degenfc.fun Prediction
2GA23vuHaY7eTAQW3itMSoUmcWjZuazaqh6tUtiBgoa1
$0.000287
FDV $286,847
2GA23vuHaY7eTAQW3itMSoUmcWjZuazaqh6tUtiBgoa1Chain:SolanaHolders:580Market cap:$286,847More tokens on Solana
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Ask Unhosted AI about PENALTY
$286,847
$53,275
580
0
Very High
AI Executive Summary
PENALTY (degenfc.fun) is a newly viral Solana memecoin on PumpSwap with mint address 2GA23vuHaY7eTAQW3itMSoUmcWjZuazaqh6tUtiBgoa1. The token sat dormant at just 11 holders for nearly a month (June 2–30, 2026) before exploding to 580 holders within ~24 hours on July 1–2, 2026. Price surged +74.4% in 24h to $0.000287, but sell pressure dominates (55.1% sell vs 44.9% buy), liquidity is extremely shallow at $53.27K, and the token is flagged as possible spam with an unverified contract. Top holder data is unavailable, making concentration risk impossible to assess directly.
Price Prediction
Short term
The token just posted a massive +74.4% candle but sell pressure is dominant (55.1% sell volume, 2,896 sells vs 846 buys). The most recent 5-minute change is already -3.09%, suggesting the pump is losing momentum. With only $53.27K in liquidity, any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage. Short-term direction leans bearish as early buyers take profits.
Resistance: $0.000309 (candle [1] high), $0.000397 (candle [2] high — session peak)
Medium term
Without sustained buying interest, meaningful utility, or deeper liquidity, the token is likely to retrace sharply. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day pump is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Unless new catalysts emerge (exchange listing, viral social media), price is expected to drift back toward pre-pump levels near $0.000094 or lower.
Catalysts
- Viral social media momentum sustaining new buyer inflow
- Listing on a higher-liquidity DEX or CEX
- Liquidity pool deepening by project team
- Broader Solana memecoin market rally
Bullish factors
- 74.4% price surge in 24h demonstrates strong short-term momentum
- Holder count grew from 11 to 580 (+98%) in under 24 hours
- 846 unique buy transactions indicate genuine retail interest
- PumpSwap listing provides accessible entry for Solana retail traders
Bearish factors
- Sell volume ($303.44K) exceeds buy volume ($247.61K) — net outflow
- 2,896 sells vs 846 buys — sellers outnumber buyers 3.4:1 by transaction count
- Liquidity is extremely shallow at $53.27K — high slippage risk
- Token was dormant for ~30 days before pump — suspicious activation pattern
- Flagged as possible spam; unverified contract
- No top holder data available — concentration risk unknown
- 5-minute price already declining -3.09% from recent high
PENALTY call history
Full track record →Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.
Deep Analysis
Token Info
Key Risks
Smart Money & Sniper Analysis
No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the trading pattern itself is informative: 2,896 sell transactions vs 846 buy transactions in 24h, with sell volume ($303.44K) exceeding buy volume ($247.61K), suggests early participants are actively distributing. The 30-day dormancy followed by a sudden pump is consistent with coordinated accumulation by a small group (11 holders pre-pump) followed by a retail-facing pump.
AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.
Sniper details
No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results.
The 11 wallets that held the token during the 30-day dormancy period (June 2–30) are the likely early buyers. Their sentiment appears to be distributing — the dominant sell pressure and high sell transaction count suggest these early holders are offloading into retail demand generated by the pump.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the price prediction for degenfc.fun (PENALTY)?
The token just posted a massive +74.4% candle but sell pressure is dominant (55.1% sell volume, 2,896 sells vs 846 buys). The most recent 5-minute change is already -3.09%, suggesting the pump is losing momentum. With only $53.27K in liquidity, any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage. Short-term direction leans bearish as early buyers take profits. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000094 to $0.000397.
Is PENALTY a safe investment on Solana?
Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given the spam flag, unknown authorities, shallow liquidity, and pump-and-dump pattern signals, extreme caution is warranted.
How are PENALTY holders trending?
degenfc.fun currently has 580 holders and is growing (24h: 98, 7d: 98, 30d: 98). Holder growth is entirely concentrated in a single 24-hour window. From June 2 to June 30 (28 days), the token had a flat 11 holders with zero net change daily. On July 1, 499 new holders joined (+98%), and by the analysis timestamp the count reached 580. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (98%), confirming all growth occurred in the last day. Acquisition method is predominantly swap (566 of 580 holders), consistent with retail buying on PumpSwap. The distribution data (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus all = 0) and top holder data being unavailable are significant data gaps that prevent full concentration analysis.
What does sniper activity look like for PENALTY?
Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.
What are the key risks of holding PENALTY?
Token flagged as possible spam by data provider • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status • Only 11 holders for 28 days before pump — strong insider/coordinated pump signal
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