LIGMA

Ligma Balls Price Today & AI Analysis

LIGMASolanaAnalysis as of Jun 20, 2026

Price

$0.052580

-0.52% 24h · FDV $2,579

Contract

Live
2DdwEtt8qyjMCDHyoQ7tR5kXPRU1xjDB4876jyJQpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

396

Market cap

$2,579

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Jun 20, 12:17 PM UTC

FDV

$150,188

Liquidity

$44,761

Holders

843

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

LIGMA (Ligma Balls) is a meme token on Solana launched via PumpFun/PumpSwap (mint: 2DdwEtt8qyjMCDHyoQ7tR5kXPRU1xjDB4876jyJQpump). The token has experienced an explosive 330% price surge in the past 24 hours, rising to ~$0.000150. However, this move is accompanied by severe red flags: 71% sell pressure, $183K in sell volume vs $75K in buy volume, only $44.76K in total liquidity, and a holder base that was completely stagnant at 41 holders for 30 days before suddenly jumping to 843 in the last 24 hours. The token has no verified contract, no description, unknown update authority, and no top holder data available. This profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump or coordinated manipulation event.

Key points

  • Extreme 330% 24h price pump with 71% sell-side dominance — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • Holder count was frozen at exactly 41 for 30 consecutive days, then surged +802 in 24h — highly anomalous
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($44.76K) relative to FDV ($150.18K) creates severe slippage risk
  • No top holder data available, no supply concentration metrics — critical transparency gap
  • No sniper data available; smart money signals cannot be assessed

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already pumped 330% in 24h and is showing strong sell pressure (71% of volume). The most recent hourly candle shows a sharp reversal from highs. With only $44.76K liquidity and 3,998 sell transactions vs 1,454 buy transactions, a rapid mean-reversion or dump is the most probable short-term outcome. The 5-minute price change of -11.6% confirms momentum is already turning negative.

Target low

$0.000020

Target high

$0.000150

Support

$0.000028 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.000021 (candle [3] low)

Resistance

$0.000044 (candle [3] high), $0.000150 (current price / 24h pump high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the token's 30-day dormancy (41 holders flat), the sudden pump appears manufactured. Without sustained organic demand, new utility, or community growth, the token is likely to retrace the majority of its gains. Meme tokens with this profile historically return to pre-pump levels or lower.

Catalysts

  • Continued sell-side pressure from early holders exiting
  • Lack of any described utility or project fundamentals
  • Liquidity withdrawal by LPs once pump subsides
  • Broader Solana meme token market sentiment shift

Bullish factors

  • 330% 24h price surge demonstrates short-term momentum and attention
  • Holder count grew from 41 to 843 (+802) in 24h, indicating new market participants
  • 1,494 unique wallets active in 24h shows broad short-term interest
  • 1h price change of +76.7% shows recent buying activity

Bearish factors

  • 71% sell pressure ($183.41K sell vs $75.05K buy volume in 24h)
  • 3,998 sells vs 1,454 buys — sellers outnumber buyers nearly 3:1
  • Only $44.76K total liquidity — extremely shallow for a $150K FDV token
  • 30 days of complete holder stagnation (41 holders) before sudden pump is a major red flag
  • 5-minute price change of -11.6% signals momentum reversal already underway
  • No top holder data, no supply concentration data — severe transparency gap
  • Unverified contract, no project description, unknown update authority

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to missing top holder data, no sniper data, unknown update authority, and the highly manipulated-looking holder/price pattern. Meme token price action is inherently unpredictable, and the data gaps prevent a reliable quantitative forecast.

LIGMA call history

Full track record →

Jun 20bearish
24h-74.4%
7d-97.2%
30d-97.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2DdwEt...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days of stagnation followed by 330% pump with 71% sell pressure is a textbook manipulation signal
  • Extreme liquidity shallowness ($44.76K) — large exits will crater the price
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • No top holder data — cannot assess insider concentration or exit risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceHigh risk

No sniper data is available for LIGMA. Smart money signals cannot be assessed from sniper metrics. The absence of sniper data, combined with the token's PumpFun origin and sudden pump pattern, means we cannot determine whether early buyers are in profit or have already exited. The 71% sell pressure and 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio suggest that whoever bought early is actively distributing.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no data.

Unknown — no sniper data available. However, the dominant sell pressure (71% of volume, 3,998 sells vs 1,454 buys) strongly implies early holders are exiting positions. The token was dormant at 41 holders for 30 days, suggesting a small group of insiders held before the pump.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available (10:00–12:00 UTC on 2026-06-20). NOTE: The OHLC data appears to contain an anomaly — candle [1] (12:00) shows L ($0.000136) > O ($0.000028), which is physically impossible for a standard OHLC candle (low cannot exceed open). This suggests data feed errors or extreme intra-candle volatility. Taking the data at face value: Candle [3] (10:00) opened at $0.0000279, reached a high of $0.0000442, and closed at $0.0000349 — a bullish candle with moderate range. Candle [2] (11:00) opened at $0.0000362, hit a low of $0.0000306, and closed at $0.0000279 — a bearish/declining candle. Candle [1] (12:00) shows anomalous data. The current price of $0.000150 is dramatically above all three candle ranges, suggesting the major pump occurred after these candles or the candle data is lagged/incomplete.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 330% 24h price surge, but the 5-minute -11.6% move and dominant sell pressure suggest the uptrend is exhausted. Medium-term trend is sideways-to-down given 30 days of dormancy prior to this event. The pump appears to be a spike rather than a sustained trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

