smokefleet

smokefleet Price Today & AI Analysis

smokefleet
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 6, 2026

19bzpXc3mjRyzLYeF4gS2JznLZyVEnAQ8zGVLUrpump

$0.052386

FDV $2,384

LiveContract:19bzpXc3mjRyzLYeF4gS2JznLZyVEnAQ8zGVLUrpumpChain:SolanaHolders:117Market cap:$2,384

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Report snapshotas of Jun 6, 05:19 PM
FDV

$104,213

Liquidity

$24,177

Holders

366

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

smokefleet (SMOKEFLEET) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana memecoin with a total supply of ~999.8M tokens, currently trading at $0.0001042 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$104K–$114K. The token experienced a dramatic 24h price surge of ~178–214% (depending on measurement window), driven by a sudden burst of holder and trading activity beginning June 4, 2026, after weeks of complete dormancy at only 39 holders. Despite the explosive price action, sell pressure is dominant (73.9% sell volume), liquidity is very shallow at $24.18K, and the holder base is small at 366 wallets. The token carries very high risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h price surge of ~178–214% from a very low base
Token was completely dormant for ~4 weeks (39 holders, zero net change) before sudden activation on June 4
Extremely shallow liquidity of only $24.18K against $114K FDV
Heavy sell-side dominance: 73.9% of 24h volume is sells ($155.69K vs $55.04K buys)
Top 10 holders control 33.34% of supply; top 100 control 85.44%

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is showing signs of exhaustion after the spike to $0.0001295 (candle [2] high). The most recent candle closed at $0.0001042, down from the intraday high, with sell pressure at 73.9% of volume. The 5m change is already -7.36%, suggesting near-term continuation of the pullback. Support is thin given shallow liquidity.

Target low$0.000055
Target high$0.000129
Support: $0.000056 (recent consolidation zone, candles [6]–[8]), $0.000047 (candle [14] low), $0.000034 (candle [20] low)
Resistance: $0.000114 (candle [1] high), $0.000129 (candle [2] intraday high — 24h peak), $0.000088 (candle [13] high)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or a broader memecoin market catalyst, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000033–$0.000050). The token's history of 4+ weeks of zero activity before this pump raises concerns about organic demand. Holder count already dropped 24 in the last hour, signaling early exits.

Catalysts
  • Sustained new buyer inflow reversing the current sell dominance
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all small caps
  • Social media virality or influencer attention (Twitter/website presence noted)
  • Liquidity deepening to reduce slippage risk and attract larger traders

Bullish factors

  • 24h price surge of ~178–214% demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • Holder count grew from 39 to 366 (+327, +89%) in 7 days, showing rapid community formation
  • Token has social presence (Twitter, website, Moralis links)
  • Buy volume of $55.04K in 24h shows some genuine demand

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure overwhelmingly dominant at 73.9% of 24h volume ($155.69K sells vs $55.04K buys)
  • Holder count already fell 24 (-6.6%) in the last hour — early exits accelerating
  • Liquidity is only $24.18K — any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage
  • Token was dormant for ~4 weeks with only 39 holders before this pump, suggesting coordinated activation
  • No token description, unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Top 100 holders control 85.44% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • 5m price change already -7.36% at time of analysis
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's extremely short active trading history (effectively 2 days of real activity), no sniper data, unknown update authority, very shallow liquidity, and the highly speculative nature of Pump.fun memecoins. Price action is driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles analyzed (June 5 18:00 UTC to June 6 17:00 UTC), the token formed a clear pump-and-dump pattern. Price consolidated in a tight range of $0.000033–$0.000050 for the first ~6 hours (candles [18]–[24]), then began a steady uptrend through candles [13]–[5] reaching $0.000079–$0.000088, before a sharp spike in candle [2] (16:00 UTC) to an intraday high of $0.0001295 on massive volume ($39.16K — the highest single-hour volume). The most recent candle [1] shows a bearish close: opened at $0.0001109, hit a high of $0.0001140, but closed at the low of $0.0001042, forming a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern on declining volume ($1,112 vs $39,162 prior hour).

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 26%Sell 74%

The medium-term trend (past 24h) is clearly up from ~$0.000033 to current $0.0001042 (+215%). However, the short-term (last 2 hours) shows a reversal: candle [2] formed the peak and candle [1] closed at its low, signaling a potential top. The pump appears to be losing steam.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000104 (current price / candle [1] close)
Major$0.000056 (candles [6]–[8] consolidation zone)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000114 (candle [1] high)
Major$0.000129 (candle [2] intraday high — 24h peak)

The $0.000056 level acted as a base during the mid-session consolidation (candles [6]–[11]) and represents the first meaningful support on a pullback. Below that, $0.000047 (candle [14] low) and $0.000034 (candle [20] low) are the next levels. Resistance is at the recent spike high of $0.0001295 (candle [2]).

