leo

patient zero Price Today & AI Analysis

leoSolanaAnalysis as of May 7, 2026

Price

$0.052212

FDV $2,211

Contract

Live
2KRjCQUefvCm7KZCgRRiT82789VWWkNyWjR67W1Epump

Chain

Solana

Holders

104

Market cap

$2,211

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patient zero: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-07 23:48 UTC

Holder addresses

531

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$24,277.96
How concentrated is patient zero ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 531 addresses (2026-05-07 23:48 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling patient zero?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is patient zero liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-07 23:48 UTC, reported liquidity was $24,277.96. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-07 23:48 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 7, 11:48 PM UTC

FDV

$88,143

Liquidity

$24,277.96

Holders

531

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

patient zero (leo) is a micro-cap Solana memecoin launched on PumpSwap (mint: 2KRjCQUefvCm7KZCgRRiT82789VWWkNyWjR67W1Epump). The token experienced a dramatic 241.69% 24h price surge to $0.0000881, driven by a sudden wave of new holders (+487 in 24h from a base of just 44). Despite the price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily (71.1% sell volume), liquidity is extremely shallow at $24.28K, and the token carries very high risk characteristics typical of a newly viral PumpFun/PumpSwap memecoin.

Key points

  • Explosive 24h holder growth: from 44 to 531 holders (+92% in 24h, 7d, and 30d — all concentrated in a single day)
  • Extreme sell-side dominance: 71.1% sell pressure ($289.76K sell vs $117.84K buy volume)
  • Very shallow liquidity of only $24.28K against a $106.74K FDV — high slippage risk
  • Top 10 holders control 32.32% of supply; top 100 control 81.03%
  • 20 identified snipers with mixed PnL — several large profitable exits already taken

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is showing severe short-term weakness. The most recent 1h candle shows a -33.38% decline. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 71.1% of volume. With only $24.28K in liquidity and 2,076 unique sellers vs 816 buyers in 24h, the path of least resistance is downward. The price spike appears to be fading rapidly.

Target low

$0.000015

Target high

$0.000055

Support

$0.000020 (candle [10] low: $0.0000177), $0.000014 (candle [11] low: $0.0000142), $0.000015 (candle [12] low: $0.0000156)

Resistance

$0.000055 (candle [3] high / candle [12] open), $0.000065 (candle [12] high: $0.0000654 / candle [13] high: $0.0000656), $0.000077 (candle [6] high: $0.0000766 — all-time high in dataset)

Medium term · 3–14 days

bearish

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or viral catalysts, micro-cap memecoins of this profile typically retrace 70–95% from their spike highs. The token had zero holder growth for 30 days prior to the spike, suggesting no organic community. Medium-term outlook is bearish unless a new narrative catalyst emerges.

Catalysts

  • Renewed viral social media attention (Twitter/website activity)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at lower prices
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (unlikely at this FDV)

Bullish factors

  • 241.69% 24h price surge demonstrates strong short-term momentum potential
  • Rapid holder acquisition (+487 in 24h) shows viral interest
  • 5m price change is slightly positive (+0.30%), suggesting momentary stabilization
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible trading venue

Bearish factors

  • 71.1% sell pressure dominates — sellers outnumber buyers 2.5:1 by wallet count (2,076 vs 816)
  • 1h price down -33.38% — momentum is reversing sharply
  • Liquidity of only $24.28K makes large exits extremely costly
  • Token had 44 holders for 30+ days prior — no organic community base
  • Multiple snipers have already taken large profitable exits (sniper [13]: +91.5%, [14]: +87.4%, [15]: +80.0%)
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable=false but no authority confirmation
  • Holder count dropped 40 in the last hour (-7.5%) — early holders are exiting

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of this micro-cap memecoin, very limited liquidity, and the unpredictable nature of memecoin price action. The 24h price change data shows 0% (possibly a data artifact), while the 6h shows +159% and 1h shows -33%, indicating extreme intraday swings. Predictions in this environment carry very high uncertainty.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2KRjCQ...pump
Total Supply
999,981,870.65

