NARC

The Pumpfun Historian Price Prediction 2026

NARC
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 9, 2026

2A9bscgi4N8gQxpMsR5HdgzN25q5setem8du8TD5pump

$0.047366

+23.14%

FDV $73,581

LiveContract:2A9bscgi4N8gQxpMsR5HdgzN25q5setem8du8TD5pumpChain:SolanaHolders:132Market cap:$73,581

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Ask Unhosted AI about NARC

Report snapshotas of Jul 9, 02:17 AM
FDV

$164,984

Liquidity

$48,858

Holders

326

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

NARC (The Pumpfun Historian) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a mint address of 2A9bscgi4N8gQxpMsR5HdgzN25q5setem8du8TD5pump. The token is extremely new and small, with a fully diluted valuation of ~$165K and only $48.86K in total liquidity. The 24-hour price action has been catastrophic, with a -53.77% decline driven by overwhelming sell pressure (87.2% of volume). Holder data is highly anomalous — the historical series shows only 6–19 holders for weeks, then a sudden spike to 326 in the last 24 hours, which is suspicious and may reflect bot activity or wash trading. Top holder data and sniper data are unavailable, severely limiting concentration and smart-money analysis.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme sell pressure: 87.2% of 24h volume is sells ($254.19K sell vs $37.45K buy)
Anomalous holder spike: from 19 holders to 326 in ~24 hours with no organic growth history
Very low liquidity ($48.86K) creating high slippage risk for any meaningful position
Token is mutable=false but update authority is unknown, leaving authority risk unresolved
No top holder data available, making concentration risk impossible to quantify directly

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already dropped -53.77% in 24 hours and is continuing to fall (-7.51% in the last 5 minutes, -7.11% in the last hour). The most recent candle (02:00 UTC) closed at $0.0001651, which is the current price, but the prior candle (01:00 UTC) showed a massive range from $0.000112 to $0.000399 with a bearish close, indicating extreme volatility and distribution. Sell pressure at 87.2% of volume strongly suggests continued downside.

Target low$0.000100
Target high$0.000200
Support: $0.000138 (candle [1] low), $0.000112 (candle [2] low), $0.000028 (candle [3] low)
Resistance: $0.000271 (candle [2] open / candle [3] close), $0.000374–$0.000399 (candle [2] and [3] highs)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token's tiny market cap, lack of verified contract, unknown update authority, near-zero organic holder growth history, and overwhelming sell pressure, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Without a catalyst (community growth, exchange listing, utility development), the token is likely to continue declining or become illiquid.

Catalysts
  • Sustained organic holder growth beyond the suspicious 24h spike
  • Significant buy-side volume recovery above 50% of total volume
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Liquidity deepening above $200K

Bullish factors

  • Price recovered from $0.000028 low (candle [3]) to current $0.0001651 — a significant bounce from the absolute bottom
  • 24h holder count grew from 19 to 326 (+307), suggesting some new interest
  • Mutable=false reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • 666 buy transactions in 24h shows some demand exists

Bearish factors

  • 87.2% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($254.19K sells vs $37.45K buys)
  • Price down -53.77% in 24 hours
  • Continuing decline: -7.51% in 5 minutes, -7.11% in 1 hour
  • Only $48.86K liquidity — extremely shallow
  • Holder history shows near-zero organic growth for 30 days prior to suspicious spike
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority
  • Top holder and sniper data unavailable — concentration risk unknown
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to missing top holder data, missing sniper data, anomalous holder metrics that may reflect bots, and only 3 hourly OHLC candles available for technical analysis. The token is extremely new and illiquid, making price prediction highly speculative.

NARC call history

Full track record →
Jul 9bearish
24h-56.2%
7d-84.3%
30d-84.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (00:00 UTC): opened at $0.0000321, surged to a high of $0.000374, and closed at $0.000271 — a massive bullish candle with a long upper wick indicating distribution at the top. Candle [2] (01:00 UTC): opened at $0.000271 (gap continuation), reached a high of $0.000399 (new high), but closed at $0.000155 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern, closing well below the open and near the low ($0.000112). This is a strong reversal signal. Candle [3] (02:00 UTC): opened at $0.000151, recovered to close at $0.0001651 (the current price), with a low of $0.000139 — a small bullish candle but within a downtrend context. Overall pattern: pump-and-dump structure with a sharp spike followed by aggressive selling.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 13%Sell 87%

The token experienced a rapid pump from ~$0.000028 to ~$0.000399 within 2 hours, followed by an equally rapid dump back toward $0.000165. The short-term and medium-term trends are both bearish given the -53.77% 24h decline and continued selling pressure in the most recent candles.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000139 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000028 (candle [3] absolute low — launch price area)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000271 (candle [2] open / candle [3] close)
Major$0.000374–$0.000399 (candle [2] and [3] highs — pump peak)

