fefer

fefer Price Today & AI Analysis

fefer
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 23, 2026

13Uhk4Fk3WUeVjx96cWPLqQ4RLAFVkiW5cKqc5TAAiNw

$0.054234

-1.89%

FDV $4,071

LiveContract:13Uhk4Fk3WUeVjx96cWPLqQ4RLAFVkiW5cKqc5TAAiNwChain:SolanaHolders:307Market cap:$4,071

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Ask Unhosted AI about fefer

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 23, 08:19 AM
FDV

$106,914

Liquidity

$41,069

Holders

414

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

fefer (FEFER) is an extremely new, micro-cap Solana token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$103K. The token has experienced a dramatic 241% price surge in 24 hours, but is characterized by extreme supply concentration — a single wallet holds 99.94% of all tokens — making it one of the most concentrated and highest-risk tokens observable. Holder growth is almost entirely a product of the last 24 hours, with the token sitting dormant at 8 holders for over a month before a sudden activation. The token has no verified contract, no description, and unknown update authority.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme supply concentration: top holder controls 99.94% of total supply (~999.2M of ~999.9M tokens)
Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 8 holders before sudden activation on 2026-07-22
241% price surge in 24h with 71.4% sell pressure dominating buy pressure
Only 2 unique holders in top 20 — effectively a 2-wallet token
No sniper data available; no verified contract; no social links or description

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has pumped 241% in 24h and 97.5% in the last hour alone, driven by speculative momentum. However, sell pressure dominates at 71.4% of volume ($79.77K sells vs $31.91K buys), and the single whale holding 99.94% of supply represents an existential dump risk at any moment. The price is likely to retrace sharply unless sustained buy pressure emerges.

Target low$0.000028
Target high$0.000137
Support: $0.000047 (candle [3] open/low), $0.000028 (candle [4] low)
Resistance: $0.000137 (candle [1] high — 24h peak), $0.000108 (candle [1] close / current price)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a fundamental catalyst, community, or utility, and given the extreme concentration of supply in one wallet, medium-term price action is expected to be bearish. The token's history of 30+ days of dormancy followed by a sudden pump is a classic pattern for coordinated pump-and-dump schemes. If the top holder begins distributing, price collapse is likely.

Catalysts
  • Top holder (99.94%) beginning to sell would cause immediate price collapse
  • Sustained retail buying could temporarily extend the pump
  • Any social media or influencer attention could drive short-term volatility
  • Lack of utility or project fundamentals limits organic demand

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price momentum (+241%)
  • Rapid holder growth from 8 to 414 in ~24 hours (+406 holders)
  • Active trading with 754 unique wallets in 24h
  • Price up 97.5% in the last hour suggesting continued momentum

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds 99.94% of supply — extreme dump risk
  • 71.4% sell pressure ($79.77K sells vs $31.91K buys)
  • Token dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation — classic pump setup
  • No verified contract, no description, no social links
  • Shallow liquidity ($41.07K total) amplifies slippage risk
  • Only 2 holders in top 20 — no organic distribution
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme supply concentration in a single wallet (99.94%), the token's very short active trading history (effectively 1–2 days), the absence of verified contract, project description, or social links, and the dominance of sell pressure. Price action is almost entirely speculative and subject to single-actor manipulation.

fefer call history

Full track record →
Jul 23bearish
24h-66.3%
7d-83.6%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Four hourly candles show a strong upward impulse from a low of $0.0000282 (candle [4] low) to a high of $0.0001366 (candle [1] high), representing a ~4.8x move in 4 hours. Candle [4] (05:00): bullish engulfing-style candle, open $0.0000326, close $0.0000470, with a lower wick to $0.0000282 suggesting initial accumulation. Candle [3] (06:00): narrow-range doji-like candle, open and low both $0.0000475, close $0.0000498 — consolidation. Candle [2] (07:00): breakout candle, open $0.0000488, close $0.0000674, high $0.0000753 — momentum building. Candle [1] (08:00): explosive candle, open $0.0000673, high $0.0001366, close $0.0001078 — long upper wick relative to close suggests distribution/selling into the pump at the highs. Volume peaked in candle [4] ($27.9K) and candle [1] ($14.7K), with lower volume in the middle candles.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 29%Sell 71%

