $0.0001195 high) — rejection at resistance
  • Doji-like candle [1] with long upper wick at cycle high — potential reversal signal
  • Volume spike at breakout candle [3] ($118.9K) followed by rapid volume decay — pump exhaustion pattern
  • Possible data anomaly in candle [4] where L > O (inverted OHLC) — treat with caution

Liquidity$29,730
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$121,920
Sell$296,840
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers4,614
Unique sellers2,458

Liquidity is critically thin at $29.73K on the PumpSwap pair (Be5bsntQbbQpVo4V4e2hdNRMLp2MgRdfAVZ7iwYTY5qK). The 24h combined volume of ~$418.76K represents approximately 14x the available liquidity — an extremely high volume-to-liquidity ratio that indicates severe slippage risk for any meaningful trade size. Sell volume ($296.84K, 70.9%) dramatically outpaces buy volume ($121.92K, 29.1%), confirming net outflow. Paradoxically, there are more unique buyers (4,614) than sellers (2,458), suggesting that while more wallets are buying, sellers are transacting in larger average sizes — consistent with whales/early holders distributing to retail buyers. The net flow is clearly outflow, and the shallow liquidity means the price could collapse rapidly if selling pressure intensifies.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,994,621.42
FDV$122,593.92

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.99M tokens (effectively 1 billion). The FDV is $122,593.92 at current price. The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT the system program (11111...) or a known burn address, meaning metadata update authority has NOT been renounced. However, the token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which means the metadata itself cannot be changed despite the update authority existing. Mint and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data — marked as unknown. The contract is unverified and not flagged as spam. The 'Mutable: false' flag provides some protection against metadata manipulation, but the non-renounced update authority and unknown mint/freeze authority status represent residual risk. The token was launched on pump.fun (evidenced by PumpSwap migration) which typically initializes with mint authority disabled post-bonding curve completion, but this cannot be confirmed from the provided data alone.

Volatility
high

290.87% price surge in 24h with 113.28% gain in the last hour alone. Extreme volatility typical of low-cap meme tokens. Price could retrace 80%+ rapidly given thin liquidity and sell pressure.

Liquidity
high

Only $29.73K in liquidity against $418K+ in 24h volume. Volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~14x means any significant sell order will cause catastrophic slippage. Exiting a position of even $5K–$10K would move the price substantially.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 30.76% of supply; top 100 control 84.39%. Excluding the LP (12.32%), individual whales hold 2–3.5% each. The 159 whale-tier holders represent a significant overhang. Mass selling by even a fraction of these holders could collapse the price.

SniperDump
medium

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Most appear to have already sold (near-zero balances, positive realized PnL for several). The largest sniper exit was $4,185 at +123.1% PnL. Remaining sniper risk is moderate as most appear distributed, but exact balances are unknown.

Authority
medium

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced. Token is marked 'Mutable: false' providing some protection. Mint and freeze authority status unknown. Unverified contract adds additional uncertainty.

Key risks

  • Extreme liquidity risk — $29.73K liquidity vs $418K+ daily volume creates severe exit risk
  • Holder count collapsing rapidly (-2,974 in 24h, -689 in last hour) — mass exodus during pump
  • 70.9% sell pressure dominates trading — whales distributing to retail
  • 30-day dormancy before pump suggests coordinated pump-and-dump pattern
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • Top 100 holders control 84.39% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Meme token with no clear utility or fundamental value driver
  • Price already up 290.87% — late buyers face maximum drawdown risk

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked 'Mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered
  • More unique buyers (4,614) than sellers (2,458) — broad retail participation
  • Snipers appear largely distributed out — reduced immediate dump risk from early buyers
  • Token migrated to PumpSwap (graduated from bonding curve) — basic legitimacy milestone
  • PnL data shows some snipers at loss, reducing coordinated dump incentive
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders with strict position sizing (less than 0.5% of portfolio) and pre-defined stop-loss levels. Absolutely not suitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. This token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

CHYNA is a high-risk Solana meme token exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics: 30 days of dormancy followed by a sudden 290.87% price spike, massive holder exodus (-2,974 in 24h), dominant sell pressure (70.9%), and critically thin liquidity ($29.73K). While the short-term momentum is undeniable, the structural indicators strongly favor a bearish outcome for new entrants. The token has no verified utility, no fundamental value proposition, and the price action is driven entirely by speculative momentum.

Bull case (low)

Continued momentum rally driven by social media virality or influencer attention pushes CHYNA to new highs above $0.000135, attracting fresh retail capital and temporarily expanding liquidity.