The token is currently trading near the top of candle [1]'s range. Immediate support is the candle [1] low at $0.000139. A break below this opens the path to $0.000112 (candle [2] low) and ultimately the launch-area support near $0.000028. Resistance at $0.000271 is the prior close before the dump accelerated; the pump peak of $0.000374–$0.000399 is major resistance unlikely to be retested soon.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle [2]: opened at $0.000271, spiked to $0.000399, closed at $0.000155 — classic distribution/reversal pattern
  • Pump-and-dump price structure: parabolic rise from $0.000028 to $0.000399 followed by rapid collapse
  • Decreasing volume on the recovery candle [1] — weak buying interest
  • Long upper wicks on candles [2] and [3] indicating sellers dominate at higher prices

Total holders326
24h Δ+307
7d Δ+306
30d Δ+320
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder spike from 19 to 326 (+307, +94%) occurred simultaneously with the price pump-and-dump event on July 8–9, 2026. This suggests the holder growth is directly correlated with the speculative trading event rather than organic adoption. As the price dumps, holders may rapidly exit — the -113 holder change in the last hour (-35%) confirms this is already happening.

The holder history is highly anomalous. For the entire period from June 9 to July 7 (28 days), the token had only 6–20 holders with virtually zero growth. Then on June 28, holders spiked to 107 (+101), fell back to 34 on June 29, then 20 on June 30, and stabilized at 19 through July 7. On July 8–9, holders exploded to 326 (+307 in 24h). This pattern is consistent with a coordinated pump event attracting speculative traders rather than genuine community growth. The -113 holder drop in the last hour (-35%) is alarming and suggests rapid capitulation. The 30d growth figure of +320 (+98%) is almost entirely attributable to the last 24 hours of pump activity.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

N/A

Top holder data unavailable — no top holders list was returned by the data provider

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token. The supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is likely a data artifact rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. With only 326 total holders and a total supply of ~999.1M tokens, concentration is almost certainly high but cannot be quantified. The distribution classification of 'very_concentrated' is inferred from the token's early stage, small holder count, and the fact that 322 of 326 holders acquired via swap (suggesting most are recent speculative traders rather than long-term holders). The overwhelming sell pressure (87.2%) strongly implies that whoever holds large positions is actively distributing.

Liquidity$48,860
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$37,450
Sell$254,190
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers212
Unique sellers1,207

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $48.86K on a single PumpSwap pool (CNgYhQVm3mdwNsZeaf9NgnBxf5gWbxsDCrrg4qL48J2A). With a FDV of $164.98K, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 29.6%, which is low and means even modest sell orders will cause significant price impact. The 24h sell volume of $254.19K is more than 5x the total liquidity, confirming that the pool has been heavily stressed. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow), with sells outpacing buys by 6.8:1 in dollar terms. The ratio of unique sellers to buyers (1,207 vs 212, or 5.7:1) indicates broad-based selling rather than a few large exits. High slippage risk for any position above a few hundred dollars.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,116,276.55
FDV$164,983.89

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a total supply of ~999.1M tokens with a current FDV of ~$165K. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, preventing a definitive assessment of mint and freeze authority status. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but this does not confirm that mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The contract is unverified. The token was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism — however, it has migrated to PumpSwap, suggesting it graduated from the bonding curve. Without confirmed authority renouncement, rug risk from authorities remains unknown. Investors should verify on-chain authority status independently before committing capital.

Volatility
high

Price dropped -53.77% in 24 hours after a parabolic pump from $0.000028 to $0.000399. Continuing to fall at -7.51% per 5 minutes. Extreme intraday volatility with candle ranges exceeding 200-300% of the open price.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $48.86K on a single PumpSwap pool. Sell volume of $254.19K in 24h is 5.2x the total liquidity. Any meaningful position will face severe slippage. Liquidity could be withdrawn at any time.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable, but with only 326 total holders and a token launched with 6 initial holders, concentration is almost certainly very high. The 0% figures for top10/top100 concentration appear to be data artifacts. Cannot be properly quantified without holder data.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the trading pattern (87.2% sell pressure, 5.7:1 seller-to-buyer ratio, -113 holders in 1 hour) is consistent with early buyers/insiders dumping on retail. The pump-and-dump price structure reinforces this risk.

Authority
medium

Update authority is unknown. Mutable=false is a positive signal for metadata immutability. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available data. Unverified contract adds additional uncertainty.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (87.2% of volume) with price in active freefall (-53.77% in 24h)
  • Shallow liquidity ($48.86K) creating high slippage and exit risk
  • Anomalous holder spike pattern consistent with coordinated pump activity
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — unknown but likely very high
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential rug risk
  • Unverified contract with no description or meaningful project information
  • Rapid holder exodus: -113 holders (-35%) in just 1 hour
  • Token has no stated utility, roadmap, or verified team

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Token graduated from PumpFun bonding curve to PumpSwap (suggests some initial demand was met)
  • Price has bounced from absolute low of $0.000028 — some buy-side support exists
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, anomalous holder patterns, and overwhelming sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk assets possible.