Short-term trend is sharply upward over the last 4 hours with higher highs and higher lows across all candles. Medium-term context is sideways/undefined given the token was dormant for 30+ days. The long upper wick on the most recent candle is a warning sign of potential reversal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000067 (candle [2] open / candle [1] open)
Major$0.000028 (candle [4] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000108 (candle [1] close / current price)
Major$0.000137 (candle [1] all-time high wick)

Immediate support sits at ~$0.000067 (the base of the most recent explosive candle). Major support is the candle [4] low of $0.0000282. Immediate resistance is the current price area around $0.000108. Major resistance is the candle [1] wick high of $0.0001366, which was rejected and represents the 24h peak.

Notable patterns

  • Higher highs and higher lows across all 4 candles — short-term uptrend
  • Long upper wick on candle [1] — bearish shooting star / distribution signal
  • Narrow doji-like candle [3] — consolidation before breakout
  • Volume declining on price advance — bearish divergence
  • Explosive gap-up open on candle [1] relative to candle [2] close

Total holders414
24h Δ+406
7d Δ+406
30d Δ+406
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is almost perfectly correlated with the price pump. The token had exactly 8 holders for the entire 30-day historical period (2026-06-23 to 2026-07-21), then jumped to 116 on 2026-07-22 (+108, +93%) and has since reached 414 (+298 more in the subsequent hours). This mirrors the price action which also began its upward move around the same time. The correlation is near 1.0 — both metrics activated simultaneously from a dormant baseline.

Holder growth is entirely concentrated in the last ~24–48 hours. For 29 consecutive days (2026-06-23 to 2026-07-21), the holder count was frozen at exactly 8 — a strong signal of a dormant or pre-launch state. The sudden explosion to 414 holders coincides precisely with the price pump. While rapid holder growth can signal organic interest, in this context it is more likely driven by speculative FOMO following the price surge. The 24h growth rate of +406 holders (+98%) is extraordinary but must be viewed against the near-zero baseline. The distribution remains extremely unhealthy with 99.94% of supply in one wallet despite 414 holders.

Top 10 hold103.89%
Top 100 hold103.89%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

EgLdum4Jpiok2qP5H1qseHbZQfPsKWmSdvvpVVVaJDb8

Project treasury or token creator — holds 999,234,527 tokens (99.94% of supply). This is almost certainly the deployer or a wallet controlled by the token creator. This level of concentration is extreme and represents the primary rug/dump risk.

99.94%

8psNvWTrdNTiVRNzAgsou9kETXNJm2SXZyaKuJraVRtf

Individual whale or early buyer — holds 641,527 tokens (0.06% of supply). The only other significant holder.

0.06%

The whale map is the most alarming aspect of this token. The top 10 concentration is reported at 103.89% (likely an artifact of LP tokens or rounding), and effectively only 2 wallets appear in the top 20. Wallet EgLdum4Jpiok2qP5H1qseHbZQfPsKWmSdvvpVVVaJDb8 holds 99.94% of all tokens — this is an extreme red flag. If this wallet sells even a fraction of its holdings, the price would collapse. The remaining 412 holders share approximately 0.06% of supply. True distribution is essentially non-existent. The sentiment is classified as 'mixed' only because the dominant holder has not yet visibly dumped, but the structural risk is severe.