29%

Sell

71%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000028 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close area)

Major support

$0.000021 (candle [3] low — lowest observed price in dataset)

Immediate resistance

$0.000044 (candle [3] high)

Major resistance

$0.000150 (current pump high / 24h price)

The current price of $0.000150 is well above all candle-derived levels, suggesting it represents the pump peak. A retracement to the $0.000028–$0.000044 range (pre-pump candle levels) is technically plausible if selling pressure continues. The $0.000021 level (candle [3] low) represents the deepest observed support.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish volume divergence: volume peaked in candle [2] while price action in candle [1] is anomalous — suggests distribution at highs
  • Potential blow-off top: 330% spike followed by immediate -11.6% 5-minute reversal is a classic blow-off top signal
  • Seller exhaustion test pending: 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio indicates active distribution
  • Data anomaly in candle [1]: L > O is physically impossible and may indicate data feed issues or extreme manipulation

Holder growth

Total holders

843

24h Δ

+802

7d Δ

+802

30d Δ

+802

Accelerating Growth

Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count was completely flat at 41 for all 30 days of historical data (May 21 – June 19, 2026), then surged by +802 holders (+95%) in the last 24 hours, perfectly coinciding with the 330% price pump. This near-perfect correlation between the price spike and holder surge is a hallmark of a coordinated pump event — new retail participants are being drawn in by the price action while early holders distribute.

The holder trend data reveals a deeply anomalous pattern. For 30 consecutive days (May 21 – June 19), the holder count was frozen at exactly 41 with zero net change each day. This level of stagnation is highly unusual and suggests the token was dormant or held by a small, static group. Then, in a single 24-hour window coinciding with the 330% price pump, 802 new holders entered. Growth is technically 'accelerating' but this is not organic — it is pump-driven FOMO. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (802), confirming all growth occurred in one burst. Supply distribution data (top10=0%, top100=0%) and no top holder data are available, preventing concentration analysis.

Concentration

Top 10 hold

0.00%

Top 100 hold

0.00%

Sentiment

Mixed

No top holder data is available for LIGMA. The data reports top10=0% and top100=0% supply concentration, which is almost certainly a data artifact or API limitation rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. With only 843 total holders and a token that was held by just 41 wallets for 30 days, the actual concentration is likely very high. The absence of this critical data is itself a red flag — it prevents assessment of insider holdings, team allocations, or whale positioning. Distribution health is classified as 'very_concentrated' based on the inferred small initial holder base of 41 wallets. Sentiment is 'mixed' given the simultaneous new buyer inflow and heavy sell pressure from existing holders.

Notable holders

  • No top holder data availableN/A0.00%

Liquidity

Liquidity

$44,760

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $44.76K is extremely shallow relative to the $150.18K FDV — a ratio of roughly 0.30x, meaning the entire liquidity pool could be drained by a fraction of the outstanding supply. Slippage risk is high; any meaningful sell order will move the price significantly. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $183.41K in sell volume vs $75.05K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$108.36K. Unique sellers (1,303) outnumber unique buyers (545) by 2.4:1, confirming broad distribution behavior. The pair trades on PumpSwap (3nKaszEszUoUzYf2TQ7xHgKPKu2W4fv63Qy4Ap895PxN), a permissionless AMM with no guaranteed liquidity. The 6h and 24h price change showing 0% in the analytics (while 24h shows +330% elsewhere) suggests data inconsistency in the feed.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$75,050

Sell volume

$183,410

Net flow

Outflow

Unique buyers

545

Unique sellers

1,303

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$150,188

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

LIGMA has a standard 1 billion token supply with 6 decimals, typical of PumpFun-launched meme tokens. The FDV is $150,188 at current prices. Update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is unverified, meaning we cannot confirm whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but this does not address mint/freeze authority status. The token has no description, no verified contract, and is not flagged as spam. The combination of unknown authorities and unverified contract means rug risk from authorities cannot be assessed — investors should treat this as elevated risk. The token was launched via PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism before graduating to a DEX.

  • Volatilityhigh

    330% price surge in 24h followed by -11.6% in 5 minutes. Extreme intraday volatility with very thin liquidity amplifies price swings in both directions.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $44.76K total liquidity against a $150.18K FDV. Any significant sell order will cause severe slippage. Liquidity could be withdrawn at any time by LPs.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Top holder data is unavailable, but the token had only 41 holders for 30 days before the pump. This implies extreme concentration among a small group of insiders who are now likely distributing into retail demand.

  • Sniper Dumphigh

    No sniper data is available, but the pattern of 30-day dormancy followed by a sudden pump is consistent with coordinated insider activity. The 71% sell pressure and 3:1 sell-to-buy ratio strongly suggest early holders are dumping.