Key Risks

  • Extreme liquidity risk — $24.28K pool cannot absorb meaningful sell pressure without catastrophic price impact
  • Dominant sell pressure (71.1%) with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.54:1 — active distribution in progress
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days at 44 holders — no organic community or utility established
  • Holder count already declining: -40 holders (-7.5%) in the last hour alone

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 13-hour OHLC dataset reveals a highly volatile token with a sharp spike and subsequent retracement. Candle [13] (11:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000341 and reached a high of $0.0000656 before closing at $0.0000555 — a strong bullish candle. Candle [12] (12:00 UTC) opened high at $0.0000551 but sold off hard to close at $0.0000250, forming a large bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern with a high of $0.0000654. Candles [11]–[9] show a base-building phase between $0.0000142–$0.0000276. Candle [6] (18:00 UTC) spiked to $0.0000766 (the session high) before closing at $0.0000315 — another bearish shooting star. Candle [7] (17:00 UTC) showed a recovery attempt to $0.0000556. The most recent candle [1] (23:00 UTC) shows an anomalous OHLC where O > H and L > C, suggesting a data ordering issue, but the close of $0.0000264 confirms continued weakness. Overall pattern: spike-and-dump with lower highs forming after the initial $0.0000766 peak.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is clearly bearish — the token peaked at $0.0000766 in candle [6] and has been making lower highs since. The medium-term is sideways-to-bearish given the token was dormant for 30 days and only spiked in the last 24 hours. No established uptrend structure exists.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

29%

Sell

71%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000024 (multiple candle lows cluster: [2] $0.0000249, [3] $0.0000241, [5] $0.0000231)

Major support

$0.000014–$0.000016 (candles [11] and [12] lows: $0.0000142 and $0.0000156)

Immediate resistance

$0.000033–$0.000035 (candle [4] high $0.0000349, candle [10] high $0.0000273 cluster)

Major resistance

$0.000065–$0.000077 (candle [12]/[13] highs ~$0.0000654–$0.0000656 and candle [6] all-session high $0.0000766)

The token has established a clear resistance zone at $0.000065–$0.000077 from the initial spike highs. Immediate support sits around $0.000024 where multiple candles found lows. A break below $0.000020 would open the door to the $0.000014–$0.000016 major support zone. Recovery above $0.000033 is needed to suggest any bullish continuation.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at candle [12] — opened high, sold off to close near lows on high volume ($53,957)
  • Shooting star at candle [6] — spiked to session high $0.0000766 then closed at $0.0000315
  • Lower highs forming after initial spike: $0.0000766 → $0.0000556 → $0.0000416 → $0.0000326 — confirmed downtrend
  • High-volume sell candles dominating the session (candles [2], [6], [12], [13] all show large wicks or bearish closes)
  • 30-day price dormancy followed by a single-day vertical spike — classic pump pattern

Liquidity

Liquidity

$24,277.96

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $24.28K against a $106.74K FDV means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 22.7% — extremely thin. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will incur significant slippage. The 24h trading volume of ~$407.6K ($117.84K buy + $289.76K sell) is approximately 16.8x the total liquidity, confirming extreme turnover relative to pool depth. Net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($289.76K) is 2.46x buy volume ($117.84K). Unique sellers (2,076) outnumber unique buyers (816) by 2.54:1. The token is on PumpSwap, which provides basic AMM liquidity but no order book depth. This environment creates extreme slippage risk for any position larger than ~$500–$1,000.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,981,870.65

FDV

$106,740

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    241.69% 24h price surge followed by -33.38% in the most recent hour. The token swung from ~$0.0000142 to $0.0000766 and back within 13 hours — a 5.4x range. Extreme intraday volatility makes position sizing and exit timing extremely difficult.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $24.28K. The 24h volume of ~$407K is 16.8x the liquidity pool size. Any sell order above ~$500 will face severe slippage. Exiting a meaningful position could move the price significantly against the seller.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme liquidity risk — $24.28K pool cannot absorb meaningful sell pressure without catastrophic price impact
  • Dominant sell pressure (71.1%) with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.54:1 — active distribution in progress
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days at 44 holders — no organic community or utility established
  • Holder count already declining: -40 holders (-7.5%) in the last hour alone
  • Profitable snipers have already exited with 80–91.5% gains — smart money has left
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • No description, no verified utility — pure speculative memecoin