Notable patterns

  • Bearish shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle [1]: opened at $0.0001109, closed at the low $0.0001042, after prior candle's spike to $0.0001295
  • Volume climax on candle [2] ($39.16K) followed by 97% volume collapse on candle [1] ($1.11K) — classic pump exhaustion
  • Steady staircase uptrend from candles [24] through [5] (higher highs and higher lows over ~12 hours)
  • Sharp single-candle spike on candle [2] with wide range ($0.000057–$0.000129) suggesting a wash/manipulation event
  • Price consolidation at $0.000056–$0.000063 for ~6 hours (candles [6]–[11]) before the final leg up

Total holders366
24h Δ+19
7d Δ+89
30d Δ+89
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

Holder growth is strongly correlated with the price pump. The token sat at exactly 39 holders with zero change for the entire period May 7 – June 3 (27 days of complete dormancy). On June 4, holders exploded by +298 (+88%) to 337, coinciding with the price pump. However, in the most recent 1-hour window, holders FELL by 24 (-6.6%), suggesting the growth is already reversing as early entrants exit.

The holder trend tells a clear story: smokefleet was essentially a ghost token for nearly a month (39 holders, zero net change from May 7 to June 3). On June 4, a sudden activation event brought 298 new holders in a single day (+88%), likely driven by a coordinated promotion or social media push. By June 5, the count dipped slightly to 324 (-13, -4%), then recovered to the current 366 (+70, +19% in 24h). Critically, the last hour saw a -24 holder drop (-6.6%), which is a warning sign that the pump is attracting short-term flippers who are already exiting. The 30d and 7d growth figures are identical (both +89%) because all growth occurred within the last 3 days. Growth is NOT accelerating — it is decelerating, with the hourly trend now negative.

Top 10 hold33.34%
Top 100 hold85.44%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

C6RznX8WnKU1ssDd78RSXNtv4YEqb9TZSmwcgukAK3r7

DEX liquidity pool — this address matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data

11.05%

21MSwnRMdbx6x9iEYRFPHcMn8s7n2T6C6ZjLRCF9U6Gn

Individual whale or early insider

3.31%

BZmxuXQ68QeZABbDFSzveHyrXCv5EG6Ut1ATw5qZgm2Q

Individual whale or early insider

3.06%

GuwhnKwhHQ9jQCbb23xBBSkjrFNj5Yn5K4aka6iynrkf

Individual whale or early insider

2.70%

AiKTmPHdvXmc9E6wRwAk5juUqQXVUmAX6uWxS1SCgRpn

Individual whale — round balance of exactly 25,000,000 tokens suggests a deliberate allocation (possible team/insider)

2.50%

The top 10 holders control 33.34% of supply, and the top 100 control 85.44% — indicating significant concentration. The #1 holder (11.05%, 110.48M tokens) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool pair address (C6RznX8WnKU1ssDd78RSXNtv4YEqb9TZSmwcgukAK3r7), which is expected and not a concern in itself. However, holders #2–#10 each hold 1.81%–3.31%, totaling ~22.29% of supply among 9 wallets. Notably, holder #5 (AiKTmPHdvXmc9E6wRwAk5juUqQXVUmAX6uWxS1SCgRpn) holds exactly 25,000,000 tokens — a suspiciously round number suggesting a deliberate pre-allocation. The dominant sell pressure (73.9% of volume) combined with the -24 holder drop in the last hour suggests whales and early holders are distributing into the pump.

Liquidity$24,180
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$55,040
Sell$155,690
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers159
Unique sellers699

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $24.18K is extremely shallow relative to the $114K FDV — a ratio of roughly 0.21x, meaning the pool holds only ~21 cents of liquidity per dollar of market cap. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. The 24h trading data is deeply concerning: 699 unique sellers vs only 159 unique buyers (4.4:1 ratio), and sell volume of $155.69K dwarfs buy volume of $55.04K (73.9% vs 26.1%). Total 24h transactions: 2,159 sells vs 830 buys. Net flow is clearly outflow. The token is on PumpSwap (pair C6RznX8WnKU1ssDd78RSXNtv4YEqb9TZSmwcgukAK3r7), which is a Pump.fun native DEX. The shallow liquidity means the current price of $0.0001042 is highly susceptible to rapid decline if selling continues.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,837,683.688279
FDV$104,212.84