Liquidity$41,070
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$31,910
Sell$79,770
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers353
Unique sellers686

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $41.07K on PumpSwap pair EzXEcQDVGag2fVKyToFGJ1NHLNM88irmq2dUaEfEEJCF. With a FDV of ~$103K, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 40% — while this ratio appears reasonable, the absolute dollar amount is tiny and any significant sell order would cause massive slippage. Sell volume ($79.77K) is 2.5x buy volume ($31.91K), with 686 unique sellers vs 353 unique buyers — a clear net outflow. The 24h buy/sell ratio of 882 buys to 1,514 sells confirms persistent selling pressure. Despite the price being up 241%, the volume dynamics show more participants are exiting than entering, which is a bearish divergence. The shallow liquidity means the price pump was achieved with relatively small capital, and a reversal could be equally swift.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,876,055.108276
FDV$106,913.90

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.88M tokens with a FDV of ~$106.9K at current prices. The token has 6 decimals. Update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive indicator suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data — these are listed as unknown. The absence of a verified contract, description, social links, and the unknown authority status all elevate tokenomic risk. The near-1B supply is typical of meme/pump tokens. With 99.94% of supply in one wallet, the effective circulating supply available to the market is only ~641K tokens (0.06%), making the true market cap far lower than the FDV suggests.

Volatility
high

Price has moved +241% in 24h and +97.5% in 1h. Extreme volatility with a 4.8x range in 4 hours. Long upper wick on the most recent candle signals potential sharp reversal.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $41.07K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any significant sell order will cause severe slippage. The shallow pool cannot absorb meaningful selling from the 99.94% whale.

Concentration
high

A single wallet (EgLdum4Jpiok2qP5H1qseHbZQfPsKWmSdvvpVVVaJDb8) holds 99.94% of all tokens (~999.2M of ~999.9M). This is the highest possible concentration risk — one actor controls the entire supply and can collapse the price at will.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available. Sniper-specific dump risk cannot be assessed. However, the dominant single-wallet holder represents a far greater dump risk than typical snipers.

Authority
medium

Update authority is unknown. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The contract is unverified. Mutable=false is a mild positive, but insufficient to reduce authority risk to low given the unknowns.

Key risks

  • Single wallet holds 99.94% of supply — catastrophic dump risk at any moment
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • No verified contract, no project description, no social links — zero transparency
  • Shallow liquidity ($41.07K) means price is easily manipulated in both directions
  • 71.4% sell pressure with 2:1 sellers to buyers ratio despite price being up 241%
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation
  • Only 2 wallets in top 20 holders — no organic distribution

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false suggests metadata cannot be altered
  • Rapid holder growth to 414 suggests some organic retail interest
  • Token is trading on PumpSwap with an active market pair
  • FDV is small (~$103K) limiting absolute dollar loss exposure for small positions
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The extreme supply concentration, dormancy-then-pump pattern, and lack of transparency make this a very high-risk speculative instrument.

fefer is a micro-cap Solana meme token with no stated utility, no verified contract, and extreme supply concentration in a single wallet (99.94%). The token exhibits a classic dormancy-then-pump pattern, having sat at 8 holders for 30+ days before a sudden price explosion of 241% in 24 hours. While short-term momentum traders may find opportunity in the volatility, the structural risks are severe and the probability of a sharp reversal or complete collapse is high.

Bull case (low)

Continued speculative momentum drives further price appreciation as retail FOMO accelerates holder growth beyond 414. The dominant wallet holder does not sell, and the token gains social media traction, pushing FDV toward $500K–$1M range.

  • Sustained retail buying momentum and social media virality
  • Dominant wallet holder refraining from selling
  • Broader Solana meme coin market in risk-on mode
  • Rapid holder growth continuing to attract attention

Base case

The token experiences continued high volatility with the price retracing 50–70% from current levels as sell pressure continues to dominate. The dominant wallet does not immediately dump but gradually reduces position, causing a slow bleed. Holder count stabilizes or declines as early buyers exit.