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered
  • PumpFun/PumpSwap origin typically implies auto-renounced mint authority
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Social links present (Twitter, website, Moralis) suggesting some community effort
  • Rapid holder acquisition shows genuine market interest, however short-lived

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced memecoin traders with strict risk management, small position sizes relative to portfolio, and the ability to monitor and exit positions in real-time. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits all hallmarks of a high-risk pump-and-dump scenario.

patient zero (leo) is a classic PumpSwap memecoin that experienced a viral 24h pump (+241.69%) driven by rapid speculative holder acquisition. The investment case is almost entirely speculative — there is no verified utility, no established community (44 holders for 30+ days), and the current price action shows clear distribution by early buyers and snipers. The risk/reward is extremely unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A sustained viral social media campaign or broader Solana memecoin market rally drives continued buying interest, pushing the token to retest its session high of $0.0000766 or beyond. New holders continue accumulating, liquidity deepens, and the token establishes a higher base.

  • Viral Twitter/social media momentum sustaining beyond the initial 24h pump
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • Influential KOL or community figure promoting the token
  • Liquidity providers adding depth to the PumpSwap pool

Base Case

The token stabilizes in the $0.000020–$0.000035 range as the initial pump excitement fades. Volume declines significantly, holder count settles between 200–400 as weak hands exit, and the token enters a low-activity consolidation phase. Without a new catalyst, it slowly bleeds lower over days/weeks.

  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes as most motivated sellers exit
  • A small core community of 200–400 holders remains
  • No new major catalysts emerge in the near term
  • Liquidity remains thin, limiting both upside and downside velocity

Bear Case

High probability

The pump fully reverses as remaining snipers and early holders exit, liquidity is drained, and the token retraces 80–95% from its peak back toward or below the pre-pump price of ~$0.0000142–$0.0000200. The holder base collapses back toward the original 44 core holders.

  • Dominant sell pressure (71.1%) continues overwhelming buyers
  • Remaining snipers with unknown balances dumping remaining holdings
  • Holder count already declining (-40 in last hour) accelerating
  • No utility or narrative to sustain interest beyond initial pump
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying downward price moves

Analysis details

Generated

May 7, 11:48 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-07 23:48 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority flags)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and pair data
  • OHLC hourly candle data (13 candles, May 7 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Sniper sniped amounts and current balances are largely 'unknown', preventing precise sniper concentration calculation
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly confirmed — inferred from 'mutable: false' flag and PumpFun origin
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot fully assess rug risk from authorities
  • 24h price change shows 0% in analytics section while header shows 241.69% — possible data inconsistency or calculation methodology difference
  • OHLC candle [1] shows anomalous data (O > H, L > C) suggesting possible data ordering or formatting issue
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days and shows flat 44 holders — token may be older than 30 days or data coverage is limited
  • No order book data available — slippage estimates are approximations based on liquidity pool size
  • Top holder wallet classifications are inferred — no on-chain labels or CEX confirmation available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is patient zero ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 531 addresses (2026-05-07 23:48 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling patient zero?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is patient zero liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-07 23:48 UTC, reported liquidity was $24,277.96. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for patient zero (leo)?

The token is showing severe short-term weakness. The most recent 1h candle shows a -33.38% decline. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 71.1% of volume. With only $24.28K in liquidity and 2,076 unique sellers vs 816 buyers in 24h, the path of least resistance is downward. The price spike appears to be fading rapidly. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000015 to $0.000055.

Is leo a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced memecoin traders with strict risk management, small position sizes relative to portfolio, and the ability to monitor and exit positions in real-time. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits all hallmarks of a high-risk pump-and-dump scenario.

What are the key risks of holding leo?

Extreme liquidity risk — $24.28K pool cannot absorb meaningful sell pressure without catastrophic price impact • Dominant sell pressure (71.1%) with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.54:1 — active distribution in progress • Token was dormant for 30+ days at 44 holders — no organic community or utility established

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