  • Viral social media campaign or celebrity endorsement
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all boats
  • Whale accumulation at current levels creating a new support base
  • Increased liquidity injection into PumpSwap pool enabling larger trades

Base case

Price retraces 50–70% from current levels over the next 24–48 hours as the pump momentum fades, settling in the $0.000034–$0.000065 range. Token may see periodic speculative spikes but ultimately trends toward irrelevance without a new catalyst.

  • No major new catalyst or influencer promotion emerges
  • Sell pressure continues to dominate as remaining holders exit
  • Liquidity remains thin, amplifying price swings in both directions
  • Broader Solana meme market remains neutral to slightly positive

Bear case (high)

The pump exhausts as sell pressure overwhelms thin liquidity. Holder count continues to collapse, price retraces 70–90% back toward the $0.000034 base or lower. Token returns to dormancy.

  • 70.9% sell pressure already dominant — whales distributing to retail
  • Holder count declining at accelerating rate (-689 in last hour)
  • Volume declining sharply on most recent candles (bearish divergence)
  • Only $29.73K liquidity — any moderate sell order collapses price
  • 30-day dormancy history suggests no organic community or utility

GeneratedMay 13, 04:20 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 2026-05-13T16:00–16:30Z. Historical holder data covers April 13 – May 12, 2026. OHLC data covers the 6 most recent hourly candles ending at 16:00Z.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (USD)
  • Holder distribution and historical holder time series
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • 24h trading volume and buyer/seller analytics

Limitations

  • Total sniped USD amounts are unknown for all 20 snipers — sniper concentration percentage is estimated
  • Sniper current balances are largely unknown — exact remaining sniper supply overhang cannot be calculated
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — inferred from available metadata
  • Negative total holder count (-760) appears to be a data artifact or net-change figure rather than absolute count — actual holder count likely near 2,266 (last known positive value) minus recent exits
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • Social sentiment data not available — viral/influencer risk cannot be quantified
  • The 6h and 24h price change showing 0% in analytics section conflicts with the 290.87% 24h change shown in price section — likely a data refresh timing issue; the OHLC-derived analysis is used as primary reference
  • Candle [4] (13:00) shows anomalous OHLC data (L > O) which may be a data error — treated with caution

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially low-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,994,621.42

Key Risks

Extreme liquidity risk — $29.73K liquidity vs $418K+ daily volume creates severe exit risk
Holder count collapsing rapidly (-2,974 in 24h, -689 in last hour) — mass exodus during pump
70.9% sell pressure dominates trading — whales distributing to retail
30-day dormancy before pump suggests coordinated pump-and-dump pattern

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Medium risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, PnL states are mixed: 7 snipers show positive realized PnL (ranging from +1.1% to +241.5%), 3 show negative PnL (-5.6% to -34.4%), and 10 show 0% (either haven't sold or broke even). The top profitable sniper (4TqHr3pTGX94VxuWkVtajxrBPxwEJoKpnH1yaNqzBMuL) achieved +241.5% realized PnL. Most snipers appear to have sold or hold minimal balances, reducing immediate sniper dump risk. However, exact sniped amounts are unknown, limiting confidence. The current pump may be attracting new retail buyers rather than being sniper-driven.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.10%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
medium

Sniper data shows 20 snipers active in the first 1,000 blocks. Exact sniped amounts are unknown, but sold amounts range from $4 to $4,185. Top sniper (AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51) sold $4,185 at +123.1% realized PnL — the largest single exit. Several snipers hold near-zero balances, suggesting most have already exited.

Mixed — several early snipers have already taken profits (positive realized PnL), while others are at a loss or flat. The most profitable sniper realized +241.5% gain. The majority of snipers with non-zero sell amounts appear to have exited, suggesting early buyers are largely distributed out.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for chyna (CHYNA)?

The token has pumped 290.87% in 24h and 113.28% in the last hour alone, driven by speculative momentum. However, sell pressure at 70.9% of volume, a rapidly declining holder base (-689 in the last hour), and only $29.73K in liquidity suggest the pump is likely exhausting. A sharp retracement toward the $0.000034–$0.000046 range is probable unless new buying catalysts emerge. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000034 to $0.000135.

Is CHYNA a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders with strict position sizing (less than 0.5% of portfolio) and pre-defined stop-loss levels. Absolutely not suitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. This token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

What does sniper activity look like for CHYNA?

Snipers hold roughly 2.10% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding CHYNA?

Extreme liquidity risk — $29.73K liquidity vs $418K+ daily volume creates severe exit risk • Holder count collapsing rapidly (-2,974 in 24h, -689 in last hour) — mass exodus during pump • 70.9% sell pressure dominates trading — whales distributing to retail

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