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

smokefleet has a total supply of ~999.84M tokens (effectively 1 billion), which is standard for Pump.fun launches. The FDV is $104,212.84 at current prices. The token metadata lists the update authority as 'unknown' and the contract as unverified, which prevents us from confirming whether mint and freeze authorities have been renounced. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which is a positive signal — immutable metadata reduces the risk of post-launch metadata manipulation. However, without confirmed authority renouncement, the rug risk from authorities must be classified as unknown. The token has no description, which is a red flag for legitimacy. Social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) exist but have not been verified. The token was launched via Pump.fun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically auto-renounces mint authority upon bonding curve graduation, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided.

Volatility
high

Price surged ~214% in 24h and is already showing reversal signals (-7.36% in 5m). Hourly candles show extreme swings (e.g., candle [2] ranged from $0.000057 to $0.000129). This level of volatility is typical of low-cap Pump.fun memecoins and can result in rapid, severe losses.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $24.18K. With 24h sell volume of $155.69K already exceeding liquidity by 6.4x, the pool is being drained. Large sell orders will cause extreme slippage. Exit liquidity for holders is severely limited.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 33.34% of supply; top 100 control 85.44%. Excluding the LP pool (#1 at 11.05%), 9 wallets hold ~22.3% of supply. The round-number balance of holder #5 (exactly 25M tokens) suggests insider pre-allocation. Coordinated selling by top holders could collapse the price.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, preventing direct assessment. However, the 39 wallets that held the token during its 4-week dormancy are effectively early insiders. The dominant sell pressure (73.9%) and -24 holder drop in the last hour suggest these early holders may already be distributing. Risk is elevated but unconfirmed.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is marked 'Mutable: false', which is a partial mitigant. Pump.fun tokens typically renounce mint authority at graduation, but this is unconfirmed here.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 73.9% of 24h volume is sells, with 699 sellers vs 159 buyers
  • Shallow liquidity ($24.18K) creates severe slippage risk and limits exit options
  • Token was dormant for 4+ weeks with only 39 holders — suggests coordinated pump rather than organic growth
  • Holder count already declining (-24 in last hour, -6.6%) despite only 2 days of activity
  • Top 100 holders control 85.44% of supply — extreme concentration
  • No token description, unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Price already showing reversal: -7.36% in 5m, bearish close on most recent candle
  • Very small holder base (366 total) makes price highly susceptible to whale manipulation

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable (Mutable: false), reducing post-launch manipulation risk
  • Social presence exists (Twitter, website, Moralis links)
  • Pump.fun launch mechanism typically includes automatic mint authority renouncement at graduation
  • 24h holder growth of +70 (+19%) shows some continued new buyer interest
  • The LP pool holds 11.05% of supply, providing some baseline liquidity
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand Pump.fun memecoin mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions. It is NOT suitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than a very small speculative allocation. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and dormancy-then-pump pattern makes this a very high-risk speculative instrument.

smokefleet is a high-risk Pump.fun memecoin that experienced a sudden activation after 4+ weeks of dormancy, generating a 214% price pump in 24h. The bull case requires sustained social momentum and new buyer inflow to overcome the dominant sell pressure. The bear case — which appears more probable given current on-chain data — is that this is a coordinated pump-and-dump with early holders distributing into retail buyers. The base case is a significant retracement from current levels.

Bull case (low)

smokefleet gains viral social media traction, attracting a wave of new buyers that overwhelms current sell pressure. Liquidity deepens, holder count grows past 1,000+, and the token establishes a new higher base above $0.000080, potentially reaching new all-time highs above $0.000129.

  • Viral Twitter/social media campaign driving new retail inflow
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all small caps
  • Influencer promotion or listing on a tracking platform increasing visibility
  • Early holders choosing to hold rather than distribute, reducing sell pressure

Base case

Price retraces 40–60% from current levels to the $0.000055–$0.000070 range as the initial pump momentum fades. A small core community of 200–300 holders remains. The token may see periodic volatility spikes but lacks the liquidity and holder base for sustained appreciation.

  • Sell pressure moderates but remains above 50% of volume
  • Liquidity pool is not fully drained
  • A subset of new holders (100–150 wallets) choose to hold long-term
  • No major new catalyst (positive or negative) emerges in the next 7 days

Bear case (high)

The pump exhausts as early holders (the original 39 wallets) continue distributing into retail buyers. Sell pressure remains dominant, liquidity drains further, and price retraces to pre-pump levels of $0.000033–$0.000050 or lower. Holder count continues to decline as flippers exit.