NARC (The Pumpfun Historian) is a high-risk Solana meme token that has undergone a classic pump-and-dump cycle within its first 24 hours of significant trading activity. The token lacks verified contracts, meaningful utility, transparent team information, or organic holder growth. The overwhelming sell pressure (87.2%), shallow liquidity ($48.86K), and anomalous holder patterns make this an extremely speculative asset with very limited investment merit at current levels.

Bull case (low)

A second speculative wave drives renewed buying interest, pushing the price back toward the $0.000271–$0.000374 resistance zone. Community forms around the 'Pumpfun Historian' narrative, attracting meme coin traders. Liquidity deepens as new buyers enter.

  • Viral social media attention on Twitter (linked in metadata)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Coordinated community buying campaign
  • Price recovery attracting momentum traders

Base case

The token stabilizes at a significantly lower price ($0.000050–$0.000100) after the initial dump completes. A small community of 50–150 holders remains, with low trading volume and minimal price movement. The token persists but fails to regain its pump-era highs.

  • Selling pressure gradually exhausts itself as weak hands exit
  • A small core of holders maintains positions at a loss
  • No new catalysts emerge to drive significant buying
  • Liquidity remains thin but does not disappear entirely

Bear case (high)

Continued sell pressure exhausts remaining buy-side demand. Liquidity is withdrawn from the PumpSwap pool. Price collapses toward or below the launch price of ~$0.000028. Token becomes effectively illiquid with fewer than 50 holders.

  • 87.2% sell pressure with no signs of reversal
  • Rapid holder exodus (-113 in 1 hour, -35%)
  • No utility, roadmap, or verified team to sustain interest
  • Shallow liquidity unable to absorb continued selling
  • Unknown authority status creating rug risk

GeneratedJul 9, 02:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 2026-07-09T02:00 UTC. OHLC data covers the last 3 hourly candles. Historical holder data covers June 9 – July 8, 2026.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana blockchain via Moralis)
  • Price data and OHLC candles (PumpSwap pair CNgYhQVm3mdwNsZeaf9NgnBxf5gWbxsDCrrg4qL48J2A)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell breakdown, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top holders list (unavailable — no data returned)
  • Sniper analysis (unavailable — no data returned)

Limitations

  • Top holder data is entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer behavior and PnL cannot be assessed
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Update authority status is unknown — mint/freeze authority cannot be confirmed
  • Holder concentration metrics show 0% for top10/top100 which appears to be a data artifact
  • The anomalous holder spike (6→326 in ~24h) may reflect bot activity, making holder metrics unreliable
  • No project description, whitepaper, or team information available for fundamental analysis
  • 6h and 24h price change showing 0% in analytics appears to be a data anomaly inconsistent with the -53.77% 24h change shown in the price section

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in NARC. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price action is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,116,276.55

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure (87.2% of volume) with price in active freefall (-53.77% in 24h)
Shallow liquidity ($48.86K) creating high slippage and exit risk
Anomalous holder spike pattern consistent with coordinated pump activity
Top holder concentration data unavailable — unknown but likely very high

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The overall trading pattern (87.2% sell pressure, 3,528 sells vs 666 buys, 1,207 unique sellers vs 212 unique buyers) suggests that early participants or insiders are distributing heavily into any buy-side demand. The ratio of sellers to buyers (5.7:1) is a strong red flag indicating coordinated or widespread exit behavior.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no data.

Strongly negative — the seller-to-buyer ratio of 5.7:1 (1,207 sellers vs 212 buyers) and 87.2% sell volume dominance indicate early buyers and/or insiders are aggressively exiting positions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for The Pumpfun Historian (NARC)?

The token has already dropped -53.77% in 24 hours and is continuing to fall (-7.51% in the last 5 minutes, -7.11% in the last hour). The most recent candle (02:00 UTC) closed at $0.0001651, which is the current price, but the prior candle (01:00 UTC) showed a massive range from $0.000112 to $0.000399 with a bearish close, indicating extreme volatility and distribution. Sell pressure at 87.2% of volume strongly suggests continued downside. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000100 to $0.000200.

Is NARC a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, anomalous holder patterns, and overwhelming sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk assets possible.

How are NARC holders trending?

The Pumpfun Historian currently has 326 holders and is growing (24h: 307, 7d: 306, 30d: 320). The holder history is highly anomalous. For the entire period from June 9 to July 7 (28 days), the token had only 6–20 holders with virtually zero growth. Then on June 28, holders spiked to 107 (+101), fell back to 34 on June 29, then 20 on June 30, and stabilized at 19 through July 7. On July 8–9, holders exploded to 326 (+307 in 24h). This pattern is consistent with a coordinated pump event attracting speculative traders rather than genuine community growth. The -113 holder drop in the last hour (-35%) is alarming and suggests rapid capitulation. The 30d growth figure of +320 (+98%) is almost entirely attributable to the last 24 hours of pump activity.

What does sniper activity look like for NARC?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding NARC?

Extreme sell pressure (87.2% of volume) with price in active freefall (-53.77% in 24h) • Shallow liquidity ($48.86K) creating high slippage and exit risk • Anomalous holder spike pattern consistent with coordinated pump activity

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