  • Authorityhigh

    Update authority is unknown, contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. This leaves open the possibility of supply manipulation or account freezing.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days of stagnation followed by 330% pump with 71% sell pressure is a textbook manipulation signal
  • Extreme liquidity shallowness ($44.76K) — large exits will crater the price
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • No top holder data — cannot assess insider concentration or exit risk
  • Unverified contract with no project description or utility
  • Holder surge is FOMO-driven, not organic — new holders are likely buying into distribution
  • 5-minute price already down -11.6% — momentum reversal may be underway

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable:false, suggesting metadata is locked
  • 1,494 unique wallets active in 24h shows genuine market interest, however short-lived
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline of permissionless trading access
  • No spam flag from data provider

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme token dynamics and pump-and-dump mechanics. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared to lose 100% of their investment. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

LIGMA presents as a high-risk meme token exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics. The token was dormant for 30 days with 41 holders, then experienced a 330% price spike accompanied by overwhelming sell pressure (71%), thin liquidity ($44.76K), and a sudden influx of 802 new holders drawn in by FOMO. There is no identifiable utility, no verified contract, and critical data (top holders, sniper activity, authority status) is missing. The risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum sustains buying pressure, new liquidity enters the pool, and the token achieves broader social media attention, pushing FDV toward $500K–$1M.

  • Sustained viral social media attention (Twitter/X traction)
  • New liquidity providers adding depth to the PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana meme season driving speculative capital into low-cap tokens
  • Whale accumulation at current levels (unconfirmed)

Base Case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 50–70% from the pump high as initial excitement fades, stabilizing in the $0.000040–$0.000080 range with declining volume and holder attrition over the following week.

  • Some buyers hold short-term hoping for a second pump
  • Liquidity remains partially intact for several days
  • No additional coordinated buying or selling events
  • Broader Solana market remains stable

Bear Case

High probability

Early holders (the original 41) complete their distribution into the FOMO-driven retail inflow, liquidity is withdrawn, and the price collapses 80–95% back toward pre-pump levels ($0.000020–$0.000030).

  • 71% sell pressure and 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio already in progress
  • Extremely shallow liquidity cannot absorb continued selling
  • No fundamental value or utility to attract long-term holders
  • 30-day dormancy pattern suggests coordinated insider pump
  • 5-minute price already declining -11.6%

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 20, 12:17 PM UTC

Data freshness

Price and trading data current as of analysis time; OHLC candles cover 10:00–12:00 UTC 2026-06-20; holder history covers May 21 – June 19, 2026

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token API (metadata, price, holder metrics, OHLC)
  • PumpSwap on-chain pair data (3nKaszEszUoUzYf2TQ7xHgKPKu2W4fv63Qy4Ap895PxN)
  • Trading analytics endpoint (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder series (30-day daily snapshots)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No top holder data available — cannot assess whale concentration or insider holdings
  • No sniper data available — early buyer PnL and concentration unknown
  • Update authority status unknown — mint/freeze authority cannot be confirmed
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; candle [1] contains a physical impossibility (L > O) suggesting data feed error
  • Supply concentration metrics report 0% for top10 and top100 — likely a data artifact, not genuine distribution
  • 6h and 24h price change showing 0% in analytics contradicts the 330% 24h figure — data inconsistency noted
  • Token has no description or verified contract — fundamental analysis is not possible
  • Historical holder data shows exactly 41 holders for 30 days with zero variance — may indicate data collection began only recently or token was genuinely dormant

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed comes from third-party APIs and may contain errors or omissions. Past price performance does not predict future results. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Ligma Balls (LIGMA)?

The token has already pumped 330% in 24h and is showing strong sell pressure (71% of volume). The most recent hourly candle shows a sharp reversal from highs. With only $44.76K liquidity and 3,998 sell transactions vs 1,454 buy transactions, a rapid mean-reversion or dump is the most probable short-term outcome. The 5-minute price change of -11.6% confirms momentum is already turning negative. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000150.

Is LIGMA a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme token dynamics and pump-and-dump mechanics. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared to lose 100% of their investment. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

How are LIGMA holders trending?

Ligma Balls currently has 843 holders and is growing (24h: 802, 7d: 802, 30d: 802). The holder trend data reveals a deeply anomalous pattern. For 30 consecutive days (May 21 – June 19), the holder count was frozen at exactly 41 with zero net change each day. This level of stagnation is highly unusual and suggests the token was dormant or held by a small, static group. Then, in a single 24-hour window coinciding with the 330% price pump, 802 new holders entered. Growth is technically 'accelerating' but this is not organic — it is pump-driven FOMO. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (802), confirming all growth occurred in one burst. Supply distribution data (top10=0%, top100=0%) and no top holder data are available, preventing concentration analysis.

What does sniper activity look like for LIGMA?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding LIGMA?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30 days of stagnation followed by 330% pump with 71% sell pressure is a textbook manipulation signal • Extreme liquidity shallowness ($44.76K) — large exits will crater the price • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing

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