  • Continued dominant sell pressure (73.9% of volume) draining the liquidity pool
  • Accelerating holder exit (-24 in last hour) signaling loss of confidence
  • Shallow liquidity ($24.18K) amplifying downside moves
  • No fundamental utility or narrative to sustain demand beyond initial pump
  • 4-week dormancy pattern suggesting coordinated rather than organic launch

GeneratedJun 6, 05:19 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-06-06T17:00 UTC. Most recent candle is the 17:00 UTC hour. Holder metrics reflect a snapshot at time of data pull.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain token metadata (mint: 19bzpXc3mjRyzLYeF4gS2JznLZyVEnAQ8zGVLUrpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair: C6RznX8WnKU1ssDd78RSXNtv4YEqb9TZSmwcgukAK3r7)
  • Hourly OHLCV candle data (24 candles, June 5–6 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, historical daily holder counts)
  • Supply concentration data (top 10 and top 100 percentages)

Limitations

  • No sniper/early buyer data available — cannot assess insider PnL or exit behavior
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Token has no description and is unverified — fundamental analysis is severely limited
  • Only 24 hours of meaningful trading history (token was dormant for 4+ weeks)
  • Holder classification (whale/shark/dolphin/fish) thresholds are not defined in source data
  • Top holder wallet classifications are inferred, not confirmed — on-chain contract data not provided
  • Price predictions for memecoins carry inherently very low reliability
  • Social link content (Twitter, website) has not been analyzed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Investing in Solana memecoins, especially newly launched or low-liquidity tokens like smokefleet, carries extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,837,683.688279

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure: 73.9% of 24h volume is sells, with 699 sellers vs 159 buyers
Shallow liquidity ($24.18K) creates severe slippage risk and limits exit options
Token was dormant for 4+ weeks with only 39 holders — suggests coordinated pump rather than organic growth
Holder count already declining (-24 in last hour, -6.6%) despite only 2 days of activity

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for smokefleet. This means we cannot assess early-buyer (sniper) behavior, their PnL state, or whether they have already exited. The absence of sniper data is itself notable — it may indicate the token launched without significant bot activity, or that data was not captured. Given the token's 4-week dormancy period with only 39 holders before the June 4 activation, the early holder cohort (those 39 wallets) should be considered the effective 'smart money' or insiders. Their behavior is unknown from this dataset.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown — no sniper data available. The 39 wallets that held the token during its 4-week dormancy period (May 7 – June 3) are the likely early buyers. The sudden +298 holder spike on June 4 suggests a coordinated launch or promotion event. Whether early holders are distributing into the pump is suggested by the 73.9% sell volume dominance but cannot be confirmed without wallet-level data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for smokefleet (smokefleet)?

Price is showing signs of exhaustion after the spike to $0.0001295 (candle [2] high). The most recent candle closed at $0.0001042, down from the intraday high, with sell pressure at 73.9% of volume. The 5m change is already -7.36%, suggesting near-term continuation of the pullback. Support is thin given shallow liquidity. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000055 to $0.000129.

Is smokefleet a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand Pump.fun memecoin mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions. It is NOT suitable for long-term investors, beginners, or anyone investing more than a very small speculative allocation. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and dormancy-then-pump pattern makes this a very high-risk speculative instrument.

How are smokefleet holders trending?

smokefleet currently has 366 holders and is growing (24h: 19, 7d: 89, 30d: 89). The holder trend tells a clear story: smokefleet was essentially a ghost token for nearly a month (39 holders, zero net change from May 7 to June 3). On June 4, a sudden activation event brought 298 new holders in a single day (+88%), likely driven by a coordinated promotion or social media push. By June 5, the count dipped slightly to 324 (-13, -4%), then recovered to the current 366 (+70, +19% in 24h). Critically, the last hour saw a -24 holder drop (-6.6%), which is a warning sign that the pump is attracting short-term flippers who are already exiting. The 30d and 7d growth figures are identical (both +89%) because all growth occurred within the last 3 days. Growth is NOT accelerating — it is decelerating, with the hourly trend now negative.

What does sniper activity look like for smokefleet?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding smokefleet?

Extreme sell pressure: 73.9% of 24h volume is sells, with 699 sellers vs 159 buyers • Shallow liquidity ($24.18K) creates severe slippage risk and limits exit options • Token was dormant for 4+ weeks with only 39 holders — suggests coordinated pump rather than organic growth

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