  • Dominant wallet sells gradually rather than in one transaction
  • Retail interest fades as momentum slows
  • No major catalyst emerges to sustain buying pressure
  • Liquidity remains shallow, amplifying price swings

Bear case (high)

The dominant wallet (99.94% of supply) begins distributing tokens into the current price pump. Given the shallow $41.07K liquidity pool, even a small fraction of their holdings being sold would collapse the price by 80–99%. Most retail buyers would be left holding near-worthless tokens.

  • Single wallet dump of even 1% of their holdings (~10M tokens) would overwhelm liquidity
  • 71.4% sell pressure already dominating despite the price pump
  • No fundamental value, utility, or community to support price floor
  • Classic pump-and-dump pattern with 30-day dormancy preceding activation

GeneratedJul 23, 08:19 AM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-07-23T08:00:00Z. Holder data reflects most recent snapshot with 24h/7d/30d deltas. Historical holder series covers 2026-06-23 to 2026-07-22.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (pair EzXEcQDVGag2fVKyToFGJ1NHLNM88irmq2dUaEfEEJCF)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (4 candles)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Trading volume and buyer/seller analytics

Limitations

  • No sniper data available — smart money analysis is limited to observable on-chain patterns
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — tokenomic risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Only 4 hourly candles available — technical analysis is based on very limited price history
  • Token has no verified contract, description, or social links — fundamental analysis is not possible
  • Top holder classification is inferred (not confirmed) — the 99.94% wallet could be a DEX pool, burn address, or creator wallet
  • 6h and 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics data despite clear price movement — possible data artifact
  • FDV figures show slight discrepancy between metadata ($106,913.90) and analytics ($102,910) — minor data inconsistency

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst and platform bear no responsibility for investment decisions made based on this report. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,876,055.108276

Key Risks

•Single wallet holds 99.94% of supply — catastrophic dump risk at any moment
•Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation — classic pump-and-dump pattern
•No verified contract, no project description, no social links — zero transparency
•Shallow liquidity ($41.07K) means price is easily manipulated in both directions

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for fefer. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. What is observable from on-chain data is that the token was dormant for 30+ days with only 8 holders, then suddenly activated on 2026-07-22 with a 93% holder increase in one day, followed by explosive growth to 414 holders. This pattern — long dormancy followed by sudden activation — is consistent with a coordinated launch or pump operation. The dominant single wallet (99.94% of supply) is the primary smart money actor to watch.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown — no sniper data available. However, the token's dormancy pattern and extreme concentration suggest early holders (the original 8) may be insiders or the token creator. The rapid price appreciation benefits anyone who accumulated before the 2026-07-22 activation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for fefer (fefer)?

The token has pumped 241% in 24h and 97.5% in the last hour alone, driven by speculative momentum. However, sell pressure dominates at 71.4% of volume ($79.77K sells vs $31.91K buys), and the single whale holding 99.94% of supply represents an existential dump risk at any moment. The price is likely to retrace sharply unless sustained buy pressure emerges. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000028 to $0.000137.

Is fefer a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.4/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. The extreme supply concentration, dormancy-then-pump pattern, and lack of transparency make this a very high-risk speculative instrument.

How are fefer holders trending?

fefer currently has 414 holders and is growing (24h: 406, 7d: 406, 30d: 406). Holder growth is entirely concentrated in the last ~24–48 hours. For 29 consecutive days (2026-06-23 to 2026-07-21), the holder count was frozen at exactly 8 — a strong signal of a dormant or pre-launch state. The sudden explosion to 414 holders coincides precisely with the price pump. While rapid holder growth can signal organic interest, in this context it is more likely driven by speculative FOMO following the price surge. The 24h growth rate of +406 holders (+98%) is extraordinary but must be viewed against the near-zero baseline. The distribution remains extremely unhealthy with 99.94% of supply in one wallet despite 414 holders.

What does sniper activity look like for fefer?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding fefer?

Single wallet holds 99.94% of supply — catastrophic dump risk at any moment • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation — classic pump-and-dump pattern • No verified contract, no project description, no social links — zero transparency

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