PENALTY

degenfc.fun Price Today & AI Analysis

PENALTYSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 2, 2026

Price

$0.053409

Contract

Live
2GA23vuHaY7eTAQW3itMSoUmcWjZuazaqh6tUtiBgoa1

Chain

Solana

Holders

324

Market cap

$3,407

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degenfc.fun: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-02 00:16 UTC

Holder addresses

580

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$53,274.67
How concentrated is degenfc.fun ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 580 addresses (2026-07-02 00:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling degenfc.fun?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is degenfc.fun liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-02 00:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $53,274.67. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-02 00:16 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 2, 12:16 AM UTC

FDV

$286,847

Liquidity

$53,274.67

Holders

580

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

PENALTY (degenfc.fun) is a newly viral Solana memecoin on PumpSwap with mint address 2GA23vuHaY7eTAQW3itMSoUmcWjZuazaqh6tUtiBgoa1. The token sat dormant at just 11 holders for nearly a month (June 2–30, 2026) before exploding to 580 holders within ~24 hours on July 1–2, 2026. Price surged +74.4% in 24h to $0.000287, but sell pressure dominates (55.1% sell vs 44.9% buy), liquidity is extremely shallow at $53.27K, and the token is flagged as possible spam with an unverified contract. Top holder data is unavailable, making concentration risk impossible to assess directly.

Key points

  • Explosive holder growth from 11 to 580 in under 24 hours (+98%)
  • 74.4% price surge in 24h on PumpSwap
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($53.27K) relative to $286.85K FDV
  • Dormant for ~30 days before sudden viral activity — classic pump pattern
  • Flagged as possible spam; unverified contract; update authority unknown

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token just posted a massive +74.4% candle but sell pressure is dominant (55.1% sell volume, 2,896 sells vs 846 buys). The most recent 5-minute change is already -3.09%, suggesting the pump is losing momentum. With only $53.27K in liquidity, any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage. Short-term direction leans bearish as early buyers take profits.

Target low

$0.000094

Target high

$0.000397

Support

$0.000200 (candle [1] open and candle [2] close), $0.000094 (candle [2] low — session floor)

Resistance

$0.000309 (candle [1] high), $0.000397 (candle [2] high — session peak)

Medium term · 3–14 days

bearish

Without sustained buying interest, meaningful utility, or deeper liquidity, the token is likely to retrace sharply. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Unless new catalysts emerge (exchange listing, viral social media), price is expected to drift back toward pre-pump levels near $0.000094 or lower.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media momentum sustaining new buyer inflow
  • Listing on a higher-liquidity DEX or CEX
  • Liquidity pool deepening by project team
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 74.4% price surge in 24h demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • Holder count grew from 11 to 580 (+98%) in under 24 hours
  • 846 unique buy transactions indicate genuine retail interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible entry for Solana retail traders

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume ($303.44K) exceeds buy volume ($247.61K) — net outflow
  • 2,896 sells vs 846 buys — sellers outnumber buyers 3.4:1 by transaction count
  • Liquidity is extremely shallow at $53.27K — high slippage risk
  • Token was dormant for ~30 days before pump — suspicious activation pattern
  • Flagged as possible spam; unverified contract
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk unknown
  • 5-minute price already declining -3.09% from recent high

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the token has been active for less than 24 hours. The extremely limited price history and missing on-chain distribution data make any price prediction highly speculative.

PENALTY call history

Full track record →

Jul 2bearish
24h-98.8%
7d-99.1%
30d-99.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
2GA23v...goa1
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • Token flagged as possible spam by data provider
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Only 11 holders for 28 days before pump — strong insider/coordinated pump signal
  • Sell transactions outnumber buy transactions 3.4:1 (2,896 vs 846)

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (23:00 UTC Jul 1): O=$0.0000941, H=$0.000397, L=$0.0000941, C=$0.000201 — a massive bullish candle with a very long upper wick, indicating strong buying followed by significant profit-taking. The close at $0.000201 is roughly halfway between the open and high, suggesting sellers absorbed much of the move. Candle [1] (00:00 UTC Jul 2): O=$0.000201, H=$0.000309, L=$0.000200, C=$0.000287 — a continuation candle opening near the prior close, pushing to a new local high of $0.000309 but closing below it, with a tight low near the open. Volume collapsed from 534,681 in candle [2] to 14,067 in candle [1], signaling exhaustion.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically up given the 24h price surge, but the long upper wick on candle [2] and volume collapse on candle [1] suggest the uptrend is fragile. Medium-term is effectively sideways/unknown given only 2 candles of history and 30 days of dormancy prior.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

45%

Sell

55%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000200 (candle [1] low and candle [2] close — double confluence)

Major support

$0.000094 (candle [2] absolute low — session floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000309 (candle [1] high)

Major resistance

$0.000397 (candle [2] all-time high)

The $0.000200 level is the most critical near-term support, having served as both the open of candle [1] and the close of candle [2]. A break below this level opens the path to the session low of $0.000094. On the upside, $0.000309 is immediate resistance (candle [1] high), with $0.000397 as the session peak and major resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper wick on candle [2] — bearish rejection / profit-taking signal
  • Volume exhaustion: 97.4% volume collapse from candle [2] to candle [1]
  • Pump-and-partial-retrace structure: candle [2] high $0.000397 → close $0.000201 (49% retrace from high)
  • Candle [1] shows narrowing range relative to candle [2] — momentum compression
  • Classic pump candle followed by lower-volume continuation — potential distribution phase

Liquidity

Liquidity

$53,274.67

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $53.27K against a $286.85K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~18.6%. This means any moderately sized sell order will cause severe price impact. The 24h sell volume ($303.44K) is 5.7x the total liquidity pool, confirming extreme slippage risk. Net flow is negative (outflow): sell volume exceeds buy volume by $55.83K. Unique sellers (763) outnumber unique buyers (490) by 55.7%, and sell transactions (2,896) outnumber buy transactions (846) by 3.4:1. The market is in active distribution. The pair trades on PumpSwap (A2jj6G4y49HS3Dh2wpvjkH7VeVvRaYvRKyCwy197smmz), a relatively new DEX with limited liquidity infrastructure compared to Raydium or Orca.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$286,846.89

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price surged +74.4% in 24h with a candle range from $0.000094 to $0.000397 — a 4.2x intraday range. Only 2 hourly candles of price history exist. Extreme volatility is expected to continue in both directions.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $53.27K. The 24h sell volume alone ($303.44K) is 5.7x the liquidity pool. Any significant sell order will cause catastrophic slippage. Exit risk is very high for any position of meaningful size.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Token flagged as possible spam by data provider
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • Only 11 holders for 28 days before pump — strong insider/coordinated pump signal
  • Sell transactions outnumber buy transactions 3.4:1 (2,896 vs 846)
  • Liquidity ($53.27K) is critically insufficient relative to trading volume ($551K+ in 24h)
  • Top holder data unavailable — true concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • No token description or verified utility — pure speculative memecoin
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day explosion is a classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • 5-minute price already declining -3.09% from recent high

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is set to immutable (mutable=false), preventing metadata rug
  • Token is live on PumpSwap with active trading and 1,055 unique wallets in 24h
  • Genuine retail interest evidenced by 490 unique buyers in 24h
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some level of project presence
  • Price has held above the $0.000200 support level in the most recent candle

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given the spam flag, unknown authorities, shallow liquidity, and pump-and-dump pattern signals, extreme caution is warranted.

PENALTY is a high-risk, short-lived speculative memecoin that exhibits multiple classic pump-and-dump characteristics: 28 days of dormancy with 11 holders, a single-day explosion to 580 holders and +74.4% price gain, dominant sell pressure, and critically shallow liquidity. There is no identifiable utility, verified contract, or known team. The investment thesis is purely momentum-based and carries extreme downside risk.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral momentum continues: the token gains traction on Crypto Twitter/social media, new retail buyers continue to enter, liquidity deepens, and the price breaks above the $0.000397 session high toward a new all-time high. Early community formation around the degenfc.fun brand creates a self-sustaining speculative narrative.

  • Sustained viral social media momentum beyond the initial pump
  • Liquidity pool deepening by project team or LPs
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in risk-on mode
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving new buyer inflow

Base Case

The token experiences a partial retrace from the pump high, stabilizing somewhere between $0.000150–$0.000200 with reduced trading volume. It persists as a low-liquidity speculative token with a small community of 500–800 holders, trading sideways with occasional volatility spikes driven by social media activity.

  • Some portion of the 490 unique buyers hold their positions rather than selling immediately
  • The project team (if any) adds modest liquidity to prevent complete collapse
  • No major negative catalyst (rug pull, freeze) occurs in the near term
  • Broader Solana memecoin market remains neutral

Bear Case

High probability

The pump collapses: early holders (the original 11 wallets) complete their distribution, sell pressure overwhelms the shallow $53.27K liquidity pool, price crashes back to pre-pump levels near $0.000094 or lower, and the token returns to dormancy or is abandoned entirely.

  • Dominant sell pressure already evident (55.1% sell, 3.4:1 sell/buy transaction ratio)
  • Critically shallow liquidity unable to absorb continued selling
  • No utility, no verified contract, no known team to sustain community
  • Spam flag and unverified contract may deter new buyers
  • Classic 30-day dormancy + single-day pump pattern historically resolves to the downside

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 2, 12:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-02 00:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint, supply, authority fields)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair A2jj6G4y49HS3Dh2wpvjkH7VeVvRaYvRKyCwy197smmz)
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (2 candles available)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Holder acquisition and distribution metrics
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top holder data (top 20) is unavailable — whale concentration cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer PnL and concentration unknown
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data errors, not genuine figures
  • Token has been active for less than 24 hours in its current pump phase — all metrics are extremely early-stage
  • Token flagged as possible spam — data provider reliability for this token may be reduced
  • No verified contract or audit available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The PENALTY token exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is degenfc.fun ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 580 addresses (2026-07-02 00:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling degenfc.fun?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is degenfc.fun liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-02 00:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $53,274.67. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for degenfc.fun (PENALTY)?

The token just posted a massive +74.4% candle but sell pressure is dominant (55.1% sell volume, 2,896 sells vs 846 buys). The most recent 5-minute change is already -3.09%, suggesting the pump is losing momentum. With only $53.27K in liquidity, any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage. Short-term direction leans bearish as early buyers take profits. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000094 to $0.000397.

Is PENALTY a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given the spam flag, unknown authorities, shallow liquidity, and pump-and-dump pattern signals, extreme caution is warranted.

What are the key risks of holding PENALTY?

Token flagged as possible spam by data provider • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status • Only 11 holders for 28 days before pump — strong insider/coordinated pump signal

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Questions about PENALTY?